08/16/2008 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/18

Email

Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet. Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Sunday's results:
Race 2: Barbadillo finished seventh
Race 4: Stomp finished second
Race 5: Symbol finished sixth

Monday, August 18, 2008

Race 2
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (NY-Breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $56,000

1. Well Meant (Intidab - Alytazm, by Alydeed)
Trainer: Joseph Aquilino
- Foaled March 27, 2006
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner (36-7-12-5, $531,221, 0-2 at two in England, 6-30 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 3-19 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-8 (13%, $1.17 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, all races in main track sprints, cost $15,000 as a yearling)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, one main track sprint runner, one main track sprint winner, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- Alydeed is 1-26 (4%, $0.24 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- trainer is 0-40 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-15 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-3 with all debut runners in 2008
- July 4, July 12, July 20, August 8 workouts match barn's juvenile filly Peace Baby Peace (finished twelfth in career debut at Saratoga in $50,000 maiden claimer on August 13 with 0 Beyer)

2. Gold Prospect (Goldminers Gold - Splashing Fancy, by Bucksplasher)
Trainer: Enrique Arroyo
- Foaled April 27, 2006
- $40,000 juvenile (OBS Spring April 2008)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-winning router Shuffling Maddnes (30-5-8-5, $394,617, 0-1 at two, unraced in main track sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (11-5-4-0, $205,109, 0-1 at two, all races in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 4-29 with juvenile runners
- dam was a multiple stakes-winner (11-4-2-2, $119,430, 1-2 at two, 3-8 in main track sprints, cost $19,000 as a yearling and $25,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has six runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, five main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, three mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Sal Bruno (19-5-3-4, $121,959, 1-3 at two, 4-10 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 1-7 (14%, $8.64 ROI) over the past five years with all juvenile runners
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with all juvenile runners at Saratoga
- worked one furlong in 10.2 prior to the April sale

3. Head Heart Hoof (Intidab - Trustees Gray, by Flying Chevron)
Trainer: Seth Benzel
- Foaled March 30, 2006
- $19,000 weanling (New York Mixed October 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner (36-7-12-5, $531,221, 0-2 at two in England, 6-30 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 3-19 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-8 (13%, $1.17 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
- dam was a winner (19-5-1-1, $103,269, 2-5 at two, 2-10 in main track sprints, 2-4 in mud/slop, cost $14,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, two main track sprint runners, two main track sprint winners, two mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- Flying Chevron is 1-4 (25%, $2.20 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Cute Caboose (15-3-1-4, $31,927, 2-4 at two, 2-11 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winning sprinter Vicki Vallencourt (27-6-5-2, $356,014, 3-5 at two, won debut, 6-23 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-4 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2=3 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-2=3 with all debut runners in 2008
- July 3 workout matches barn's juvenile Telemachus (finished fifth in career debut at Saratoga on August 17 with 49 Beyer)
- August 10 workout went .01 faster than Telemachus

4. Tall Poppi (Intidab - Jupiter Hollow, by Salt Lake)
Trainer: Barclay Tagg
- Foaled March 14, 2006
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner (36-7-12-5, $531,221, 0-2 at two in England, 6-30 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 12-57 (21%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (8-1-3-0, $20,850, unraced at two, all races in main track sprints, sold for $120,000 as a yearling and $50,000 as juvenile)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 route winner Antrim Rd. (16-5-4-1, $437,888, 2-6 at two, 3-8 in main track sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 5-48 (10%, $1.16 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-10 over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

5. Pazzesco (Mayakovsky - Tu Z Potts, by Gold Case)
Trainer: Del Carroll II
- Foaled February 19, 2006
- $14,000 RNA (OBS Spring April 2008)
- sire was a Grade 3 route winner (9-3-1-0, $275,200, 1-2 at two, 1-4 in main track sprints)
- sire is 4-39 (10%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (18-5-0-0, $123,752, unraced at two, 5-17 in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop, cost $11,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Basic Concern (45-5-5-5, $126,204, 0-3 at two, 5-32 in main track sprints, 0-7 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed New York Gold (39-11-8-5, $157,676, unraced at two, 4-23 in main track sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time starters adding blinkers
- worked one furlong in 10.3 prior to the April sale

6. Freudian Storm (Freud - Valid Dorothy, by Valid Appeal)
Trainer: Gary Contessa
- Foaled March 25, 2006
- $5,000 weanling (New York Mixed October 2006)
- $15,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select October 2007)
- $80,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Spring May 2008)
- sire was Group 2-placed on turf in Ireland (12-1-2-1, $44,016, 0-3 at two, all races on grass)
- sire is 12-75 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-16 (13%, $0.56 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both juvenile debut winners)
- dam was a stakes-placed router (13-3-1-3, $105,941, unraced at two, 1-4 in main track sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop, cost $50,000 as a yearling)
- dam has four runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, four main track sprint runners, three main track sprint winners, three mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- Valid Appeal is 4-46 (9%, $0.80 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (all juvenile debut winners, one at this meet)
- trainer is 14-167 (8%, $1.45 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-49 (4%, $0.44 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 2-45 (4%, $0.51 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both older debut winners with Lasix, one with front bandages, one with Rajiv Maragh aboard)
- worked a quarter mile in 21.4 prior to the May sale

7. Aoja (Lion Heart - Mandy Jud, by Judge T C)
Trainer: Patrick Kelly
-Foaled March 20, 2006
- $15,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2007)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (10-5-3-0, $1,390,800, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 14-50 (28%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was a winner (33-8-2-8, $92,415, 1-5 at two, 2-17 in main track sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- dam a full sister to multiple Grade 3 winner The Judge Sez Who (36-8-6-6, $953,059, 4-9 at two, 5-7 in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-32 over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-8 over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

Analysis:
TALL POPPI broke a half-length slow in his debut, and then was outsprinted in the early portion of the race. She found her best stride while saving ground on the turn, however, and finished well after angling to the outside in upper stretch. The favored winner of that event, Cribnote, received a 90 Beyer for her dominant victory, and Tall Poppi may not be facing any Cribnotes in here.
FREUDIAN STORM worked quickly before being sold for $80,000 earlier this year, and shows a bullet drill at Oklahoma. AOJA seemed unsure of himself in the early stages of his debut, but rallied nicely for the place. He should move forward off that performance. GOLD PROSPECT and PAZZESCO both add blinkers after even efforts, and may show more early zip. HEAD HEART HOOF and WELL MEANT both may need a start.

Selections:
1. Tall Poppi
2. Freudian Storm
3. Aoja

The Play:
Tall Poppi - Freudian Storm Exacta
Tall Poppi - Aoja Exacta

Meet Record: 47-10-22 (+ $86.10)