07/29/2007 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 7/30

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Yesterday’s results:
Race 2: Jolie the Cat finished third, but was below the odds required for a play.
Race 4: Free and Brave finished fifth at 7-1

Monday, July 30, 2007
Race 4
5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000

1. Its Ready (More Than Ready - Itsmylife, by Storm Cat)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled April 10, 2005 in Kentucky
- $375,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner on dirt (17-7-4-1, $1,026,229, 5-7 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 70-441 (16%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 20-117 (17%) with first-time turf runners
- dam was unraced
- dam has two foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one turf runner, no turf winners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3-placed dirt router Game Coin (6-2-2-0, $117,760, unraced at two, unraced on turf), multiple stakes-winner Daylight Ridge (10-6-2-0, $177,695, unraced at two, 1-1 on turf), and Grade 2 juvenile route winner La Rosa (14-4-2-2, $267,194, 3-6 at two, 1-2 on turf, first-turf winner)
- trainer is 27-113 (24%, $1.76 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles trying turf for the first time
- trainer is 11-34, 32%, $2.45 ROI with that move at Saratoga.

1a. Darling Monique (El Corredor - Amandas Bandit, by Royal Academy)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled April 21, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner on dirt (10-7-1-0, $727,920, 1-2 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 10-93 (11%) with debuting juvenile runners
- sire is 5-57 (9%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has four debut winners this year (one on turf, two juvenile debut winners)
- dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $290, unraced at two, raced on grass)
- dam has two foals of racing age, no runners
- dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Lovely Amanda (25-8-5-4, $376,450, unraced at two, 2-6 on turf, first-turf winner)
- trainer is 13-63 (21%, $1.53 ROI) with debuting juveniles on grass
- trainer is 11-34, 32%, $2.45 ROI with that move at Saratoga
- trainer has fifteen debut winners this year (two on turf, all with Lasix, ten juvenile debut winners)
- May 25 workout matches up with barn’s juvenile Flying Dismount (finished fourth in lone career start on dirt on July 7 with 52 Beyer)
- June 8 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Moroccan Affair (finished third in career debut on turf on July 4 with 61 Beyer)
- June 22 workout matches barn’s four-year-old filly Aliysa (finished fifth in N3X optional claimer on dirt on July 11 with 61 Beyer, unraced on turf)
- June 29 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Alachua (finished fourth in lone start on dirt on July 27 with 53 Beyer)

2. Vivacious Vivian (Distorted Humor - Tuzla, by Panoramic)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled April 15, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner on dirt (23-8-5-3, $769,964, unraced at two, unraced on turf
- sire is 31-169 (18%) with debuting juvenile runners
- sire is 9-148 (6%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has four older debut winners this year
- dam was a Grade 1 winner on turf (26-12-6-1, $1,332,587, unraced at two, 11-23 on turf)
- dam has four foals of racing age (three runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one older debut winner, three turf runners, three turf winners)
- dam is a half-sister to French turf stakes-winner Krajina (9-3-0-0, $66,758)
- trainer is 6-72 (8%, $0.71 ROI) over the past five years with debuting juveniles on turf
- trainer is 1-17 (6%, $0.26 ROI) with that move at Saratoga
- trainer has seven debut winners this year (four on turf, six with Lasix, two with blinkers, two with Kent Desormeaux aboard, two juvenile debut winners)
- June 7 workout matches barn’s juvenile Wolfson (finished second in lone start on July 7 on dirt with 58 Beyer)
- June 21 workout matches barn’s juvenile Always a Believer (won career debut on turf on July 22 with 69 Beyer)

3. Awesome I Am (Awesome Again - Facts of Winning, by Known Fact)
Trainer: John Terranova II
- Foaled February 20, 2005 in Florida
- $100,000 juvenile (OBS March 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner on dirt (12-9-0-2, $4,374,590, unraced at two, unraced on turf
- sire is 9-121 (7%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 6-141 (4%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has six debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, one on turf)
- Awesome Again - Known Fact ‘nick’ produced multiple turf stakes-winner Awesome Action (40-8-5-6, $533,657, 1-4 at two, 5-16 on turf)
- dam was unraced
- dam has four foals of racing age, one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one turf runner, no turf winners
- dam is a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Mr. Routine (43-7-2-4, $149,115, unraced at two, 6-36 on turf, first-turf winner)
- Known Fact is the broodmare sire of three debut winners this year
- trainer is 0-4 over the past five years with debuting juveniles on grass
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.40, and another quarter-mile in 21.80 prior to the March sale
- July 1 workout went .02 faster than barn’s three-year-old Codeword (finished third in N1X on turf on July 14 with 80 Beyer)

4. Canary Yellow (Mineshaft - Danzig Colors, by Danzig)
Trainer: Carlos Martin
- Foaled January 7, 2005 in Kentucky
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner on dirt (unraced at two, 1-7 on turf in Europe)
- sire is 0-4 with juvenile debut runners
- this is sire’s first turf starter
- dam was a winner in Japan (13-3-1-3, $252,480, unraced at two, 3-11 on turf, cost $650,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first foal
- dam a half-sister to Japanese stakes-placed Golden Colors (10-3-1-0, $509,963)
- second dam is Kentucky Derby winner Winning Colors
- Danzig is the broodmare sire of six debut winners this year
- trainer is 1-11 (9%, $2.07 ROI) over the past five years with debuting juveniles on grass
- trainer is 0-1 with that move at Saratoga (narrow second-place finish)

5. Boston Cat (High Yield - Boston Symphony, by Boston Harbor)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
- Foaled April 6, 2005 in Kentucky
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner on dirt (14-4-4-3, $1,170,196, 2-8 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 10-119 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 8-97 (8%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has five debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was unplaced (5-0-0-0, $255, 0-3 at two, unraced on turf, cost $12,000 as a weanling)
- this is dam’s first foal
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3-placed juvenile dirt router Cat On Tour (11-4-1-1, $125,272, 4-5 at two, won debut, 0-2 on turf), Grade 2 dirt sprint winner Tour of the Cat (40-12-10-6, $876,461, 1-1 at two, 1-14 on turf), and Grade 3-placed turfer Honorable Cat (30-3-9-3, $199,307, unraced at two, 1-12 on turf)
- Boston Harbor is the broodmare sire of three debut winners this year
- trainer is 1-5 (20%, $1.48 ROI) over the past five years with debuting juveniles on turf
- trainer is 0-3 with that move at Saratoga
- trainer has two older debut winners this year (both with Lasix, both with Julien Leparoux aboard)
- June 10 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Competition (finished eighth in Churchill Downs turf maiden special weight on June 17 with 29 Beyer)
- July 18 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Hopehopehope (finished second in career debut on dirt yesterday with 62 Beyer)

6. Our Dreamette (El Corredor - Apache Wildcat, by Forest Wildcat)
Trainer: Timothy Ritvo
- Foaled February 21, 2005 in Kentucky
- withdrawn weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $30,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2006)
- $32,000 RNA yearling (OBS August 2006)
- $200,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner on dirt (10-7-1-0, $727,920, 1-2 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 33-241 (14%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 20-146 (14%) with turf runners
- dam was a multiple sprint winner on dirt (11-2-4-0, $29,040, unraced at two, unraced on turf, cost $40,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first foal
- second dam a half-sister to Italian turf stakes-winner Free Thinker, and British stakes-placed juvenile turfer Moonflute
- trainer is 2-68 (3%, $0.53 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles racing on turf
- trainer is 0-3 with that angle at Saratoga
- worked one furlong in 10.20 prior to the February sale

7. Little Springer (Jump Start - Destiny Due, by Diesis)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
- Foaled February 23, 2005 in Louisiana
- $24,000 RNA weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $12,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner on dirt at two (5-2-1-0, $221,265, all races at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 28-177 (16%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 2-25 (8%) with first-time turf runners
- dam was a turf winner (13-1-0-2, $12,425, 0-2 at two, 1-12 on turf)
- dam has three foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, one turf runner, no turf winners
- dam is a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Liz Cee (36-6-8-5, $212,812, 0-2 at two, 6-26 on turf)
- trainer is 1-7 (14%, $13.57 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles trying turf for the first time
- trainer is 1-3 (33%, $31.67 ROI) with that move at Saratoga

8. Press Leak (Rock of Gibraltar - Sneaky Quiet, by Seeking the Gold)
Trainer: Neil Howard
- Foaled May 25, 2005 in Kentucky
- $110,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to Grade 3-placed turfer Hidden Truth (9-3-2-1, $123,562, unraced at two, 2-6 on turf, first turf winner)
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Europe (13-10-2-0, $1,888,048, 5-7 at two, won debut, all races on turf)
- sire is 0-1 with juvenile debut runners in North America
- sire is 1-3 (33%) with first-time turf runners in North America
- sire is 24-180 (13%) with juvenile runners in England and Ireland
- sire is 36-308 (12%) with turf runners in England and Ireland
- Rock of Gibraltar - Seeking the Gold ‘nick’ produced juvenile debut winner Malacara (won sprinting on turf in Ireland)
- dam was a multiple stakes-winner routing on dirt (25-5-5-6, $290,857, 2-6 at two, 0-1 on turf, cost $57,000 as a yearling, and $140,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has four foals of racing age, three runners, three winners, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner, one turf runner, one turf winner, one first-turf winner
- dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Ironman Dehere (36-6-6-6, $158,807, 0-2 at two, 1-11 on turf, first-turf winner), and multiple stakes-placed Whiletheiron’shot (16-4-2-2, $202,946, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf)
- Seeking the Gold is the broodmare sire of three debut winners this year
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf (one close third-place)
- May 19 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Banyan Street (53 Beyer top on dirt, 40 Beyer on Polytrack)

9. Prairie Melody (Concorde’s Tune - Brookegrovemarilyn, by Gregorian)
Trainer: Linda Rice
- Foaled March 9, 2005 in Florida
- $5,000 weanling (OBS October 2005)
- $14,000 RNA yearling (OBS August 2006)
- $13,000 RNA juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire a multiple stakes-winner (28-12-4-4, $242,585, 1-2 at two, 3-8 on turf, first-turf winner)
- sire is 14-150 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 13-132 (10%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has three debut winners this year (two juvenile debut winners, all in maiden claimers)
- dam was a multiple dirt sprint winner (34-5-3-2, $82,515, 1-5 at two, 0-3 on turf, cost $4,200 as a yearling)
- dam has eight foals of racing age, seven runners, five winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, four turf runners, no turf winners
- second dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Candy A. Bill (81-22-13-7, $145,911), multiple stakes-placed Pleasing Star (20-2-2-1, $13.481), stakes-placed juvenile Radar Tested (30-2-2-4, $14,998), and stakes-placed juvenile dirt sprinter Miss Freezing (80-15-15-11, $86,227, 0-2 at two, unraced on turf)
- trainer is 3-22 (14%, $2.85 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-8 at Saratoga with that angle
- trainer has one juvenile debut winner this year (in a turf sprint at Belmont without Lasix and with Cornelio Velasquez aboard)
- worked two furlongs in 22.80 prior to the April sale

10. La Menina (El Prado - Camella, by Housebuster)
Trainer: Michael Matz
- Foaled March 9, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a Group 1 winner on turf in Ireland at two (9-4-1-0, $236,987, 4-6 at two, won debut, all races on turf)
- sire is 24-251 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 38-393 (10%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has no debut winners this year
- dam was a multiple turf stakes-winner (33-7-4-6, $398,754, 1-4 at two, 6-26 on turf)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners, one turf runner
- dam is a half to French Group 1-placed turfer Mamalik, and stakes-winner Stone Canyon (51-9-12-7, $231,140, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf)
- Housebuster is the broodmare sire of four debut winners this year
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $1.70 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-1 at Saratoga with that move
- June 30 workout matches barn’s four-year-old filly Eres Magica (finished fifth in the Drumtop Stakes at Belmont on July 22 with 72 Beyer)

11. Delta Weekend (Jump Start - Misty Rain, by Rubiano)
Trainer: Frank Alexander
- Foaled March 11, 2005 in Virginia
- $27,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $100,000 juvenile (OBS March 2007)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner on dirt at two (5-2-1-0, $221,265, all races at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 6-62 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-25 (8%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has four debut winners this year (two juvenile debut winners)
- dam was a winner (10-3-0-0, $34,830, unraced at two, 0-2 on turf)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner, one turf runner, one turf winner, one first-turf winner
- dam is a half-sister to stakes-winning dirt router Setareh (17-4-6-2, $239,418, unraced at two, 0-6 on turf)
- Rubiano is the broodmare sire of two debut winners this year
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $0.50 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-2 at Saratoga with that move
- worked one furlong in 10.80, and another one furlong in 10.40 prior to the March sale
- July 9 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Hanna Banana (finished fifth in lone career start on July in dirt maiden special weight with 45 Beyer)

12. Carnival City (Cape Canaveral - Fairway Meadow, by Meadowlake)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled February 22, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner on dirt (4-3-0-1, $128,640, 1-1 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 21-78 (27%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-43 (9%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has seven debut winners this year (five juvenile debut winners)
- Cape Canaveral - Meadowlake ‘nick’ produced multiple stakes-winner Caruso (8-5-2-1, $218,910, 3-4 at two, won debut, unraced on turf)
- dam was unraced (cost $125,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner, one turf runner
- dam a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Michael’s Choice (in Hong Kong), and stakes-placed turfer Renaissance Fair (14-3-2-3, $44,530, unraced at two, 3-12 on turf)
- Meadowlake is the broodmare sire of four debut winners this year
- trainer is 0-7 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-2 at Saratoga with that move
- June 1 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Bird Talk (finished ninth with 49 Beyer in dirt maiden claimer at Churchill on June 7; Polytrack Beyer top of 41)
- June 18 workout matches barn’s three-year-old John’s Road (finished seventh in career debut on turf here on July 25 with 72 Beyer)

Analysis:
Taking a shot here with PRAIRIE MELODY, a firster by underrated turf sire Concorde’s Tune. Linda Rice has good numbers with babies making their career debuts on grass, and she teamed up with Cornelio Velasquez for juvenile filly Dicey D J’s debut score on turf at Belmont at 11-1 odds. The works don’t look sharp at all, and Prairie Melody twice failed to sell at public auction so you’re sure to get a price.
AWESOME I AM may want a bit more ground, but she has a solid pedigree, and sold for $100,000 earlier this year after working a sub-22 quarter-mile. She shows some decent morning trials, and is eligible to be running late at a big price. ITS READY tired badly at Churchill Downs, and may face pace pressure in this spot. The Pletcher juvenile maidens have not been running at all thus far at the meet. OUR DREAMETTE has valuable turf experience, and she ended up winning the pace battle before succumbing to Dicey D J’s late rush on July 4. She wouldn’t be a surprise. LA MEDINA goes out for excellent connections, and her sire is an excellent source of grass ability. She has some speed on the bottom of her pedigree as well.
DARLING MONIQUE may be the “other” Pletcher as Garrett Gomez, not John Velazquez, gets the mount. BOSTON CAT shows bullet workouts for his debut, but as with Pletcher, Pat Biancone has been cold with his babies.

Selections:
1. Prairie Melody
2. Awesome I Am
3. Its Ready

The Play: Prairie Melody to win and place at 10-1 odds or more (turf only)

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 8-2-4 (-$1.80)