07/26/2008 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 7/27

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet. Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Saturday's result:
Race 2: New Providence finished seventh

Sunday, July 27, 2008

Race 2
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York-breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $56,000

1. Scorch the Torch (Smoke Glacken - Beautiful America, by Dixie Brass)
Trainer: Ramon Hernandez
- Foaled May 7, 2006
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (14-10-2-1, $759,560, 4-6 at two, 9-10 in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 39-228 (17%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-34 (12%, $0.93 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners)
- dam was a multiple stakes-winner (21-6-4-5, $523,927, 4-6 at two, won debut, 4-12 in main track sprints, 2-4 in mud/slop)
- this is dam's first runner
- Dixie Brass is 1-13 (8%, $0.42 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Eyeofthehunter (5-1-2-0, $60,860, 1-4 at two, 1-4 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 6-40 (15%, $2.88 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-12 (25%, $5.52 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer was 1-11 (9%, $1.87 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (juvenile debut winner at Saratoga with Lasix and front bandages)
- May 18, June 21, July 9, July 17 workouts went .02 slower than barn's juvenile Lookin At Her (finished third in career debut at Belmont on June 26 with 55 Beyer, won second-out at Saratoga on July 23 with 69 Beyer)
- May 25, June 13 workouts match Lookin At Her
- July 4 workout went .02 faster than barn's juvenile filly Helen's Lady (50 Beyer)

1A. The Third Degree (Hook and Ladder - Interviewing, by Allen's Prospect)
Trainer: Ramon Hernandez
- Foaled April 25, 2006
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (19-6-2-3, $388,120, 1-1 at two, 6-18 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- second-crop sire is 7-34 (21%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 7-26 (27%, $3.23 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2007 (two at Saratoga)
- dam was a sprint winner (13-3-1-2, $62,988, unraced at two, 3-6 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners, one mud/slop runner
- Allen's Prospect is 7-44 (16%, $1.61 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Verbal Volley (51-8-7-11, $221,231, 0-2 at two, 2-16 in main track sprints, 3-7 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning turf runner Oh Nonsense (17-5-3-4, $123,454, unraced at two, 0-4 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 6-40 (15%, $2.88 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-12 (25%, $5.52 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer was 1-11 (9%, $1.87 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (juvenile debut winner at Saratoga with Lasix and front bandages)
- May 24 workout went .02 slower than barn's juvenile filly Life Support (finished seventh in career debut on July 4 with 36 Beyer)
- May 31 workout went .02 faster than Life Support
- June 6, June 20 workouts match Life Support
- June 27 workout went .01 faster than Life Support

2. Cribnote (Read the Footnotes - Totebook, by Notebook)
Trainer: Richard Violette Jr.
- Foaled February 12, 2006
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (8-5-0-0, $450,660, 4-5 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-10 (20%) with all juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was placed sprinting (8-0-0-1, $3,890, 0-2 at two, 0-4 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $33,000 as a weanling)
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 sprint winner D'or Ruckus (50-8-6-3, $418,983, 0-3 at two, 8-43 in main track sprints, 2-8 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Wild Ruckus (73-8-9-7, $64,145, 1-3 at two, 8-67 in main track sprints, 3-9 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Diane's Birthday (16-4-2-3, $69,190, 0-5 a two, 1-7 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 24-90 (27%, $2.69 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 2-17 (12%, $4.47 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

3. Pegasus Tommy D. (Gold Fever - Lillyatthehelm, by Helmsman)
Trainer: Leo O'Brien
- Foaled April 1, 2006
- $3,500 RNA weanling (New York Mixed October 2006)
- entered juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Spring May 2008)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (18-7-4-1, $480,712, 3-6 at two, 4-9 in main track sprints)
- sire is 13-156 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 1-14 (7%, $1.14 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (older debut winner)
- dam was placed sprinting in the slop (6-0-1-0, $1,660, unraced at two, 0-5 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning router Rocker (18-3-3-3, $72,442, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 1-19 (5%, $1.57 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer was 1-7 (14%, $15.43 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (older debut runner
- July 17 workout matches barn's four-year-old Thunder Minister (67 dirt Beyer, 83 on turf)

4. Natty Meboy (Whywhywhy - Tobie Lang, by Langfuhr)
Trainer: Scott Schwartz
- Foaled February 7, 2006
- $60,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- $50,000 juvenile claim (from trainer Kellyn Gorder at Churchill Downs on May 28, 2008)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (9-3-1-1, $315,015, 3-5 at two, 2-6 in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 20-132 (15%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a winner (27-3-8-3, $98,310, 0-5 at two, 2-24 in main track sprints, 0-6 in mud/slop, cost $40,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Charming Ruckus (22-4-4-4, $294,535, 1-4 at two, 4-12 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juveniles off the claim

5. Remarkable Storm (Stormy Atlantic - Most Remarkable, by Marquetry)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
- Foaled February 8, 2006
- half-brother to juvenile stakes-winning turf runner Remarkable Remy (8-3-0-1, $135,165, 2-5 at two, won debut, all races on turf)
- $75,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2007)
- $90,000 RNA juvenile (Keeneland April 2008)
- sire was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (15-6-2-1, $148,126, 0-1 at two, all races in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 139-895 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $0, 0-2 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile debut winner, no mud/slop runners
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Corkboy (26-7-3-3, $95,613, 1-3 at two, all races in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Orangeman (11-1-2-2, $64,810, 1-2 at two, all races in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade 2 turf winner Snow Dance (25-8-5-5, $938,597, 1-2 at two, 1-4 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- trainer is 13-242 (5%, $1.28 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 2-40 (5%, $3.07 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners at Saratoga
- galloped at the April sale

6. Tall Poppi (Intidab - Jupiter Hollow, by Salt Lake)
Trainer: Barclay Tagg
- Foaled March 14, 2006
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner (36-7-12-5, $531,221, 0-2 at two in England, 6-30 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 3-18 (17%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-7 (14%, $1.34) with debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
- dam was a sprint winner (8-1-3-0, $20,850, unraced at two, all races in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop, sold for $120,000 as a yearling, and for $50,000 as juvenile)
- dam has one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner, no mud/slop runners
- Salt Lake is 8-48 (17%, $2.43 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 route winner Antrim Rd. (16-5-4-1, $437,888, 2-6 at two, 3-8 in main track sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 10-67 (15%, $2.23 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-14 (21%, $1.24 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 2-38 (5%, $0.59 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both older runners with Lasix, one with Eibar Coa aboard)
- June 6, June 12 workouts match barn's three-year-old filly Muchado (finished fifth in $30,000 maiden claiming career debut at Monmouth on June 26 with 49 Beyer)
- July 7 workout matches barn's three-year-old Tiger Bud (finished ninth in 'n1x' allowance on turf at Monmouth on July 19 with 71 Beyer, 63 Beyer on dirt)

7. Footnote This (Read the Footnotes - Structured, by West by West)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled January 31, 2006
- $140,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2007)
- $220,000 juvenile (Keeneland April 2008)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (8-5-0-0, $450,660, 4-5 at two, won debut, 2-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 0-7 with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a sprint winner (14-4-2-2, $19,510, unraced at two, 4-13 in main track sprints, 2-5 in mud/slop, cost $65,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- West by West is 2-19 (11%, $1.98 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (both older winners)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Marquesa Lana (7-4-1-0, $83,368, 2-4 at two, won debut, 4-6 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- trainer is 97-449 (22%, $1.57 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 22-106 (21%, $1.42 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 15-76 (20%, $1.54 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all with Lasix, one with blinkers on, eight juvenile debut winners, at at this meet, twelve with John Velazquez aboard)
- worked one furlong in 10.00 prior to the April sale
- May 5 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Market At Midday (finished third in career debut at Belmont on JUne 19 with 80 Beyer, finished third in second start here on July 24 with 55)

8. Stay Alittle While (Flatter - Gosh All Get Out, by D'Accord)
Trainer: Kathleen Feron
- Foaled May 8, 2006
- $3,500 RNA weanling (Fasig-Tipton Mixed December 2006)
- sire was a Grade 2-placed router (6-4-0-1, $148,815, unraced at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 5-47 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-24 (8%, $2.08 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was placed routing (7-0-1-0, $8,400, 0-1 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has three runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, three mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
- D'Accord is 3-16 (19%, $4.96 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners)
- dam a full sister to stakes-winner Jay's Crown (12-4-0-1, $97,655, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints)
- trainer is 0-9 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga

Analysis:
FOOTNOTE THIS worked a furlong in ten seconds flat prior to selling for $220,000 earlier this year. That's over 25 times the stud fee of sire Read the Footnotes, and Footnote This is in the extremely capable hands of John Velazquez and Todd Pletcher. The colt has been working consistently since late April, and should show speed in this spot.
PEGASUS TOMMY D. has the look of an intriguing longshot. The gelded son of Gold Fever sports a bullet five furlong workout ten days ago, and attracts the hot-riding Alan Garcia.
TALL POPPI is bred for speed on both sides of the pedigree, and Barclay Tagg has sent out some live New York-breds in recent years at the Spa.
CRIBNOTE had a tough trip in his career debut at Belmont, but now draws a tough inside post. Richard Violette Jr. is one of the more underrated trainers on the circuit, and he boasts excellent numbers with second-time juvenile starters. SCORCH THE TORCH is by the quick Smoke Glacken out of a mare that did very well in New York-bred races as a two-year-old. Ramon Hernandez won a two-year-old race earlier in the meet. NATTY MEBOY adds blinkers, and drops from open company after being claimed at Churchill Downs. The son of Whywhywhy seems to have some speed. REMARKABLE STORM may have been overmatched against open maiden special weights at Churchill Downs, and should appreciate the drop in class. THE THIRD DEGREE is by a precocious young sire, but the works fail to excite. STAY ALITTLE WHILE worked a bullet out of the gate at Aqueduct, but draws a wide berth.

Selections:
1. Footnote This
2. Pegasus Tommy D.
3. Tall Poppi

The play:
Footnote This at 2-1 odds or higher

***

Race 6
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000

1. Danceyoursocksoff (Pleasantly Perfect - Come Dancing, by Two Punch)
Trainer: D Wayne Lukas
- Foaled February 25, 2006 in Kentucky
- withdrawn weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $160,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2008)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade/Group 1 winner (USA/UAE) (18-9-3-2, $7,789,880, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-5 (40%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was a route winner (8-1-2-0, $25,291, 0-2 at two, 0-3 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $30,336 as a yearling)
- dam has eight runners, six winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, six mud/slop runners, three mud/slop winners)
- dam a half-sister to Group 3 winner (Ireland) Street Rebel (61-12-10-8, $155,385, 1-2 at two, champion sprinter in Switzerland)
- dam a full sister to multiple stakes-winner Ponche (47-16-9-6, $437,086, 0-1 at two, 10-31 in main track sprints, 4-8 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner (Japan Cup Dirt) Fleetstreet Dancer (25-5-7-3, $1,704,806, unraced at two, 1-3 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- trainer is 12-163 (7%, $1.02 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 4-38 (11%, $1.56 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

2. Persistently (Smoke Glacken - Just Reward, by Deputy Minister)
Trainer: Claude McGaughey III
- Foaled May 7, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (14-10-2-1, $759,560, 4-6 at two, 9-10 in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 39-228 (17%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-34 (12%, $0.93 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners)
- dam was a route winner (3-1-2-0, $43,000, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- this is dam's first runner
- Deputy Minister is 6-89 (7%, $1.05 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 route winner Pure Prize (17-5-5-2, $475,459, 1-3 at two, 0-4 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Good Reward (26-5-2-7, $1,087,687, 1-4 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 4-62 (6%, $0.65 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-26 (4%, $0.44 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 2-17 (12%, $1.40 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both older horses with Lasix for this owner)

3. Ride With the Herd (Candy Ride - War Bride, by Lord At War)
Trainer: Richard Violette Jr.
- Foaled March 16, 2006 in Florida
- $47,000 yearling (OBS Select August 2007)
- $220,000 juvenile (OBS Select February 2008)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade/Group 1 winner (ARG/USA) (6-6-0-0, $749,149, unraced at two, 1-1 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire is 4-23 (17%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was unplaced (8-0-0-0, $3,210, 0-1 at two, 0-7 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $17,000 as a weanling, and $24,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner, no mud/slop runners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Country Humor (11-3-1-2, $58,957, 1-2 at two, 3-8 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
-trainer is 24-90 (27%, $2.69 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 2-17 (12%, $4.47 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga
- worked one furlong in 10.1 prior to the February sale

4. War Echo (Tapit - Wild Vision, by Wild Again)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled March 6, 2006 in Kentucky
three-quarter sister to Grade 2 route winner Pyro (9-4-2-1, $1,174,063, 1-4 at two, won debut, 1-2 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner (6-3-0-0, $557,300, 2-2 at two, unraced in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 1-14 (7%, $0.56 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a sprint winner at two (1-1-0-0, $17,400, unraced in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners)
- Wild Again is 1-43 (2%, $0.31 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
- dam a full sister to Grade 2 route winner Wild Wonder (20-9-5-4, $639,036, 1-1 at two, 4-7 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 132-666 (20%, $1.87 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 7-31 (23%, $1.45 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 35-169 (21%, $1.69 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (34 with Lasix, 25 juvenile debut winners, 14 with Shaun Bridgmohan aboard, two for this owner)
- July 8 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Jardin (won Grade 3 Schuylerville on July 23 at Saratoga with 67 Beyer)

5. Pearl of Valor (Medaglia d'Oro - Madeira M'dear, by Black Tie Affair)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
- Foaled February 15, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Boardwalk Baby (7-1-0-1, $11,045, 1-5 at two, 1-7 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- half-brother to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter American Mon (10-2-4-1, $97,205, 1-2 at two, 2-7 in main track sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- $310,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $385,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (17-8-7-0, $5,754,720, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 5-25 (20%) with juvenile runners in 2008
-dam was unplaced (4-0-0-0, $1,660, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop, cost $60,000 as a yearling
- dam has five runners, three winners, four juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Aggressive Bid (13-7-1-1, $163,462)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 route winner Moment of Hope (23-6-5-4, $406,222, 0-3 at two, 3-14 in main track sprints, 0-5 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 18-95 (19%, $2.18 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 3-15 (20%, $3.05 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

6. Northern Harbor (Northern Afleet - Ducktrap Harbor, by Polish Navy)
Trainer: Gary Sciacca
- Foaled April 1, 2006 in Kentucky
- $245,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Summer July 2007)
- $200,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2008)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (21-5-3-5, $626,671, 1-3 at two, won debut, 3-11 in main track sprints, 2-5 in mud/slop)
- sire is 21-143 (15%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-56 (7%, $0.55 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner out of a Polish Navy mare)
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $360, all races sprinting on the main track at two, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- this is dam's first starter
- Polish Navy is 1-13 (8%, $0.38 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
- second dam is Grade 1 juvenile winner Qualique (11-2-0-4, $91,808)
- trainer is 1-24 (4%, $1.94 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-8 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer was 1-10 (10%, $4.00 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (older runner on turf at Saratoga with Lasix on)
- worked one furlong in 10.4 prior to the February sale

7. She's From Queens (Dixie Union - Queen's Legend, by Dynaformer)
Trainer: George Arnold II
- Foaled March 5, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to stakes-winner C P West (10-2-4-0, $383,820, 1-3 at two, won debut, 1-3 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (12-7-3-0, $1,233,190, 4-6 at two, won debut, 5-7 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire is 15-148 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-31 (13%, $1.08 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners)
- dam was stakes-placed on turf (28-5-9-5, $247,581, 0-2 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop, cost $25,000 as a weanling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile debut winner, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- Dynaformer is 2-49 (4%, $0.19 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- trainer is 12-77 (16%, $2.40 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-22 (5%, $1.10 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 1-17 (6%, $0.25 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (older route winner with Lasix on)
- June 2, July 6 workouts match barn's three-year-old filly Pathtothecrown (72 Beyer top)
- June 9 workout matches barn's three-year-old filly Sealed Bid (finished fourth in maiden special weight at Churchill on June 20 with 51 Beyer)
- June 21 workout matches barn's three-year-old Days Work (finished ninth in career debut at Arlington on July 5 with 25 Beyer)
- July 13 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Clear Cut (finished third in career debut at Ellis Park on July 19 with 52 Beyer)

8. Miss Ocean City (Mineshaft - Madam Lagonza, by Kingmambo)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
- Foaled April 20, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to multiple Grade 3 turf winner Woodlander (25-5-3-3, $330,374, 0-3 at two, 0-4 in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- $160,000 RNA weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2008)
- second-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (18-10-3-1, $2,283,402, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 1-24 (4%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 1-21 (5%, $0.25 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2007
- dam was unraced (cost $22,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- Kingmambo is 2-19 (11%, $3.32 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Sheer Quality (37-2-6-4, $94,100, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to Group 2-placed (Ireland) juvenile Political Fact (22-7-0-4, $115,305, 1-2 at two in Ireland, 0-1 in main track sprints, 2-5 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed (Ireland) Major Inquiry (40-6-4-7, $64,666, 1-2 at two in Ireland, unraced in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- trainer is 24-177 (14%, $1.90 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
-trainer is 14-74 (19%, $2.65 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 1-13 (8%, $0.45 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (older runner with Lasix)

9. Pumpkin Shell (Lion Heart - Changing Ways, by Time for A Change)
Trainer: David Donk
- Foaled February 11, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to Grade 2 turf winner Pays to Dream (15-5-1-4, $377,741, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (10-5-3-0, $1,390,800, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 7-20 (35%, $6.25 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a Grade 2 sprint winner at two (6-2-1-0, $104,247, 2-3 at two, won debut, 2-5 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop, cost $57,000 as a yearling)
- dam has six runners, six winners, four juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, three mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- Time for a Change is 4-24 (17%, $1.72 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners)
- dam a half-sister to the multiple stakes-placed Captain Arthur (43-7-3-11 ($144,978, 0-1 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 sprint winner Jacodra (16-4-4-3, $173,675, 1-2 at two, 4-15 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Jacodra's Devil (15-5-1-6, $271,127, 1-2 at two, 2-5 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- trainer is 3-87 (3%, $1.69 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-13 (8%, $5.50 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga)
- trainer was 1-30 (3%, $0.63 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (older debut runner in route race with Lasix)
- June 21 workout went .02 slower than barn's juvenile Relatively Ready (24 Beyer)
- July 1 workout went .02 slower than barn's three-year-old He Ain't Easy (67 dirt Beyer, 80 on turf)
- July 17 workout went .02 slower than barn's three-year-old filly Stormy Relations (4 Beyer on dirt, 85 on turf)
- July 23 workout matches Stormy Relations

Analysis:
WAR ECHO, a three-quarter sister to Jim Dandy starter Pyro, makes her career debut for Steve Asmussen with some good-looking workouts on her tab.
PEARL OF VALOR chased next-out Schuylerville winner Jardin in her career debut at Churchill Downs, and Dallas Stewart historically does better second-out than with his debut runners.
RIDE WITH THE HERD made up ground late in her career debut at Belmont. She worked quickly over the main track five days ago for a sharp barn.
DANCEYOURSOCKSOFF didn't do much in her debut, and now draws a tough inside post. She may want a bit more ground. SHE'S FROM QUEENS is a half to C P West, and shows some quick works at Keeneland. PUMPKIN SHELL may want turf down the road as she's a half to Pays to Dream. MISS OCEAN CITY goes out for excellent barn, but the Mineshafts seem to do better with more distance and experience. PERSISTENTLY is a granddaughter of Heavenly Prize, and may do more around a route of ground. NORTHERN HARBOR sold very well earlier this year, and shows quick workouts at Belmont.

Selections:
1. War Echo
2. Pearl of Valor
3. Ride With the Herd

The play:
War Echo to Win at 7-2 odds or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and

profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager):
9-1-6 (- $7.80)