08/18/2009 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/20

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet.
Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Wednesday's results:
Race 4 - Miss Diane finished second
Race 7 - Kaila Ann's Kitten scratched; second choice Pretty B finished eighth
Race 9 - Dashing Debby finished fifth

Thursday, August 20, 2009

Race 2
6 Furlongs
Maiden Claiming ($50,000)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $28,000

1.  RED ZINN (Broken Vow - Ride Her Out, by Stormy Atlantic)
TRAINER:  Carlos Martin
JOCKEY:  Ramon Dominguez
DATE FOALED:   April 17, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 2 route winner (14-9-2-2, $725,296, unraced at two, 1-2 in main track sprints, 2-3 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   20-175 (11%) with juvenile debut runners; 4-49 (8%, $1.31 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (1 juvenile debut winner)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Stakes-winner (10-4-2-2, $179,910, 2-5 at two, 3-6 in main track sprints, 0-3 in wet, cost $10,000 as juvenile)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  This is first starter
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  0 debut winners as a broodmare sire in 2009
TRAINER INFORMATION:  1-20 (5%, $0.50 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden claiming dirt sprints (0-2 at Saratoga); 0-15 with all debut runners in 2009

1a.  CIMINELLA (Afleet Alex - Bruanna, by Housebuster)
TRAINER:  Carlos Martin
JOCKEY:  Jose Espinoza
DATE FOALED:   April 8, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
AUCTION:   $50,000 yearling (Keeneland, September 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 1 winner, 12-8-2-1, $2,765,800, 4-6 at two, 5-5 in main track sprints, 2-2 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   5-54 (9%) with juvenile runners (first crop)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Multiple stakes-winning sprinter (39-14-5-3, $390,078, 2-6 at two, 14-37 in main track sprints, 2-5 in wet)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD: 3 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 3 main track sprint runners, 2 main track sprint winners, 1 wet runner, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  JAZZ LADY (half-sister, stakes-winning sprinter at two, 4-2-0-1, $103,704, 1-3 at two, all races in main track sprints); AMERICANUS (half-brother, Grade 2-placed sprinter, 32-9-4-4, $240,879, unraced at two, 9-31 in main track sprints, 3-7 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  3-5 (60%, $4.96 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from 31-60 day layoffs in maiden claiming dirt sprints (1-1, 100%, $5.60 ROI at Saratoga)

2.  KAFFIE'S DOLL (Kafwain - Dotsie's Doll, by Allen's Prospect)
TRAINER:  Bernardo Callejas
JOCKEY:  John Velazquez
DATE FOALED:   March 24, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Florida
AUCTION:   $30,000 yearling (Keeneland, September 2008); $47,000 RNA juvenile (OBS Select, Feburary 2009); $35,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Spring, May 2009)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 2 winner (11-4-2-2, $715,848, 3-8 at two, 3-6 in main track sprints)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   39-264 (15%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Sprint winner (20-3-3-0, $85,575, unraced at two, 3-18 in main track sprints, 0-8 in wet, cost $21,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  3 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners, 3 main track sprint runners, 2 main track sprint winner, 1 wet runner, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  TRUE CHOMPION (half-sister, multiple stakes-placed, 24-5-5-3, $112,501, 1-3 at two, 1-4 in main track sprints); GRACIE ALLEN (full sister, stakes-placed at two, 15-4-1-4, $101,771, 1-4 at two, 4-13 in main track sprints, 0-2 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles in maiden claiming dirt sprints
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  Worked 1 furlong in 10.1 prior to the February auction; Worked 1 furlong in 10.3 prior to the May sale

3.  OLIVE EYE (Maria's Mon - Rapidamente, by Dixieland Band)
TRAINER:  John Kimmel
JOCKEY:  Rajiv Maragh
DATE FOALED:   May 9, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:  NOW MORE THAN EVER (half-sister, stakes-placed on turf, 20-5-7-1, $204,361, 0-2 at two, 0-4 in main track sprints)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 1 winner at two (7-4-1-1, $507,140, 4-5 at two, 2-4 in main track sprints)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   116-856 (14%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Sprint winner (10-1-1-2, $44,670, unraced at two, 1-8 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  5 runners, 2 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners, 3 main track sprint runners, 1 main track sprint winner, 2 wet runners, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  INDY VIDUAL (half-brother, Grade 1-placed, 24-8-4-2, $333,732, 0-3 at two, unraced in main track sprints)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles in maiden claiming dirt sprints (0-1 at Saratoga)

4.  MYWIFENOSEVRYTHING (Najran - Rose Jade, by Jade Hunter)
TRAINER:  Nicholas Zito
JOCKEY:  Shaun Bridgmohan
DATE FOALED:   March 13, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
AUCTION:   Withdrawn yearling (Keeneland, September 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 3 winner (15-7-2-1, $483,448, 0-1 at two, 4-9 in main track sprints, 1-2 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   7-54 (13%) with juvenile debut runners;  4-23 (17%, $1.77 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (1 juvenile debut winner) 
DAM RACE RECORD:   Placed sprinting at two (5-0-1-1, $3,870, all races sprinting on the main track at two, 0-1 in wet)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD: 4 runners, 3 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners, 3 main track sprint runners, 1 main track sprint winner, 2 wet runners, 0 wet winners
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  GO NOT A' RAMBLIN (half-sister, stakes-winner at two, 24-5-0-4, $54,491, 2-6 at two, 2-9 in main track sprints, 1-4 in wet); CLIVEDEN (half-brother, Group 3 winner on turf in England); ASSERT ONESELF (half-sister, Grade 3 winner, 27-5-6-7, $261,791, unraced at two, 1-4 in main track sprints, 1-2 in wet)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  2-21 (10%, $1.06 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (both older winners)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  0-9 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden claiming dirt sprints (0-2 at Saratoga); 1-32 (3%, $0.27 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (older winner with Lasix in route)

5.  ECONOMIC TSUNAMI (Fappie's Notebook - Nature Coast, by Conveyor)
TRAINER:  Wesley Ward
JOCKEY:  Jesus Castanon
DATE FOALED:   January 30, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Florida
AUCTION:   $10,000 yearling (OBS Open, August 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 3 sprint winner (21-10-5-2, $561,085, 1-2 at two, 9-18 in main track sprints, 2-3 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   12-88 (14%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Sprint winner (33-1-3-5, $18,733, unraced at two, 1-18 in main track sprints, 0-5 in wet)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  This is first starter
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  DINNER PARDNER (half-sister, multiple stakes-winner, 27-5-3-3, $144,153, 1-6 at two, 1-7 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  10-25 (40%, $1.68 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in maiden claiming dirt sprints (0-1 at Saratoga)

6.  GRAND DECISION (Pulpit - Grands Jetes, by Nureyev)
TRAINER:  H. Allen Jerkens
JOCKEY:  Cornelio Velasquez
DATE FOALED:   February 25, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Kentucky
AUCTION:   Out yearling (Keeneland, September 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 2 route winner (6-4-1-0, $728,200, unraced at two, 1-1 in main track sprints)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:  96-629 (15%) with juvenile runners
NICKING INFORMATION:  CONVOCATION (Grade 2-placed router, 6-1-3-0, $103,200, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, 1-2 in wet)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Unplaced (1-0-0-0, $175, sprinted on the main track at two, cost $165,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD: 7 runners, 6 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners, 5 main track sprint runners, 3 main track sprint winners, 1 wet runner, 0 wet winners
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  DISPERSAL (half-brother, Grade 1 route winner, 22-12-3-1, $1,461,137, unraced at two, 4-6 in main track sprints, 1-2 in wet); DISPOSAL (half-brother, Grade 3-placed router, 25-2-2-2, $112,394, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-4 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  1-5 (20%, $1.16 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles dropping from maiden special weights in dirt sprints (0-1 at Saratoga)

7.  LUCY N THUNDER (Lightnin N Thunder - L. D. Operator, by Caller I.D.)
TRAINER:  Gary Contessa
JOCKEY:  Jorge Chavez
DATE FOALED:   February 10, 2007
STATE FOALED:   Florida
AUCTION:   Withdrawn short yearling (OBS Winter, January 2008); $22,000 juvenile (OBS Spring, April 2009)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple stakes-placed at two (4-1-1-1, $68,510, all races at two, 1-3 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   23-118 (19%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Placed sprinting at two (2-0-1-1, $6,565, all races sprinting on the main track at two, cost $15,000 as short yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  3 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 3 main track sprint runners, 1 main track sprint winner, 0 wet runners
TRAINER INFORMATION:  3-36 (8%, $0.49 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in maiden claiming dirt sprints (0-10 at Saratoga)
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  Worked 1 furlong in 10.1 prior to the April auction

Analysis:
CIMINELLA didn't get it going until too late in her main track debut at Belmont on July 18, but may work out a nice trip stalking the pacesetters from the outside. 
OLIVE EYE took all the money for her career debut, but faltered after pressing the issue.  She seems to have a bit more early zip that the top pick, and can improve off the debut try. 
GRAND DECISION takes the biggest drop in the game for Mr. Jerkens after racing wide over an inside-favoring main track at Belmont on July 15.  She wouldn't be a surprise with normal second-out improvement. 
ECONOMIC TSUNAMI was bet hard for her career debut here 13 days ago, and she went very fast early before succumbing in the final strides.  She looks like the one to catch once again.
LUCY N THUNDER ran well to finish just behind Economic Tsunami in her career debut, and this barn does better second-out than with debut runners.  She can threaten in a wide-open event.  KAFFIE'S DOLL pressed Economic Tsunami to no avail in the career debut, and figures to be chasing that one again in this spot.  RED ZINN provides depth for the entry.  MYWIFENOSEVRYTHING may need one.

Selections: 
1.  Ciminella  2.  Olive Eye  3.  Grand Decision

The Play: 
Ciminella (part of entry) to Win at 2-1 odds or better

***

Race 5
6 Furlongs
Maiden Claiming ($50,000)
2-year-old fillies (New York Breds)
Purse $28,000

1.  HEAR HER ROAR (Roaring Fever - My Girl Natalie, by Prosper Fager)
TRAINER:  Frank Martin
JOCKEY:  Mike Luzzi
DATE FOALED:    March 7, 2007
AUCTION:   $3,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Open, August 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Stakes-winner (19-4-4-4, $219,655, 1-4 at two, 3-9 in main track sprints, 1-2 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   7-67 (10%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Route winner (48-3-6-7, $200,972, 0-6 at two, 0-5 in main track sprints, 2-9 in wet)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  This is first starter
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  GALACTIC (half-brother, stakes-placed, 49-4-4-14, $233,473, 0-3 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 2-6 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  0-4 over the past five years with juvenile runners dropping from maiden special weights in dirt sprints

2.  MYRTLE'S GRAY (Oratory - Trustees Gray, by Flying Chevron)
TRAINER:  Wesley Ward
JOCKEY:  Jesus Castanon
DATE FOALED:      April 11, 2007
AUCTION:   $1,000 weanling (New York Mixed, October 2007); $3,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select, October 2008); $37,000 RNA juvenile (OBS Spring, April 2009)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 2 route winner (5-3-2-0, $189,000, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   1-10 (10%, $0.70 ROI) with juvenile debut runners (first crop)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Winner (19-5-1-1, $102,269, 2-5 at two, won debut, 2-10 in main track sprints, 2-4 in wet, cost $14,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  3 runners, 3 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners, 3 main track sprint winners, 3 wet runners, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:   CUTE CABOOSE (half-sister, multiple stakes-placed, 15-3-1-4, $31,927, 2-4 at two, 2-11 in main track sprints); VICKI VALLENCOURT (half-sister, multiple stakes-winning sprinter, 27-6-5-2, $356,014, 3-5 at two, won debut, 6-23 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  0 debut winners as a broodmare sire in 2009
TRAINER INFORMATION:  16-50 (32%, $1.53 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden claiming dirt sprints (0-3 at Saratoga); 14-47 (30%, $1.78 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (13 juvenile debut winners, 1 ridden by Jesus Castanon, all winners with Lasix, 5 winners in maiden claimers, 13 winners with blinkers)
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  Worked 1 furlong in 10.2 prior to the April auction

3.  ROARING BELLE (Roaring Fever - Bellebottom Blues, by Cure the Blues)
TRAINER:  William Badgett Jr.
JOCKEY:  Alan Garcia
DATE FOALED:      May 9, 2007
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:  ONE TOUGH BELLE (half-sister, stakes-placed sprinter at two, 27-6-3-4, $246,677, 1-4 at two, won debut, 6-24 in main track sprints, 0-5 in wet)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Stakes-winner (19-4-4-4, $219,655, 1-4 at two, won debut, 3-9 in main track sprints, 1-2 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:     1-23 (4%) with juvenile debut runners; 1-22 (5%, $0.72 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (older winner)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Placed routing (9-0-3-1, $32,800, 0-1 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  4 runners, 4 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners, 1 juvenile debut winner, 4 main track sprint runners, 3 main track sprint winners, 4 wet runners, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  SMART COUPONS (half-brother, Grade 3 route winner, 53-10-8-11, $529,910, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-6 in wet); THERESA THE TEACHA (full sister, Grade 3 winner, 21-5-7-1, $217,378, 0-2 at two, 1-9 in main track sprints, 0-2 in wet)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  2-47 (4%, $0.46 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (1 juvenile debut winner)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  0-4 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden claiming dirt sprints (0-2 at Saratoga); 0-2 with all debut runners in 2009
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  June 4, June 8, June 23, June 29 workouts matches barn's juvenile MOST HAPPY FELLA (finished second in career debut at Belmont on July 9 with 80 Beyer)

4. ROGUE'S JEWEL (Broken Vow - Dancing Blues, by Cure the Blues)
TRAINER:  Carlos Martin
JOCKEY:  Javier Castellano
DATE FOALED:   April 3, 2007
AUCTION:   Withdrawn weanling (Keeneland, November 2007); $60,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred, August 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 2 route winner (14-9-2-2, $725,296, unraced at two, 1-2 in main track sprints, 2-3 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   78-546 (14%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Multiple stakes-placed (23-3-2-5, $166,614, 2-6 at two, 3-18 in main track sprints, 0-2 in wet, cost $25,000 as juvenile)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  2 runners, 0 winners, 1 juvenile runner, 2 main track sprint runners, 2 wet runners
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  THE NAME WAS GONE (half-sister, multiple stakes-placed, 14-4-1-2, $183,680, 1-2 at two, 4-12 in main track sprints, 0-2 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  1-4 (25%, $1.40 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles dropping from maiden special weights in dirt sprints (1-1, 100%, $5.60 ROI at Saratoga)

5.  LIVIN WELL BABE (Well Noted - Distinctive Livin, by Distinctive Pro)
TRAINER:  Richard Dutrow Jr.
JOCKEY:  Edgar Prado
DATE FOALED:      June 7, 2007
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 3 winner (39-8-7-9, $448,195, 2-5 at two, 1-6 in main track sprints, 2-10 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD: 0-13 with juvenile debut runners;   0 debut winners in 2009
DAM RACE RECORD:   Placed sprinting (7-0-0-3, $11,158, 0-1 at two, 0-6 in main track sprints, 0-2 in wet, cost $70,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  This is first starter
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  RUBLES (half-sister, stakes-placed router, 15-2-5-2, $96,978, 1-6 at two, 1-9 in main track sprints, 0-3 in wet); OLIVE FLU (half-brother, multiple stakes-placed, 20-3-7-2, $185,320, 0-1 at two, 2-8 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet); FLAG PIN (half-sister, stakes-winner, 6-3-0-1, $97,436, unraced at two, 1-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  4-27 (15%, $1.56 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (3 juvenile debut winners)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  2-14 (14%, $1.97 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden claiming dirt sprints (1-3, 33%, $2.69 ROI at Saratoga); 4-16 (25%, $2.87 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (2 juvenile debut winners, 1 in maiden claimer, 3 winners with Lasix)
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  July 13 workout went .05 slower than barn's three-year-old filly MARY'S FOLLIES (finished second in the Grade 3 Lake George Stakes on July 31 with 86 Beyer)

6.  DREAM TRAIN (Polish Miner - Empress Eugenie, by Best of Luck)
TRAINER:  H. Allen Jerkens
JOCKEY:  Jose Lezcano
DATE FOALED:   June 9, 2007
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 2-placed (30-4-9-4, $344,646, 1-6 at two, 0-4 in main track sprints, 1-6 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   18-145 (12%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Placed sprinting at two (5-0-0-1, $8,774, all races sprinting on the main track at two, 0-1 in wet)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  This is first starter
TRAINER INFORMATION:  1-12 (8%, $0.48 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles dropping from maiden special weights in dirt sprints (0-2 at Saratoga)

7.  BOBBI O. (Prime Timber - Sweeping Beauty, by End Sweep)
TRAINER:  Kenneth McPeek
JOCKEY:  Robby Albarado
DATE FOALED:      April 21, 2007
SIRE RACE RECORD:  Grade 2 route winner (17-4-4-0, $621,238, 2-3 at two, won debut, 2-5 in main track sprints)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:  7-62 (11%) with juvenile debut runners;  2-13 (15%, $2.75 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (both juvenile debut winners)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Sprint winner (29-1-8-3, $33,465, 0-5 at two, 1-28 in main track sprints, 0-8 in wet, cost $21,000 as weanling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  1 runner, 1 winner, 0 juvenile runners, 1 main track sprint winner, 1 mud runner, 0 mud winners
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  CAROLS INHERITANCE (half-sister, multiple stakes-placed, 45-6-10-4, $135,277, 1-9 at two, won debut, 5-26 in main track sprints, 0-7 in wet); STUTEOUSLY (half-sister, multiple stakes-placed at two, 44-3-9-11, $69,770, 0-10 at two, 3-37 in main track sprints, 0-1 in wet); REISSAURAUS (half-sister, multiple stakes-winning sprinter, 31-5-7-3, $111,910, 2-7 at two, 5-30 in main track sprints, 0-3 in wet); GO COUNTRY (half-brother, multiple stakes-placed in Panama)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  3-28 (11%, $1.62 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (2 juvenile debut winners)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  2-13 (15%, $0.93 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden claiming dirt sprints; 9-54 (17%) with all debut runners in 2009 (4 juvenile debut winners, 1 at this meet, 3 winners in maiden claimers, 3 winners with Robby Albarado aboard)
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  August 1 workout matches barn's juvenile filly BONITA DONITA (finished fifth in career debut at Saratoga on August 16 with 35 Beyer); August 7 workout matches barn's juvenile filly HOUSE OF GRACE (finished first in career debut on turf at Saratoga on August 19 with ?? Beyer)

8.  SMOKE AFTER SIX (Smoke Glacken - Berkshire Princess, by Cherokee Run)
TRAINER:  Gary Contessa
JOCKEY:  Jorge Chavez
DATE FOALED:   April 24, 2007
AUCTION:   $32,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred, August 2008); $72,000 RNA juvenile (OBS Select, February 2009)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 1 sprint winner at two (14-10-2-1, $759,560, 4-6 at two, 9-10 in main track sprints, 2-3 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   172-960 (18%) with juvenile runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Placed (24-0-2-4, $28,544, 0-7 at two, 0-20 in main track sprints, 0-6 in wet, cost $46,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  This is first starter
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  DOC N ROLL (half-brother, stakes-winner on turf, 12-3-2-1, $151,607, 0-1 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  4-23 (17%, $0.70 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners dropping from maiden special weights in dirt sprints (0-6 at Saratoga)
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  Worked 2 furlongs in 21.0 prior to the February auction.

Analysis: 
LIVIN WELL BABE is by a sire that is still seeking his first debut winner in North America (0-33 lifetime), but trainer Richard Dutrow Jr. sent out a live juvenile debut runner on the turf last week, and this late filly (June foal) has been working right along at Aqueduct.  She probably doesn't need to be a star to win this statebred maiden claimer. 
ROARING BELLE should be ready to go as she's been in steady training since mid-May, and several of those Belmont works look very interesting.  Trainer Billy Badgett has been on fire at this meet, and Roaring Belle might offer a hint of value. 
DREAM TRAIN improved in her second lifetime start, but one has to wonder if it was natural progression or the sloppy track that helped move her forward. She drops out of the special weight ranks, and looks like the one to beat. 
ROGUE'S JEWEL finished behind Dream Train in career debut, but this barn excels with second-time starters.  Expect improvement.
HEAR HER ROAR hasn't done much thus far, but the drop in class could possibly lead to a better showing.  SMOKE AFTER SIX has broken poorly in both career starts, and can't afford another tardy beginning.  MYRTLE'S GRAY shows a bullet work for dynamite first-out barn, and wouldn't be a surprise.  BOBBI O. is bred for speed on both sides of the pedigree, and trainer Ken McPeek sent out a bomber to win first-out yesterday.

Selections: 
1.  Livin Well Babe  2.  Roaring Belle  3.  Dream Train

The Play:
Livin Well Babe to Win and Place at 6-1 odds or higher

***

Race 7
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight (New York Breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $45,000

1.  CAMPTOWN BLUES (Forest Camp - Capote's Tune, by Capote)
TRAINER:  Gary Contessa
JOCKEY:  Jorge Chavez
DATE FOALED:      April 9, 2007
AUCTION:   Withdrawn weanling (Fasig-Tipton Fall, November 2007); $27,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred, August 2008); Withdrawn juvenile (OBS Open, March 2009); Withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Spring, May 2009)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 2 winner at two (11-4-2-0, $339,984, 2-4 at two, 1-1 on turf)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   59-405 (15%) with juvenile runners; 31-307 (10%) with turf runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Placed on turf (11-0-0-3, $9,781, unraced at two, 0-7 on turf)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD: 3 runners, 1 winner, 2 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners, 3 turf runners, 0 turf winners, 1 wet runner, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  PARISIAN FLIGHT (half-sister, Grade 2 sprint winner, 43-14-10-6, $535,833, 2-7 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-5 in wet); CONCORDE'S TUNE (half-brother, multiple stakes-winner, 28-12-4-4, $242,585, 1-2 at two, 3-8 on turf, 2-5 in wet);  BROADWAY TUNE (half-brother, multiple stakes-placed, 26-4-4-4, $99,653, unraced at two, 1-9 on turf, 0-1 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  1-3 (33%, $30.00 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners on turf in first route attempt off 31-60 day layoff

1a.  FORTUNATE RUN (Cherokee Run - Hope's Ahead, by Alwuhush)
TRAINER:  Gary Contessa
JOCKEY:  Mike Luzzi
DATE FOALED:    May 10, 2007
AUCTION:   Withdrawn short yearling (Keeneland, January 2008); $70,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred, August 2008); $50,000 juvenile (OBS Open, March 2009); Withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Spring, May 2009)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 1 sprint winner (28-13-5-5, $1,531,818, 5-7 at two, won debut, unraced on turf, 4-6 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   29-327 (9%) with juvenile debut runners; 30-279 (11%) with first-turf runners; 4-26 (15%, $1.03 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (1 juvenile debut winner)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Turf winner (11-1-1-2, $31,020, 0-2 at two, 1-10 on turf, cost $25,000 as short yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:   5 runners, 2 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 4 turf runners, 1 turf winner, 2 wet runners, 0 wet winners
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  SPELLBOUND (half-sister, Grade 1 winner, 39-6-9-8, $334,348, 0-2 at two, 5-23 on turf, first-turf winner, 0-2 in wet); DAIWA WEST (half-brother, multiple stakes-placed in Japan)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  2-10 (20%, $1.66 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (both juvenile debut winners)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  0-10 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in turf routes (0-3 at Saratoga); 1-38 (3%) with all debut runners in 2009 (older winner with Lasix)
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  Worked 1 furlong in 10.1 prior to the March auction; June 14 workout matches barn's juvenile HIGHLY DISCREET (finished fifth in career debut on dirt at Delaware Park on July 5 with 24 Beyer, 34 Beyer top, unraced on turf); June 20, June 27 workouts match barn's juvenile MEMUNEH (finished sixth in career debut on dirt at Belmon on July 2 with 51 Beyer, unraced on turf); June 20 workout matches barn's juvenile HOLY EGO (finished seventh in career debut on dirt at Belmont on June 25 with 13 Beyer, unraced on turf); July 5 workout matches barn's juvenile filly LUCY N THUNDER (finished third in career debut on dirt at Saratoga in $50,000 maiden claimer on August 7 with 38 Beyer, unraced on turf, entered in second race)

2.  PAYING ATTENTION (Mayakovsky - That's Ravishing, by Big Spruce)
TRAINER:  Scott Schwartz
JOCKEY:  Jesus Castanon
DATE FOALED:      April 29, 2007
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:  THAT BELONGS TO ME (half-sister, multiple stakes-placed, 57-11-8-10, $161,189, 0-7 at two, 4-14 on turf, 1-11 in wet); PAY ATTENTION (half-brother, multiple stakes-placed router, 74-12-8-11, $510,734, 1-5 at two, 0-3 on turf, 1-9 in wet)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 3 route winner (9-3-1-0, $275,200, 1-2 at two, 1-3 on turf, first-turf winner)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   8-88 (9%) with juvenile runners, 2-23 (9%) with first-turf runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Route winner (38-2-5-5, $80,470, 0-3 at two, 0-6 on turf, 0-5 in wet)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  9 runners, 6 winners, 8 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners, 4 turf runners, 1 first-turf winner, 7 wet runners, 3 wet winners
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  Third dam is BONNIE EMPRESS (Grade 3-placed at two, 20-2-3-2, $33,625)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  0-3 over the past five years with second-time juvenile switching to dirt, and stretching out from sprints (0-2 at Saratoga)

2b.  ROBIN WOKE UP (Woke Up Dreamin - That's a Take, by Take Me Out)
TRAINER:  Scott Schwartz
JOCKEY:  Jesus Castanon
DATE FOALED:      February 22, 2007
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:   THAT'S RICH (half-brother, stakes-placed sprinter, 10-2-0-2, $80,428, 1-2 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-4 in wet)
SIRE RACE RECORD:  Multiple Grade 2 sprint winner (16-6-1-3, $578,475, 1-4 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   3-24 (13%) with juvenile runners (first crop); 0-3 with turf runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Sprint winner at two (5-2-0-0, $51,698, all races at two, unraced on turf, 1-1 in wet)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  6 runners, 4 winners, 5 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 4 turf runners, 0 turf winners, 5 wet runners, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  THAT BELONGS TO ME (half-sister, multiple stakes-placed, 57-11-8-10, $161,189, 0-7 at two, 4-14 on turf, 1-11 in wet); PAY ATTENTION (half-brother, multiple stakes-placed router, 74-12-8-11, $510,734, 1-5 at two, 0-3 on turf, 1-9 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  0-3 over the past five years with second-time juveniles stretching out from sprints on turf (0-2 at Saratoga)

3.  GOLLY DAY (Lion Heart - Wake Up Kiss, by Cure the Blues)
TRAINER:  George Weaver
JOCKEY:  Javier Castellano
DATE FOALED:      April 4, 2007
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:   A SHIN FORWARD (half-brother, multiple stakes-placed on turf in Japan, 11-2-2-0, $497,659, 2-3 at two, won debut, 2-9 on turf, first-turf winner)
AUCTION:   $125,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select, August 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 1 winner (10-5-3-0, $1,390,800, 3-3 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   11-92 (12%) with juvenile debut runners; 4-47 (9%) with first-turf runners; 7-59 (12%, $1.23 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (1 juvenile debut winner at this meet, 1 older winner on turf)
NICKING INFORMATION:  AZUL LEON (Grade 2 sprint winner at two, 9-3-1-0, $234,900, 3-7 at two, won debut, 0-1 on turf)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Multiple stakes-winner on turf (10-5-0-1, $248,997, unraced at two, 5-7 on turf, first-turf winner, 0-1 in wet, cost $150,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:   1 runner, 1 winner, 1 juvenile debut winner, 1 first-turf winner, 0 wet runners
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  PEARLY WHITE (half-sister, multiple stakes-placed, 17-5-5-3, $177,684, unraced at two, 1-5 on turf, 1-1 in wet); MORNING GALLOP (half-sister, multiple stakes-placed, 39-5-8-6, $299,695, 0-4 at two, 0-3 on turf, 1-7 in wet)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  2-47 (4%, $0.46 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (1 juvenile debut winner, 1 older winner on turf)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  1-21 (5%, $0.49 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in turf routes (0-11 at Saratoga); 3-26 (12%, $0.79 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (1 juvenile debut winner, 2 older winners with Lasix)
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  July 5 workout went .02 faster than barn's four-year-old filly MANITOBA MISS (85 Beyer top on dirt, 79 on turf)


3x.  NEVERSAYWHEN (Chief Seattle - Grand Tomorrow, by Dixieland Heat)
TRAINER:  George Weaver
JOCKEY:  John Velazquez
DATE FOALED:      March 17, 2007
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:
AUCTION:   $17,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred, August 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 1-placed router at two (4-1-2-0, $327,000, all races at two, won debut, unraced on turf)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   14-117 (12%) with juvenile debut runners; 14-129 (11%) with first-turf runners; 4-14 (29%, $8.59 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (all older winners, 1 winner on turf)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Unplaced (4-0-0-0, $750, unraced at two, unraced on turf, 0-2 in wet)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  This is first starter
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  WOODEN WAGON (half-brother, multiple stakes-winner, 59-13-6-5, $326,274, 3-8 at two, 7-26 on turf, 2-7 in wet)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  1-7 (14%, $2.34 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (older winner)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  1-21 (5%, $0.49 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in turf routes (0-11 at Saratoga); 3-26 (12%, $0.79 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (1 juvenile debut winner, 2 older winners with Lasix)

4.  SMOOTH TRANSITION (Giant's Causeway - French Manicure, by Hawkster)
TRAINER:  Carlos Martin
JOCKEY:  Edgar Prado
DATE FOALED:      March 15, 2007
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:  FRENCH TRANSITION (full brother, stakes-placed router, 37-4-2-1, $181,049, 0-3 at two, 1-7 on turf, 1-5 in wet)
SIRE RACE RECORD:  Multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Europe (13-9-4-0, $3,078,989, 3-3 at two, 9-12 on turf)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   43-321 (13%) with juvenile runners; 208-1253 (17%) with turf runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Turf winner (10-1-1-2, $47,830, 0-3 at two, 1-8 on turf, cost $15,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  4 runners, 2 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners, 4 turf runners, 2 turf winners, 2 wet runners, 1 wet winner
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:   EXPENSIVE ISSUE (half-sister, stakes-winning sprinter, 17-5-4-1, $151,605, 2-4 at two, 0-1 on turf)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  1-2 (50%, $1.95 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles stretching out to routes on turf (both races at Saratoga)

5.  MIDNIGHT MASS (Congaree - Tuesday Prayer, by Holy Bull)
TRAINER:  John Terranova II
JOCKEY:  Kent Desormeaux
DATE FOALED:      February 20, 2007
AUCTION:   $9,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred, August 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Multiple Grade 1 winner (25-12-2-4, $3,267,490, 0-1 at two, 0-1 on turf, 2-5 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   4-48 (8%) with juvenile debut runners; 4-31 (13%) with first-turf runners; 1-32 (3%, $0.25 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (older winner)
DAM RACE RECORD:   Stakes-placed on turf (10-2-1-3, $79,130, 0-2 at two, 1-6 on turf, cost $17,000 as juvenile)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD: This is first starter
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  Female family of HEART OF GROOM (multiple Group 3 winner on turf in Italy)
BROODMARE SIRE INFORMATION:  7-42 (17%, $4.26 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (3 juvenile debut winners, 1 on turf)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  This is trainer's first juvenile debut runner in turf route over the past five years
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  June 23 workout went .02 slower than barn's juvenile REIN KING (finished third in career debut on dirt at Saratoga on August 9 with 56 Beyer, unraced on turf); July 11 workout went .01 slower than REIN KING; July 19 workout went .02 faster than REIN KING; August 2 workout matches REIN KING

6.  SUPREME SERENE (More Than Ready - Serene Ditty, by Unbridled's Song)
TRAINER:  Philip Serpe
JOCKEY:  Rajiv Maragh
DATE FOALED:      April 27, 2007
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 1 sprint winner (17-7-4-1, $1,026,229, 5-7 at two, unraced on turf)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   107-714 (15%) with juvenile runners; 37-242 (15%) with first-turf runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Route winner (12-1-3-1, $51,130, unraced at two, 0-3 on turf, 0-2 in wet, cost $155,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  5 runners, 1 winner, 2 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners, 4 turf runners, 1 turf winner, 2 wet runners, 0 wet winners
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  MUTAAHAB (half-brother, Group 2 winner on turf at two in England); COVERING GROUND (half-brother, stakes-winner, 27-3-2-1, $77,109, 0-3 at two, 1-13 on turf, 0-2 in wet); COURTLY JAZZ (half-brother, stakes-winning router, 37-4-4-6, $260,385, 0-2 at two, 0-14 on turf, 1-1 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  0-1 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix and blinkers while stretching out in distance and switching to turf (ran at Saratoga)
NOTABLE WORKOUT INFORMATION:  August 2 workout matches barn's juvenile ALL ZIPPED UP (finished fourth in career debut on turf at Saratoga on August 6 with 54 Beyer); August 2 workout matches barn's juvenile filly MSJERSEYROULETTE (finished first in career debut in $50,000 maiden claimer on dirt at Saratoga on August 7 with 40 Beyer, unraced on turf)

8.  MOST HAPPY FELLA (Ecton Park - Doyenne, by Deputy Minister)
TRAINER:  William Badgett Jr.
JOCKEY:  Alan Garcia
DATE FOALED:    February 26, 2007
BLACKTYPE SIBLINGS:  TIME'S MISTRESS (half-sister, Grade 3 winner, 16-5-0-4, $260,581, 2-5 at two, unraced on turf, 0-2 in wet)
AUCTION:   $25,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred, August 2008)
SIRE RACE RECORD:   Grade 1 route winner (23-6-4-6, $1,503,825, 1-2 at two, unraced on turf, 2-5 in wet)
SIRE PRODUCE RECORD:   46-387 (12%) with juvenile runners; 5-67 (7%) with first-turf runners
DAM RACE RECORD:   Sprint winner (10-1-1-0, $34,310, 1-4 at two, 0-6 on turf, 1-2 in wet, cost $150,000 as yearling)
DAM PRODUCE RECORD:  5 runners, 2 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 3 turf runners, 0 turf winners, 3 wet runners, 0 wet winners
DAM SIBLING INFORMATION:  PERFECT COPY (full sister, Grade 3-placed on turf, 13-3-1-3, $123,383, unraced at two, all races on grass); STEALIN' KISSES (half-sister, Grade 3-placed on turf, 23-2-2-2, $95,144, 0-2 at two, 1-11 on turf, 0-2 in wet)
TRAINER INFORMATION:  1-5 (20%, $13.50 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners making first start on turf in route race

Analysis:
MIDNIGHT MASS is out of a dam that put up a 91 Beyer Speed Figure over yielding turf in her career, and his sire was a versatile sort that shows good numbers with turf performers.  His frequent workmate, Rein King, finished third in his debut earlier in the meet.
GOLLY DAY shows some interesting workouts leading up to his career debut, and the dam earned a 95 Beyer winning the 2003 Yaddo Handicap at the Spa.  A $125,000 yearling purchase, Golly Day may have found a nice spot for his unveiling. 
CAMPTOWN BLUES had to alter course from the rail to the three path in the midstretch of his turf debut, and that may have stopped his momentum somewhat.  He draws a strong inside post position, and should save valuable ground.  Those two sprints should have him legged up for a good performance.
SUPREME SERENE gets the Lasix and blinkers makeover after chasing quick fractions on dirt.  Expect a forward move for barn that does better with second-time starters than with firsters.
SMOOTH TRANSITION took all the money for his career debut, and you can safely throw the race out as Edgar Prado lost his irons coming out of the gate.  He is bred to go long, and may prove the one to beat.  ROBIN WOKE UP finished far behind Camptown Blues in his debut.  FORTUNATE RUN blew out in 34 and change for this, and adds depth to the Contessa coupling.  NEVERSAYWHEN shows a three week gap in the worktab, but attracts John Velazquez.  MOST HAPPY FELLA finished ahead of Supreme Serene on dirt, and then had a poor break as the chalk 17 days ago.  Expect better, but he must avoid a wide trip from far outside post.  PAYING ATTENTION may be in just a bit steep.

Selections:
1.  Midnight Mass  2.  Golly Day  3.  Camptown Blues

The Play:
Midnight Mass to Win at 7-2 odds or higher

***

Race 9
6 1/2 Furlongs
Saratoga Special (Grade 2)
2-year-olds
Purse $150,000

Analysis:
FEARLESS COWBOY is the lone multi-winner in the Saratoga Special, and he was privately purchased after a tenacious and gritty score in the Colin Stakes at Woodbine.  The son of El Corredor has good tactical speed, draws outside a plethora of early-types, and may work out a trouble-free stalking trip. 
D'FUNNYBONE was also purchased privately, and is now under the care of high-percentage trainer Richard Dutrow Jr.  D'Funnybone has good early zip, but doesn't seem like a need-the-lead type.  Expect him to be prominent when they swing into the stretch.
ZIP QUIK was bred in New York, but began his career in Southern California for trainer Pat Biancone.  He'll add Lasix for the first time this afternoon, and shows several quick workouts in preparation for this heat.  He should benefit from a contested pace up front, and can be running late at a solid mutuel.  Like the top selection, he'll have to prove his mettle on dirt. 
FLATTER THAN ME missed the Sanford three weeks ago after reportedly spiking a fever, but he blitzed five furlongs in 58 and change the other day, and that work signals he may be over his illness.  He gave the undefeated Backtalk a battle in the Bashford Manor, and this barn has been sending out live runners at the meet. 
INSIGHTFUL steps up off an upset maiden win in an off-the-turf contest at Belmont.  Trainer Barclay Tagg is having a wonderful meet, but his charge is facing much tougher.  THISKYHASNOLIMIT has tons of natural talent, but is saddled with a difficult inside post with other speed horses drawn to the outside.  TINY WOODS just lasted going gate-to-wire at Del Mar for Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert, and should be on the pace once again here.  CHINA must stretch out two furlongs, and hasn't raced since April, but the Tale of the Cat colt looks like a quick one, and should be a forward factor at the very least.  ACTIVITY REPORT tired badly in the Sanford, and another duel would likely doom him to a similar placing.

Selections:
1.  Fearless Cowboy  2.  D'Funnybone  3.  Zip Quik

The Play:
Fearless Cowboy to Win and Place at 9-2 odds or greater


Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 34-6-17 (+ $8.50)