07/23/2011 10:31AM

Saratoga: Spa Babies for July 23, Race 2

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet and hope for a tidy profit.

In past years, I would list the stats for each horse before writing up my analysis, selections and wagering strategy. In order to streamline the content, this year's Spa Babies will showcase written analyses of each juvenile race. Each analysis will include relevant statistical information. Following the analysis, top three selections and wagering strategy will be provided.

Friday's results:
Race 5 - Refining finished fourth
Race 7 - Proud and Charming finished fourth
Race 9 - Gypsy Robin finished fourth

Saturday, July 23, 2011

Race 2
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse: $50,000

Analysis:
WHINSTON (Pomeroy - Leah's Angel, by Caller I. D., April 19, 2009 in Florida, $75,000 OBS Select Yearling, $625,000 Barretts March Juvenile) worked a furlong in 10.1 prior to the March auction. He is by a multiple Grade 1 sprint winner (2-4 at two) that is 30-160 (19%) with juvenile runners. Whinston is a half to Grade 3 sprint winner Expect An Angel (9-24, 236K, 1-1 at two) and multiple stakes-placed sprinter Tontine Too (5-13, 194K). The dam was unplaced from one sprint start. The third dam was stakes-placed (2-19, 21K, 0-5 at two). Trainer Steve Asmussen is 8-19 (42%, $3.93 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in maiden special weight dirt sprints at Saratoga. In his career debut, Whinston was hammered to 6-5 favoritism and broke a step slow from the far outside post over a sloppy, sealed surface. He rushed up to contest the pace while three wide before tiring in the stretch. He must improve off that effort, but seems to have some zip and should show speed given an alert break.

COVERT OPS (Smoke Glacken - Collusion, by Broad Brush, April 30, 2009 in Kentucky) is by a juvenile Grade 1 sprint winner that is 54-317 (17%) with juvenile debut runners (2-19, 11%, $0.82 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, both juvenile debut winners). The Smoke Glacken - Broad Brush "nick" has produced multiple stakes-winning sprinter Gazillion (8-19, 304K). Covert Ops is the dam's first starter. The dam was placed at two routing in the slop (0-3, 6K, 0-1 sprinting). The dam is a half-sister to multiple Grade 1 route winner Smuggler (5-9, 654K, 2-3 at two, won debut, 1-2 sprinting). Trainer Shug McGaughey is 1-30 over the past year with debut runners. The June 9 workout matches up with McGaughey's 2-year-old Trade (finished second in career debut at Belmont on July 9 with 73 Beyer). The June 15 workout went .01 faster than Trade. The June 22 workout went .03 slower than Trade.

LAURIE'S ROCKET (Bluegrass Cat - Clay's Rocket, by American Chance, February 15, 2009 in Kentucky, $300,000 Keeneland September yearling) is by a Grade 1 route winner (3-4 at two, 1-2 sprinting) that is 30-233 (13%) with juvenile runners. Laurie's Rocket is a half-brother to stakes-winner Greeley's Rocket (4-17, 210K, 2-6 at two, 2-10 sprinting). The dam was a multiple stakes-placed sprinter (4-12, 104K, 3-6 at two). The dam, a $62,000 yearling, is a half-sister to Grade 1 juvenile winner Adieu (5-10, 907K, 2-5 sprinting), stakes-winner Speak Wisely (2-7, 161K, 1-4 sprinting) Grade 3 route winner Direct Line (5-14, 167K, 0-1 sprinting) and Grade 3 sprint winner Rapport (3-9, 136K, 0-3 at two). Trainer Dallas Stewart is 0-22 over the past year with second-time maiden starters. Laurie's Rocket was listed as a vet scratch on July 3 at Churchil Downs.
HOW DO I WIN (Corinthian - Silver Crown, by Distorted Humor, April 13, 2009 in Kentucky, $120,000 Keeneland November weanling, $190,000 Keeneland September yearling) is by a first-crop sire that was a Grade 1 route winner (1-2 at two, 0-1 sprinting) and is 0-6 with his debuting juveniles. The dam has foaled a juvenile winner from one prior starter. The dam was a stakes-winning sprinter (6-27, 272K, 2-4 at two). The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Silvery Topping (5-36, 150K, 1-9 sprinting), Grade 2 route winner Powerful Punch (10-59, 873K, 0-2 sprinting) and Grade 3-placed Powerful Goer (7-49, 394K, 0-1 at two, 6-28 sprinting). Trainer Todd Pletcher is 32-128 (25%, $1.85 ROI) over the last year with debut runners. The June 6 workout matches up with than Pletcher's juvenile filly Angel's Tune (finished sixth in career debut at Delaware on July 12 with 39 Beyer). June 16 workout matches up wtih Pletcher's three-year-old R King of the Road (65 Beyer top).

ZELLERS (Distorted Humor - Half Queen, by Deputy Minister, April 15, 2009 in Kentucky, $625,000 Keeneland September yearling) is by a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner that is 151-855 (18%) with juvenile runners. Zellers is a half-brother to multiple Grade 1 juvenile winner Halfbridled (4-6, 959K, 2-3 sprinting). The dam was a sprint winner in the slop (1-6, 43K). The dam, a $325,000 weanling, is a half-sister to multiple Grade 2 route winner Lu Ravi (12-27, $1.9M, 0-2 at two, 0-1 sprinting). Trainer Wayne Lukas is 3-64 (4%) over the past year with juvenile runners.

MR. CONTINENTAL (Corinthian - Forty Gran, by El Gran Senor, April 12, 2009 in Kentucky, Withdrawn Keeneland September yearling) is by a first-crop sire that was a Grade 1 route winner (1-2 at two, 0-1 sprinting) and is 0-6 with his debuting juveniles. Mr. Continental is a half-brother to juvenile Grade 1 route winner Square Eddie (3-15, 854K, 1-3 sprinting), stakes-placed turf sprinter Dubai Media (2-13, 29K, 0-2 at two), and is a three-quarter brother to stakes-placed juvenile Reverently (2-15, 150K, 0-4 sprinting). The dam was multiple stakes-placed on turf (2-16, 94K, 2-9 at two, 0-1 sprinting). The dam, an $80,000 yearling, is a daughter of multiple stakes-winner Forty Weight (7-49, 162K, 1-7 at two, 1-16 sprinting). Trainer Nick Zito sent out juvenile debut winner Mountain Town (7-1 odds) here last year.

HARRY CONSOLIDATOR (Consolidator - Gammy's Alden, by John Alden, March 21, 2009 in Kentucky, $12,000 Keeneland September yearling) is by a juvenile Grade 1 route winner (1-6 sprinting) that is 8-105 (8%) with juvenile debut runners (2-33, 6%, $2.08 ROI with all debut runners in 2011). Harry Consolidator is a half-brother to stakes-placed router Johannesburg Star (1-13, 59K, 1-5 at two, 0-4 sprinting). The dam was a multiple stakes-winning router (8-51, 270K, 1-5 at two, 0-6 sprinting). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winner Lonesome Sound (9-42, 196K, 0-3 at two, 0-4 sprinting) and stakes-placed router Hay Gammy (4-19, 73K, 2-7 at two, 3-9 sprinting). Trainer Doodnauth Shivmangal is 0-13 with debut runners since January 1, 1994.

Selections:
1. Whinston
2. Covert Ops
3. Laurie's Rocket

The Play:
Whinston - Covert Ops exacta
Whinston - Laurie's Rocket exacta

***

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 3-0-0 (-$10)