07/30/2008 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 7/28

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet. Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Sunday's results:
Race 2: Footnote This finished sixth
Race 6: War Echo finished seventh

Monday, July 28, 2008

Race 5
5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000

1. Remedy (Lion Heart - Love U Fran, by Phone Trick)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled March 14, 2006 in Kentucky
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- half-sister to stakes-winning juvenile (Carol D (13-1-6-3, $22,105, 1-6 at two, unraced on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- half-sister to Grade 2-placed juvenile War Wolf (9-2-1-2, $75,610, 1-3 at two, unraced on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner on the main track (10-5-3-0, $1,390,800, 3-3 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 7-21 (33%, $6.20 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- this is sire's first turf runner
- dam was a sprint winner on the main track (7-1-0-1, $33,280, unraced at two, 0-2 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $170,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, three winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, no turf runners, two mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- Phone Trick is 5-54 (9%, $1.97 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut runners in 2008 (all winners on main track, one juvenile winner)
- second dam is a route-winning (main track) half-sister to Kentucky Oaks (Grade 2) winner Sun and Snow (46-7-10-4, $212,665)
- trainer is 3-24 (13%, $1.28 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 35-170 (21%, $1.68 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (34 winners with Lasix, one winner on turf, 26 juvenile debut winners, 14 with Shaun Bridgmohan aboard, three winners for this owner)
- June 17, July 22 workouts match barn's juvenile filly War Echo (finished seventh in career debut on dirt at Saratoga on July 29)
- June 24 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Gold Plated (finished sixth in career debut over Presque Isle Downs' Tapeta surface on July 11 with 34 Beyer)
- July 8 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Selina Moon (finished fifth in career debut over Arlington's Polytrack on July 26)
- July 8 workout matches barn's four-year-old Icetate (finished third in 'n1x' optional claimer on dirt at Saratoga on July 23 with 79 Beyer, 81 top on turf)
- July 15 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Jardin (won Grade 3 Schuylerville Stakes on dirt at Saratoga on July 23 with 67 Beyer)

2. Classofsixtythree (Include - Rambling Rose, by Blush Rambler)
Trainer: Gary Sciacca
- Foaled May 1, 2006 in Kentucky
- $22,000 RNA weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- entered juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Spring May 2008)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner on the main track (20-10-1-4, $1,659,560, 0-2 at two, unraced on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 8-77 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 9-65 (14%) with first-time turf runners
- sire is 4-22 (18%, $1.83 ROI)with all debut runners in 2008 (all older winners on main track)
- dam was a turf winner at two (10-1-0-0, $36,830, 1-5 at two, 1-8 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $17,000 as a weanling, and $82,000 as a yearling)
- dam has four runners, three winners, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, four turf runners, no turf winners, four mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- Blush Rambler is 1-2 (50%, $3.80 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older winner on main track)
- second dam is Grade 2-placed Whip Cream (43-8-10-8, $230,623, 0-1 at two, 6-29 on turf, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer was 1-10 (10%, $4.00 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (older turf winner at Saratoga with Lasix)
- July 2 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Wink for Free (finished seventh in career debut on dirt at Monmouth in $40,000 maiden claiming on July 20 with 16 Beyer)
- July 16 workout went .02 slower than Wink for Free

3. Amanwella (Fusaichi Pegasus - Tempestina, by Storm Cat)
Trainer: H Graham Motion
- Foaled May 9, 2006 in Kentucky
- $525,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner on the main track (9-6-2-0, $1,994,400, 0-1 at two, unraced on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 14-129 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 9-137 (7%) with first-time turf runners
- sire is 4-26 (11%, $1.21 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile winners, all winners on main track)
- Fusaichi Pegasus - Storm Cat 'nick' has produced multiple stakes-winner Saki to Me (8-4-0-0, $158,695, 3-3 at two, 0-1 on turf, 2-4 in mud/slop)
- dam was a sprint winner on the main track (11-4-2-0, $101,690, unraced at two, 0-2 on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, one turf runner, one first-turf winner, no mud/slop runners
- Storm Cat is 5-57 (9%, $2.54 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (all older winners, one winner on turf)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 sprint winner (main track) Afto (12-3-2-2, $133,386, 1-2 at two, 0-4 on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3-placed router (main track) Beloved By All (9-2-2-1, $64,645, 1-1 at two, 0-1 on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile sprinter (main track) Sensible (6-1-2-2, $80,669, 1-5 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 2-22 (9%, $0.69 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $2.70 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 6-40 (15%, $1.18 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all with Lasix, one juvenile debut winner, four winners on turf, one with Ramon Dominguez aboard for this owner)
- July 19 workout matches barn's three-year-old filly Exonerated (74 turf Beyer top)

4. Stone Legacy (Birdstone - Gulch Legacy, by Gulch)
Trainer: D Wayne Lukas
- Foaled May 5, 2006
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner on the main track (9-5-0-0, $1,575,600, 2-3 at two, won debut, unraced on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-10 (20%, $4.04 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- this is sire's first turf runner
- dam was a winner (14-4-1-2, $145,501, 0-1 at two, unraced on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, one turf runner, no turf winners, two mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
- Gulch is 2-30 (7%, $0.58 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (both older winners, one winner on turf)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 1 route winner (main track) Catinca (20-9-5-4, $864,775, 0-1 at two, unraced on turf, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-13 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-6 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
-trainer was 1-39 (3%, $0.47 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (juvenile debut winner with Lasix and blinkers on the main track)
- July 10 workout went .02 slower than barn's juvenile Ninth Client (finished seventh in career debut on dirt at Belmont on July 17 with 35 Beyer)

5. Scintillation (Is It True - Strickly Elo, by Elocutionist)
Trainer: Ronny Werner
- Foaled March 5, 2006 in Florida
- $45,000 yearling (OBS Select August 2007)
- $90,000 juvenile (OBS Open March 2008)
- half-sister to stakes-winner Avid Skier (18-6-2-0, $160,848, 2-2 at two, unraced on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner on the main track at two (15-5-2-2, $819,999, 2-6 at two, unraced on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 72-542 (13%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 7-114 (6%) with first-turf runners
- dam was a winner (45-7-7-7, $58,932, 0-1 at two, unraced on turf, 4-9 in mud/slop, cost $8,500 as a yearling)
- dam has six runners, four winners, six juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, two turf runners, no turf winners, four mud/slop runners, three mud/slop winners)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning juvenile Smooth Stuff (15-3-3-1, $41,307)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Strate Murph (25-7-2-4, $39,887)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Pervation (20-4-1-3, $31,481)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Strate Jon (28-3-5-5, $28,514)
-trainer is 1-9 (11%, $1.13 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf
- worked one furlong in 10.1, and another quarter-mile in 21.2 prior to the March sale

6. Emma Darling (Hennessy - Jenna S., by Kris S.)
Trainer: Michael Maker
- Foaled April 3, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner on the main track at two (9-4-3-0, $580,400, all races at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 29-231 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 29-231 (13%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 3-28 (11%, $0.70 ROI) with all debut runners this year (all juvenile winners on the main track)
- dam was a sprint winner at two on the main track (10-1-0-1, $24,387, 1-5 at two, unraced on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- dam has three runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, three turf runners, one turf winner, three mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- Kris S. is 1-49 (2%, $0.57 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older winner on main track)
- dam a full sister to juvenile Grade 1-placed router (main track) Viz (14-1-1-1, $72,090, 1-7 at two, 0-2 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a full sister to stakes-winning router (main track) Mistress S. (21-3-8-3, $147,578, 1-5 at two, 0-6 on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-6 (17%, $1.03 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer was 3-22 (14%, $0.95 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, two juvenile debut winners, one on turf, one with Julien Leparoux aboard)
- June 3 workout matches barn's four-year-old filly Tough Apples (finished fourth in $40,000 claimer on turf at Churchill on July 2 with 33 Beyer)
- June 10 workout matches barn's three-year-old Last Tram (finished first in $15,000 maiden claimer on dirt at Churchill on July 6 with 71 Beyer, 54 turf Beyer)

7. Bambolina (War Chant - Dancinandsingin, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer: Eddie Kenneally
- Foaled March 15, 2006 in Kentucky
- $75,000 juvenile (Adena Springs Spring March 2008)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner on turf (7-5-1-0, $1,130,600, 1-1 at two, 2-2 on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 23-151 (15%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 16-108 (15%) with first-time turf runners
- dam was a route winner on the main track (12-2-1-4, $69,510, 0-2 at two, unraced on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- this is dam's first runner
- second dam is stakes-placed sprinter (main track) Scoot Yer Boots (7-5-0-1, unraced at two, all races in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- female family of Grade 1 winner Furiously
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf

8. Banker's Choice (Canadian Frontier - Berry Blessed, by St. Jovite)
Trainer: Ian Wilkes
- Foaled March 29, 2006 in Kentucky
- $32,000 RNA weanling
Keeneland November 2006)
- $100,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner on the main track (13-6-1-1, $253,239, unraced at two, 0-2 on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire is 0-6 with juvenile runners in 2008
- this is sire's first turf runner
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, 0-2 on turf, unraced in mud/slop, cost $22,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two turf runners, two turf winners, one first-turf winner, two mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 1 route winner (main track) Vindication (4-4-0-0, $680,950, all races at two on fast main tracks)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 route winner (main track) Scipion (17-2-2-2, $194,056, 1-3 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed (Japan) True Reason (11-2-1-3, unraced at two)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed juvenile router (main track) Blackberry Road ($167,785, 1-6 at two, 0-1 on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with all second-time starters switching to turf

9. Sally's Song (Unbridled's Song - Exit Now, by Wild Again)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled January 29, 2006 in Kentucky
- $350,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner on the main track (12-5-4-0, $1,311,800, 2-3 at two, won debut, unraced on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 26-196 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 30-244 (12%) with first-time turf runners
- sire is 8-34 (24%, $2.09 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all older runners, two turf debut winners)
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $2,100, all races sprinting on fast main tracks at two, cost $75,000 as a yearling, and $65,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam's first runner
- Wild Again is 1-44 (2%, $0.25 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner on the main track)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter (main track) Regal Miss Copelan (11-2-0-2, $56,225, 1-3 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 juvenile sprint winner (main track) Regally Appealing (9-3-3-2, $296,925, 3-6 at two, won debut, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 14-71 (20%, $1.43 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 7-27 (26%, $1.79 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 14-77 (18%, $1.45 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, seven juvenile winners, one on turf, 11 with John Velazquez aboard)

10. Nan (High Yield - Trip Around Heaven, by Halo)
Trainer: Bruce Brown
- Foaled March 23, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Star of Atticus (16-3-2-1, $123,971, 1-4 at two, 0-4 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- half-sister to multiple stakes-placed turf runner Limoncella (15-2-0-2, $82,292, 1-7 at two, 2-14 on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner on the main track (14-4-4-3, $1,170,196, 2-8 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 13-146 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 13-135 (10%) with first-time turf runners
- sire is 1-26 (4%, $0.14 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (older winner on main track
- dam was a sprint winner on the main track at two (7-1-1-0, $14,269, all races at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has 11 runners, 11 winners, six juvenile runners, five juvenile winners, eight North American turf runners, two North American turf winners, nine mud/slop runners, four mud/slop winners
- Halo is 2-25 (8%, $1.94 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (both older winners on the main track)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed sprinter (main track) Levitation (25-5-9-5, $178,188, 0-1 at two, 0-1 on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with all debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-3 (33%, $3.13 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner on turf with Lasix and blinkers)

11. Barbadillo (Rahy - Barbed Wire, by Affirmed)
Trainer: Mark Hennig
- Foaled May 24, 2006 in Ontario, Canada
- out yearling (Canadian September 2007)
- $160,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a Grade 2 route winner on the main track (13-6-4-1, $343,386, 2-4 at two in England, won debut, 3-8 on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire is 20-237 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 38-354 (11%) with first-time turf runners
- sire was 1-18 (6%, $0.61 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (juvenile debut winner on turf)
- dam was a stakes-winner at two (8-2-1-2, $160,767, 2-6 at two, 1-4 on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
- dam has three runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, two turf runners, one turf winner, two mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
- Affirmed is 3-34 (9%, $0.97 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (all older winners on the main track)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed sprinter (main track) Renee's Reflection (35-5-3-7, $140,830, 1-8 at two, 0-2 on turf, 1-4 in mud slop
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Marribunta (101-23-14-21, $377,282, unraced at two, 2-20 on turf, first-turf winner, 1-10 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Avid Affection (33-8-7-3, $258,700, unraced at two, 3-14 on turf, first-turf winner, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed turf runner Tropic Fire (18-2-4-1, $60,402, 0-3 at two, 2-16 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter (main track) Blue Basin (17-3-4-1, $79,423, 1-4 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Spider Wire (93-12-15-13, $477,668, 0-1 at two, 7-41 on turf, 1-8 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-13 (8%, $1.74 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-3 (33%, $7.53 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 2-13 (15%, $1.85 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both with Lasix, one on turf, one juvenile winner)

12. August Rush (Milwaukee Brew - Vividly, by Touch Gold)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
- Foaled February 15, 2006 in Florida
- $75,000 juvenile (Adena Springs Spring March 2008)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner on the main track (24-8-4-5, $2,879,612, unraced at two, unraced on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 8-53 (15%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 8-31 (26%) with first-time turf runners
- sire is 4-38 (11%, $1.47 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners, one older winner on turf)
- dam was a route winner on the main track (6-1-0-0, $27,480, unraced at two, unraced on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
- this is dam's first runner
- Touch Gold is 1-16 (6%, $0.92 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older winner on turf)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed turf runner Leo Getz (14-2-1-3, $99,958, 0-4 at two, 2-12 on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 12-36 (33%, $2.21 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, 10 with blinkers, 11 juvenile debut runners, all on the main track, three with Elvis Trujillo aboard, two for this owner)
- May 18, May 25 workouts match barn's juvenile My Man Sumo (finished fifth in career debut in $100,000 maiden claimer over Del Mar's polytrack with 58 Beyer)
- May 25 workout matches barn's juvenile Silver Bayer (finished seventh in Grade 3 Bashford Manor Stakes on dirt at Churchill on July 5 with 45 Beyer)

Analysis:
Mark Hennig and Javier Castellano teamed up for Dinner Break's juvenile debut win on turf here in 2006 at 10-1 odds, and they have another interesting prospect in BARBADILLO. The $160,000 yearling is kin to two turf winners, and his sire tends to do very well with grass performers.
SALLY'S SONG makes her debut for the always-dangerous Todd Pletcher barn, and she has been working steadily for her debut since mid-May. It's interesting that she showed a recent work at Belmont afer her previous eight drills were at Saratoga.
BAMBOLINA didn't do much in her career debut at Churchill, but her sire won the Breeders' Cup Mile on grass, and she may improve with the surface switch.
AMANWELLA goes out for an excellent turf barn, and her workout on July 19 looks very promising. The $525,000 yearling wouldn't be any kind of surprise. REMEDY makes her debut for the red-hot Steve Asmussen, and her sire, Lion Heart, has gotten off to a great start with his first crop runners. EMMA DARLING's trainer is hitting at 30% for the year. AUGUST RUSH's trainer does extremely well with first-time starters, but the daughter of Milwaukee Brew draws a tough outside post. SCINTILLATION didn't have the easiest of trips in her debut at Churchill Downs. NAN shows steady works at Belmont, and attracts Edgar Prado for high-percentage barn. BANKER'S CHOICE has plenty of class in her female family, and adds Lasix for the second start, a powerful angle in maiden races. STONE LEGACY and CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE both may want a bit more ground to play with.

Selections:
1. Barbadillo
2. Sally's Song
3. Bambolina

The Play:
Barbadillo to Win and Place at 9-2 odds or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and

profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager):
11-1-6 (- $9.80)