07/26/2007 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 7/28

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Yesterday’s results:
Race 2: Another Gulch finished a dismal sixth.

Saturday, July 28, 2007
Race 2
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $62,000

1. Slew’s Tiznow (Tiznow – Hepatica, by Slewpy)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
Foaled March 5, 2005 in Kentucky
full brother to Grade 2 route winner Slew’s Tizzy (8-3-0-0, $385,252, 0-2 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (15-8-4-2, $6,427,830, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
sire is 7-72 (10%) with juvenile debut runners (has four debut winners this year, two juveniles)
dam was a winner (3-1-0-0, $25,630, 1-2 at two, won debut, all races sprinting)
dam has three foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
dam a half-sister to Grade 3 juvenile winner Best Dress (22-4-5-4, $224,138, 2-4 at two, won debut, 3-10 in dirt sprints), multiple stakes-placed Dresser (43-5-7-4, $217,121, unraced at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints), stakes-winner Francie (8-4-3-0, $162,280, unraced at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints), stakes-winner Ginseng (22-4-2-4, $151,872, 1-5 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints), and stakes-placed Mini Skirt (17-4-2-0, $188,424, unraced at two, 3-11 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 16-72 (22%, $1.73 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (5-26, 19%, $1.53 ROI with debut Spa Babies)
trainer has two older debut winners this year (both with Lasix and Leparoux on)
July 18 workout matches up with barn's juvenile filly Ellie's Buddha (finished fifth in career debut here on July 26 with 46 Beyer).

2.West Express (Forestry – Lacie Girl, by Editor’s Note)
Trainer: Eddie Kenneally
Foaled February 17, 2005 in Kentucky
entered yearling (Fasig-Tipton Selected August 2006), $230,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (11-7-1-2, $591,225, unraced at two, 4-7 in dirt sprints)
sire is 16-105 (15%) with juvenile debut runners (has three debut winners this year, two juveniles)
dam was a multiple stakes-winner (16-8-6-0, $314,390, unraced at two, 7-12 in dirt sprints, sold for $55,000 as a short yearling)
this is dam’s first foal
juvenile sprint-winning second dam (cost $32,000 as a yearling) is a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winner Big Brown Bear (36-5-6-8, $141,200, 2-5 at two, 1-12 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 7-81 (9%, $1.94 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (1-2, 50%, $6.40 ROI with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has three juvenile debut winners this year in Kentucky (one by Forestry for this owner, all with Lasix on).
July 12 workout matches up with barn’s juvenile Ecton (finished second by a nose in lone start at Churchill Downs in $50,000 maiden claimer with 73 Beyer Speed Figure)

3. Wynn In Command (Northern Afleet – Jolie Hawk, by Mister Jolie)
Trainer: Tim Ritchey
Foaled March 14, 2005 in Florida
full brother to stakes-winning sprinter Cash’s Girl (7-3-1-0, $130,746, 1-2 at two, won debut, all races in dirt sprints)
sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (21-5-3-5, $626,671, 1-3 at two, won debut, 3-11 in dirt sprints)
sire is 19-107 (18%) with juvenile debut runners (has three debut winners this year, two juveniles)
dam was unraced (sold for $4,500 as a juvenile)
dam has three foals of racing age, two runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Unforgettable Max (23-5-4-1, $384,079, 2-2 at two, 2-9 in dirt sprints), and multiple Grade 1 winner Afleet Alex (12-8-2-1, $2,765,800, 4-6 at two, won debut, 5-5 in dirt sprints
trainer is 10-48 (21%, $1.62) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (0-1 with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has no debut winners this year
June 27 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Goursac (finished sixth in turf maiden special weight at Delaware on July 17 with 63 Beyer)
May 23 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Meep Meep (34 Beyer top)
May 16 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Saucon Meadow (finished third in career debut in $25,000 maiden claimer at Delaware on June 23 with 44 Beyer)

4. War Pass (Cherokee Run – Vue, by Mr. Prospector)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
Foaled April 17, 2005 in Kentucky
$180,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006), withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007), out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
half-brother to Grade 1 juvenile sprint winner Oath (5-2-0-1, $144,880, 2-2 at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints), and Grade 2-placed sprinter Vision of Beauty (10-4-2-0, $190,844, unraced at two, 4-9 in dirt sprints)
sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (28-13-5-5, $1,531,818, 5-7 at two, won debut, 10-17 in dirt sprints)
sire is 22-262 (8%) with juvenile debut runners (has three debut winners this year, two juveniles)
Cherokee Run – Mr. Prospector ‘nick’ produced sprint stakes-winner Cherokee Girl (12-4-1-3, $170,718, 2-6 at two, 4-9 in dirt sprints)
dam was multiple stakes-placed (6-3-1-2, $67,226, unraced at two, 3-5 in dirt sprints)
dam has seven foals of racing age, six runners, four winners, four juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner
dam a half-sister to Grade 3 route winner Country Light (6-4-2-0, $196,349, 2-2 at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints), and multiple stakes-winner Packet (14-5-3-0, $228,505, 0-2 at two, 3-5 in dirt sprints, dam of Grade 2 sprint winner, and juvenile debut winner, Great Intentions)
trainer is 21-183 (11%, $1.56 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (12-70, 17%, $2.45 ROI with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has two older debut winners this year at Gulfstream (both with Lasix on)

5. Mr. Shortcake (Cactus Ridge – Subtle Song, by Wavering Monarch)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Foaled March 2, 2005 in Kentucky
$100,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005), $180,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
first-crop sire was a Grade 3 juvenile winner (4-4-0-0, $187,850, 4-4 at two, 3-3 in dirt sprints)
sire is 4-27 (15%) with juvenile runners
dam was a winner (16-2-0-0, $29,874, 1-2 at two, 2-13 in dirt sprints)
dam has two foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Subtle Wave (19-4-1-1, $60,740, 2-3 at two, 2-7 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 89-281 (32%, $1.97 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from 31-60 day layoff (16-41, 39%, $2.90 ROI with Spa Babies off 31-60 day layoff)

6. Globalization (Touch Gold – In the Limelight, by Polish Navy)
Trainer: Richard Violette Jr.
Foaled April 9, 2005 in Kentucky
$120,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006), $250,000 juvenile (OBS March 2007, *top 20 in sale)
half-brother to multiple Grade 1 winner (Puerto Rico) Minister Margaret (65-34-11-10, $508,009, unraced at two, 6-18 in dirt sprints), and multiple stakes-winner Cash On the Run (31-9-5-2, $180,558, 5-6 at two, won debut, 7-23 in dirt sprints)
sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (15-6-3-1, $1,679,907, 1-4 at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints)
sire is 62-435 (14%) with juvenile runners
dam was unraced (sold for $155,000 as a weanling)
dam has 10 foals of racing age, eight runners, six winners, five juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner
second dam was stakes-placed router After The Show (12-2-2-0, $46,270, 1-6 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, both wins in dirt routes)
second dam a half-sister to Grade 1 winner Devil’s Orchid (23-10-6-4, $604,521, 0-1 at two, 9-20 in dirt sprints), and Grade 3 winner Double Sixes (22-8-4-4, $271,385, 0-1 at two, 5-9 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 22-86 (26%, $2.67 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles (2-14, 14%, $5.11 with Spa Babies making second lifetime start)
worked one furlong in 10.40, and another furlong in 10.20 prior to the February sale

7. Commandeered (Deputy Commander – Bag of Tricks, by Devil’s Bag)
Trainer: William Mott
Foaled February 18, 2005 in Kentucky
$225,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006), out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
half-brother to multiple Grade 3 sprint winner Confide (13-5-5-0, $230,766, 2-5 at two, 5-12 in dirt sprints)
sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (13-4-3-2, $1,906,640, unraced at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints)
sire is 8-164 (5%) with juvenile debut runners (has no debut winners this year)
dam was a winner (10-1-2-0, $10,930, 0-2 at two, all races in dirt sprints)
dam has 10 foals of racing age, eight runners, five winners, six juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
second dam is Grade 2 winner Quixotic Lady (35-13-12-3, $554,239)
trainer is 17-208 (8%, $0.93 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (2-55, 4%, $0.40 ROI with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has seven debut winners this year (two juveniles, four on turf, six with Lasix, two with blinkers, two with Desormeaux, three for this owner)
May 23 work matches barn’s juvenile He’s the Commander (finished fourth in career debut on turf on July 13 with 59 Beyer)
June 29 workout went .01 faster than barn’s juvenile Always a Believer (won career debut on grass on July 22 with 69 Beyer), and barn’s juvenile filly Namaste’s Wish (finished fourth in career debut on dirt on July 6 wity 33 Beyer)

8. Baystreet Bully (Red Bullet – Noble Robyn, by Skip Trial)
Trainer: Leroy Jolley
Foaled March 15, 2005 in Florida
$115,000 juvenile (Adena Springs March 2007)
half-brother to Grade 3-placed Racketeer (14-4-2-6, $212,804, 0-1 at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints)
sire was a Grade 1 route winner (14-6-2-2, $1,161,920, unraced at two, 4-4 in dirt sprints)
sire is 2-23 (9%) with juvenile debut runners (has two debut winners this year, one juvenile)
dam was a multiple stakes-winner (38-11-12-4, $317,219, 1-2 at two, won debut, 9-29 in dirt sprints)
dam has three foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
second dam a winning full sister to stakes-placed Skyway (73-10-9-13, $212,012, 0-4 at two, 0-4 in dirt sprints), and stakes-placed Naked Way (80-10-9-12, $150,334, 0-5 at two, 2-22 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 1-19 (5%, $1.08 ROI) over the past five years with debuting juveniles (0-7 with debuting Spa Babies)
looked good galloping on turf prior to Adena Springs sale

9. Touch the Devil (Pulpit – Saphiria, by Touch Gold)
Trainer: George Weaver
Foaled May 22, 2005 in Kentucky
$190,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (6-4-1-0, $728,200, unraced at two, 1-1 in dirt sprints)
sire is 67-392 (17%) with juvenile runners
dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $680, 0-1 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, cost $650,000 as a juvenile)
dam has two foals of racing age, two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
dam a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Code Blum (24-7-3-2, $151,630, 1-3 at two, 7-22 in dirt sprints), juvenile stakes-winner Marsheslew (30-7-6-3, $289,233, 2-5 at two, 6-25 in dirt sprints), stakes-winner Flag on the Play (48-9-6-6, $257,458, 1-4 at two, 6-24 in dirt sprints), and multiple Grade 1 winner Left Bank (24-14-2-0, $1,402,805, 1-2 at two, 10-16 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 3-57 (5%, $0.94 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles (0-17 with Spa Babies making second lifetime start)

10. Lord and T. (A.P. Indy – Cyber Cat, by Storm Cat)
Trainer: D Wayne Lukas
Foaled March 28, 2005 in Kentucky
$500,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Over the Edge (3-2-1-0, $71,012, 1-2 at two, won debut, all races sprinting)
sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (11-8-0-1, $2,979,815, 3-4 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints)
sire is 31-267 (12%) with juvenile debut runners (has two older debut winners this year)
dam was a winner (3-2-1-0, $57,000, unraced at two, all races in dirt sprints)
dam has four foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
dam a half-sister to Grade 3 juvenile winner Mr. Jester (15-5-4-0, $785,400, 4-6 at two, won debut, 2-4 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 18-202 (9%, $0.94 ROI) over the past five years with debuting juveniles (0-36 with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has no debut winners this year
July 7 workout matches up with barn’s juvenile Saratoga Seven (finished seventh in lone start on June 30 at Churchill Downs with 34 Beyer)

11. Valadour (Volponi – Thinkinaboutyou, by Wild Again)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
Foaled January 31, 2005 in Kentucky
$5,000 short yearling (Fasig-Tipton February 2006), withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton April 2007)
half-brother to multiple stakes-placed Doc Davis (22-4-4-2, $52,644, 3-6 at two, 4-20 in dirt sprints), multiple stakes-winner Lost Again (75-14-16-13, $152,432, 2-4 at two, 9-50 in dirt sprints), and juvenile route stakes-winner Wildaboutyouagain (8-2-1-2, $44,700, 2-6 at two, 0-4 in dirt sprints)
first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner (31-7-12-5, $3,187,232, 1-5 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints)
sire is 2-18 (11%) with juvenile runners
dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $1,163, 0-2 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, cost $46,000 as a yearling)
dam has eight foals of racing age, seven runners, five winners, five juvenile runners, three juvenile winners
dam a full sister to multiple stakes-placed Malagot (50-7-9-9, $138,514, 1-5 at two, 0-12 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix for the first time (0-1 at Saratoga with those parameters)

12. Mapmaker (Unbridled’s Song – Biscayne Bay, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
Foaled March 23, 2005 in Kentucky
sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (12-5-4-0, $1,311,800, 2-3 at two, won debut, 2-4 in dirt sprints)
sire is 26-176 (15%) with juvenile debut runners (has four older debut winners this year)
dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $0, lost sprinting at two)
this is dam’s first foal
dam a full sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Surfside (15-8-3-2, $1,852,987, 4-6 at two, won debut, 2-5 in dirt sprints), and stakes-placed router Flanders Fields (13-3-3-2, $135,631, 1-4 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 10-112 (9%, $0.83 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (0-15 with debuting Spa Babies)
trainer has one juvenile debut winner in Kentucky this year (Lasix and Albarado on)
June 4, July 2, July 9 workouts match barn’s juvenile Noble Hero (finished fourth in career debut here on July 25 with 52 Beyer)
July 22 workout matches barn’s four-year-old Smokeyjonessutton (102 Beyer top)

Analysis:
MR. SHORTCAKE wasn’t disgraced in his most recent outing at Churchill Downs, and three of the runners exiting that heat returned to hit the board in their next starts. The winner of the June 16 event, Sok Sok, came back to run a decent fourth in the Sanford here on Thursday. The Pletcher maidens haven’t exactly been tearing up the track, but this colt has some speed, and should be prominent when they turn for home.
TOUCH THE DEVIL was no match for big Beyer maiden graduate Fed Watcher at Belmont, but he gained valuable experience that day, and may sit a candy trip stalking the top selection and GLOBALIZATION in the early stages. WEST EXPRESS is bred both sides for speed, and goes out for an underrated debut barn. Trainer Eddie Kenneally sent out juvenile debut winner Deputy Glitters here in 2005. MAPMAKER is out of a half-sister to Surfside, and his recent work over the Oklahoma Training Track looks pretty good. He must deal with a tough outside post position.
SLEW’S TIZNOW is a full to the solid Slew’s Tizzy, but draws an intimidating inside post, and may be more effective in longer races down the road. GLOBALIZATION faced a promising group in his career debut at Belmont (winner Tale of Ekati returned to run second in the Sanford), and trainer Richard Violette does very well with babies at Saratoga. He should be prominent from the get-go.

The play: Mr. Shortcake to win at 2-1 odds or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 5-2-3 (+$2.20)