08/05/2011 8:40PM

Saratoga Spa Babies for August 6, Race 2

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet and hope for a tidy profit.

In past years, I would list the stats for each horse before writing up my analysis, selections and wagering strategy.  In order to streamline the content, this year's Spa Babies will showcase written analyses of each juvenile race.  Each analysis will include relevant statistical information.  Following the analysis, top three selections and wagering strategy will be provided.

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Friday's results:
Race 2:  Heather's Feather finished fourth
Race 4:  Glinda the Good finished eighth
Race 9:  Adirondack Dancer scratched; second-choice Western Choice scratched; third-choice Thewizardofnassau finished fifth

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Race 2

1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $51,000

 

Analysis:

#10 WINSTON C (Corinthian - The Happy Hopper, by El Prado, January 15, 2009 in Kentucky, Out Keeneland November weanling, $75,000 RNA Keeneland September yearling) is by a Grade 1 route winner (6-12, 1.2M, 1-2 at two) that is 1-13 (8%, $0.23 ROI) with juvenile debut runners (winner at this meet) and 0-1 with first-turf runners from his first crop of 2011.  The dam, a $25,000 weanling and $72,000 yearling, was a multiple stakes-winner (12-38, 801K, 3-7 at two, 1-5 on turf) and has foaled 2 winners from 3 runners (0-1 with juveniles, 0-2 with turfers).  The second dam is juvenile stakes-winner Village Dancer (5-20, 193K, 2-5 at two, 2-8 on turf, first-turf winner).  The July 22 workout matches trainer Bill Mott's 4-year-old filly Deluxe (111 Racing Post Rating on turf in Europe). 

#2 LONGWOOD LANE (Langfuhr - Forty Moves, by Gold Fever, January 19, 2009 in Virginia, Out Keeneland September yearling) is by a multiple Grade 1 winner (9-23, 698K, 0-5 on turf) that is 30-355 (8%) with juvenile debut runners (2-46, 4%, $0.50 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 1 juvenile debut winner) and 39-470 (8%) with first-turf runners.  The dam was a multiple stakes-placed sprinter (4-20, 198K, 1-6 at two) and has foaled 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 with juveniles, debut winner, 0-0 with turfers).  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winner Dance Hall Days (3-7, 105K, 1-2 at two) and Grade 1 sprint winner Cat Moves (3-6, 315K). The May 30 workout matches trainer Todd Pletcher's juvenile Angel's Tune (finished sixth in career debut on dirt at Delaware on July 12 with 39 Beyer).  The July 25 workout matches Pletcher's 3-year-old Springcourt (finished fourth in career debut on turf on July 29 with 74 Beyer).  The August 1 workout matches Pletcher's 3-year-old Queen'splatekitten (89 Beyer on synthetic, 83 on turf). 

#1 TWO MONTHS RENT (Purim - Sharp Tradition, by Sharpen Up, April 15, 2009 in Kentucky, $4,000 Keeneland January short yearling, $17,000 RNA Keeneland September yearling) is by a Grade 1 turf winner (9-23, 928K, 6-13 on turf that is 0-11 with juveniles and 0-4 with turfers from his first crop of 2011.  The dam, a $90,000 yearling, was a turf winner (1-10, 24K, 0-1 at two, 1-8 on turf) and has foaled 8 winners from 11 runners (4-10 with juveniles, 4-10 with turfers).  Two Months Rent is a three-quarter brother to juvenile stakes-winner Dynasharp (3-15, 80K, 2-2 at two, 1-9 on turf) and stakes-winning turfer Transition Time (4-10, 111K, 0-1 at two, 4-8 on turf). The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winning sprinter Raise a Tradition (7-27, 177K, 0-1 on turf) and multiple stakes-winner Nice Serve (5-15, 253K, 0-1 at two, 4-8 on turf). 

#3 COACH ROYAL (Lemon Drop Kid - Pagosa Springs, by A.P. Indy, April 1, 2009 in Kentucky, Withdrawn Keeneland September yearling, Withdrawn Keeneland April Juvenile) is by a multiple Grade 1 winner (10-24, 3.2M, 2-6 at two) that is 60-487 (12%) with juveniles and 35-282 (12%) with first-turfers.  The Lemon Drop Kid - A.P. Indy breeding 'nick' has produced Peruvian stakes-winning router Spicer Boy (10-35, 67K, 3-7 on turf).  The dam, a $275,000 yearling, was placed routing (0-6, 19K) and has foaled 1 winner from 3 runners (1-3 with juveniles, 0-1 with turfers).  The dam is a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Cahill's Touch (3-12, 74K, 2-3 at two, 0-2 on turf). 

#13 SPEIGHTSCITY (Speightstown - My American Girl, by Quiet American, April 22, 2009 in Kentucky, $65,000 Keeneland September yearling, Withdrawn Fasig-Tipton February juvenile, Withdrawn OBS Select March juvenile, $49,000 RNA Fasig-Tipton Spring May juvenile) worked 1 furlong in 10.3 prior to the May auction.  He is by a Grade 1 sprint winner (10-16, 1.2M, 0-1 at two) that is 17-125 (14%) with juvenile debut runners (7-39, 18%, $2.06 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 3 juvenile debut winners, 1 on turf) and 15-117 (13%) with first-turf runners.  The dam, a $21,000 yearling, was multiple stakes-placed (2-16, 42K, 1-12 at two) and has foaled 3 winners from 3 runners (1-2 with juveniles, 1-2 with turfers).  Speightscity is a half-brother to stakes-winning juvenile My Royal Girl (7-31, 63K, 2-5 at two, 1-6 on turf). The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Lucinda (5-19, 109K, 2-4 at two, 0-2 on turf) and stakes-placed sprinter Smokin Bee (1-9, 31K, 0-3 at two, 0-1 on turf). The June 19 workout went .02 faster than trainer Gary Contessa's juvenile filly Siberian Wildcat (finished fifth in career debut on dirt here on July 25 with 23 Beyer). The June 24 workout went .01 faster than Siberian Wildcat.  The July 4 and July 11 workouts match Siberian Wildcat. 

#9 SEVE (Giant's Causeway - Our Dani, by Homebuilder, January 23, 2011 in Kentucky, $140,000 Keeneland September yearling) is by a multiple Group 1 turf winner (9-13, 3.0M, 3-3 at two, 9-12 on turf) that is 59-435 (14%) with juveniles and 37-354 (10%) with first-turf runners.  The dam, a $6,500 weanling, was a sprint winner (2-20, 11K, 0-1 at two, 0-1 on turf) and has foaled 3 winners from 7 runners (2-5 with juveniles, 0-3 with turfers).  Seve is a half-brother to multiple Grade 1 winner You (9-23, 2.1M, 3-6 at two).  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed Tammany Doll (1-21, 40K, 0-5 at two, 0-2 on turf).  The July 22 workout matches trainer Dale Romans' uncoupled stablemate Dullahan.

#11 EBEN ALSAFA (Pulpit - Boom Town Girl, by Unbridled, April 4, 2009 in Kentucky, $425,000 Keeenland November weanling, $525,000 Fasig-Tipton Select August yearling) is by a multiple Grade 2 route winner (4-6, 728K) that is 38-294 (13%) with juvenile debut runners (3-21, 14%, $1.12 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 1 older winner out of an Unbridled mare, 1 older winner at this meet) and 37-341 (11%) with first-turf runners.  The Pulpit - Unbridled breeding 'nick' has produced Grade 1 route winner Tapit (2-2 at two).  The dam was a multiple stakes-winning router (3-19, 283K, 0-2 on turf) and has foaled 2 winners from 2 runners (0-0 with juveniles, 1-2 with turfers, 1 first-turf winner).  The third dam is multiple stakes-winner One Is Enough (7-24, 153K, 3-7 at two).

#4 TAKEMEBAKTOARTEMUS (Kitten's Joy - Easy Slam, by Grand Slam, March 27, 2009 in Kentucky, Withdrawn OBS Spring April juvenile) is by a multiple Grade 1 turf winner (9-14, 2.0M, 2-4 at two, 9-12 on turf, first-turf winner) that is 19-104 (18%) with juvenile debut runners (5-43, 12%, $2.13 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 1 juvenile debut winner, 1 older winner on turf) and 18-123 (15%) with first-turfers.  The dam, a $325,000 yearling, was a sprint winner at two (1-6, 30K, 1-4 at two) and this is her first starter.  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Came to Pass (3-5, 62K).  The July 11, July 31 workouts match trainer Chad Brown's uncoupled stablemate Gavett. 

#14 DULLAHAN (Even the Score - Mining My Own, by Smart Strike, February 8, 2009 in Kentucky, $250,000 Keeneland September yearling) is by a multiple Grade 2 route winner (9-29, 751K, 3-16 on turf, first-turf winner) that is 29-238 (12%) with juvenile runners and 11-85 (13%) with first-turf runners.  The dam was unraced and has foaled 2 winners from 3 runners (1-3 with juveniles, 0-1 with turfers).  Dullahan is a half-brother to Grade 1 route winner Mine That Bird (5-18, 2.2M, 4-6 at two, 0-1 on turf).  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Golden Sunray (2-3, 87K).  The July 22 workout matches trainer Dale Romans' uncoupled entrymate Seve. 

#7 SABERCAT (Bluegrass Cat - Miner's Blessing, by Forty Niner, April 8, 2009 in Kentucky, $120,000 Keeneland September yearling) is by a Grade 1 route winner (5-11, 1.7M, 3-4 at two) that is 31-236 (13%) with juveniles and 2-43 (5%) with first-time turfers.  The dam was unraced and has foaled 6 winners from 7 runners (1-3 with juveniles, 0-3 with turfers).  Sabercat is a half-brother to stakes-winning router Olivine (2-13, 95K, 0-2 at two, 0-4 on turf).  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winner Conquistadoress (5-19, 275K, 1-2 at two, 0-1 on turf).  The July 18 workout matches trainer Steve Asmussen's juvenile Daddy Nose Best (finished second in maiden special weight on turf on July 30 with 66 Beyer).  The July 25 workout matches Asmussen's 3-year-old Rothko (88 Beyer on dirt). 

#6 UR (Giant's Causeway - Sue's Last Dance, by Forty Niner, April 26, 2009 in Kentucky) is by a multiple Group 1 turf winner (9-13, 3.0M, 3-3 at two, 9-12 on turf) that is 59-435 (14%) with juveniles and 312-2032 (15%) with all turfers.  The dam was unraced and has foaled 7 winners from 10 runners (6-8 with juveniles, 1-4 with turfers in the United States).  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winning router Niigon (4-23, 1.0M, 0-3 at two, 0-4 on turf).

#12 KNOCK ROCK (Corinthian - Lady Cozzette, by Cozzene, April 3, 2009 in Kentucky, $50,000 Keeneland September yearling, $40,000 OBS Spring April juvenile) worked 1 furlong in 10.1 prior to the April auction.  He is by a Grade 1 route winner (6-12, 1.2M, 1-2 at two) that is 2-19 (11%) with juveniles and 0-1 with turfers from his first crop of 2011.  The dam was unplaced (0-3, 0-2 on turf) and has foaled 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with juveniles, 0-2 with turfers).  The dam is a half-sister to juvenile Grade 3-placed Daisyago (3-32, 262K, 1-6 at two, 3-26 on turf). 

#5 GAVETT (Badge of Silver - Dare to Mambo, by Kingmambo, February 27, 2009 in Kentucky) is by a multiple Grade 2 winner (7-16, 1.0M, 1-1 at two, 1-2 on turf, first-turf winner) that is 6-50 (12%) with juvenile debut runners (5-33, 15%, $2.31 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 2 juvenile debut winners) and 4-31 (13%) with first-turf runners.  The dam was placed sprinting in the slop (0-6, 10K, 0-2 on turf) and has foaled 2 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with juveniles, 2-2 with turfers, 1 first-turf winner).  The second dam is Grade 2-placed Ginny Dare (3-22, 132K, 3-20 on turf, first-turf winner).  The June 27 workout went .02 slower than trainer Chad Brown's juvenile filly Dorothy's Spirit (finished fourth in career debut on turf here on August 5).  The July 11, July 31 workouts match Brown's uncoupled stablemate Takemebacktoartemus.  The July 18 workout went .04 faster than Brown's 5-year-old War Hoot (90 turf Beyer).  The July 18 workout went .04 faster than Brown's 6-year-old Unaccountable (89 turf Beyer). 
 
#8 OPTIMIZER (English Channel - Indy Pick, by A.P. Indy, March 8, 2009 in Kentucky) is by a multiple Grade 1 turf winner (13-23, 5.3M, 1-1 at two, 13-22 on turf, first-turf winner) that is 2-9 (22%, $1.21 ROI) with juvenile debut runners (1 on turf at this meet) and 1-4 (25%) with first-turf runners from his first crop of 2011.  The dam was a winner (2-6, 65K, 1-2 at two) and has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners (0-0 with juveniles, 1-2 with turfers, 1 first-turf winner).  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter New Way (5-14, 120K, 0-1 on turf), multiple Grade 2-placed router Treasure Island (2-6, 96K, 1-1 at two) and multiple Grade 1 winner Finder's Fee (7-27, 708K, 3-8 at two, won debut, 0-1 on turf).  The June 3 workout matches trainer Wayne Lukas' juvenile Afleet Bandit (finished seventh in career debut on dirt in $50,000 claimer on July 31 with 47 Beyer).  The June 3, July 28 workouts match Lukas' juvenile filly Grace Like Rain (finished fifth in career debut on dirt on August 4 with 47 Beyer).  The June 11 workout matches Lukas' 3-year-old Wolfcamp (63 Beyer on dirt, 38 on turf).  The July 19 workout matches Lukas' 3-year-old Alstom (finished eighth in 'n1x' allowance on turf at Saratoga on August 5.  The July 19 workout went .04 faster than Lukas' juvenile Red Jack (scheduled to debut in Race 3).  The July 19 workout went .04 faster than Lukas' juvenile Honor Call (finished fourth in maiden special weight on turf on July 30 with 62 Beyer).  The July 28 workout matches Lukas' juvenile filly Tura Isabel (40 Beyer on dirt). 
 
#15 RACONTEUR (A.P. Indy - Miss Kate, by Storm Cat, March 31, 2009 in Kentucky, $300,000 RNA Keeneland September yearling, $240,000 Keeneland April juvenile) worked 1 furlong in 10.3 prior to the April auction.  He is by a multiple Grade 1 route winner (8-11, 2.9M, 3-4 at two, 1-2 sprinting) that is 44-378 (12%) with juvenile debut runners (5-26, 19%, $2.34 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 2 juvenile debut winners, 1 juvenile debut winner at this meet, 1 older winner out of a Storm Cat mare, 1 older winner at this meet).  The A.P. Indy - Storm Cat breeding 'nick' has produced stakes-placed router Hockley (3-13, 142K, 0-5 at two, 0-3 sprinting).  The dam was a stakes-placed router (4-17, 144K, 1-4 at two, 1-5 sprinting) and has foaled 3 winner from 3 runners (1-1 with juveniles, won debut).  Raconteur is a half-sister to stakes-winning turfer Katerbug (3-15, 119K, 2-4 at two, won debut).  The dam is a half-sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Clear Mandate (10-31, 1.0M, 1-2 at two, 4-10 sprinting), Grade 2 winner Dream Scheme (8-27, 431K, 4-18 sprinting), stakes-placed Special Event (5-27, 111K, 2-10 sprinting), and multiple stakes-placed sprinter A Diehl (3-25, 219K, 0-1 at two, 3-22 sprinting).  The May 24, June 6 workouts match trainer Todd Pletcher's juvenile Doctor Chit (finished sixth in career debut on turf on July 27 with 51 Beyer).  The June 6 workout went .04 slower than Pletcher's juvenile Zow (finished first in career debut on dirt at Belmont on July 1 with 73 Beyer).  The June 27 workout matches Pletcher's juvenile Big Creek (finished third in career debut at Belmont on July 1 with 47 Beyer).  The July 26 workout matches Pletcher's juvenile Captain Webb (finished first in career debut on turf on July 30 with 72 Beyer).

#16 SAINT HONORE (Sun King - She Ain't a Saint, by Meadowlake, May 3, 2009 in Kentucky, $29,000 Keeneland November weanling, Out Keeneland Septembe yearling, Out Fasig-Tipton Spring May juvenile) is by a multiple Grade 2 winner (6-28, 2.2M, 1-4 at two, 1-2 sprinting) that is 0-8 with juvenile debut runners from his first crop of 2011.  The dam, a $20,000 yearling, was a sprint winner (5-26, 71K, 5-24 sprinting) and has foaled 5 winners from 6 runners (3-5 at two, 2 juvenile debut winners, 4-6 with sprinters).  Saint Honore is a half-brother to stakes-placed juvenile I Lost My Halo (4-26, 48K, 1-2 at two, won debut, 1-17 sprinting).  The dam is a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Tomica (1-20, 27K, 1-8 at two, won debut, 1-18 sprinting). The July 25 workout matches trainer Nick Zito's juvenile A Cat That Flies (finished eighth in career debut on July 30 with 37 Beyer). 

 

Selections:
1. Winston C
2. Longwood Lane
3. Two Months Rent

The Play:
Winston C to Win and Place at 6-1 odds or greater