08/16/2011 9:58PM

Saratoga: Spa Babies for Aug. 17, Race 3

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet and hope for a tidy profit.

In past years, I would list the stats for each horse before writing up my analysis, selections and wagering strategy. In order to streamline the content, this year's Spa Babies will showcase written analyses of each juvenile race. Each analysis will include relevant statistical information. Following the analysis, top three selections and wagering strategy will be provided.

Monday's result:
Race 8: Banner Bill finished fourth

Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Race 3
5 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $50,000

Analysis:

3. ROCKIN BOOGIE (Rockport Harbor - Only Seventeen, by Exploit, May 9, 2009 in Kentucky, $77,000 Keeneland September yearling, $200,000 Fasig-Tipton February juvenile) worked 1 furlong in 10.1 prior to the February auction. He is by a juvenile Grade 2 route winner (5-8, 324K, 4-4 at two, 2-2 sprinting) that is 25-213 (12%) with juvenile runners. The dam, a $27,000 yearling and $10,000 juvenile, was a juvenile sprint winner (1-9, 7K, 1-6 at two, 1-9 sprinting) and has foaled 2 winners from 3 runners (1-3 with juveniles, 1 juvenile debut winner, 1-3 with sprinters). Rockin Boogie is a half-brother to Grade 2 winner Made for Magic (8-37, 314K, 1-3 at two, won debut, 2-12 sprinting). The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed turfer House Virgin (3-12, 74K, 0-3 sprinting) and stakes-placed juvenile Informative (3-11, 83K, 1-3 at two, 3-8 sprinting). Trainer Bruce Levine is 6-16 (38%, $2.98 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in maiden special weight dirt sprints (2-2, 100%, $5.90 ROI at Saratoga). Set a pressured pace in his career debut at Belmont and made a clear lead turning for home before faltering late. This barn boasts better numbers with second-time numbers than with firsters so expect a better pace try here.

4. SARK (English Channel - November Snow, by Storm Cat, January 16, 2009 in Kentucky) is by a multiple Grade 1 turf winner (13-23, 5.3M, 1-1 at two) that is 4-22 (18%) with juveniles from his first crop of 2011. The dam, a $35,000 yearling, was a multiple Grade 1 winner (8-22, 554K, 3-4 at two, 5-11 sprinting) and has foaled 6 winners from 9 runners (1-6 with juveniles, 3-7 with sprinters). Sark is a half-brother to Grade 2-placed juvenile November Slew (3-14, 134K, 1-3 at two, 3-12 sprinting). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winning router Lady Sorolla (4-17, 202K, 0-3 sprinting) and stakes-winning router Scatmandu (6-16, 330K, 1-3 at two, 4-7 sprinting). Trainer Wayne Lukas is 3-17 (18%, $3.95 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles going turf to dirt (1-4, 25%, $8.95 ROI at Saratoga). Finished only a half-length behind She Digs Me in most recent dirt outing (that one returned to win his next two races, including the Tyro Stakes at Monmouth with a 79 Beyer).

5. DATTTS HAPPY (Indian Charlie - Royal Cheer, by Royal Anthem, April 14, 2009 in Kentucky, Withdrawn Keeneland September yearling, $28,000 RNA Fasig-Tipton October yearling) is by a Grade 1 route winner (4-5, 616K, 1-1 at two, 2-2 sprinting) that is 38-241 (16%) with juvenile debut runners (3-34, 9%, $1.17 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 2 juvenile debut winners). The dam, a $4,500 yearling, was multiple stakes-placed (1-15, 70K, 0-2 at two, 0-1 sprinting) and this is her first starter. This is the female family of juvenile Grade 1 winner Landaluce (5-5, 372K, 5-5 at two). The June 22, June 29, July 6, July 13, July 20, July 27 workouts match trainer Mark Hennig's 3-year-old filly Dattts Appealing (58 Beyer). Hennig is 5-67 (7%, $1.42 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden special weight dirt sprints (0-20 at Saratoga).

1. VOODOO DADDY (City Zip - Deadly, by Williamstown, May 24, 2009 in Kentucky) is by a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (9-23, 818K, 5-11 at two, 9-16 sprinting) that is 39-215 (18%) with juvenile debut runners (7-38, 18%, $2.88 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, 4 juvenile debut winners, 1 at this meet). The dam was a sprint winner (3-8, 44K, 1-4 at two, 3-8 sprinting) and has foaled 2 winners from 3 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 2-3 with sprinters). Voodoo Daddy is a half-brother to stakes-winning sprinter Deadly Dealer (8-23, 327K, 1-2 at two, 8-21 sprinting). The third dam is Grade 3-placed Student Leader (5-33, 90K, 1-3 at two). The July 6 workout matches trainer Steve Asmussen's juvenile Eyeseeyou (finished eighth in career debut over polytrack at Woodbine on July 24 with 42 Beyer). The August 8 workout matches Asmussen's juvenile filly Glinda the Good (47 Beyer on turf). Asmussen is 57-384 (15%, $1.34 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden special weight dirt sprints (7-40, 18%, $1.68 ROI at Saratoga). Asmussen is 10-99 (10%, $1.15 ROI) with all debut runners in 2011.

2. SINATRA (Harlan's Holiday - My Way, by Unbridled's Song, March 3, 2009 in Kentucky, $140,000 RNA Keeneland September yearling, $145,000 RNA OBS Select March juvenile, Out Fasig-Tipton Spring May juvenile) worked 1 furlong in 10.2 prior to the March auction. He is by multiple Grade 1 route winner (9-22, 3.6M, 4-6 at two, 2-3 sprinting) that is 24-173 (14%) with juvenile debut runners (4-40, 10%, $3.04 ROI with all debut runners in 2011). The Harlan's Holiday - Unbridled's Song breeding 'nick' has produced juvenile Grade 3 sprint winner Necessary Evil (2-4, 117K, 2-4 at two, won debut, 2-4 sprinting). The dam was a first-turf winner (1-9, 36K) and this is her first starter. The dam is a half-sister to Grade 2 turf winner Academy Award (5-19, 226K, 0-4 sprinting), juvenile Grade 3 turf winner Good Mood (2-5, 95K, 2-5 at two, 0-3 sprinting) and Grade 3 winner Statuette (6-26, 341K, 1-4 at two, 1-3 sprinting). The July 13 workout matches trainer Dale Romans' juvenile filly Tiara (finished sixth in career debut in $150,000 maiden claimer on August 5 with 27 Beyer). Romans is 14-121 (12%, $1.66 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden special weight dirt sprints (2-15, 13%, $3.28 ROI at Saratoga). Romans is 2-26 (7%, $1.30 ROI) with all debut runners in 2011.

Selections:
1. Rockin Boogie
2. Sark
3. Dattts Happy

The Play:
Rockin Boogie - Sark Exacta
Rocking Boogie - Dattts Happy Exacta