09/01/2011 8:44PM

Saratoga: Spa Babies for Sept. 2, Race 2

Email

Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet and hope for a tidy profit.

In past years, I would list the stats for each horse before writing up my analysis, selections and wagering strategy. In order to streamline the content, this year's Spa Babies will showcase written analyses of each juvenile race. Each analysis will include relevant statistical information. Following the analysis, top three selections and wagering strategy will be provided.

Thursday's results:
Race 3:  Victory Island finished third
Race 6:  Lindyhop finished fourth
Race 9:  Captain Webb finished sixth
Race 11:  Constantinople finished 10th

Friday, September 2, 2011

Race 2
6 Furlongs
Gold and Roses Stakes (New York Breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $75,000

Analysis:
BAY PARK BOY dominated maidens in the mud with a gaudy 88 Beyer Speed Figure and may be the better-priced of the two Todd Pletcher-trained runners.  The fifth-place finisher from that race returned to graduate for a $50,000 tag with a 49 Beyer Speed Figure and Bay Park Boy should be prominent in the early going under Cornelio Velasquez.

THE PRIZE FIGHTER has a tendency to lug in during the stretch, but he earned solid pace figures when gamely turning away JAW CRUSHER here on August 13.  He draws a cozy outside post and shouldn't be too far away when the field swings into the stretch.  The Flying Zee Stable juveniles have been extremely live at this meet.

JAW CRUSHER is a maiden tackling winners, but he took a good amount of money for a barn that just doesn't win first-out and missed by a dirty neck.  He should improve with that experience under his belt and looms a strong factor despite lacking winning experience.

ZOW handled two next-out winners (one of them was The Prize Fighter while the other bested several next-out winners on July 14 at Belmont) when riding a speed-friendly Belmont surface on July 1.  He likely will be hustled from the inside post under Pletcher's go-to rider, John Velazquez, but may face some early pressure.

DEHERE OF THE CAT pressed the pace over a speed-favoring Saratoga course when successful in his career debut on July 24.  Of the four runners to return from that race, only one was able to crack the trifecta next-out.

SILENT THUNDER didn't have an easy trip in key race career debut at Belmont, but broke better from the gate when dangled for $50,000 at the Spa (sixth-place finisher returned to graduate for a $35,000 tag with a 49 Beyer).  He was an easy winner that afternoon, but will face tougher competition this time around

Selections:
1. Bay Park Boy
2. The Prize Fighter
3. Jaw Crusher

The Play:
Bay Park Boy - The Prize Fighter Exacta
Bay Park Boy - Jaw Crusher Exacta