04/22/2017 11:35AM

Saturday’s TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Roll Tide Roll can get back on track for Chris Englehart

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Aqueduct | Race 5 | Post Time 3:38 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs

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Despite its relatively small size, this is one of the most competitive fields on the card, as you can make a solid case for just about any of the six runners. Gentrify figures to be dangerous given that the Pace Projector is predicting that his status as the lone front-runner in the field will give him an advantage. After all, his last race is better than it seems, considering that he was off slowly and had to rush up to secure the early lead. He's the horse to beat, but I think others will offer better value.

My top pick is ROLL TIDE ROLL (#4), who makes his first start off the claim by Chris Englehart. His last race is also not as discouraging as it appears since he was forced to race four wide for much of the run around the far turn after getting shuffled out of position on the backstretch. He actually did well to nearly regain second at the wire. I expect him to show more speed under Mike Luzzi this time.

THE PLAY

Win: 4

Exacta Key Box: 4 with 1,3,5,6

Trifecta: 4 with 1,5 with ALL