07/29/2007 12:00AM

Spa Babies for 7/29

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Yesterday’s result:
Race 2: Mr. Shortcake scratched; second-pick Touch the Devil finished last.

Sunday, July 29, 2007
Race 2
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000

1. Hopehopehope (Whywhywhy - Roberto’s Hope, by Roberto)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
Foaled April 5, 2005 in Kentucky
$85,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
first-crop sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (9-3-1-1, $315,015, 3-5 at two, 2-6 in dirt sprints)
sire is 2-10 (20%) with juvenile debut runners
dam was Grade 2-placed on turf (6-3-0-1, $67,824, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
dam has six foals of racing age, four runners, three winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Too Cool to Fool (30-6-7-1, $183,517, 1-2 at two, won debut, 1-6 in dirt sprints), multiple stakes-winner Merit Wings (11-4-2-1, $163,719, 1-3 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints), and juvenile stakes-winner Misty Hour (9-4-1-0, $157,845, 3-4 at two, won debut, 2-2 in dirt sprints)
dam’s sire the broodmare sire of no debut winners this year
trainer is 16-72 (22%, $1.73 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners (5-26, 19%, $1.53 ROI with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has two debut winners this year (both with Lasix, both with Julien Leparoux riding)
May 22, May 29 workouts match up with barn’s juvenile filly Ellie’s Buddha (finished fifth in debut here on July 26 with 46 Beyer)

2. Songsimage (Songandaprayer - Janeera, by Tactical Advantage)
Trainer: Richard Violette Jr.
Foaled February 25, 2005 in Florida
$170,000 short yearling (OBS January 2006) (*second highest-priced)
$325,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
sire was a Grade 1 route winner (8-3-1-1, $380,480, 2-2 at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints)
sire is 11-63 (17%) with juvenile debut runners (sire has four debut winners this year, three juvenile debut winners, one trained by Richard Violette Jr.)
Songandaprayer-Tactical Advantage ‘nick’ produced sprint stakes-winner Country Diva (20-6-4-3, $171,187, 1-4 at two, all races sprinting)
dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $661, all races sprinting at two)
dam has three foals of racing age, one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner
dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Night Above (89-21-10-17, $286,378, 3-3 at two, 20-79 in dirt sprints), stakes-placed sprinter Premierjane (25-4-4-2, $48,480, unraced at two, 4-24 in dirt sprints), and Grade 2 juvenile stakes-winner Maston (53-8-8-4, $148,925, 2-9 at two, 0-11 in dirt sprints)
dam’s sire is the broodmare sire of two debut winners this year
trainer is 19-114 (17%, $2.18 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners (9-37, 24%, $2.30 ROI with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has three debut winners this year (two juvenile debut winners, all with Lasix on, one for this owner, one by Songandaprayer)

3. Rap Tale (Tale of the Cat - Rap and Dance, by Pleasant Tap)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Foaled January 30, 2005 in Virginia
half-sister to stakes-placed Cherokee Rap (13-5-3-1, $186,240, unraced at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints)
sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (9-5-1-2, $360,900, unraced at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints)
sire is 125-641 (20%) with juvenile runners
dam was a stakes-placed router (24-4-5-3, $200,465, unraced at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, cost $180,000 as a juvenile)
dam has four foals of racing age, three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
dam a half-sister to Grade 1 winner No Review (27-9-3-6, $634,545, 2-3 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints), and Grade 1 route winner Another Review (27-8-2-3, $752,370, 0-3 at two, 0-4 in dirt sprints)
dam a full sister to multiple Grade 2 juvenile winner Dance Colony (28-6-6-3, $504,825, 4-6 at two, 4-7 in dirt sprints), and multiple stakes-placed Colonial Review (17-4-4-4, $97,352, 2-4 at two, 3-12 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 75-277 (27%, $1.67 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles (19-67, 28%, $2.25 ROI with Spa Babies making second lifetime start)

4. J Z Warrior (Harlan’s Holiday - Carson Jen, by Carson City)
Trainer: William Mott
Foaled March 26, 2005 in Kentucky
withdrawn yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
half-sister to Grade 3 juvenile sprint winner E Z Warrior (3-3-0-0, $135,000, 2-2 at two, all races sprinting)
first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (22-9-6-1, $3,632,664, 4-6 at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints)
sire is 6-21 (29%) with juvenile runners
dam was a multiple stakes-placed sprinter (17-4-4-3, $137,425, unraced at two, 4-16 in dirt sprints)
dam has two foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Marquesa Jen (25-6-3-4, $193,295, 1-4 at two, 6-24 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 6-35 (17%, $3.43 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles wearing blinkers for the first time (0-1 at Saratoga with that angle)

5. Alpha Tammy (Golden Missile - Noble Pursuit, by Affirmed)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
Foaled April 6, 2005 in Kentucky
$65,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
half-sister to multiple Grade 3-placed router Kansas City Boy (19-3-4-1, $151,802, 1-5 at two, 0-5 in dirt sprints)
sire was a Grade 1 route winner (25-7-7-4, $2,194,510, 0-1 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
sire is 29-286 (10%) with juvenile runners
dam was a winner (11-2-2-0, $58,846, 0-1 at two, unraced in dirt sprints, cost $75,000 as a yearling)
dam has eight foals of racing age, eight runners, five winners, four juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
dam a half-sister to Grade 1 winner Is Your Pleasure (37-6-8-5, $358,074), and stakes-placed I’m Tickled Pink (14-2-0-3, $54,516, 2-4 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 1-28 (4%, $3.39 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from 31-60 day layoff (1-2, 50%, $47.50 ROI with that angle at Saratoga)

6. Red Hot Bullet (Red Bullet - Hot Lear, by Lear Fan)
Trainer: Leroy Jolley
Foaled March 27, 2005 in Kentucky
$52,000 juvenile (Adena Springs March 2007)
half-sister to Grade 3-placed sprinter Dash for Money (6-1-1-1, $53,202, 1-1 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints), and multiple stakes-winner Flaming Heart (13-5-6-0, $245,961, unraced at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints)
sire was a Grade 1 route winner (14-6-2-2, $1,161,920, unraced at two, 4-4 in dirt sprints)
sire is 2-23 (9%) with juvenile debut runners (sire has two debut winners this year, one juvenile debut winner)
dam was a multiple stakes-winner (7-4-1-1, $106,050, 3-3 at two, 3-4 in dirt sprints)
dam has five foals of racing age, three runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
dam a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Love Medicine (13-6-2-1, $149,560, unraced at two, all races sprinting, dam of Grade 1 sprint winner I’m the Tiger), and multiple stakes-winner Intern (39-10-7-6, $351,989, unraced at two, 1-6 in dirt sprints)
dam’s sire is the broodmare sire of two debut winners this year
trainer is 1-19 (5%, $1.08 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners (0-7 with debuting Spa Babies)
made an early lead change, but was merely breezing on grass prior to the March sale

7. Seemingly (Orientate - Hallowed, by Holy Bull)
Trainer: Ian Wilkes
Foaled January 22, 2005 in Kentucky
$100,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
sire was a multiple Grade 1 sprint winner (19-10-3-0, $1,716,950, 0-2 at two, 8-11 in dirt sprints)
sire is 29-183 (16%) with juvenile runners
dam was stakes-placed (25-2-3-5, $75,790, 0-3 at two, 2-21 in dirt sprints)
this is dam’s first foal (cost $40,000 as a yearling)
dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Silver Lace (19-5-3-4, $139,624, unraced at two, 4-10 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 1-10 (10%, $0.54) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix

8. Spirit Line (Indian Charlie - Spinning Miss, by Spinning World)
Trainer: D Wayne Lukas
Foaled March 14, 2005 in Kentucky
withdrawn yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
withdrawn yearling (Fasig-Tipton August 2006)
sire was a Grade 1 route winner (5-4-0-1, $616,120, 1-1 at two, 2-2 in dirt sprints)
sire is 64-404 (16%) with juvenile runners
dam was unplaced (6-0-0-0, $300, 0-2 at two, all races on grass)
this is dam’s first foal (dam cost $575,000 as a weanling, and $335,000 as a yearling)
dam is half-sister to stakes-placed turfer Lady Bemissed (5-1-0-1, $18,330, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints), British Group 1 winner Jet Ski Lady (2-4 at two in Europe, all races on grass), and British Group 3-placed juvenile Dismissed (1-4 at two, all races on grass)
trainer is 18-174 (10%, $0.81 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles (4-39, 10%, $0.75 ROI with Spa Babies making second lifetime start)

9. Jolie the Cat (Tale of the Cat - Pleasant Jolie, by Pleasant Colony)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
Foaled April 15, 2005 in Kentucky
sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (9-5-1-2, $360,900, unraced at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints)
sire is 125-641 (20%) with juvenile runners
Tale of the Cat - Pleasant Colony ‘nick’ produced turf stakes-winner Key to the Cat (20-3-5-3, $133,981, 1-6 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, all wins on grass)
dam was a multiple stakes-winning router (27-7-8-6, $251,952, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
dam has seven foals of racing age, seven runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
dam a half-sister to Grade 2 juvenile winner Cougarized (33-6-5-7, $307,430, 3-9 at two, 2-12 in dirt sprints), multiple Grade 1 router winner Jolie’s Halo (20-8-0-2, $1,218,120, unraced at two, 1-1 in dirt sprints), and multiple stakes-winning sprinter Mister Jolie (21-7-3-4, $201,636, unraced at two, 7-20 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 129-473 (27%, $1.82 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles (7-18, 39%, $1.57 ROI with Spa Babies making second lifetime start)

Analysis:
JOLIE THE CAT rallied nicely for third despite breaking slowly over a speed-favoring Churchill Downs strip.. That race was the faster division of juvenile maiden special weights at Churchill on July 1, and although the runner-up of that race bombed here earlier in the meet, three other runners returned to place in their next starts. She draws outside the speeds, and may sit a nice stalking trip while racing in the clear for a very dangerous barn.
J Z WARRIOR adds blinkers after racing greenly in her debut behind beaten Schuylerville favorite According to Plan. She has a very capable pedigree, and the new blinkers may give her the needed focus to get the job done. She wouldn’t be a surprise at all. SONGSIMAGE is by a good win-early sire, and trainer Richard Violette’s juveniles have done very well at the Spa over the last few years. Songsimage is bred for speed on both sides of the pedigree. SEEMINGLY adds Lasix for her second lifetime start, and that is often a huge angle in maiden races. She had some traffic trouble in the slower division of maiden special weights at Churchill on July 1.
RAP TALE has a classy pedigree, but it’s possible that she wants more ground, and Pletcher’s juvenile maiden runners haven’t performed up to snuff at the meet thus far.

Selections:
1. Jolie the Cat
2. J Z Warrior
3. Songsimage

The Play: Jolie the Cat to win at 2-1 odds or more

Race 5
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York-bred)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $56,000

1. Madam Commander (Deputy Commander - Pennant Dreams, by Grand Slam)
Trainer: Ramon Hernandez
Foaled April 7, 2005 in New York
$12,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
$37,000 RNA juvenile (OBS April 2007)
sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (13-4-3-2, $1,906,640, unraced at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints)
sire is 8-164 (5%) with juvenile debut runners (sire has no debut winners this year)
dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $1,290, unraced at two, 0-1 sprinting, cost $100,000 as a yearling, and $175,000 as a juvenile)
this is dam’s first foal
second dam Americarr was stakes-placed on turf in Ireland
dam’s sire is the broodmare sire of no debut winners this year
trainer is 7-17 (19%, $3.08 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners (4-12, 33%, $5.44 ROI with debuting Spa Babies)
worked a quarter-mile in 23.20 prior to the April sale

1a: Free and Brave (Hook and Ladder - Unbridled Valor, by Unbridled)
Trainer: John Kimmel
Foaled March 9, 2005 in New York
out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
$75,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (19-6-2-3, $388,120, 1-1 at two, 6-18 in dirt sprints)
sire is 4-8 (50%) with juvenile debut runners (two NY-breds)
dam was a route winner (8-1-2-0, $35,800, 0-2 at two, unraced in dirt sprints, cost $375,000 as a yearling)
this is dam’s first foal
dam a three-quarter sister to turf stakes-winner Unbridled Danz (4-3-0-1, $81,861, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints, debut winner)
dam’s sire is the broodmare sire of three debut winners this year
trainer is 14-92 (15%, $2.46 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners (1-23, 4%, $0.30 ROI with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has one juvenile debut winner this year (turf route with Lasix on, and Rafael Bejarano aboard)
worked one furlong in 10.60 prior to the May sale

2. Staid (Successful Appeal - Tuesday Edition, by Gold Alert)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
Foaled February 13, 2005 in New York
entered yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
$42,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
half-sister to multiple sprint stakes-winner Sea Span (32-9-6-6, $272,657, 2-7 at two, 9-29 in dirt routes), Japanese Group 3 dirt sprint winner Agnes Wing (0-1 at two), and stakes-placed My Interpretation (11-1-5-1, $93,174, 1-6 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints)
sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (22-8-2-4, $654,681, 3-6 at two, 7-13 in dirt sprints)
sire is 68-261 (26%) with juvenile runners
dam was a winner (33-6-4-5, $117,068, 0-1 at two, 6-31 in dirt sprints, cost $9,700 as a yearling)
dam has eight foals of racing age, eight runners, six winners, six juvenile runners, four juvenile winners
dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winner Cutlass Envoy (58-11-15-7, $129,875, 2-6 at two, 9-52 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 106-436 (24%, $1.51 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from 31-60 day layoff (6-19, 32%, $1.47 ROI with that angle at Saratoga)

3. Speak Proudly (Hook and Ladder - Whiskey Whisper, by Affirmed)
Trainer: Richard Schosberg
Foaled February 7, 2005 in New York
$40,000 juvenile (OBS April 2007)
half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Cat’s Roar (22-3-3-6, $163,821, 0-5 at two, 2-11 in dirt sprints)
first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (19-6-2-3, $388,120, 1-1 at two, 6-18 in dirt sprints)
sire is 4-8 (50%) with juvenile debut runners (two NY-breds, one out of an Affirmed mare)
Hook and Ladder - Affirmed ‘nick’ produced Grade 3-placed juvenile sprinter I Promise (won debut at Belmont, placed in Schuylerville here Opening Day)
dam was a turf winner (11-1-1-3, $14,983, unraced at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints, cost $10,000 as a yearling)
dam has seven foals of racing age, six runners, six winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, two juvenile debut winners
dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Triocala (63-14-14-7, $465,660), stakes-placed Mr. Tri (16-2-1-3, $23,156), and stakes-winner Tri Argo (34-6-6-3, $142,581, unraced at two, 0-5 in dirt sprints)
dam’s sire is the broodmare sire of eight debut winners this year
trainer is 0-22 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners (0-5 with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer doesn’t have a debut winner this year
worked one furlong in 10.80 prior to the April sale
July 22 workout went .02 seconds faster than barn’s five-year-old Champchu (finished eighth in N2X optional claimer on July 27 with 69 Beyer)

4. Mine Or Who’s (Mayakovsky - Stately Lady, by Conquistador Cielo)
Trainer: William Mott
Foaled April 19, 2005 in New York
withdrawn short yearling (Fasig-Tipton February 2006)
$80,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
out juvenile (OBS March 2007)
out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Prado’s Pride (19-3-2-3, $98,610, unraced at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints)
first-crop sire was a Grade 3 route winner (9-3-1-0, $275,200, 1-2 at two, won debut, 1-4 in dirt sprints)
sire is 0-3 with juvenile debut runners
dam was a multiple sprint winner (18-2-2-0, $7,711, 0-1 at two, 2-15 in dirt sprints, cost $40,000 as a yearling)
dam has nine foals of racing age, eight runners, seven winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Hight Light (48-16-7-3, $191,080, unraced at two, 0-6 in dirt sprints)
dam’s sire is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
trainer is 19-219 (9%, $0.94 ROI) over the past five years with debuting juveniles (2-56, 4%, $0.39 ROI with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has seven debut winners this year, six with Lasix, two with blinkers, two with Kent Desormeaux aboard, three for this owner, two juvenile debut winners)
July 1 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Gullible Gal (finished fifth in career debut on July 11 with 43 Beyer)
July 9 workout matches barn’s juvenile Riley Tucker (won debut on July 20 with 84 Beyer)

5. Glorious America (Ecton Park - Cozzy Temper, by Cozzene)
Trainer: Gary Contessa
Foaled March 15, 2005 in New York
$22,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
$5,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
sire was a Grade 1 route winner (23-6-4-6, $1,503,825, 1-2 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
sire is 2-62 (3%) with juvenile debut runners
dam was a multiple route winner (8-2-0-0, $42,555, 0-2 at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints, cost $90,000 as a weanling, and $280,000 as a yearling)
this is dam’s first foal
second dam a half-sister to French turf stakes-winner Manguin, French turf stakes-placed Amelies Pleasure, and French Group 3 turf winner Our Account
dam’s sire is the broodmare sire of three debut winners this year
trainer is 16-159 (10%, $1.13 ROI) over the past five years with debuting juveniles (4-41, 10%, $1.39 ROI with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has five debut winners this year, four New York-breds, four with Lasix, two with front bandages, one juvenile debut winner
worked one furlong in 10.80 prior to the May sale

6. Ophite (Yonaguska - Fortunately Fast, by Fortunate Prospect)
Trainer: David Donk
Foaled March 4, 2005 in New York
withdrawn juvenile (OBS April 2007)
sire was a Grade 1 juvenile sprint winner (18-6-1-5, $536,355, 3-7 at two, won debut, 6-15 in dirt sprints)
sire is 3-72 (4%) with juvenile debut runners (has six debut winners this year, one juvenile debut winner)
dam was a winner (14-3-0-5, $24,050, 0-1 at two, 2-10 in dirt sprints, cost $20,000 as a juvenile)
dam has three foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, no juvenile runners
dam a half-sister to multiple sprint stakes-winner Elektraline (44-10-5-7, $456,892, 0-4 at two, all races sprinting)
dam’s sire is the broodmare sire of three debut winners this year
trainer is 4-82 (5%, $1.89 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners (1-12, 8%, $5.96 ROI with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has one older debut winner at Finger Lakes this year (Lasix on in dirt route)
June 18 workout went .02 faster than barn’s juvenile filly Stormy Catch (finished sixth in maiden special weight on July 11 with 24 Beyer)
July 14 workout matches barn’s juvenile Revealer (finished fourth in debut here on July 27 with 52 Beyer)

7. Devi (Desert Warrior - Devilish Sly, by Tomorrows Cat)
Trainer: Ralph D’Alessandro
Foaled March 17, 2005 in New York
$20,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Open August 2006)
first-crop sire was multiple Grade 3-placed (16-4-1-2, $171,783, 2-8 at two, 4-11 in dirt sprints)
sire is 1-10 (10%) with juvenile runners
dam was unraced
this is dam’s first foal
dam a full sister to multiple stakes-winner So Sweet a Cat (21-8-5-1, $435,204, 2-6 at two, 4-14 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 0-10 over the past five years with second-time juveniles

8. Doodlin (Kettle Won - Bronze Autumn, by Mr. Greeley)
Trainer: Thomas Bush
Foaled March 4, 2005 in New York
sire was Grade 3-placed on grass (15-3-4-0, $113,606, 1-1 at two, 2-5 in dirt sprints)
sire is 0-3 with juvenile debut runners
dam was a stakes-winner (13-3-3-1, $159,319, 0-3 at two, 2-6 in dirt sprints, sold for $32,000 as a yearling, and $155,000 as a juvenile)
this is dam’s first foal
second dam a winning half-sister to sprint stakes-winner Shot Block (41-11-9-6, $163,005, unraced at two, 11-38 in dirt sprints)
dam’s sire is the broodmare sire of no debut winners this year
trainer is 6-49 (12%, $2.57 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners (2-12, 17%, $5.20 ROI with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has three older debut winners this year (two New York-breds, all with Lasix, one with front bandages)
May 28 workout matches up with barn’s three-year-old filly Fiddlers Princess (finished third in $35,000 claimer on turf on June 8 with 68 Beyer; best dirt Beyer is 46)

9. Justinline (Hook and Ladder - She’s a Delight, by Signal Tap)
Trainer: Heriberto Cedano
Foaled March 9, 2005 in New York
withdrawn short yearling (Keeneland January 2006)
first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (19-6-2-3, $388,120, 1-1 at two, 6-18 in dirt sprints)
sire is 4-9 (44%) with juvenile runners
dam was a route winner (7-1-0-0, $25,200, 0-3 at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints)
this is dam’s first foal
dam is a half-sister to sprint stakes-winner Samsincharge (24-6-4-3, $252,542, unraced at two), and stakes-placed sprinter Sam’s In Control (29-3-10-2, $131,136, 1-10 at two, 3-28 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 0-4 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix

10. Exonerated (Johannesburg - Ladies Night In, by Peteski)
Trainer: H Graham Motion
Foaled March 20, 2005 in New York
$105,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
sire was a multiple Group/Grade 1-winning juvenile (both turf and dirt) (10-7-1-0, $1,014,585, 7-7 at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
sire is 23-157 (15%) with juvenile runners
dam was multiple stakes-placed on turf (10-5-1-2, $123,750, 0-1 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
dam has two foals of racing age, two runners, no winners, two juvenile runners
second dam a juvenile route-winning half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Diamond Syl (3-2-1-0, $38,796, unraced at two, all races sprinting), and juvenile stakes-winner Great Regent (17-4-0-1, $133,112, 2-5 at two, 2-9 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 21-114 (18%, $2.13 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles (1-9, 11%, $3.40 ROI with that angle at Saratoga)

Analysis:
FREE AND BRAVE is by a very promising young statebred sire, and the second dam was a juvenile debut winner as well as a stakes-winner at two. John Kimmel and Rafael Bejarano have already teamed up for a juvenile debut winner this year.
STAID showed speed against next-out Astoria winner Glacken’s Gal in career debut, then rated just a bit when favored against subsequent Schuylerville runner-up I Promise on June 28. She has good speed, and should be a strong factor for the always-dangerous Asmussen barn. SPEAK PROUDLY is another daughter of Hook and Ladder, and she showed a solid half-mile move at Belmont in preparation for this. Trainer Richard Schosberg does not specialize with firsters, however. EXONERATED dueled with I Promise to no avail in career debut, and that early battle took enough starch out of her for Staid to beat her for the place prize. She should be winging early, and Edgar Prado keeps the faith.
MINE OR WHO’s is by a sire that was a very quick juvenile, and her gate work on July 9 looks pretty sharp.

Selections:
1. Free and Brave
2. Staid
3. Speak Proudly

The Play: Free and Brave to win and place at 9-2 odds or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 6-2-3 (+$2.20)