07/29/2013 9:49AM

Saratoga: Spot Plays and Keys, B's and C's for Monday, July 29

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SARATOGA SPOT PLAYS by Mike Welsch

SPOT PLAYS

2nd Race - LUNAR SURGE

Held her own working in company with stable mate Lighthouse Bay, winner of the Grade 1 Prioress here Saturday, and should benefit from her lone start around two turns earlier this season.  Barn on a roll to open the meet.

3rd Race - I'M SMOKIN HOT

Tossing out this filly's debut in the mud when stopping badly after showing some early speed. Looked good working on the turf, figures to offer some real value if this one goes as scheduled on the lawn.

VULNERABLE FAVORITE

8TH Race - DANCE TO BRISTOL

Well travelled and red hot miss enters the Honorable Miss riding a five race win streak but faces a field chock full of in form horses like herself while making her Spa debut in the process. Faces toughest bunch yet, may prove a vulnerable choice.

PICK 3 (RACES 2-4)

2nd

A's WEDDING TOAST, LUNAR SURGE

B's  MISS EMELIA

C's FLORES ISLAND, PROUD VIXEN

3RD

A'S I'M SMOKIN HOT, FEVERED KISS MAHNA

B'S  WILD ONE, LIQUID LUNCH

C'S  AIRE OF DISTINCTION, QUAY

4TH

A'S BIG SCREEN, CEASE

C'S TECH FALL, DON DULCE, AUSSI AUSTIN

Keying Wedding Toast, the likely favorite, and Lunar Surge, who should improve off one race and some good works here, in the second race. The third is a wide open turf sprint but taking a shot at a price with I'm Smokin Hot along with logical like Fevered Kiss and Mahna. Big Screen and Cease the class of the field in race four.

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