08/13/2011 9:12PM

Saratoga Spa Babies for August 14, Race 3


Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet and hope for a tidy profit.

In past years, I would list the stats for each horse before writing up my analysis, selections and wagering strategy.  In order to streamline the content, this year's Spa Babies will showcase written analyses of each juvenile race.  Each analysis will include relevant statistical information.  Following the analysis, top three selections and wagering strategy will be provided.




Race 3
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York Breds)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $40,000



8. LENDERS WAY (Hook and Ladder - Stellar Maiden, by Raffie's Majesty, April 6, 2009) is by a Grade 2 sprint winner (1-1 at two). The dam went 1-10 for 75K (0-2 sprinting) and has foaled 1 sprint winner from 2 runners. The dam is a full sister to stakes-placed Raffie's Dream (4-20, 170K, 0-3 sprinting) and stakes-winner Mt. Majesty (12-68, 224K, 6-41 sprinting). Didn't have the easiest of trips in career debut on Opening Day, but still finished ahead of three of the opponents he'll face this afternoon.

2. WILDCAT'S SMILE (Forest Wildcat - Serenity's Smile, by Dixie Brass, April 9, 2009) is by a multiple Grade 3 sprint winner (2-5 at two). Wildcat's Smile is a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning router Stormy's Smile (1-5, 73K, 0-2 sprinting) and multiple stakes-placed router Johannesburg Smile (5-17, 207K, 0-3 at two, 0-2 sprinting). The dam was multiple stakes-placed (11-30, 178k, unraced at two, 4-13 sprinting) and is a half-sister to stakes-placed Raf's Society Girl (11-38, 147K, 0-1 at two, 1-9 sprinting). Raced greenly in her debut when finishing behind Lenders Way and is now saddled with a difficult rail draw. Still, she took a good deal of money for her debut and can certainly show natural second-out improvement.

5. PROUD AND CHARMING (Proud Citizen - Dynamism, by Dynaformer, May 9, 2009, $40,000 Fasig-Tipton Preferred) is by a Grade 2 route winner (1-4 at two, 2-9 sprinting). The dam, a $20,000 yearling, was placed on turf and has foaled 3 runners that did not win. The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winner Pepita Ramoje (8-23, 259K, 0-2 at two, 1-4 sprinting) and Grade 2-placed turfer Kappa King (4-14, 194K). Was completely outsprinted in debut, but rallied belatedly to earn fourth money. Shows an improved half-mile breeze in preparation for this start and can factor at this slightly-longer distance.

1. PROJECT RUNAWAY (Friends Lake - Project Liberty, by Mr. Prospector, February 9, 2009) is by a Grade 1 route winner (2-3 at two, 1-2 sprinting). The unraced dam has foaled 2 winners from 3 runners (1 juvenile winner) and is a half-sister to Grade 3 turf winner Khancord Kid (3-10, 167K, 1-3 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints). This one showed good speed in his debut before tiring badly when the real running began. Should be a pace factor once again.

4. STARSHIP PRINCESS (Flower Alley - Prairie Princess, by Rocky Mountain, February 12, 2009) sold for $22,000 as a yearling and $57,000 as a juvenile. Her dam won the Grade 3 Miesque Stakes going a mile on the grass as a juvenile filly. The sire won the Travers so this filly may do a bit better at longer distances. Exits a key open race at Calder, however (third- and fourth-finishers both scored for tags with 43 and 54 Beyers, respectively), and makes first start for new ownership against statebred-only competition. Expecting her to be close to the pace here.

7. LADY SAMURI (First Samurai - Redeye Rain, by Instrument Landing, March 31, 2009, $50,000 Fasig-Tipton Preferred August yearling, $57,000 OBS Select March juvenile) worked 1 furlong in 10.4 prior to the March auction. She is by a multiple Grade 1 winner at two, (915K, 4-5 at two, 3-4 sprinting). The dam was a turf winner (1-12, 7K, 0-6 sprinting) and has foaled 8 winners from 13 runners (1-8 with juveniles, 5-13 with sprinters). Lady Samuri is a half-sister to stakes-winner Message Red (6-14, 240K, 1-6 sprinting) and stakes-placed turfer Red Down South (2-32, 116K, 0-4 at two, 0-6 sprinting). This is the family of juvenile Grade 1 sprinter Palm Hut (5-20, 157K, 4-7 at two). Raced wide against Adirondack aspirant Bellacourt in career debut.

6. SWEET GINGER (Greeley's Galaxy - Schemer, by Concern, April 14, 2009) is by an Illinois Derby winner that is 1-26 (4%) with juvenile debut runners. The dam was multiple stakes-placed (5-30, 245K, 1-6 at two, 4-25 sprinting) and has foaled 0 winners from 2 runners. The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Baxter (10-75, 469K, 1-2 at two, won debut, 1-8 sprinting), juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Baxter (2-24, 132K, 2-4 at two, won debut, 2-19 sprinting) and stakes-placed sprinter Good Habits (5-1-1-1, 44K, 1-4 sprinting).

1A. BERNING CARBS (Bernardini - Carmandia, by Wild Rush, February 20, 2009) is by a multiple Grade 1 route winner that is 8-45 (18%) with juvenile debut runners. The dam was a multiple Grade 2 winner (6-19, 376K, 1-4 at two, 5-9 sprinting) and this is her first starter. The third dam is stakes-placed sprinter Rare Review (3-12, 54K, 0-4 at two, 3-12 sprinting).

3. SLEEPING STAR (Andromeda's Hero - Sleeplessnseattle, by Seattle Dancer, March 14, 2009) is by a Grade 3 route winner (4-25, 836K, 1-2 at two, 1-3 sprinting) that is 2-27 (7%) with juveniles. The dam was stakes-placed (4-20, 61K, 1-4 sprinting) and has foaled 2 winners from 6 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 2-4 with sprinters). Sleeping Star is a half-sister to stakes-placed Fivefifteen (6-32, 123K, 2-16 sprinting). The third dam is French stakes-winning turfer St Isabel. Raced very greenly in career debut on grass. Removes blinkers, but may do better at longer routes.


1. Lenders Way
2. Wildcat's Smile
3. Proud and Charming

The Play:
Lenders Way - Wildcat's Smile Exacta
Lenders Way - Proud and Charming Exacta