08/12/2008 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/14

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet. Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Wednesday's results:
Race 2: Celestial Diamond finished fifth
Race 4: Warm Shower was scratched; second-pick Total Joy finished sixth
Race 5: Spina finished first
Race 7: Speed Dating finished fourth
Race 9: Bold Union finished fourth

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Race 2
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000

1. Seminole Lass (Indian Charlie - Inside Emotion, by Miswaki)
Trainer: Michael Trombetta
- Foaled March 23, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to multiple stakes-placed turf runner Madison Meadows (19-4-3-2, $85,468, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (5-4-0-1, $616,120, 1-1 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 24-153 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 10-42 (24%, $2.83 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners)
- dam was unraced (cost $52,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, three winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, two mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
- Miswaki is 4-53 (8%, $1.62 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (all older debut winners)
-dam a half-sister to stakes-winning juvenile Turko's Turn (17-4-2-1, $117,850, 2-4 a two, 3-12 in main track sprints, dam of Point Given)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner U R Unforgetable (19-5-7-2, $260,109, 1-2 at two, won debut, 1-4 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 17-72 (24%, $1.96 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-3 (33%, $4.80 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 8-35 (23%, $1.69 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners, all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers)
- July 24 workout matches barn's three-year-old filly Cocktail Attire (finished second in maiden special weight on turf at Saratoga on August 3 with 78 Beyer; 46 Beyer on dirt)

2. Luster (Touch Gold - Viva, by Pulpit)
Trainer: Albert Stall Jr.
- Foaled March 18, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (15-6-3-1, $1,679,907, 1-4 at two, won debut, 2-3 in main track sprints)
- sire is 22-207 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-35 (9%, $1.71 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was a winner (4-2-1-0, $61,965, 1-2 at two, 1-2 in main track sprints)
- dam has one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners, one main track sprint runner
- Pulpit has no debut winners as a broodmare sire in 2008
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 1 sprint winner Eastern Echo (3-3-0-0, $93,960, all races sprinting on the main track at two)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 sprint winner Blare of Trumpets (38-8-5-2, $286,212, 1-4 at two, 3-19 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 route winner Roar (12-4-1-4, $487,507, 1-4 at two, won debut, 3-6 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 winner Yell (17-4-3-3, $598,903, 1-2 at two, 1-5 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 12-85 (14%, $1.72 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-9 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 3-19 (16%, $1.93 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, two juvenile debut winners, one winner for this owner)
- July 11 workout matches barn's four-year-old filly Quota (finished fifth in the West Virginia Secretary of State at Mountaineer on August 2 with 83 Beyer)
- August 3 workout matches barn's three-year-old Tend (finished second in 'n1x' optional claimer at Saratoga on August 9 with 84 Beyer)

3. Selective (Tapit - Wednesday's Child, by Storm Cat)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled February 17, 2006 in Kentucky
- $170,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner (6-3-0-0, $557,300, 2-2 at two, unraced in main track sprints)
- sire is 1-19 (5%, $0.41 ROI) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a juvenile sprint winner (4-1-1-1, $27,512, 1-2 at two, won debut, all races in main track sprints)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, no main track sprint winners, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- Storm Cat is 6-65 (9%, $2.39 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam a full sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Saturday's Child (5-2-0-0, $34,920, 2-3 at two, all races in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 135-680 (20%, $1.92 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 8-35 (23%, $1.77 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 38-188 (20%, $1.84 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (37 with Lasix, one at this meet, 28 juvenile debut winners, 15 with Shaun Bridgmohan aboard, three for this owner)
- June 17, June 2, July 11 workouts match barn's juvenile filly Remedy (finished eighth in career debut on turf at Saratoga on July 28 with 66 Beyer)
- June 17 workout matches barn's juvenile filly War Echo (finished seventh in career debut at Saratoga on July 27 with 34 Beyer)
- June 24 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Gold Plated (finished sixth in career debut over the Tapeta surface at Presque Isle Downs on July 11 in a maiden special weight with a 34 Beyer)
- July 8 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Selina Moon (finished fifth in career debut over polytrack at Arlington on July 26 with 46 Beyer)
- July 8 workout matches barn's three-year-old Icetate (finished third in 'n1x' optional claimer at Saratoga on July 23 with 79 Beyer)
- July 8 workout matches barn's five-year-old mare Amazing Speed (finished fifth in 'ANC' allowance over the Tapeta surface at Presque Isle Downs on August 2 on August 2 with 78 Beyer)
- July 15 workout went .02 faster than War Echo

4. Cherokee Star (Cherokee Run - Spanked, by Deputy Minister)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled February 5, 2006 in Kentucky
- $100,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2007)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (28-13-5-5, $1,531,818, 5-7 at two, won debut, 10-17 in main track sprints, 4-6 in mud/slop)
- sire is 27-299 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-40 (5%, $0.61 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both juvenile debut winners)
- Cherokee Run - Deputy Minister 'nick' has produced juvenile Grade 2 winner Dream About (7-2-1-0, $235,463, 2-5 at two, 1-5 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $1,980, unraced at two, sprinted on the main track, cost $650,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- Deputy Minister is 7-99 (7%, $1.35 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 3-placed sprinter Tipperary Melody (6-1-3-1, $68,540, all races sprinting on the main track at two, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 98-454 (22%, $1.57 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 22-108 (20%, $1.45 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 19-96 (20%, $1.53 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, four at this meet, 12 juvenile debut winners, 15 with John Velazquez aboard)

5. Argyle Pink (Sky Mesa - Majesty's Crown, by Magesterial)
Trainer: Eddie Kenneally
- Foaled April 18, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to juvenile Grade 1 sprint winner Smoke Glacken (14-10-2-1, $759,560, 4-6 at two, 9-10 in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- half-sister to Grade 2 sprint winner Smokey Glacken (19-10-3-3, $656,960, 3-4 at two, won debut, 10-19 in main track sprints, 2-4 in mud/slop)
- half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Capote's Crown (8-3-1-0, $132,467, 1-2 at two, won debut, 3-6 in main track sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (6-3-1-1, $633,076, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 9-57 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 6-41 (15%, $1.60 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (five juvenile debut winners)
- dam was a sprint winner (29-8-8-5, $57,625, unraced at two, all races in main track sprints, 3-5 in mud/slop)
- dam has five runners, four winners, four juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, two juvenile debut winners, five main track sprint runners, four main track sprint winners, four mud/slop runners, three mud/slop winners
- Magesterial is 1-10 (10%, $0.68 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- trainer is 11-105 (10%, $2.27 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-6 (17%, $2.13 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 1-24 (4%, $0.42 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner with Lasix)
- May 31, July 1, July 8, July 16, August 2 workouts match barn's juvenile Grizzly Peak (finished second in career debut at Saratoga on August 13)
- July 26 workout went .01 slower than Grizzly Peak

6. This Cat Can Dance (Vindication - Katz Me If You Can, by Storm Cat)
Trainer: D Wayne Lukas
- Foaled January 29, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (4-4-0-0, $680,950, all races at two, 2-2 in main track sprints)
- sire is 10-64 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-30 (13%, $1.14 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was a Grade 2 sprint winner (24-6-4-7, $410,947, 2-4 at two, won debut, 6-22 in main track sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, one main track sprint runner, one main track sprint winner, one mud/slop runner, one mud/slop winner
- Storm Cat is 6-65 (9%, $2.39 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Country Romance (10-4-2-1, $157,230, unraced at two, 4-9 in main track sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 10-176 (6%, $0.79 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-39 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-21 with all debut runners in 2008
- June 27 workout matches barn's juvenile Flying Private (finished fifth in maiden special weight at Saratoga on July 23 with 44 Beyer; won here on August 9 with 72)
- July 5 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Tactical Discovery (finished 10th in $50,000 maiden claimer at Saratoga on August 13)
- August 1 workout matches barn's juvenile Pegasus Fever (finished seventh in career debut at Saratoga on August 6 with 0 Beyer)

Analysis:
LUSTER shows solid works for her debut, and the female family is full of class.
ARGYLE PINK's workmate ran very well here yesterday, and the Sky Mesas are running very well this year.
CHEROKEE STAR goes out for excellent debut connections.
SEMINOLE LASS is by a solid speed influence, and shows a couple of bullet works for her debut. Expect some good speed from this one. SELECTIVE goes out for top first-out barn, but the works give mixed signals. THIS CAT CAN DANCE has an excellent pedigree, but the barn has struggled with first-time starters of late.

Selections:
1. Luster
2. Argyle Pink
3. cherokee Star

The Play:
Luster to Win and Place at 4-1 or more

***

Race 5
6 Furlongs
Maiden Claiming ($50,000)
2-year-olds
Purse $32,000

1. The Spanish Life (Spanish Steps - Life's an E Ticket, by Deposit Ticket
Trainer: Bisnath Parboo
- Foaled January 8, 2006 in Florida
- $24,000 RNA yearling (OBS Open August 2007)
- first-crop sire was unraced
- sire is 2-16 (13%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was stakes-placed (21-5-2-3, $142,445, 1-5 at two, 1-5 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has foaled two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile runners at Saratoga

2. Mitchell Park (Safe in the U S A - Smart as Scot, by Ascot Knight
Trainer: Roy Lerman
- Foaled March 1, 2006 in Florida
- first-crop sire was a sprint winner (16-5-3-3, $178,350, 0-1 at two, all races in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-6 (33%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was a winner (22-3-1-6, $96,272, unraced at two, 1-7 in main track sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- this is dam's first runner
- trainer is 0-4 over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

3. Nightmare Alley (West Acre - Traffic Jammer, by Theatrical)
Trainer: Linda Rice
- Foaled March 31, 2006 in Florida
- $23,000 juvenile (OBS Spring April 2008)
- sire was unraced
- sire is 63-289 (22%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $408, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop, cost $33,000 as a yearling, and $27,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has three runners, no winners, three juvenile runners, one mud/slop runner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Chicago Six (39-16-4-2, $733,347, unraced at two, 2-8 in main track sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 10-78 (13%, $1.16 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 2-11 (18%, $2.71 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

4. African Storm (Johannesburg - Aly Quatorze, by Louis Quatorze)
Trainer: D Wayne Lukas
- Foaled April 29, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade/Group 1 winner (USA/Europe) at two (10-7-1-0, $1,014,585, 7-7 at two in USA/Europe, unraced in main track sprints)
- sire is 36-281 (13%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a route winner (15-2-2-1, $88,747, 0-5 at two, 0-6 in main track sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop, cost $60,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Kool Humor (27-4-3-7, $242,899, 0-1 at two, 0-2 on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Out for Glory (14-3-3-3, $51,841, 0-3 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 on turf)
- trainer is 0-6 over the past five years with second-time juveniles dropping into maiden claimers
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with second-time juveniles dropping into maiden claimers

5. Vinnies Wild Tale (West Acre - Royal Prairie, by Louis Quatorze)
Trainer: William Badgett Jr.
- Foaled April 15, 2006 in Florida
- $7,000 yearling (OBS Open August 2007)
- sire was unraced
- sire is 63-289 (22%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (29-2-2-6, $52,248, 0-4 at two, 2-20 in main track sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop, cost $30,000 as a yearling, and $85,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, no main track sprint winners, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- female family of juvenile Grade 3 winner Keene Dancer
- trainer is 1-6 (17%, $1.23 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-4 over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

6. Persian (Peace Rules - Lady Cheryl, by Williamstown)
Trainer: Charles Dickey
- Foaled April 30, 2006 in Florida
- $32,000 yearling (OBS Select August 2007)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (19-9-2-2, $3,084,278, 3-6 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 11-48 (23%) with juvenile runners
- Peace Rules - Williamstown 'nick' has produced winner Peace Town (1-1-0-0, sprint winner, unraced in mud/slop $24,000, won in main track sprint)
- dam was a multiple stakes-winner (22-7-3-5, $189,054, unraced at two, 1-2 in main track sprints, cost $42,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one mud/slop runner, two main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, no mud/slop winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner (Mexico) Dr. Aluminiat
- trainer is 6-73 (8%, $1.09 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 0-4 with juvenile runners at Saratoga

7. Musca (Orientate - Southern Sandra, by Dixie Brass)
Trainer: Robert Barbara
- Foaled February 28, 2006 in Kentucky
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2008)
- $32,000 RNA juvenile (OBS Spring April 2008)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 sprint winner (19-10-3-0, $1,716,950, 0-2 at two, 8-11 in main track sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 45-300 (15%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a stakes-winning sprinter (19-4-2-2, $165,917, 1-6 at two, 4-14 in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop, cost $8,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, one main track winner, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- dam a full sister to Grade 3 winner Xtreme Bid (8-4-1-0, $96,700, 1-2 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $1.62 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers at Saratoga
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.00 prior to the April sale

8. Lofty Banner (Quiet American - Flattered, by Saint Ballado)
Trainer: Gary Contessa
- Foaled April 8, 2006 in Kentucky
- withdrawn weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $30,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (12-4-3-1, $754,650, 0-1 at two in England, unraced in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 112-917 (12%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced (cost $400,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- second dam was a Group 1 winner in Argentina
- trainer is 0-14 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers at Saratoga

9. Winitback (Buddha - Last Two States, by Alaskan Frost)
Trainer: Karl Grusmark
- Foaled May 21, 2006 in Kentucky
- $10,500 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (4-3-0-0, $489,600, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in main track sprints)
- sire is 20-238 (9%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a juvenile Grade 2-placed sprinter (13-3-2-1, $101,136, 2-6 at two, 3-12 in main track sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop, cost $5,700 as a short yearling)
- dam has five runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, five main track sprint runners, four main track sprint winners, three mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- trainer is 2-13 (15%, $1.08 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix at Saratoga

Analysis:
VINNIES WILD TALE raced a bit greenly in his debut, but should

come on from the effort, and may work out a nice trip from close to the pace.
PERSIAN finished ahead of the top pick after breaking awkwardly from a wide slot, but he had the run of the rails on the far turn, and was able to save valuable ground. He wouldn't be a surprise with Prado aboard.
WINITBACK ships in from Delaware with speed, and should be a pace factor at the very least.
LOFTY BANNDER adds blinkers after falling far back early in his debut. He shows a bullet workout in the interim, and can improve with a better start. AFRICAN STORM didn't do much against maiden special weights, but this is a huge drop in class. THE SPANISH LIFE broke poorly in his debut, and gets a big rider switch to Dominguez. MUSCA drops with a hint of speed. NIGHTMARE ALLEY had a tough trip in his debut. It's too early to give up on him. MITCHELL PARK must improve.

Selections:
1. Vinnies Wild Tale
2. Persian
3. Winitback

The Play:
Vinnies Wild Tale - Persian Exacta;
Vinnies Wild Tale - Winitback Exacta

***

Race 9
6 1/2 Furlongs
Saratoga Special Stakes (Grade 2)
2-year-olds
Purse $150,000

Analysis:
REYNALDOTHEWIZARD absolutely ran away from a full field of maidens in his debut at Churchill, and has the tactical speed to sit just off the expected hot early splits.
RUN AWAY AND HIDE looked good in both starts in Kentucky, and beat a pair of next-out winners at Churchill Downs. He must break from the sometimes-intimidating inside post, but has speed, and may prove the one to catch under Robby Albarado.
BREAK WATER EDISON was a sharp gate-to-wire winner in his debut at Belmont, and trainer John Kimmel has always been bullish about his colt's chances to be a good one. He shouldn't be too far away when they swing into the stretch.
JOIN IN THE DANCE took to the track nicely with a strong gate-to-wire score, and you have to always respect a Pletcher-Velazquez juvenile. LYIN' HEART closed sharply after a poor start in the Bashford Manor. He should have plenty of pace to attack in this spot. PROUD JEFE seeks his third staright after scoring at Canterbury, but this is a steep step up in class. MEDAGLIA D'ONORE was no match for Lyin' Heart in the Bashford Manor. DUELING ALEX won easily first-out at Monmouth, but will be tested here. UNSUNG SONG handled the Tapeta surface nicely at Presque Isle Downs despite racing greenly late.

Selections:
1. Reynaldothewizard
2. Run Away and Hide
3. Break Water Edison

The Play:
Reynaldothewizard to Win at 7-2 odds or more

Meet Record:
36-7-16 (+ $69.00)