08/19/2009 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/21

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet.
Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Thursday's results:
Race 2 - Ciminella finished second
Race 5 - Livin Well Babe scratched; second choice Roaring Belle scratched; third choice Dream Train finished third
Race 7 - Midnight Mass finished third
Race 9 - Fearless Cowboy finished third

Friday, August 21, 2009

Race 3
6 Furlongs
Optional Claiming ($75,000/N1X)
2-year-olds
Purse $52,000

Analysis:
Although RED RALLY has yet to win a race on dirt, he was hardly disgraced in his career debut when finishing behind Bashford Manor and Sanford winner Backtalk, and the promising Thiskyhasnolimit.  His subsequent turf starts have been good, and Red Rally shouldn't be too far away when the field straightens into the stretch. 
SOUNDMAN is 0-3 against winners, but he was simply overmatched in his last two races, and should appreciate the class relief here.  He figures to run and gun from the inside post, but may face a good amount of pressure.
BRICKLAYER would benefit if the pace is hot.  He was simply outsprinted in the Sanford, but figures to improve with the addition of blinkers as he makes the second start of the form cycle. 
CHINA could be any kind.  He absolutely aired at sixty cents to the dollar over Keeneland's polytrack, but has been away since late April, and must now prove his mettle over a dirt course at a likely short price. 
Mate INTERACTIF may scratch as John Velazquez is named on both halves of the Pletcher-trained entry.  Interactif and Soundman dueled each other into defeat in the Sanford, and must avoid another protracted battle here. HONOR IN PEACE was one of the few Wesley Ward-trained babies that didn't take Royal Ascot by storm, but he probably didn't handle the grass, and should appreciate getting back on the main track.  His only win came in gate-to-wire fashion, but he may not be fast enough to make the front here.  DP THE FACILITATOR exits a slow allowance race at Churchill Downs, and needed maiden special weights at River Downs in order to graduate.  These may just be too tough.  MOON NISTLE's lone win came in a maiden claimer over the Tapeta track at Presque Isle Downs, and may find this spot a bit challenging.

Selections: 
1.  Red Rally  2.  Soundman  3.  Bricklayer

The Play: 
Red Rally to Win at 2-1 odds or greater
.

***

Race 6
7 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $55,000

1.  GENUINE CHARM (Dixie Union - Alluring, by A.P. Indy)
TRAINER:  Kiaran McLaughlin
JOCKEY:  Rajiv Maragh
DATE FOALED:   March 26, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
AUCTION:   Entered yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select, August 2008); $350,000 yearling (Keeneland, September 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 1 winner (12-7-3-0, $1,233,190, 4-6 at two, 5-7 in main track sprints)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:  92-561 (16%) with juvenile runners  
NICKING INFORMATION:  HIGH COTTON (Grade 3 route winner, 17-4-3-2, $462,574, 1-5 at two, 1-3 in main track sprints, 1-1 in wet); FIERCE WIND (multiple stakes-winning router, 11-5-0-0, $197,300, 1-3 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet); REBEL YELLER (stakes-winner on turf, 10-3-0-3, $86,557, 0-1 at two, 1-3 in main track sprints)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Route winner (15-1-7-2, $108,530, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track sprints)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  2 runners, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner, 0 juvenile winners, 2 main track sprint runners, 1 main track sprint winner, 1 wet runner, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  STRATEGY (full sister, stakes-winning router, 16-4-4-4, $220,945, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, 0-3 in wet); CONSEQUENCE (half-sister, stakes-winner on turf, 7-2-0-1, $187,360, 1-3 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  12-56 (21%, $3.18 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in dirt sprints (1-8, 13%, $2.10 ROI at Saratoga)

1a.  MANAAHIL (Mr. Greeley - Tawaaded, by Nashwan)
TRAINER:  Kiaran McLaughlin
JOCKEY:  Alan Garcia
DATE FOALED:   April 16, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:  SAHAAT (half-brother, multiple stakes-placed on turf in France); SHAKIS (multiple Grade 2 turf winner, 35-7-5-5, $860,532, 1-2 at two, unraced in main track sprints)
AUCTION:   $290,000 RNA weanling (Keeneland, November 2007)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 3 winner (16-5-6-0, $474,452, 2-6 at two, 4-11 in main track sprints, 1-4 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   31-287 (11%) with juvenile debut runners; 7-35 (20%, $2.18 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (1 juvenile debut winner)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Turf winner in England (7-1-1-1, $13,826, 0-1 at two, all races on grass)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  7 runners, 3 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  ANDREA DORA (half-sister, stakes-placed in South Africa)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  0 debut winners as a broodmare sire in 2009
TRAINER INFORMATION:  29-151 (19%, $1.98 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in dirt sprints (8-42, 19%, $1.31 ROI at Saratoga); 5-52 (10%, $0.76 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (3 juvenile debut winners, 1 at this meet, all winners with Lasix, 2 with Alan Garcia aboard)
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  June 1, June 11, July 15, July 22 workouts match barn's juvenile filly HATHEER (finished second in career debut on turf at Saratoga on August 13 with 76 Beyer, unraced on dirt); June 21 matches barn's four-year-old filly PRETTY CARINA (88 Beyer top)

2.  MINED OVER MATTER (Mineshaft - Melisma, by Well Decorated)
TRAINER:  Nicholas Zito
JOCKEY:  Robby Albarado
DATE FOALED:   February 25, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:  CHOCTAW NATION (half-brother, multiple Grade 2 route winner, 17-7-0-2, $1,224,800, unraced at two, 1-2 in main track sprints)
AUCTION:   $100,000 yearling (Keeneland, September 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 1 route winner (18-10-3-1, $2,283,402, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   3-71 (4%) with juvenile debut runners; 0 debut winners in 2009
DAM RACE RECORD:   Sprint winner (8-1-2-0, $15,265, unraced at two, all races in main track sprints, cost $32,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD: 6 runners, 5 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners, 6 main track sprint runners, 4 main track sprint winners, 4 wet runners, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  ANTHENIAN GIRL (half-sister, multiple stakes-placed sprinter, 16-3-3-1, $85,238, 1-2 at two, 3-14 in main track sprints, 0-2 in wet); HER TEMPER (half-sister, 28-4-4-3, $208,387, 2-5 at two, won debut, 4-18 in main track sprints, 1-4 in wet)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  2-24 (8%, $1.16 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (both older winners)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  18-145 (13%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in dirt sprints (10-69, 14%, Positive ROI at Saratoga); 1-33 (3%) with all debut runners in 2009 (older winner with Lasix in route)
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  July 7 workout went .05 slower than barn's juvenile HOPEFUL BOY (finished sixth in career debut on August 12 at Saratoga with 18 Beyer); July 7 workout went .01 faster than barn's juvenile filly SOUMA (finished seventh in career debut at Saratoga on August 16 with 14 Beyer); August 2 workout matches SOUMA;  August 2 workout went .02 faster than barn's OUR EDGE (100 Beyer top)

3. AWESOME VOW (Awesome Again - Good as Her Word, by Alphabet Soup)
TRAINER:  Leroy Jolley
JOCKEY:  Kent Desormeaux
DATE FOALED:   March 19, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Ontario, Canada
AUCTION:   $39,000 juvenile (Adena Springs Spring, March 2009)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 1 route winner (12-9-0-2, $4,374,590, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, 2-2 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   63-420 (15%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Sprint winner (14-3-1-4, $97,106, unraced at two, 3-13 in main track sprints, 1-4 in wet, cost $20,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  This is first starter
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  Female family of Grade 3 turf winner FLY SMARTLY (38-6-3-9, $329,772, unraced at two, 0-7 in main track sprints)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  0-9 over the past five years with second-time juveniles in dirt sprints (0-3 at Saratoga)

4.  COUTURE CAT (Storm Cat - Runway Model, by Petionville)
TRAINER:  Thomas Albertrani
JOCKEY:  Ramon Dominguez
DATE FOALED:   February 25, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
AUCTION:   $700,000 yearling (Keeneland, September 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 1 route winner at two (8-4-3-0, $570,610, 3-6 at two, 3-4 in main track sprints, 1-1 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   74-390 (19%) with juvenile debut runners; 1-18 (6%, $0.33 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (juvenile debut winner at this meet)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 2 winner at two (15-4-3-3, $725,598, 4-10 at two, 2-6 in main track sprints, cost $75,000 as a yearling, $250,000 as juvenile)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  This is first starter
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  MAMBO TRAIN (half-brother, stakes-winner, 29-2-3-3, $278,406, 1-5 at two, won debut, 0-1 in main track sprints, 0-2 in wet)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  3-15 (20%, $2.95 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (all juvenile debut winners)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  5-52 (10%, $1.70 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in dirt sprints (1-18, 6%, $2.67 ROI at Saratoga); 5-26 (19%, $4.98 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (1 juvenile debut winner without Lasix, 4 older winners with Lasix, 1 for this owner)

5.   SING MY SONG (Malibu Moon - Listen to My Song, by Unbridled's Song)
TRAINER:  Steve Klesaris
JOCKEY:  Jose Lezcano
DATE FOALED:   January 25, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Florida
AUCTION:   $140,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select, August 2008); Out yearling (Keeneland, September 2008); Withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton, February 2009); Withdrawn juvenile (Keeneland, April 2009); Withdrawn juvenile (Barretts, May 2009)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Sprint winner at two (2-1-1-0, $33,840, all races sprinting on the main track at two)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   119-585 (20%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Unraced ($600,000 yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  This is first runner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  INDY BIRD (half-sister, stakes-winner, 17-4-2-3, $136,950, 2-9 at two, 2-11 in main track sprints, 0-2 in wet); LISTEN HERE (half-sister, Grade 2 sprint winner, 10-4-3-1, $287,480, 3-4 at two, 3-7 in main track sprints); PARADE THE FLAG (half-brother, stakes-placed sprinter, 20-5-1-5, $89,220, 0-2 at two, 5-18 in main track sprints, 1-4 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  11-42 (26%, $2.50 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in dirt sprints (2-5, 40%, $11.60 ROI at Saratoga)

6.  SPREADINGTHEWEALTH (Yonaguska - Hishi Pebble, by Northern Prospect)
TRAINER:  Michael Trombetta
JOCKEY:  Eibar Coa
DATE FOALED:   January 25, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:  PLACE YOUR BET (half-brother, multiple stakes-winning sprinter, 27-8-5-4, $291,873, 1-1 at two, 8-26 in main track sprints, 2-5 in wet)
AUCTION:   $18,000 weanling (Keeneland, November 2007); Withdrawn yearling (Keeneland, September 2008); $25,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select, October 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 1 sprint winner at two (18-6-1-5, $536,355, 3-7 at two, 6-15 in main track sprints)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   88-562 (16%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Placed sprinting (3-0-0-1, $4,425, 0-1 at two, all races in main track sprints, cost $17,000 as yearling, $50,000 as juvenile)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:   5 runners, 3 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners, 5 main track sprint runners, 3 main track sprint winners, 2 wet runners, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  PORT BAYOU (half-brother, Group 3 winner on turf in Ireland); LETHAL AGENDA (half-brother, stakes-winner on turf in Ireland, 39-2-3-3, $67,122, 1-2 at two, 0-15 in main track sprints, 0-6 in wet); SPELLING (half-sister, Grade 2-placed sprinter, 15-5-4-1, $161,710, 1-1 at two, 5-9 in main track sprints, 1-2 in wet); LAST WALTZ (half-sister, stakes-placed on turf, 10-3-2-1, $92,430, 2-5 at two, unraced in main track sprints); TALENT SEARCH (half-brother, multiple stakes-winning sprinter, 15-6-5-2, $603,360, 1-1 at two, 6-13 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  17-51 (33%, $2.03 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in dirt sprints (0-2 at Saratoga)

7.  COQUINA DAY (Thunder Gulch - A.B. Prospect, by A.P. Indy)
TRAINER:  David Donk
JOCKEY:  Edgar Prado
DATE FOALED:   January 31, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:  PROSPECTIVE SAINT (half-sister, Grade 3 route winner, 21-8-3-1, $485,725, 1-2 at two, 6-14 in main track sprints, 2-3 in wet)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 1 route winner (16-9-2-2, $2,915,086, 2-6 at two, 1-3 in main track srpints, 0-1 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   111-824 (13%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Sprint winner (3-1-0-1, $25,160, 0-2 at two, all races in main track sprints, cost $210,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:   6 runners, 4 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 6 main track sprint runners, 3 main track sprint winners, 4 wet runners, 4 wet winners
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  ECLIPSE BAY (half-sister, stakes-placed sprinter, 5-1-0-2, $54,906, 0-2 at two, all races in main track sprints, 1-1 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  0-3 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers in dirt sprints

8.  JUMP STAR (Jump Start - Starlique, by Time for a Change)
TRAINER:  Michelle Nihei
JOCKEY:  John Velazquez
DATE FOALED:   February 23, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
AUCTION:   $37,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Summer, July 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 2 sprint winner at two (5-2-1-0, $221,265, all races at two, won debut, 2-3 in main track sprints)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   15-139 (11%) with juvenile debut runners; 6-32 (19%, $2.00 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (3 juvenile debut winners)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Route winner (18-2-0-1, $13,190, 0-3 at two, 0-8 in main track sprints, 0-3 in wet)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  2 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile debut winner, 2 main track sprint runners, 1 main track sprint winner, 2 wet runners, 2 wet winners
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  BILLY MOUSSE (half-brother, stakes-placed sprinter at two, 12-5-2-1, $66,682, 2-8 at two, 5-11 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet); SWAMP (half-brother, Grade 2 turf winner, 15-5-0-4, $306,280, 1-1 at two, unraced in main track sprints)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  3-21 (14%, $2.91 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (2 juvenile debut winners)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  This is trainer's first juvenile debut starter in dirt sprints over the past five years; 0-9 with all debut runners in 2009: 

9.  DYNAZAPER (Ghostzapper - Broad Dynamite, by Broad Brush)
TRAINER:  William Mott
JOCKEY:  Julien Leparoux
DATE FOALED:   May 8, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:  SAINT CROCE (half-sister, stakes-placed sprinter, 13-3-5-2, $139,566, unraced at two, 3-12 in main track sprints, 0-2 in wet)
AUCTION:   $300,000 yearling (Keeneland, September 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 1 winner (11-9-0-1, $3,446,120, 1-2 at two, 5-7 in main track sprints, 2-2 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   0-12 with juvenile runners (first crop)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Grade 2 sprint winner at two (6-3-1-2, $157,210, all races at two, 3-5 in main track sprints, cost $68,000 as yearling, $98,000 as juvenile)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD: 7 runners, 6 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners, 6 main track sprint runners, 4 main track sprint winners, 5 wet runners, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  EVERYDAY ANGEL (half-sister, Grade 3-placed router at two, 3-1-2-0, $55,720, all races at two, 1-2 in main track sprints, 1-1 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  9-59 (15%, $1.63 ROI) over the past five years with second-out juveniles in dirt sprints (7-28, 25%, $2.88 ROI at Saratoga)

10.  AWESOME MARIA (Maria's Mon - Discreetly Awesome, by Awesome Again)
TRAINER:  Stanley Hough
JOCKEY:  Cornelio Velasquez
DATE FOALED:   April 18, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 1 winner at two (7-4-1-1, $507,140, 4-5 at two, 2-4 in main track sprints)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   116-856 (14%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Unraced
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:   This is first starter
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  PRETTY WILD (half-brother, multiple stakes-winner, 18-7-5-4, $398,280, 1-6 at two, 5-12 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud);  DISCREET CAT (half-brother, Grade 1 route winner, 9-6-0-2, $1,694,180, 1-1 at two, 2-3 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud); DISCREET TREASURE (half-brother, Grade 3-placed router, 12-4-5-0, $180,195, unraced at two, 1-2 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  4-26 (15%, $0.80 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in dirt sprints (2-8, 25%, $1.52 ROI at Saratoga)

Analysis:
AWESOME MARIA, a Spa Baby selection opening week, showed good early speed, and was making up ground on the winner after being a bit late to switch leads in the stretch.  If she runs back to anything close to that 85 Beyer, she'll be tough to down, but the price will be depressed.
MANAAHIL has a pedigree geared more to turf, but she shows some sharp workouts leading up to her career debut, and this trainer/jockey combination knocked out the competition with Liston's juvenile debut win earlier in the meet.  Manaahil's frequent workmate, the beautifully-bred Hatheer, ran a nice second in her debut on grass this summer.
SING MY SONG rallied in the stretch of her debut to pick up a piece of the purse, and can certainly move forward off that effort for an excellent barn.
Trainer Bill Mott historically does excellent work with second-time starters at the Spa, and DYNAZAPER rallied in his career debut.  He's got the bloodlines to be a good horse.
COQUINA DAY adds blinkers after a dull debut, but needs a good deal of improvement to contend for top honors.  GENUINE CHARM didn't have the easiest of trips in her debut, but wasn't flattered when the winner of that heat, Union Waters, came back to bomb as the favorite.  AWESOME VOW was simply outsprinted in her career debut, and may be closer to the pace this time around.  SPREADINGTHEWEALTH showed good early speed in a key race at Delaware, and looms a strong pace factor again.  MINED OVER MATTER may want more ground. COUTURE CAT boasts a beautiful pedigree, and wouldn't be a surprise for Tom Albertrani.  JUMP STAR could need a start.

Selections:
1.  Awesome Maria  2.  Manaahil  3.  Sing My Song

The Play:
Awesome Maria - Manaahil (part of entry) Exacta
Awesome Maria - Sing My Song Exacta

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 39-6-21 (+ $2.50)