08/20/2011 11:32PM

Saratoga: Spa Babies for Aug. 21, Race 2

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet and hope for a tidy profit.

In past years, I would list the stats for each horse before writing up my analysis, selections and wagering strategy.
In order to streamline the content, this year's Spa Babies will showcase written analyses of each juvenile race.
Each analysis will include relevant statistical information.
Following the analysis, top three selections and wagering strategy will be provided.

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Saturday's result:
Race 2:  Unbridled Command finished second
Race 6:  Grandpa Len finished third
Race 8:  Animal Spirits finished second

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Sunday, August 21, 2011

Race 2
7 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

5. STREET SAVY (Street Sense - Home Court, by Storm Cat, January 13, 2009 in Kentucky, $95,000 RNA Keeneland September yearling) is by a multiple Grade 1 route winner (6-13, 4.3M, 2-5 at two, 1-2 sprinting) that is 1-9 (11%, $3.78 ROI) with juvenile debut runners from his first crop of 2011. The dam, a $650,000 yearling, was a Grade 3-placed router (2-4, 73K, 1-1 at two, 2-3 sprinting) and has foaled 3 winners from 3 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-3 with sprinters). The dam is a full sister to stakes-winner One Nice Cat (4-28, 163K, 0-3 at two, 0-2 sprinting). The August 1 workout matches trainer Chad Brown's juvenile filly Book Review (finished second in career debut on August 14 with 76 Beyer).  Brown is 4-22 (18%, $1.85 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden special weight dirt sprints (4-11, 36%, $3.70 ROI at Saratoga). Brown is 4-32 (13%, $1.73 ROI) with all debut runners in 2011.

3. KLONDIKE KATE (Henny Hughes - Western Reel, by Gone West, May 3, 2009 in Kentucky) is by a multiple Grade 1 sprint winner (6-10, 1.1M, 3-6 at two, won debut, 6-8 sprinting) that is 8-55 (15%) with juvenile debut runners (6-40, 15%, $2.99 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 4 juvenile debut winners, 1 out of a Gone West mare, 1 at this meet). The Henny Hughes - Gone West breeding 'nick' has produced juvenile stakes-placed turfer Play Eighteen (1-2, 36K, 1-2 at two, won debut). The dam was stakes-placed on turf in England (1-11, 26K, 0-5 at two) and has foaled 6 winners from 6 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-3 with sprinters). Klondike Kate is a half-sister to Grade 3-placed Midnight Mischief (3-15, 171K, 0-2 sprinting). The dam is a half-sister to Grade 3 turf winner Ocean Queen (4-6, 178K, 0-2 sprinting) and stakes-winning turfer Jig (5-16, 145K, 1-2 at two, won debut). The dam is a full sister to Grade 2 turf winner Dance Parade (7-13, 356K, 3-4 at two, won debut). The July 24 workout matches trainer Bill Mott's 3-year-old filly Don't Cry for Me (finished fifth in maiden special weight on turf on August 4 with 57 Beyer). Mott is 9-112 (8%, $0.96 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden special weight dirt sprints (4-52, 8%, $0.59 ROI at Saratoga). Mott is 3-39 (7%, $1.31 ROI) with all debut runners in 2011.

2. SPARE CHANGE (Bernardini - Finder's Fee, by Storm Cat, April 11, 2009) is by a multiple Grade 1 route winner (6-8, 3.0M, 0-1 sprinting) that is 17-83 (20%) with juveniles. The dam was a multiple Grade 1 winner (7-27, 708K, 3-8 at two, 5-17 sprinting) that has foaled 4 winners from 6 runners (1-5 with juveniles, 1-5 with sprinters). Spare Change is a half-sister to stakes-placed Receipt (1-10, 72K, 0-3 at two, 0-2 sprinting). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter New Way (5-14, 120K, 5-12 sprinting), and multiple Grade 2-placed router Treasure Island (2-6, 96K, 1-1 at two, 1-2 sprinting). Trainer Shug McGaughey is 3-16 (19%, $1.50 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in maiden special weight dirt sprints (2-7, 29%, $3.01 ROI at Saratoga).

4. GRACE LIKE RAIN (Stormy Atlantic - Graziella, by Honour and Glory, February 13, 2009 in Kentucky, $120,000 Keeneland November weanling) is by a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (6-15, 148K, 0-1 at two, 6-15 sprinting) that is 211-1386 (15%) with juveniles.  The dam, a $57,000 yearling, was a stakes-winning sprinter (4-22, 126K, 4-18 sprinting) and this is her first starter. This is the family of multiple Grade 1 winner Sacahuista (6-21, 1.2M, 4-9 at two, 3-9 sprinting). Trainer Wayne Lukas is 8-62 (13%, $2.35 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in maiden special weight dirt sprints (3-32, 9%, $2.21 ROI at Saratoga).

1. SIBERIAN WILDCAT (Wildcat Heir - Artic Experience, by Slewpy, February 20, 2009 in Florida, Out Keeneland November weanling, $24,000 RNA OBS Select yearling, $46,000 OBS Spring juvenile) worked one furlong in 10.1 prior to the April auction. She is by a Grade 1 sprint winner (6-12, 424K, 1-2 at two, 6-12 sprinting) that is 77-371 (21%) with juveniles. The dam was a Grade 2-placed sprinter at two (1-3, 27K, 1-2 at two, 1-3 sprinting) and has foaled 4 winners from 6 runners (4-6 with juvenile runners, 4-6 with sprinters). Siberian Wildcat is a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Crackalackin (5-12, 105K, 2-3 at two, 5-12 sprinting). This is the female family of Grade 3 winner Kissapotamus (10-58, 152K, 2-7 at two). Trainer Gary Contessa is 9-48 (19%, $1.50 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in maiden special weight dirt sprints (1-9, 11%, $1.42 ROI at Saratoga).

6. SHOSHANA (Sun King - Cape Fog, by Cape Town, March 2, 2009 in Kentucky, Withdrawn Keeneland September yearling) is by a multiple Grade 2 winner (6-28, 2.2M, 1-4 at two, 1-2 sprinting) that is 0-11 with juvenile debut runners from his first crop of 2011. The dam was unplaced (0-3, $551, 0-3 at two, 0-2 sprinting) and has foaled 2 winners from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 2-2 with sprinters).  Shoshana is a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed The Great Caper (2-11, 59K, 2-4 at two, 2-7 sprinting). The dam is a half-sister to Grade 2-placed turfer Future Act (6-24, 220K, 0-1 at two). The July 16, August 8 workouts match trainer Nick Zito's juvenile filly Island Prayer (finished tenth in career debut on turf on August 14 with 37 Beyer).  Zito is 11-121 (9%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden special weight dirt sprints (4-57, 7% at Saratoga).  Zito is 1-34 (2%, $0.45 ROI) with all debut runners in 2011.

Selections:
1. Street Savy
2. Klondike Kate
3. Spare Change

The Play:
Street Savy - Klondike Kate Exacta
Street Savy - Spare Change Exacta