07/26/2013 8:37AM

Saratoga Vulnerable Favorites, Live Longshots, and Spot Plays: July 27

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SPOT PLAYS AND LIVE LONGSHOTS

Saratoga Race 1, (1:00 ET)

AU MOON (#11, 8-1) Clearly the key to the Spa opener is whether Caixa Eletronica will be effective at 9 panels at a short price, and if you’re skeptical, then Au Moon could be the right upsetter. His connections have always felt he could be an upper-class performer, and finally, at age 7, he’s starting to fulfill his potential, as evidenced by his 3-for-4 streak. Bridgmo can overcome the outer post with some nifty handling; very live here with the right trip. – Marty McGee

Saratoga Race 3, (2:00 ET)

TWANG (#3, 3-1) Homebred ran well in his debut making a middle move into a fast pace at Churchill Downs, held own working in company with stakes caliber older stable mate Cease here on 7/21. Should benefit from already having had a race under his belt stretching to six furlongs for his second start. – Mike Welsch

Saratoga Race 6, (3:35 ET) - LIVE LONGSHOT

NON STOP (#4, 20-1) After pressing the pace from post 10 at 1 1/1/6 miles on Belmont's inner turf course, he goes first time off a claim and returns to dirt for the first time since the fall of 2011, when he garnered his first two victories before a pair of fourth-place finishes behind repeaters. - Dave Litfin

Saratoga Race 7, (4:07 ET) - LIVE LONGSHOT

LEAD SINGER (#6, 15-1) prompted a quick pace before tiring in his latest, and he lost all chance when forced to check on the turn two back; could get first run on likely speed FOLK SINGER, who has been known to stop, which could mean he inherits the lead at a most opportune time. - Kenny Peck

Saratoga Race 7, (4:07 ET) - LIVE LONGSHOT

BALTHAZAR (#4, 10-1) ran much better than it may appear after enduring tough trip on grass back on 3/30, and ran into the freakish Free World at Indiana Downs last time; going to be a good price in this big field. - Mike Beer

Saratoga Race 8, (4:39 ET)

KRIS ROYAL (#5, 5-1) exits a small but solid field in stake at Indiana; trainer excels with second off the layoff and gets huge rider switch to Velazquez. Play to win and exacta box with #2 SACHEM SPIRIT. - Chuck Kuehhas

Saratoga Race 8, (4:39 ET)

SACHEM SPIRIT (#2, 4-1) Has changed hands since making his 2013 debut nearly seven months ago and looked great working five eighths over the Oklahoma turf course 10 days earlier in preparation for his local debut. - Mike Welsch

VULNERABLE FAVORITES

Saratoga Race 3, (2:00 ET)

BAY OF BISCAY (#5, 9-5) Having Todd Pletcher as his trainer and having brought $750,000 in the sales ring last fall should assure the son of Giant's Causeway will go postward as favorite in his debut and while he has shown some speed and promise in the morning, he could be vulnerable at a short price launching career at six furlongs in a field that includes a pair of experienced runners from Kentucky and a couple of other promising looking juveniles. - Mike Welsch

Saratoga Race 8, (4:39 ET)

FILM SHOT (#8, 3-1) Latest was only one of many squandered perfect trips for well-bred, well-connected colt, who just may be best used underneath. - Mike Beer

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