08/05/2011 8:43PM

Saratoga Spa Babies for August 6, Race 3

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet and hope for a tidy profit.

In past years, I would list the stats for each horse before writing up my analysis, selections and wagering strategy.  In order to streamline the content, this year's Spa Babies will showcase written analyses of each juvenile race.  Each analysis will include relevant statistical information.  Following the analysis, top three selections and wagering strategy will be provided.

 

Race 3
6 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $50,000

 

Analysis:

#9 CURRENCY SWAP (High Cotton - Echo Bluff, by Pine Bluff, March 15, 2009 in Florida, $42,000 OBS Fall October weanling, $70,000 Fasig-Tipton Summer yearling, $92,000 RNA OBS Select March juvenile, Out Fasig-Tipton Spring May juvenile) worked 2 furlongs in 21.3 prior to the March auction.  He is by a Grade 3 winner 4-17, 462K, 1-5 at two, 1-3 sprinting) that is 2-14 (14%, $2.61 ROI) with juvenile debut runners from his first crop of 2011.  The dam was unraced and has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with juveniles, 1-2 with sprinters).  The dam is a full sister to multiple stakes-winner Your Bluffing (16-55, 542K, 1-2 at two, won debut, 6-15 sprinting).  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Yachats (3-11, 102K, 1-1 at two, 3-9 sprinting) and multiple Grade 2-placed router Nacho Friend (3-16, 349K, 1-2 at two, won debut, 1-3 sprinting).  The June 19 workout matches trainer Terri Pompay's 6-year-old Mannington (finished second in a $50,000 optional claimer at Monmouth on June 24 with a 93 Beyer). 

#7 STREET FIGHT (Street Sense - Reportedly, by Silver Deputy, April 8, 2009 in Ontario, $9,000 Keeneland September yearling, $200,000 Fasig-Tipton February juvenile) worked 1 furlong in 10.3 prior to the February auction.  He is by a multiple Grade 1 route winner (6-13, 4.3M, 2-5 at two, 1-2 sprinting) that is 2-2 (22%) with juveniles from his first crop.  The dam was placed sprinting at two (0-3, 13K, 0-2 at two, 0-3 sprinting) and this is her first foal.  The second dam is stakes-winning juvenile Talk Back (3-6, 159K, 3-4 at two, 2-3 sprinting.  P

#5 TRADE (Posse - Provincial, by Pulpit, April 28, 2009 in Kentucky) is by a Grade 2 sprint winner (7-18, 662K, 2-7 at two, 7-17 sprinting) that is 95-665 (14%) with juveniles.  The dam was multiple stakes-placed (4-18, 176K, 2-5 sprinting) and has foaled 2 winners from 3 runners (0-2 with juveniles, 0-3 with sprinters).  The second dam is multiple stakes-placed Colonial Review (4-17, 97K, 2-4 at two, 3-12 sprinting).

#8 TAKES THE GOLD (Corinthian - Marquet Rent, by Marquetry, March 9, 2009 in Kentucky, $140,000 Fasig-Tipton Summer July yearling, Out Keeneland September yearling) is by a Grade 1 route winner (6-12, 1.2M, 1-2 at two, 0-1 sprinting) that is 1-13 (8%, $0.23 ROI) with juvenile debut runners (winner at this meet).  The dam, a $100,000 yearling, was a winner (4-32, 189K, 0-2 at two, 2-17 sprinting) and has foaled 2 winners from 2 runners (2-2 with juveniles, 1 juvenile debut winner, 1-2 with sprinters).  Takes the Gold is a half-brother to multiple stakes-placed Hopeful Image (3-18, 112K, 2-7 at two, 0-4 sprinting) and juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Dashing Debby (1-5, 38K, 1-3 at two, won debut, 1-5 sprinting).  The dam is a full sister to multiple stakes-winner Leave a Legacy (8-36, 537K, 2-4 at two, 5-14 sprinting) and juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Makin Headlines (6-41, 122K, 1-4 at two, 4-35 sprinting).  The June 8, June 1, June 26 workouts match trainer Rick Dutrow Jr.'s 3-year-old filly Believe in A. P. (finished third in 'n1x' allowance on July 28 with 75 Beyer).  The July 11 workout matches Dutrow's juvenile Artest (61 Beyer on dirt).  The July 23 workout matches Dutrow's 4-year-old One Fast Bullet (87 Beyer).

#4 RED JACK (Exchange Rate - Red Mischief, by Thirty Six Red, April 11, 2009 in Kentucky) is by a Grade 2 sprint winner (6-15, 479K, 1-3 at two, won debut, 3-6 sprinting) that is 28-185 (15%) with juvenile debut runners (5-32, 16%, $1.55 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 3 juvenile debut winners).  The dam was a route winner (10-38, 187K, 0-2 at two, 0-3 sprinting) and has foaled 4 winners from 6 runners (1-3 with juveniles, 1-5 with sprinters).  Red Jack is a full brother to Grade 1 router Ermine (5-16, 880K, 0-2 at two, 0-2 sprinting).  The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed sprinter Storm Street (4-11, 78K, 1-3 at two, 4-11 sprinting).  The July 19 workout went .04 slower than trainer Wayne Lukas' juvenile Optimizer (scheduled to debut in Race 2).  The July 19 workout matches Lukas' juvenile Honor Call (finished fourth in maiden special weight on turf on July 30 with 62 Beyer, 0 Beyer on dirt).  The July 19 workout went .04 slower than Lukas' 3-year-old Alstom (finished eighth in 'n1x' allowance on turf at Saratoga on August 5, 85 Beyer on dirt). The August 3 workout matches Lukas' 3-year-old Derivative (86 Beyer on dirt).

#3 GRANDPA LEN (Rockport Harbor - Small Pleasures, by Cat Thief, March 18, 2009 in Kentucky, $62,000 Keeneland September yearling, $150,000 OBS Select March juvenile) worked 2 furlongs in 21.1 prior to the March auction.  He is by a juvenile Grade 2 route winner (5-8, 324K, 4-4 at two, 2-2 sprinting) that is 8-83 (10%) with juvenile debut runners (4-36, 11%, $0.88 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 2 juvenile debut winners).  The dam was a sprint winner (1-7, 19K, 0-2 at two, 1-6 sprinting) and has foaled 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 with juveniles, debut winner, 1-1 sprinting).  Grandpa Len is a half-brother to Grade 3-placed juvenile (Puerto Rico) Sumei (2-17, 27K, 1-9 at two, won debut, 2-16 sprinting). The third dam is stakes-winner File (5-22, 73K).  The June 19 workout went .01 faster than trainer David Donk's 3-year-old filly Hessonite (finished third in the Grade 3 Boiling Springs Stakes on turf at Monmouth on June 25 with 80 Beyer, has 61 Beyer on dirt).

#2 MINESTONE (Mineshaft - Date Stone, by Forty Niner, January 25, 2009 in Kentucky, $85,000 Keeneland September yearling) is by a multiple Grade 1 route winner (10-18, 2.2M) that is 48-311 (15%) with juveniles.  The dam was unplaced (0-6, 2K, 0-2 at two, 0-5 sprinting) and has foaled 6 winners from 10 runners (1-7 with juveniles, 3-8 with sprinters).  Minestone is a half-brother to multiple stakes-winning juvenile Deputy Warlock (3-16, 298K, 3-4 at two, 1-2 sprinting) and stakes-placed Putthehammerdown (5-43, 128K, 0-1 at two, 0-6 sprinting).  The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Open Toe (6-35, 203K, 1-5 at two, 0-2 sprinting) and multiple stakes-placed Beat Your Feet (5-18, 184K, 3-8 sprinting).  

#1 AFRICANIST (Johannesburg - Mekko Hokte, by Holy Bull, April 26, 2009 in Kentucky) is by a multiple Grade/Group 1 juvenile winner (7-10, 1.0M, 7-7 at two) that is 17-206 (8%) with juvenile debut runners (3-36, 8%, $0.96 ROI) with all debut runners in 2011).  The dam, a $67,000 weanling and $13,500 yearling, was a juvenile stakes-winning sprinter (3-13, 76K, 2-4 at two, 3-10 sprinting) and has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners (1-1 with juveniles, debut winner, 1-2 with sprinters).  Africanist is a half-brother to Grade 2 sprinter My Jen (4-9, 203K, 3-3 at two, 4-9 sprinting).  The third dam is stakes-winner Silver in Flight (5-21, 147K).  The July 28 workout matches trainer Eddie Kenneally's juvenile filly Langsyne (49 Beyer on dirt). 

#6 A SINGLE MAN (Bernardini - Kettleoneup, by Victory Gallop, May 7, 2009 in Kentucky, $240,000 Keeneland September yearling, Withdrawn Fasig-Tipton February juvenile) is by a multiple Grade 1 route winner (6-8, 3.0M, 0-1 sprinting) that is 7-42 (17%) with juvenile debut runners (6-36, 17%, $1.77 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 3 juvenile debut winners).  The dam was a Grade 2 route winner (7-21, 659K, 0-4 sprinting) and this is her first starter.  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed Golden Hare (29-68, 480K, 22-53 sprinting). 

 

Selections:
1. Currency Swap
2. Street Fight
3. Trade

The Play:
Currency Swap to Win and Place at 9-2 odds or greater