08/11/2007 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/13

Email

Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Sunday’s results:
Race 5: Banner Day finished second ($13.40 to place)

Monday, August 13, 2007
Race 2
5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000

1. Gulchstream (Gulch – Leo Girl, by Seattle Slew)
Trainer: John Kimmel
- Foaled January 26, 2005 in Kentucky
- $48,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $60,000 juvenile (OBS March 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (32-13-8-4, $3,095,521, 5-7 at two, won debut, unraced on turf, 3-9 in mud/slop)
- sire is 26-264 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 27-320 (8%) with first-turf runners
- sire has one older debut winner this year (in dirt maiden special weight sprint at Delaware)
- Gulch – Seattle Slew ‘nick’ has produced French Group 3 turf winner Agol Lack (17-4-2-4, $220,437, 0-1 at two, 4-14 on turf)
- dam was a stakes-winner on turf in France (7-2-0-1, $42,841, unraced at two, all races on turf)
- dam has five foals of racing age, three runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, three turf runners, two turf winners
- second dam is French Group 2 turf winner Navratilovna (9-2-1-0, $80,197, all races on turf)
- female family of multiple French Group 3 turf winner Maximova (dam of French Group 1 winner Septieme Ciel, multiple Group 3 turf winner Maxigroom, and French juvenile Group 1 turf winner Macoumba; granddam of good sire Malibu Moon), French Group 3 winner Vilikaia, etc.
- Seattle Slew is the broodmare sire of eight debut winners this year
- trainer is 4-20 (20%, $2.23 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $1.75 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies on grass
- trainer has two juvenile debut winners this year (one on turf, one at this meet with Garrett Gomez aboard, one sprinting, both in maiden special weights, both with Lasix)
- worked a quarter-mile in 23.20, and another quarter-mile in 22.20 prior to the March sale
- July 8 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Casino Transaction (65 Beyer on dirt, unraced on turf)

1a. Remarkable Remy (Hennessy – Most Remarkable, by Marquetry)
Trainer: John Kimmel
- Foaled January 20, 2005 in New York
- $200,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (9-4-3-0, $580,400, all races at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 24-203 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 25-201 (12%) with first-turf runners
- sire has two juvenile debut winners this year (both sprinting, one on polytrack, both in maiden special weight)
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $0, 0-2 at two, 0-1 on turf, cost $60,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first foal
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile sprinter Corkboy (26-7-3-3, $95,613, 1-3 at two, unraced on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop), juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Orangeman (11-1-2-2, $64,810, 1-2 at two, won debut, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop), and multiple Grade 2 turf winner Snow Dance (25-8-5-5, $938,597, 1-2 at two, 7-21 on turf, first-turf winner)
- Marquetry is the broodmare sire of two debut winners this year
- trainer is 4-20 (20%, $2.23 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $1.75 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies on grass
- trainer has two juvenile debut winners this year (one on turf for this owner, one at this meet, one sprinting, both in maiden special weights, both with Lasix)
- May 28 workout went .03 faster than barn’s juvenile filly Lavender Luck (finished 10th in career debut on turf on August 6 with 34 Beyer)
- June 10 workout went .03 slower than Lavender Luck

2. Ready to Dream (More Than Ready – Marry Me Scarlett, by Dixie Brass)
Trainer: George Arnold II
- Foaled April 26, 2005 in Florida
- $92,000 yearling (OBS August 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (17-7-4-1, $1,026,229, 5-7 at two, won debut, unraced on turf)
- sire is 18-128 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 20-122 (16%) with first-turf runners
- sire has six debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, five sprinting, one on turf, two on polytrack)
- dam was a route winner (11-1-2-2, $25,500, 0-7 at two, 0-2 on turf)
- dam has five foals of racing age, four runners, three winners, four juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, two turf runners, one turf winner, one first-turf winner
- dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Platinum Tiara (28-5-4-8, $608,785, 3-6 at two, 2-13 on turf, first-turf winner)
- Dixie Brass is the broodmare sire of two debut winners this year
- trainer is 2-13 (15%, $4.18 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-3 with debuting Spa Babies on grass
- trainer has three debut winners this year (one at this meet, two on polytrack, all in maiden special weight, two sprinting, one with Lasix, two juvenile debut winners)
- June 29 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Strikes of Thunder (finished fifth in career debut on July 5 at Churchill with 57 Beyer), and three-year-old filly Magical Ride (finished eighth in Grade 1 Prioress on Belmont dirt with 66 Beyer; 75 Beyer on turf)
- August 4 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Banner Day (finished second in career debut on dirt yesterday)

3. Prairie Melody (Concorde’s Tune – Brookegrovemarilyn, by Gregorian)
Trainer: Linda Rice
- Foaled March 9, 2005 in Florida
- $5,000 weanling (OBS October 2005)
- $14,000 RNA yearling (OBS August 2006)
- $13,000 RNA juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire was a multiple stakes-winner (28-12-4-4, $242,585, 1-2 at two, 3-8 on turf, 2-5 in mud/slop)
- sire is 80-621 (13%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 123-805 (15%) with turf runners
- dam was a sprint winner (34-5-3-2, $82,515, 1-5 at two, 0-3 on turf, sold for $4,200 as a yearling)
- dam has eight foals of racing age, eight runners, five winners, four juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, five turf runners, no turf winners
- second dam an unraced half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Candy A. Bill (81-22-13-7, $145,911), multiple stakes-placed Pleasing Star (37-5-7-6, $99,965), juvenile stakes-placed Radar Tested (30-2-2-4, $14,998), and stakes-placed sprinter Miss Freezing (80-15-15-11, $86,227, 0-3 at two, unraced on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 2-9 (22%, $1.22 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles on turf
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.80 prior to the April sale

4. Cape Cod Bay (Cape Town – Augusta Springs, by Nijinsky II)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
- Foaled January 22, 2005 in Kentucky
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to Grade 2 juvenile sprint winner Buffythecenterfold (16-5-5-2, $527,685, 3-6 at two, debut winner, 0-2 on turf)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (12-5-1-1, $795,817, 3-6 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 15-110 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 11-89 (12%) with first-turf runners
- sire has one older debut winner this year (in dirt route maiden claimer at Fair Grounds)
- dam was stakes-placed on turf (5-3-0-1, $55,600, unraced at two, all races on turf, first-turf winner)
- dam has eight foals of racing age, seven runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner, five turf runners, one turf winner, one first-turf winner
- dam is a a half-sister to juvenile Grade 1 winner Cuddles (18-7-2-3, $582,996, 3-5 at two, 0-1 on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop, dam of Grade 2 winner Katz Me if you Can ), and to Nuryette (dam of multiple Grade 2 winner Northern Afleet, and Grade 1 winner Tap to Music)
- Nijinsky II is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has one juvenile debut winner this year (in maiden special weight sprint on dirt at Churchill Downs with Lasix)
- May 22 workout matches barn’s juvenile Betatron (won career debut on June 30 at Churchill Downs with 75 Beyer)
- July 2, July 9, July 18 workouts match barn’s juvenile filly Syriana’s Song (finished second on career debut on dirt on August 2 with 87 Beyer)

5. Saratoga Summer (Smart Strike – Ziggy’s Act, by Danzig)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled May 6, 2005 in Kentucky
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Cosmic Wing (12-2-3-4, $114,106, 1-3 at two, 1-6 on turf, first-turf winner), and stakes-winner Charley Tango (20-4-5-3, $166,973, 2-5 at two, won debut, 1-9 on turf)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (8-6-1-0, $337,376, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 31-177 (18%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 25-245 (10%) with first-turf runners
- sire has eight debut winners this year (two juvenile debut winners, two on turf, seven sprinting, two on polytrack, all in maiden special weight)
- Smart Strike – Danzig ‘nick’ has produced Grade 1 turf winner Soaring Free (27-15-4-0, $2,110,371, unraced at two, 11-18 on turf), and Grade 3 winner High Strike Zone (47-14-13-9, $664,810, 1-4 at two, won debut, 0-1 on turf)
- dam was a Grade 3 winner (6-4-2-0, $129,008, 0-1 at two, 3-3 on turf)
- dam has 12 foals of racing age, seven runners, six winners, two juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, two juvenile debut winners, seven turf runners, four turf winners, one first-turf winner
- second dam is Grade 1 winner Comedy Act (28-7-8-4, $498,687)
- Danzig is the broodmare sire of six debut winners this year
- trainer is 6-70 (9%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 2-17 (12%) with debuting Spa Babies on turf
- trainer has 10 debut winners this year (three at this meet, five on turf, one on polytrack, all in maiden special weight, five sprinting, nine with Lasix, two with blinkers, four with Kent Desormeaux aboard, five juvenile debut winners)
- June 27, July 5, July 21 workouts match barn’s juvenile filly Vivacious Vivian (finished second in career debut on turf on July 30 with 77 Beyer)
- July 13 workout went .05 slower than barn’s juvenile Roadster (44 turf Beyer)
- July 28 workout matches barn’s juvenile Celestial Comet (finished fourth in career debut on turf on August 3 with 73 Beyer)

6. Press Leak (Rock of Gibraltar – Sneaky Quiet, by Seeking the Gold)
Trainer: Neil Howard
- Foaled May 25, 2005 in Kentucky
- $110,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to Grade 3-placed Hidden Truth (9-3-2-1, $123,562, unraced at two, 2-6 on turf)
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Europe (13-10-2-0, $1,888,048, 5-7 at two, all races on turf)
- sire is 1-3 (33%) in North America with juvenile runners
- sire is 27-193 (14%) in England/Ireland with juvenile runners
- sire is 5-12 (42%) in North America with turf runners
- sire is 43-341 (13%) in England/Ireland with turf runners
- dam was a multiple stakes-winning router (25-5-5-6, $290,857, 2-6 at two, 0-1 on turf, cost $57,000 as a yearling, and $140,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has four foals of racing age, four runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, two turf runners, one turf winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Ironman Dehere (36-6-6-6, $158,807, 0-2 at two, 1-11 on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-placed Whiletheiron’shot (16-4-2-2, $202,946, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-2 (50%) over the past five years with second-time juveniles on turf

7. Fauzeta (Distorted Humor – Zeta, by You and I)
Trainer: Ronny Werner
- Foaled February 24, 2005 in Kentucky
- $145,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner (23-8-5-3, $769,964, unraced at two, unraced on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 33-173 (19%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 10-151 (7%) with first-turf runners
- sire has six debut winners this year (two juvenile debut winners, all sprinting, one over polytrack, one at this meet)
- dam was a stakes-winner (12-4-0-2, $126,277, 1-3 at two, 1-4 on turf, cost $40,000 as a yearling, and $125,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first foal
- dam a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Dream Lady (17-4-6-3, $230,030, 1-3 at two, 4-15 on turf, first-turf winner)
- You and is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 0-8 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has five debut winners this year (four on polytrack, all in maiden special weight, all in sprints, all with Lasix, four juvenile debut winners)
- June 27 workout matches barn’s juvenile Dangerous Dude (finished fifth in career debut on dirt at Churchil on June 30 with 54 Beyer)

8. Tale of a Lady (MTO) (Tale of the Cat – Getaway Girl, by Silver Deputy)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled February 11, 2005 in Kentucky
- withdrawn weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $340,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (9-5-1-2, $360,900, unraced at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 43-223 (19%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has 11 debut winners this year (three juvenile debut winners, all in dirt sprints, one for Todd Pletcher, six in maiden special weights, one out of a Silver Deputy mare)
- dam was a sprint winner (5-3-1-0, $21,966, unraced at two, all races in dirt sprints)
- dam has two foals of racing age, no runners
- dam is a half-sister to Grade 1 juvenile winner City Zip (23-9-5-4, $818,225, 5-11 at two, 9-16 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop), and multiple Grade 1 winner Ghostzapper (11-9-0-1, $3,446,120, 1-2 at two, won debut, 5-7 in dirt sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- Silver Deputy is the broodmare sire of five debut winners this year
- trainer is 89-380 (23%) with juvenile debut runners over the past five years
- trainer is 22-92 (24%) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has 17 debut winners this year (one at this meet, 14 on dirt, 15 sprinting, 12 in open maiden special weight, one by Tale of the Cat, all with Lasix, nine with John Velazquez aboard, 12 juvenile debut winners)

9. D J Lightning (MTO) (Doneraile Court – Cozy Lady, by Grindstone)
Trainer: Richard Violette Jr.
- Foaled March 28, 2005 in Kentucky
- $22,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2005)
- $14,000 RNA yearling (OBS August 2006)
- $60,000 juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 2 route winner (16-6-3-2, $361,410, 2-5 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 14-139 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has two juvenile debut winners this year (both sprinting, on on polytrack, one in maiden special weight)
- Doneraile Court – Grindstone ‘nick’ has produced Grade 2 winner Noble Court (6-3-2-1, $187,690, 1-2 at two, 2-4 in dirt sprints)
- dam was unraced (cost $90,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to Italian Group 1-placed turfer Saudi Desert (17-4-7-2, $104,574), multiple stakes-winner Consent (75-24-14-9, $203,856, 3-5 at two, won debut, 6-27 in dirt sprints, 1-7 in mud/slop), multiple stakes-winning sprinter Special Alert (19-7-3-4, $177,157, 2-5 at two, won debut, 7-18 in dirt sprints), British juvenile turf stakes-winner Braari (13-3-0-1, $43,019, 3-6 at two, unraced in dirt sprints), multiple stakes-winner Special Moves (17-5-5-1, $171,841, unraced at two, 3-11 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop), and Wilshewed (dam of Stormello)
- Grindstone is the broodmare sire of two debut winners this year
- trainer is 19-115 (17%, $2.16 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 9-38 (24%, $2.24 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has three debut winners this year (all sprinting in maiden special weights with Lasix, two juvenile debut winners)
- worked a furlong in 10.40 prior to the April sale

Analysis:
Rusty Arnold has sent out some live juvenile debut runners at this meet including Morakami (winner at 10-1), and Banner Day (runner-up at 12-1). His READY TO DREAM attracts Edgar Prado for the career debut, and the daughter of More Than Ready shows some solid gate works.
PRESS LEAK was forced to go four wide turning for home in her career debut, and she finished evenly while switching back to her wrong lead in deep stretch. She ran like she may have needed the race, and Neil Howard-trained runners often improve second-time out. PRAIRIE MELODY raced evenly in career debut for red-hot Linda Rice, and can move forward off that effort.
SARATOGA SUMMER shows some sharp workouts for leading trainer Mott, and wouldn’t be a surprise. CAPE COD BAY also has been working well for her debut, and trainer Dallas Stewart almost lit up the toteboard with a juvenile debut runner at this meet.

Selections:
1. Ready to Dream
2. Press Leak
3. Prairie Melody

The play: Ready to Dream to win at 7-2 odds or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 26-5-12 (-$14.40)