08/13/2007 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/15

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Monday’s result: Ready to Dream finished fourth

First week recap: A combination of mediocre handicapping and conservative betting led to a small loss. Time to get back in the black.: 9-2-4 (-$5.80)

Second week recap: Hideous handicapping put me further behind. It only takes one winner to turn things around, however, and there are three more chances on Wednesday alone. Let’s get back on track: 19-2-7 (-$15.80)

Third week recap: A couple of chalky winners, and a longshot runner-up got the confidence back somewhat. 27-5-12 (-$14.40)

Wednesday, August 15, 2007
Race 2
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York Breds)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $56,000

1. Happening (Hook and Ladder – Timely Irony, by Iron)
Trainer: Ramon Hernandez
- Foaled Feburary 16, 2005
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (19-6-2-3, $388,120, 1-1 at two, 6-18 in dirt sprints)
- first-crop sire is 5-14 (36%) with juvenile debut runners
- all of sire’s debut winners this year came in sprints, one at this meet, three in statebred maiden special weights
- dam was multiple stakes-placed (43-6-10-3, $176,246, 2-5 at two, won debut, 5-32 in dirt sprints, 0-5 in mud/slop, cost $8,700 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first foal
- dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Perfect to a Tee (70-16-10-18, $585,339, unraced at two, 3-12 in dirt sprints, 1-6 in mud/slop), and stakes-placed Times Awasten Pal (46-7-3-14, $97,191, unraced at two, 1-16 in dirt sprints, 0-6 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 7-38 (18%, $3.19 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 4-13 (31%, $5.51 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has one debut winner this year (at this meet in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint with Lasix and front bandages on)
- June 23 workout went .02 slower than barn’s juvenile filly Best Crossing (finished seventh in career debut on August 9 with 9 Beyer)
- June 29 workout went .02 faster than Best Crossing
- June 13 workout matches Best Crossing

2. Winning Punch (Two Punch – Intend to Win, by Housebuster)
Trainer: John Kimmel
- Foaled February 14, 2005
- $60,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
- $145,000 juvenile (OBS February 2007)
- half-sister to Grade 2 sprint winner Josh’s Madelyn (27-8-6-2, $480,309, 0-5 at two, 7-20 in dirt sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- sire was a stakes-winning sprinter (8-4-0-1, $89,795, 1-3 at two, won debut, all races in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 40-343 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has three debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, all in dirt sprints)
- dam was a stakes-placed router (14-4-2-1, $79,869, unraced at two, 4-11 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop, cost $60,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam is a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Gone for Real (15-6-5-1, $173,230, unraced at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop), and juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Crafty Buzz (5-2-0-0, $40,700, all races at two, 2-4 in dirt sprints)
- Housebuster is the broodmare sire of five debut winners this year
- trainer is 16-98 (16%, positive ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-29 (10%) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has three juvenile debut winners this year (two at this meet, one in dirt sprint, all with Lasix)
- worked one furlong in 10.40 prior to the February sale
- June 14, June 23, June 30, July 9, July 21, July 29, August 5 workouts match barn’s juvenile filly Wish Me Success (won debut here on August 12 with 70 Beyer)

3. Fairy Godmother (Victory Gallop – Bewitchingly, by Alydeed)
Trainer: Carlos Martin
- Foaled February 14, 2005
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (17-9-5-1, $3,505,895, 3-5 at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 49-382 (13%) with juvenile runners
- Victory Gallop – Alydeed ‘nick’ produced juvenile route stakes-winner Speedy Deedy (13-3-0-1, $91,674, 2-3 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
- dam was unraced (cost $85,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winner Arctic Enchantress (21-3-3-2, $48,715, 2-7 at two, 1-6 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-winner Thetruthisoutthere (27-5-3-5, $174,798, unraced at two, 4-11 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 5-41 (12%, $0.86 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-5 (20%, $1.12 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

4. Chanced (American Chance – Biddy Mason, by Ogygian)
Trainer: Bruce Levine
- Foaled March 26, 2005
- $14,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (37-10-8-4, $847,977, 3-5 at two, 8-19 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- sire is 16-163 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a winner (38-3-4-4, $94,800, unraced at two, 1-14 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has four runners, two winners, no juvenile runners
- second dam is stakes-winner Kitty Tatch (37-12-8-4, $233,648)
- Ogygian is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 4-44 (9%, $2.49 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-3 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has three older debut winners this year (all in dirt sprints, two in statebred maiden special weight, one with Lasix, one with front wraps, one with Mike Luzzi aboard)

5. Dana Dew (Fusaichi Pegasus – Do Mountain Do, by Mountain Cat)
Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr.
- Foaled February 27, 2005
- $280,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (9-6-2-0, $1,994,400, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 37-196 (19%) with juvenile runners
- dam was placed sprinting at two (3-0-0-1, $2,640, 0-1 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, cost $70,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed juvenile Banshee Winds (15-3-2-4, $106,291, 1-5 at two, 3-12 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud slop, dam of multiple Grade 1 winner Banshee Breeze)
- trainer is 9-24 (38%, $1.79 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix
- trainer is 1-6 (17%, $0.92 ROI) using that angle with Spa Babies

6. Rapprocher (Mayakovsky – Rekindled Romance, by Relaunch
Trainer: Stacy Torelli
- Foaled May 3, 2005
- sire was a Grade 3 route winner (9-3-1-0, $275,200, 1-2 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 0-6 with juvenile runners

- dam was unraced (cost $50,000 as a yearling
- dam has seven runners, five winners, four juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a full sister to stakes-placed Perky Wonder (31-10-2-5, $128,947, 0-2 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 3-6 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-8 (13%, $0.71 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-1 with second-time Spa Babies

7. Desaloot (Desert Warrior – Demaloot’s Girl, by Demaloot Demashoot)
Trainer: James Hartley
- Foaled February 16, 2005
- sire was multiple Grade 3-placed (16-5-1-2, $171,783, 2-8 at two, won debut, 4-11 in dirt sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire is 1-7 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire’s debut winner came sprinting on dirt in maiden claimer at Delaware Park
- dam was multiple stakes-placed (54-6-11-5, $118,259, 1-6 at two, won debut, 6-36 in dirt sprints, 3-11 in mud/slop, cost $11,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first foal
- second dam is a winning half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Banana Suds (46-8-8-7, $75,198, 1-5 at two, 1-17 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop), and stakes-winning router Key to the Keg (6-1-3-1, $29,100, 0-3 at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 4-23 (17%, $4.01 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners

8. Honky Tonk Trick (Phone Trick – Honky Tonk Ballad, by Cure the Blues)
Trainer: Thomas Bush
- Foaled March 16, 2005
- $85,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner (10-9-1-0, $395,112, unraced at two, all races in dirt sprints)
- sire is 67-452 (15%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has three debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, all in dirt sprints, one in statebred maiden special weight at this meet)
- dam was a debut sprint winner (1-1-0-0, $6,720, unraced at two)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner
- dam is a half-sister to stakes-winner Lord Of the Thunder (24-7-4-4, $329,351, 1-2 at two, 1-7 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-placed Fire One Up (6-2-0-3, $86,340, 1-1 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints)
- Cure the Blues is the broodmare sire of four debut winners this year
- trainer is 5-51 (10%, $1.99 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-14 (7%, $2.71 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has three older debut winners this year (two in dirt sprint statebred maiden special weights, all with Lasix, one with front wraps)
- June 3, June 9, June 15, June 27, July 11, July 20 workouts match barn’s juvenile filly Vain Vixen (finished sixth in career debut on August 8 with 3 Beyer)
- June 27 workout went .05 faster than barn’s juvenile Another Gulch (finished sixth in career debut on July 27 with 48 Beyer), and juvenile Alabama’s Jumpin (finished third in career debut on August 11 with 62 Beyer)
- July 4 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Buona Sera (finished third in career debut on July 26 with 66 Beyer)

Analysis:
John Kimmel sent out juvenile debut winner Wish Me Success on Sunday, and juvenile debut winner Remarkable Remy on Monday, and Wish Me Success’ workmate WINNING PUNCH looks very live to kick off the fourth week of the meeting. Winning Punch is bred both sides for speed, and half-sister Josh’s Madelyn has three triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures on her record.
DANA DEW adds Lasix for her second start, and that is a very potent angle for trainer Richard Dutrow Jr. The second- and third-place finishers on July 15 both returned to run third at the Spa. FAIRY GODMOTHER goes out for barn that excels with layoff runners, and she finished just behind next-out Tyro Stakes runner-up Spanky Fischbein (72 Beyer), and Spa maiden runner-up Unity (75 Beyer). Expect more early interest from this one here.
RAPPROCHER finished behind a runaway at Finger Lakes, but four runners from that race came back and failed to graduate at Finger Lakes.

Selections:
1. Winning Punch
2. Dana Dew
3. Fairy Godmother

The play: Winning Punch to win at 5-2 odds or more

Race 5
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $62,000

1. Du Pars (Perfect Mandate – Downtown Grill, by Spectacular Bid)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled April 13, 2005 in California
- half-brother to multiple stakes-winner Mimi’s Cafe (38-7-6-3, $394,327, 1-7 at two, 0-4 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop), and multiple sprint stakes-winner Dee Dee’s Diner (31-11-8-2, $452,192, unraced at two, 11-27 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- sire was stakes-placed at two (2-0-2-0, $22,280, all races sprinting at two)
- sire is 4-24 (17%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has two debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, both in dirt sprints, one in maiden special weight)
- dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt sprint, cost $8,700 as a yearling)
- dam has four runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- second dam an unraced half-sister to stakes-winner Hail the Lady (33-6-6-6, $98,552, 0-2 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop
- Spectacular Bid is the broodmare sire of two debut winners this year
- trainer is 18-198 (9%, $0.96 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-32 with debuting Spa Babies
- July 8 workout matches barn’s juvenile In Orbit (finished third in maiden special weight on July 25 with 61 Beyer)
- July 22 workout matches barn’s juvenile Lord and T. (finished tenth in career debut on July 28 with 38 Beyer)

2. Blood Moon (Yonaguska – Jewel of the East, by Kris S.)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled February 24, 2005 in Maryland)
- withdrawn weanling (Fasig-Tipton December 2005)
$50,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (18-6-1-5, $536,355, 3-7 at two, won debut, 6-15 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 3-75 (4%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has six debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, all sprinting, five on conventional dirt, four in maiden special weights)
- dam was unraced (cost $90,000 as a weanling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Eclipse Bay (5-1-0-2, $54,906, 0-2 at two, all races in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- Kris S. is the broodmare sire of five debut winners this year
- trainer is 89-378 (24%, $1.69 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 22-90 (24%, $1.67 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has 17 debut winners this year (one at this meet, 11 in conventional dirt sprints, 12 in maiden special weight, all with Lasix, nine with John Velazquez aboard, 12 juvenile debut winners)

3. Inner Light (Songandaprayer – Pinta, by Carson City)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled April 16, 2005 in Florida
- $160,000 yearling (OBS August 2006) (***T6th highest priced)
- $650,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- half-brother to Grade 2 route winner Rojo Toro (20-4-3-4, $268,917, 2-2 at two, 3-18 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (8-3-1-1,$380,480, 2-2 at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 11-65 (17%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has four debut winners this year (three juvenile debut winners, all sprinting, two on conventional dirt, three in maiden special weight)
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $1,540, all races sprinting at two, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $55,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
- second dam is a sprint-winning half-sister to Grade 1 route winner Sefa’s Beauty (52-25-7-8, $1,171,628)
- Carson City is the broodmare sire of 11 debut winners this year
- trainer is 17-204 (8%, $0.95 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 5-55 (9%) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has 10 debut winners this year (three at this meet, four in conventional dirt sprints, all in maiden speical weights, nine with Lasix, two with blinkers, four with Kent Desormeaux aboard, five juvenile debut winners)
- worked one furlong in 10.40 prior to the February sale
- July 21 workout matches barn’s juvenile At Attention (finished fifth in career debut on August 1 with 62 Beyer)

4. Outoftheslammer (Grand Slam – Adorable Slew, by Dixieland Band)
Trainer: Philip Serpe
- Foaled April 25, 2005 in Kentucky
- $110,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-brother to juvenile stakes-winner Exceptional Ride (16-3-1-3, $233,913, 3-8 at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (15-4-5-2, $971,292, 3-5 at two, won debut, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 30-232 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has four older debut winners this year (all sprinting, three on conventional dirt, one at this meet, three in maiden special weight)
- Grand Slam – Dixieland Band ‘nick’ produced multiple Grade 2 winner Limehouse (21-7-2-3, $1,110,433, 3-6 at two, won debut, 4-7 in dirt sprints)
- dam was stakes-placed (16-4-3-1, $73,960, unraced at two, 2-7 in sprints, 3-5 in mud/slop, cost $27,000 as a yearling)
- dam has four runners, four winners, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed router Kenai River (51-11-12-3, $149,450, 0-8 at two, 3-13 in dirt sprints)
- Dixieland Band is the broodmare sire of 10 debut winners this year
- trainer is 2-47 (4%, $0.91 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-13 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has one older debut winner this year (at this meet with Lasix and Prado aboard in dirt sprint maiden claimer)
- July 2 workout went .02 faster than barn’s three-year-old Caught Stealing (40 Beyer to dirt, 69 on turf)
- July 20 workout went .01 faster than barn’s five-year-old Harlanquin (finished sixth in 45K maiden claimer on turf on July 26 with 67 Beyer; has 25 dirt Beyer)

5. Api Mohkat (Early Flyer – The Aggravator, by Crafty Prospector)
Trainer: William Badgett Jr.
- Foaled January 18, 2005 in Florida
- $15,000 weanling (OBS October 2005)
- $30,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (15-4-5-2, $371,140, 1-2 at two, 4-13 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 5-26 (19%) with juvenile runners
- dam was placed sprinting in the slop (9-0-0-1, $2,581, 0-6 at two, 0-8 in dirt sprints, 0-6 in mud/slop, cost $27,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 1 juvenile stakes-winner Reina Musical (in Puerto Rico, 27-6-5-6, $149,783, 3-10 at two, 6-22 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 1-3 (33%, $2.00 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles following a trainer switch
- trainer is 0-2 using that angle with Spa Babies

6. Macho Again (Macho Uno – Go Donna Go, by Wild Again)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
- Foaled February 25, 2005 in Florida
- $85,000 yearling (OBS August 2006)
- withdrawn yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- $150,000 juvenile (OBS February 2007)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner at two (14-6-1-3, $1,851,803, 3-4 at two, won debut, 1-3 in dirt sprints)
- first-crop sire is 1-11 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire’s debut winner came in a maiden special weight sprint over Arlington’s polytrack
- dam was a winner (10-2-2-2, $43,065, unraced at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has three runners, three winners, no juvenile runners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Kiwi Mint (23-6-4-4, $244,999, 0-3 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop), turf stakes-winner Kiwi Sunshine (17-2-3-3, $98,366, 0-5 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop), and stakes-placed turfer Haley’s Classic (22-2-4-4, $87,285, 0-2 at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- Wild Again is the broodmare sire of nine debut winners this year
- trainer is 11-115 (10%, $0.87 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-14 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has one juvenile debut winner this year (in a dirt sprint maiden special weight at Churchill Downs with Lasix)
- worked one furlong in 10.60 prior to the February sale
- May 15, May 22, May 29 workouts match barn’s juvenile Betatron (won career debut on June 30 at Churchill Downs with 75 Beyer)
- May 22, August 11 workouts match barn’s juvenile filly Cape Cod Bay (finished fifth in career debut on grass on August 15 with 69 Beyer)
- June 11, July 2 workouts match barn’s juvenile Noble Hero (finished fourth in career debut on July 25 with 52 Beyer)
- June 18, June 25, July 2 workouts match barn’s juvenile Mapmaker (finished eighth in career debut on July 28 with 45 Beyer)
- July 9 workout matches barn’s juvenile Shekinah (finished eighth in career debut at Arlington on July 28 with 39 Beyer)

7. Devereux (Forestry – Born Perfect, by Mr. Prospector)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled February 20, 2005 in Florida
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (11-7-1-2, $591,225, unraced at two, 4-7 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 16-109 (15%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has four debut winners this year (two juvenile debut winners, all sprinting on conventional dirt in maiden special weights, one at this meet for this trainer)
- Forestry – Mr. Prospector ‘nick’ has produced Grade 2-placed routerPerfect Forest (7-2-1-3, $85,440, 0-2 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints)
- dam was unraced (cost $3,600,000 as a yearling)
- dam has one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners
- second dam a winning full sister to Grade 3 winner General Meeting (17-4-4-2, $441,125, 1-3 at two, won debut, 1-3 in dirt sprints)
- Mr. Prospector is the broodmare sire of four debut winners this year
- trainer is 121-572 (21%, $2.08 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 7-27 (26%, $1.57 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has 26 debut winners this year (one at this meet, 19 in conventional dirt sprints, 18 in open maiden special weight, one by Forestry, 25 with Lasix, one with blinkers, three with Garrett Gomez aboard, 21 juvenile debut winners, two for this owner
- July 8, July 15 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Galena (finished second in lone career start on April 13 at Keeneland)
- July 25 workout went .05 slower than barn’s juvenile Verify (finished seventh in career debut on August 11 with 63 Beyer)

8. Paint (Include – Pat Copelan, by Copelan)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
- Foaled February 13, 2005 in Kentucky
- $97,000 RNA weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $100,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
- $400,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-placed juvenile Rave (12-2-2-1, $90,452, 2-5 at two, 2-10 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop), and stakes-placed juvenile sprinter Catskill Mountains (5-2-1-1, $45,460, all races at two, won debut, 2-3 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (20-10-1-4, $1,659,560, 0-2 at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 5-51 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has one older debut winner this year (in maiden claiming route over Woodbine’s polytrack)
- dam was a Grade 2 sprint winner at two (11-6-1-0, $202,654, 2-3 at two, won debut, 6-10 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop, cost $45,000 as a yearling)
- dam has seven runners, four winners, two juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner
- dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Slew of Fury (44-3-8-5, $92,661, 1-8 at two, 1-25 in dirt sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop)
- Copelan is the broodmare sire of five debut winners this year
- trainer is 21-176 (12%, $1.62 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 12-63 (19%, $2.72 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has three debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner at this meet, all in dirt sprint maiden special weights with Lasix)
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.80, and another quarter-mile in 21.40 prior to the February sale
- July 23 workout matches barn’s juvenile Pick Off (finished third in career debut on August 8 with 56 Beyer)
- August 6 workout matches barn’s juvenile Aquarian (finished fifth in career debut on August 11 with 66 Beyer)

Analysis:
DEVEREUX goes out of Steve Asmussen, one of the leading first-out trainers in the world, and the son of Forestry shows a bullet workout from the gate over this surface. This is the second foal to race from a dam that sold for $3.6M as a yearling.
INNER LIGHT debuts for the red-hot Bill Mott barn, and sold very well at auction earlier this year. His bloodlines scream speed, and he shows some quick gate works in preparation for his debut. PAINT must overcome the far outside post, but Nick Zito is very dangerous with debuting Spa Babies, and there are a few bullet workouts on the tab. He worked a sub 22 quarter-mile before selling for 400K in February.
API MOHKAT was purchased privately after finishing ahead of a pair of next-out winners at Calder. He has some speed, owns the experience edge over his competition, and should be a forward factor once more.

Selections:
1. Devereux
2. Inner Light.
3. Paint

The play: Devereux to win at 7-2 odds or more

Race 8
6 1/2 Furlongs
Adirondack Stakes (Grade 2)
2-year-old fillies

Purse $150,000

Analysis:
MORE HAPPY pressed the pace while three wide entering the turn of her career debut at Del Mar, and prevailed in the stretch under mild urging. She figured to gain a lot of stamina from that polytrack effort, and the million-dollar baby shows a bullet gate work over the conventional dirt surface of the Saratoga main track. The runner-up of her debut try returned to finish third in the Grade 3 Sorrento Stakes.
PASSION couldn’t have been more impressive in her debut run over Arlington’s polytrack. She battled for the lead early before dominating in the lane. The fourth-place finisher that day returned to win by seven lengths as the favorite. Passion has the Pletcher-Velazquez combination in her corner, but may be under the gun from her inside post. PHANTOM INCOME smoked maidens at Belmont, but this is a step up in class, and she may have to rate with several speeds entered to her inside. The way she won her debut indicates that she may be a nice one.
I PROMISE was very game in defeat in the Schuylerville as she battled every step on the lead only to be nipped at the wire. She’ll be part of the pace once again, but the extra distance is a bit of a question mark.

Selections:
1. More Happy
2. Passion
3. Phantom Income

The play: More Happy – Passion exacta, More Happy – Phantom Income exacta

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 27-5-12 (-$14.40)