07/23/2013 11:36AM

Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for July 25

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RACE 2
5 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
Purse $80,000

1. CORFU (Malibu Moon - Fashion Cat, by Forest Wildcat)
185K yearling, 675K 2yo after 2F work 20.4; sire 56-352 (16%) 2yo FTS; dam sprint winner (29K) with 2 winners from 3 runners (0-1 2yos, 1-2 sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW sprinter Wild Fashion (365k), multiple G1 router Peace Rules (3.0M); barn 32-99 (32%, $2.57 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 6/10 work matches barn's 4yo Majestic Number (1st 'n1x' MTH 82 Beyer 6/23); logical.

2. AARONS ORIENT (Orientate - Are U Being Served, by Jambalaya Jazz)
35K yearling, 75K 2yo after 1F work 10.0; sire 31-258 (12%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 0 winners from 1 runner (0-1 sprinters); 3rd dam G2 SW Geraldine's Storm; barn 9-43 (21%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; expecting a good effort.

3. ROOSTER CRUISER (Yes It's True - Pleasant Song, by Unbridled's Song)
Sire 57-397 (14%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from turf-winning dam (0-3 sprints); dam 1/2 multiple turf SP Nice Nelly (73K), turf SP Ms Pianist (53K); barn 1-34 (3%, $2.94 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints Spa; 5/28 work matches barn's 3yo Channel Isle (3rd 'ANC' turf CD 6/20 68 Beyer); 7/15 work matches barn's 4yo Skyring (95 dirt Beyer); interesting at price.

4. SAM SUPERSTAR (In Summation - Star Dixie, by Dixie Union)
Sire 1-9 (11%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from turf winning dam (166K); 3rd dam multiple SP Hard Freeze (255K); barn 32-99 (32%, $2.57 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; must respect any 2yo this barn puts on track.

5. CRESCENT (More Than Ready - Lovely Isle, by Double Honor)
215K yearling by 43-381 (11%) 2yo FTS sire; 1st starter from SW sprinter dam (286K, 2-2 at 2); female family multiple SW Fast Lane Gal (91K); barn 0-44 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints Spa; solid pedigree, but barn often gives them a race.

6. PURE SENSATION (Zensational - Pure Disco, by Disco Rico)
Sire 1-4 (25%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (496K, 2-5 at 2, FTS winner, 7-25 sprints); dam full SP turf sprinter Captain Gaughen (77K); barn 4-25 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint (1-6 Spa); bred both sides speed.

SELECTIONS:
1. Aarons Orient
2. Rooster Cruiser
3. Crescent

THE PLAY:
Aarons Orient to WIN at 2-1 odds or greater.

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RACE 3
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Claiming ($75,000)
Fillies
Purse $55,000

1. CHASE MY TAIL (Tale of the Cat - Celestial Star, by Kissin Kris)
50K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 253-1398 (18%) 2yo; dam won turf (66K, 0-3 at 2, 0-1 sprint) and has 3 winners from 5 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 1-5 sprinters); 3rd dam multiple SW Victorious Trick (477K); barn 0-5 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo dropping from MSW in dirt sprints; winner of debut ran 6th in Schuylerville (28 Beyer); can improve.

2. THUNDERING GALE (Thunderello - Golden Gale, by Summer Squall)
Full G3 SP sprinter Knights Cross (252K), SP Bailzee (152K, 2-16 sprints) by 3-60 (5%) 2yo FTS sire; dam G2 SW sprinter (261K) with 4 winners from 5 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 3-5 sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SP sprinter Foggy Launch (90K), SP Campbell Slewp (81K), SP Thelma Jean (31K); barn 11-35 (31%, $2.24 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprints (1-2, 50%, $7.30 ROI Spa); 7/18 work matches barn's 3yo Never the End (75 Beyer turf).

3. HANDSHAKESNKISSES (Proud Citizen - Kindling, by Boundary)
Sire 18-186 (10%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from multiple SP dam (304K, 0-1 at 2, 3-19 sprints); female family G1 turf SW Fire the Groom (785K); barn 1-38 (3%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprints (1-9 Spa).

4. SHE'S COAL FIRED (Brother Derek - Suchaprettygirl, by Mazel Trick)
100K yearling by 7-75 (9%) 2yo sire; dam placed sprinting (0-3 at 2) with 1 winner from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-3 sprinters); dam 1/2 G1 SW Sweet Talker (1.0M), multiple G3 SW Silver Medallion (426K); barn 10-39 (26%) past 5 years 2yos drop from MSW; expect good speed after Schuylerville 4th-finisher.

5. ICING ON THE CAKE (Nobiz Like Shobiz - Flying Free Again, by Good Reward)
Sire 7-91 (8%) 2yos; 1st starter from unraced dam; female family G1 route SW Aptostar (537K); barn 0-3 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos drop from MSW dirt sprints; barn 0-19 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos adding Lasix dirt sprints; barn better 2nd-out than with firsters.

6. FRIENDS PRO (Friends Lake - Mama's Pro, by Proper Reality)
1/2 SW sprinter Pro Prado (397K, 2-3 at 2, FTS winner) by 17-157 (11%) 2yo FTS sire; multiple SW dam (435K, 2-4 at 2, 6-27 sprints) has 5 winners from 8 runners (1-4 2yos, FTS winner, 3-8 sprinters); 2nd dam multiple SP sprinter Mama Cielo (50K, 2-4 at 2, FTS winner); barn 0-10 past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprints.

7. LITTLE MISS BROWN (Big Brown - Scammer, by Pembroke)
37K RNA weanling, 100K yearling, 40K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.2; 1/2 2yo SP sprinter Scammony (54K, FTS winner) by 9-27 (33%) 2yo FTS sire; dam won sprinting (83K, 1-1 at 2) with 5 winners from 6 runners (3-5 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 5-6 sprinters); dam 1/2 SW sprinter Lake Music (92K), SW Gold From the West (315K, 1-5 at 2); G3 sprint SW Fifth Overture (323K, 1-1 at 2); barn 0-11 past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint (0-6 Spa).

8. GOOD CATHOLIC GIRL (Pomeroy - Presentation, by Gold Case)
23K weanling, 25K yearling by 10-82 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam won route (13K, 0-3 sprint) with 4 winners from 5 runners (0-2 2yos, 4-4 sprinters in North America); dam 1/2 multiple SW Chuck N Luck (349K, 3-6 at 2, 4-14 sprinters); barn 3-23 (13%, $4.56 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprints (2-5, 40%, $5.86 ROI at Spa); 6/1, 6/15 works match barn's 2yo filly Suits My Fancy (3rd turf MSW ELP 7/12 56 Beyer; 31 Beyer dirt); 6/28, 7/7 works match barn's 2yo filly Charmed Hour (1st MSW ELP 7/14 60 Beyer); expecting solid effort.

SELECTIONS:
1. GOOD CATHOLIC GIRL
2. LITTLE MISS BROWN
3. ICING ON THE CAKE

THE PLAY:
Good Catholic Girl to WIN and PLACE at 4-1 odds or greater

 

RACE 5
5 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
Fillies
Purse $80,000

1. CRYSTAL ROCKET (A.P. Warrior - Queen of Millbrook, by Distinctive Pro)
3.2K short yearling, 14K RNA yearling, 57K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 5-55 (9%) 2yo FTS; multiple SW dam (213K, 2-2 at 2, 4-9 sprint) has 4 winners from 5 runners (1-3 with 2yos, FTS winner, 3-5 sprinters); dam 1/2 SP 2yo turfer Titan of Industry (152K); barn 1-32 (3%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.

2. SNOWBELL (Tapit - Burmilla, by Storm Cat)
Sire 31-247 (13%) 2yo FTS; dam G2 SW sprinter (170K) with 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-1 sprinters); dam full multiple G2 SW 2yo sprinter Magicalmysterycat (363K), multiple SP (Japan) Tsumujikaze (1.2M); barn 1-28 (4%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/4 work matches barn's 2yo Aslan (28 Beyer); 7/4 work went .01 faster barn's 2yo filly Aldara (0 Beyer).

3. MOBILIZE (War Front - Katy Smiles, by Limit Out)
220K yearling by 4-77 (5%) 2yo FTS sire; dam multiple SW sprinter (225K, 1-2 at 2) with 0 winners from 1 runner (failed sprinting); dam 1/2 multiple SW sprinter Straight Faced (269K), SP turf sprinter Trippin' Along (86K); barn 0-20 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.

4. JERRY LOVE (Not For Love - Jerry Bomb, by Explosive Bid)
70K weanling full multiple G3 SW Akronism (516K, 2-5 at 2, FTS winner, 8-18 sprints), 1/2 SP 2yo Jerry's Fever (86K, 3-19 sprint) by 46-304 (15%) 2yo FTS sire; dam won turf (40K, 0-2 at 2) with 6 winners from 8 runners (3-4 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 4-8 sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple turf SP Sh Bang (203K); barn 18-78 (23%, $2.09 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints (1-8 Spa); 5/11 work matches barn's 4yo filly Villanella (4th 16K 'n3L' claimer CNL turf 52 Beyer 6/21); 6/8 work matches barn's 3yo filly Betty O (2nd MSW 43 Beyer PEN 6/12); 7/20 work matches barn's 4yo Hakama (86 Beyer); 7/20 work matches barn's 3yo Bobby V (83 Beyer top).

5. ZIP ON (City Zip - Danse Kongo, by Petionville)
55K yearling, 200K 2yo after 1F work 9.3; 1/2 SP Copy My Swagger (80K, 2-4 at 2, 2-11 sprint) by 182-1021 (18%) 2yo sire; dam won turf (13K, 0-2 at 2, 0-4 sprint) with 4 winners from 5 runners (2-4 with 2yos, 3-4 sprinters); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Tender Toes (109K), full multiple G2 SP Tangled Tango (294K); barn 1-2 (50%, $2.50 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo adding blinks; good early speed.

6. OUR AMAZING ROSE (Yes It's True - Just for You, by Silver Deputy)
325K 2yo after 1F work 9.4; sire 57-397 (14%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 1 winner from 1 runner (won on turf as older horse); dam 3/4 G3 route SW Minister's Melody (451K); barn 32-99 (32%, $2.57 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 6/17, 6/23, 7/13 works match barn's 2yo filly Stopchargingmaria (1st MSW SAR 84 Beyer 7/19); 7/6 work matches barn's 2yo Danza (1st 7/12 MSW BEL 68 Beyer 7/12); dangerous.

7. FEELS SO RIGHT (High Cotton - Breaking Storm, by Stormy Atlantic)
32K short yearling, 65K yearling, 120K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 10-58 (17%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 1-2 sprinters); dam 1/2 turf SW Peace Symbol (193K); barn 1-28 (4%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/6 workout matches barn's 4yo Awesome Vision (2nd Evan Shipman 87 Beyer Sar 7/22); don't count out.

SELECTIONS:
1. OUR AMAZING ROSE
2. FEELS SO RIGHT
3. JERRY LOVE

THE PLAY:
Our Amazing Rose - Feels So Right EXACTA
Our Amazing Rose - Jerry Love EXACTA