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Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Sept. 1
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
1. READY PLAYER ONE (More Than Ready - Beau Dare, by Military)
155K weanling, 200K yearling; sire 44-395 (11%) 2yo FTS, 70-501 (14%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (425K, 2-5 at 2, 4-19 turf, 1st-turf winner); dam full multiple turf SP Victoire Bataille (236K, 3-19 turf), multiple SW Turfiste (241K, 1-6 at 2, 2-17 turf); barn 1-3 (33%, $13.93 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 6/1, 6/7, 6/15, 8/1 works match entrymate; 7/25 work went .02 faster than entrymate; 6/1, 6/7, 6/15, 6/22, 6/29, 7/13 works match Tapiteao (4th FTS MSW turf 48 Beyer 8/22); 6/22 work matches Tap Twenty One (2nd N1X dirt 76 Beyer CD 6/27); 8/10 work matches Elusive Fate (76 dirt Beyer, MTO Fri. R8); 8/16 work matches Miss Squeal (80 turf Beyer); turf both sides.
1A. CLEVER BEAUTY (Indian Charlie - Adorable and Smart, by Gulch)
45K weanling, 45K yearling; sire 156-870 (18%) 2yo; unplaced dam (0-1 at 2, 0-2 sprint) has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with sprinters); dam 1/2 turf SW Ruthian (212K); barn 1-16 (6%, $0.80 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprints.
2. WALK OF STARS (Street Sense - Star Kell, by Star de Naskra)
1/2 multiple SP What Time It Is (221K, 0-2 at 2, 0-3 turf), SP Listentothewindblo (112K, 1-2 at 2, 0-8 turf), SW sprinter Strike the Moon (603K, 1-2 at 2) by 27-191 (14%) 2yo, 13-85 (15%) 1st-turf sire; winning dam (78K, 1-5 at 2, 1-3 turf) has 6 winners from 7 runners (3-5 with 2yos, 1-4 with turfers); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Wonderous Woman (70K, 1-2 at 2, 0-2 turf); barn 1-14 (7%, $0.37 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/turf; chased runaways on dirt; can be forwardly-placed.
3. AMELIATHEAVIATOR (Henrythenavigator - Citi Pearl, by Citidancer)
45K yearling; 1/2 G2 SW Workin for Hops (703K, 2-3 at 2, 5-23 turf, 1st-turf winner), SP Cryptocandiac (139K, 1-3 at 2, 1-3 turf) by 5-31 (16%) 2yo, 2-21 (10%) 1st-turf sire; dam won sprint at 2 (21K, 1-4 at 2, 0-1 turf) and has 6 winners from 7 runners (4-7 with 2yos, 5-5 with turfers, 3 first-turf winners); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Puncher (320K, 2-5 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 7-55 (13%, $3.67 ROI) past 5 years 2yos; should appreciate surface switch.
4. PROVE IT ALL NIGHT (Pomeroy - Funky Fraulein, by Sligo Bay)
8.5K yearling; sire 46-287 (16%) 2yo sire, 1-48 (2%) 1st-turf; unraced dam has 1 winner from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); 2nd dam multiple SP Kimme a Star (173K, 1-10 at 2, 0-12 turf); barn 1-7 (14%, $2.34 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt/turf; expect good early speed.
5. LEMON DE ORO (Lemon Drop Kid - Estrella de Oro, by Belong to Me)
65K RNA yearling; sire 27-242 (11%) 2yo FTS, 48-417 (12%) 1st-turf; dam placed sprint (36K, 0-2 turf) with 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); dam 1/2 G1 turf SW Chelsey Flower (568K, 2-5 at 2, 8-31 turf, 1st-turf winner), SW router Key Guy (145K, 1-4 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 1-20 (5%, $0.38 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf routes; 8/24 work matches Ring Weekend (FTS - Sun. R2); plenty of turf/route.
6. COURTESAN (Street Sense - Lady Discreet, by Boundary)
140K yearling; 1/2 SW Chary (98K, 0-3 at 2, 2-5 turf) by 27-191 (14%) 2yo, 13-85 (15%) 1st-turf sire; placed dam (30K, 0-4 at 2, 0-1 turf) has 4 winners from 5 runners (3-5 with 2yos, 1-3 turfers); dam 1/2 multiple SW Pretty Wild (398K, 1-6 at 2), G1 route SW Discreet Cat (1.6M, 1-1 at 2), G3 SP router Discreet Treasure (180K, 0-1 turf), G1 sprint SW Discreetly Mine (799K, 1-5 at 2); barn 1-12 (8%, $0.30 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/turf; 8/23 work matches Clarinda (86 dirt Beyer); expecting good effort.
7. STOCK YARD HEN (Rock Hard Ten - Perfect Six, by Saratoga Six)
5K short yearling, 30K 2yo after 1F work 10.4; 1/2 SP sprint Ada's Dream (109K), multiple G3 SW Buffalo Man (505K, 3-5 at 2, won debut, 3-12 turf) by 15-121 (12%) 2yo FTS, 23-183 (13%) 1st-turf sire; multiple SW dam (278K, 2-5 at 2, 0-4 turf) has 5 winners from 6 runners (1-1 with 2yos, won debut, 3-5 with turfers); dam 1/2 SP Explode N' Win (214K, 2-6 at 2, 0-3 turf), G2 SW Commitisize (784K, 2-5 at 2 won debut, 6-23 turf), multiple SW Rusty Spur (281K, 1-2 at 2, 1-6 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 0-12 past 5 years 2yo FTS turf; 7/22 work matches Johnny Football (FTS - Sat. R2); 8/7, 8/21, 8/28 works match Spangled Banner (3rd FTS MSW turf 72 Beyer 7/28); jock's 2nd call; interesting.
8. ILLAPA (Rock Hard Ten - Catinca, by Storm Cat)
70K weanling, 280K yearling; 1/2 2yo SW Managed Account (187K, 2-5 at 2, 0-1 turf) by 37-305 (12%) 2yo, 135-1009 (13%) turf sire; dam G1 SW (864K, 0-1 at 2) with 3 winners from 7 runners (1-4 2yos, 0-4 turfers); 3rd dam multiple SW Inca Queen (235K); barn 0-12 past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos turf; troubled vs. very salty group. contender.
9. GOOD CATHOLIC GIRL (Pomeroy - Presentation, by Gold Case)
23K weanling, 25K yearling by 10-87 (11%) 2yo FTS, 1-48 (2%) 1st-turf; dam won route (13K, 0-2 turf) with 4 winners from 5 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); dam 1/2 multiple SW Chuck N Luck (349K, 3-6 at 2, 10-23 turf); barn 1-17 (6%, $2.284 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 8/3 work matches Streethomealabama (51 turf Beyer); 8/12 work matches Arctic Slope (2nd FTS MSW turf 72 Beyer 8/18); vet scratch 7/25; not out of this
10. STREETHOMEALABAMA (Street Sense - Servalina, by A.P. Indy)
95K yearling by 27-191 (14%) 2yo, 39-274 (14%) turf sire; unraced dam has 0 winners from 3 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); female family multiple G1 SW Excellent Meeting (1.4M, 4-8 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 4-42 (10%, $1.95 ROI) past 5 years 2yos MSW turf route; may revert to rating tactics here; jock's 2nd call.
11. KETEL TWIST (Dixie Union - Frozen Treat, by Dynaformer)
70K short yearling; 150K yearling; 1/2 SW Catrageous (90K, 0-5 at 2, 1-3 turf) by 144-917 (16%) 2yo, 100-1049 (10%) turf sire; dam won on turf at 2 (31K, 1-2 at 2, 1-8 turf) with 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-2 turf); dam 1/2 multiple SW Buff (646K, 2-4 at 2, 6-31 turf), turf SW Second Performance (109K, 0-1 at 2, 2-10 turf); dam full G2 turf SW Masseuse (439K, 0-3 at 2, 5-12 turf); barn 0-51 past 5 years 2yo MSW turf route Spa; jock's 1st call
12. SHY SOCIETY (Pleasantly Perfect - Fair Warning, by Dixie Union)
7.5K yearling; sire 14-79 (18%) 2yo FTS, 14-121 (12%) 1st-turf; dam placed sprint (4K) with 2 winners from 2 runners (2-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); 2nd dam 2yo G3 SP router Honour a Bull (92K, 1-4 at 2, 0-4 turf); barn 1-2 (50%, $40.25 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS turf route; jock's 1st call.
13. ALL STAR KITTEN (Kitten's Joy - Anura, by Giant's Causeway)
140K RNA yearling; full multiple SW Empire Builder (211K, 2-5 at 2, 3-13 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 33-188 (18%) 2yo FTS, 40-257 (16%) 1st-turf sire; dam SP turf (87K, 2-9 turf) with 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1-2 with turfers, 1st-turf winner); 2nd dam turf SP Shastri (Germany); barn 6-33 (18%, $2.10 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route; 6/10 work went .04 slower than Zloty (3rd FTS MSW turf 69 Beyer 8/18); 6/10 work went .04 slower than Ready to Act (1st FTS MSW turf 74 Beyer 7/22); 8/18 work matches Request (FTS - Sat. R2)
14. KNACQUE (More Than Ready - Her Own Way, by Danzig)
65K RNA weanling; sire 171-1186 (14%) 2yo, dam placed turf England (2K, 0-1 at 2) with 3 winners from 6 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-4 sprint); dam 3/4 2yo SP turf Sheffield (Ireland, 1-5 at 2); barn 0-19 past 5 years 2yos dirt; good effort vs. Spinaway entrant in debut.
15. RADIANT (Sky Mesa - Luster, by Touch Gold)
Sire 107-581 (18%) 2yos; 1st starter from G3 SP dam (113K, 0-1 at 2, 2-7 sprint); 3rd dam G2 SW Wild Applause (240K, 2-3 at 2, 2-3 sprint); barn 4-19 (21%, $2.59 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; expect major improvement.
SELECTIONS (TURF ONLY):
1. All Star Kitten (ae)
3. Ketel Twist (ae)
4. Stock Yard Hen
THE PLAY (TURF ONLY)
All Star Kitten to WIN at 5-2 odds or greater*
*If All Star Kitten scratches, substitute
Courtesan to WIN at 5-2 odds or greater.
Maiden Special Weight
1. PAST AS PRELUDE (Bernardini - Magical Meadow, by Meadowlake)
1/2 G3 sprint SW Street Magician (254K, 5-9 sprint) by 34-242 (14%) 2yo sire; unraced dam has 5 winners from 9 runners (1-4 with 2yos, 4-8 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Wonderous Woman (70K, 1-2 at 2, 2-11 sprint); barn 8-36 (22%, $1.14 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint (0-3 Spa); chased solid pace and finished ahead of next-out winner; capable
2. PARI NATH (A.P. Warrior - Heartstrings, by Petionville)
Sire 24-184 (13%) 2yo; 1st starter from placed dam (12K, 0-2 at 2, 0-2 sprint); female family G3 SW Inside the Beltway (219K, 1-1 sprint); barn 1-8 (13%, $2.85 ROI) past 5 years turf/dirt; must do more.
3. COURAGEOUS JULIE (Pioneerof the Nile - Beautiful Julie, by Tiznow)
Sire multiple G1 route SW (1.6M, 2-5 at 2, 3-13 with 2yo FTS); unraced dam has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 2-2 with sprinters); female family multiple G3 SW Mr. Greeley (474K, 2-6 at 2, 4-11 sprint); barn 0-36 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 6/26, 7/4 works match English Star (FTS - Sat. R2)
4. PERFECT LA COMETE (Perfect Soul - La Comete, by Holy Bull)
1/2 multiple G2 sprint SW Munnings (742K, 1-4 at 2, won debut, 4-10 sprint), multiple sprint SW Munnings Sister (246K, 1-3 at 2, 6-12 sprint) by 8-108 (7%) 2yo FTS sire; unraced dam has 3 winners from 6 runners (2-4 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 3-6 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 SW Lasting Approval (510K, 1-3 at 2, 0-1 sprint), SP Taiki Zillion (Japan, 1.1M), turf SP Warrior Song (167K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint), G1 SW Icon Project (660K); barn 3-13 (23%, $8.55 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 6/19, 6/26, 7/3, 7/10 works match Roll All Knight (6th FTS MSW 52 Beyer 8/15); 6/26 works match Commanding Curve (FTS - Sat. R5); sharp pedigree.
5. SPANISH GOLD (Medaglia d'Oro - Promenade Colony, by Pleasant Colony)
120K yearling; 1/2 multiple SW Promenade Girl (678K, 1-1 at 2, 1-4 sprint), turf SW Dattts Awesome (104K, 0-2 at 2) by 23-180 (13%) 2yo FTS sire; dam won route (20K, 0-2 at 2, 0-1 sprint) with 8 winners from 10 runners (3-5 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 4-8 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G1 SW No Review (634K, 2-3 at 2, 0-1 sprint), G1 route SW Another Review (752K, 0-3 at 2, 0-4 sprint), route SP Rap and Dance (200K, 0-2 sprint), multiple SP Pleasant Review (141K, 2-8 sprint); dam full multiple 2yo G2 SW Dance Colony (504K, 4-6 at 2, won debut, 4-7 sprint), multiple SP Colonial Review (97K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 3-12 sprint); barn 37-98 (38%, $2.81 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/29 work matches Sweet Whiskey (1st FTS MSW 86 Beyer 8/11); 8/12 work matches Potosi's Silver (2nd FTS MSW 64 Beyer 8/25); respect
6. RIBBON CUTTER (Elusive Quality - Couture Cat, by Storm Cat)
Sire 43-270 (16%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from 2yo route winner (36K, 1-2 at 2, 0-1 sprint); 2nd dam multiple 2yo G2 SW Runway Model (725K, 4-10 at 2, 2-6 sprint); barn 1-33 (3%, $1.33 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa
7. PREMURA (Bernardini - Preach It, by Saint Ballado)
150K RNA yearling, 225K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.3; sire 12-105 (11%) 2yo FTS; multiple SP dam (120K, 0-1 at 2, 1-19 sprint) has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 route SW Oratory (189K, 0-1 sprint); barn 0-20 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.
8. RIVIERA ROMPER (Tapit - Swap Fliparoo, by Exchange Rate)
Sire 110-736 (15%) 2yos; G1 sprint SW dam (664K, 2-8 at 2, 4-22 sprint) has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); 3rd dam is G1 SW Flip's Pleasure (603K, 2-10 sprint); barn 1-4 (25%, $2.05 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos adding blinkers dirt sprint MSW; got all wound up pre-race DEL; blinks may help her focus; jock's 2nd call.
9. MY MERRY WAY (Tiznow - The Hess Express, by Lord Carson)
235K yearling; full G1 roUte SW Bullsbay (923K, 0-4 sprint); half G3 SW Our Khrysty (313K, 3-4 at 2, won debut, 4-11 sprint), 2yo SW sprinter Hidden Expression (64K, 2-2 at 2, 2-5 sprint), 2yo SW router Vegas No Show (142K, 2-6 at 2, 0-2 sprint); sire 22-292 (8%) 2yo FTS; multiple SP dam (154K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 4-8 sprint) has 6 winners from 7 runners (3-3 with 2yos, 2 FTS winners, 4-6 with sprinters); 2nd dam multiple 2yo SP sprinter Turcomedy (67K, 1-9 at 2, 2-13 sprint); barn 6-75 (8%, $1.29 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint; 8/25 work matches Riviera Romper
10. RECEPTA (Speightstown - Honor Bestowed, by Honor Grades)
410K yearling; 1/2 G3 sprint SW Taqarub (256K, 2-2 at 2, 5-11 sprint) by 22-177 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam won turf (26K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint) with 3 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, won debut, 2-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G1 SW Plenty of Grace (744K, 0-3 at 2, 0-2 sprint), multiple G1 SW Soaring Softly (1.2M, 1-2 at 2, 1-2 sprint); barn 0-16 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint.
11. MALIBU ANGEL (Malibu Moon - Angel Flying, by Saint Ballado)
Sire 194-1036 (19%) 2yo; SP dam (89K, 0-4 at 2, 0-1 sprint) has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); 2nd dam multiple G1 turf SW Donna Viola (996K, 2-7 at 2); barn 1-1 (100%, $37.40 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt sprint; showed some speed when behind Julia Tutwiler.
12. JULIA TUTWILER (Pulpit - Caroline's Gold, by Touch Gold)
290K yearling; sire 147-981 (15%) 2yo; G3 SP dam (156K, 1-4 at 2, 2-7 sprint) with 2 winners from 3 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 0-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple G1 route SW Colonel John (1.7M, 2-4 at 2, 1-3 sprint), G1 route SP Mr. Hot Stuff (349K, 0-3 at 2, 0-2 sprint, G1 SW jumps), SP router Kayce Ace (151K, 0-1 sprint); barn 4-19 (21%, $2.59 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; jock's 1st call.
1. Recepta (ae)
2. Spanish Gold
3. Julia Tutwiler (ae)
4. Past as Prelude
5. Perfect La Comete
Recepta to WIN at 2-1 odds or greater*
*If Recepta scratches, substitute
Spanish Gold – Julia Tutwiler EXACTA**
Spanish Gold – Past as Prelude EXACTA
**If Julia Tutwiler scratches, substitute
Spanish Gold – Perfect La Comete EXACTA
Spinaway Stakes (G1)
1. BRAZEN PERSUASION (Indian Charlie - Beholden, by Cat Thief)
She ran a huge race in the Schuylerville; battled Yes Liz through torrid fractions, then battled with Bahnah the length of the stretch; draws the inside so Rosie will likely send one more time; she's fast enough to make the lead, but figures to take at least some pressure and must go another furlong; talented filly can't be discounted for red-hot barn.
2. BAHNAH (Elusive Quality - Flying Glitter, by Glitterman)
So impressive when winning her debut under a mere hand ride and it looked like she was going to blow right by Brazen Persuasion with a 3 wide burst on the turn in the Schuylerville; battled gamely and may work out a stalking trip behind a very good pace; demand value on this little filly as she stretches out to seven, but she wouldn't be a surprise.
3. DESIGNER LEGS (Graeme Hall - Elegant Designer, by Suave Prospect)
Took a good bump at the start of the Adirondack and tracked the pace while 3-4 wide going into the turn; drifted in a bit under right-handed urging and battled hard to the wire, missing by a neck and being put up by the stewards; should get plenty of pace to rally into, but this looks like a tougher spot; prefer underneath.
4. SWEET REASON (Street Sense - Livermore Leslie, by Mt. Livermore)
Broke slowly from the inside post and was completely outsprinted in the early going, but she looked like she was shot out of a cannon on the turn and blew past the shellshocked leader in midstretch; earned a competitive figure, but it was over a wet track and these are much tougher horses; interesting at a decent price.
5. DANCING HOUSE (Tapit - Tout Charmant, by Slewvescent)
Didn't run very fast in her debut, but this well-bred gray displayed some grit; was squeezed a bit at the start and raced in and among horses entering the turn before wheeling outside turning for home; wore down the pacesetter late and will appreciate the extra distance; has upside, but finds a tough spot for the 1st race vs. winners.
6. STOPCHARGINGMARIA (Tale of the Cat - Exotic Bloom, by Montbrook)
The debut was like breaking sticks as she was hustled to the front, made her own pace and scampered on home under a hand ride; they ran 1-2-3 around the track, however, with nothing coming from behind; drew a good attack post, but the pace should be much faster than in the debut; hard to knock.
7. ART OF THE GAME (Elusive Quality - Jade Queen, by Giant's Causeway)
Beaten by Stopchargingmaria in the well-bet debut, but she broke terribly that day and lost all chance after the first 100 yards; returned to wire a subpar field through moderate splits 2 weeks ago and will likely have to rate off faster fractions here; this is a pretty tough task; prefer others.
8. TRUE BLUE NATION (Bluegrass Cat - Truly Spectacular, by Yes It's True)
May have taken advantage of a speed-favoring track when upsetting the now-exposed Predicate at Belmont; broke poorly and was outsprinted when those fast ones blasted away in the Schyulerville; jock eased up on her the final sixteenth so don't read too much into the margin of defeat; must improve.
9. SWEET WHISKEY (Old Fashioned - Baby Betty, by El Corredor)
Was the buzz horse for her debut and didn't disappoint, pouring it on her foes in the stretch under a stiff hand ride; that race was fast from start to finish and she draws a comfortable outside post here; shouldn't be too far away when they turn for home; logical.
2. Sweet Whiskey
Bahnah to WIN and PLACE at 4-1 odds or greater.