07/20/2013 11:02AM

Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for July 22

Email

This content is part of a free preview of DRF Plus. Click to learn more.

RACE 1
5 1/2 furlongs
Maiden special weight
2-year-olds
Purse: $80,000

1. PECORINO (Afleet Alex - Sandra's Song, by A.P. Indy)
- 70K short yrlng, 77K yrlng, 130K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 14-150 (9%) 2yo FTS; SP dam (3-17, 130K, 0-1 sprint) has 2 winners from 4 runners (0-2 2yos, 1-4 sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 turf SW Big Booster (820K); barn 31-98 (32%, $2.57 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints at Spa.

2. SLEW'S BREW (Suave - Seattle Ash, by Seattle Sleet)
- 14K yrlng by 28-324 (9%) 2yo sire; sprint-winning dam (94K, 1-1 at 2) has 2 winners from 5 runners (0-2 2yos, 2-5 sprinters); barn 1-4 (25%, $15.85 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo dirt sprint MSW; outsprinted early vs. Sanford entrant, but passed tired foes late.

3. BIG SUGAR SODA (Ready's Image - Squeakums, by Fusaichi Pegasus)
- 45K yrlng by 10-83 (12%) 2yo sire; 1st starter from sprint-winning dam (56K, 0-1 at 2); dam 1/2 multiple G2 SW Randaroo (673K); barn 8-23 (35%, $3.19 ROI) past 5 years second-time 2yo MSW dirt sprints at Spa; 4th-finisher from debut returned to run 3rd at ELP (45 Beyer); tracked pace along rail in debut.

4. FLAT JACK (Flatter - Adena's Girl, by Personal Flag)
- 165K yrlng, 285K 2yo after 2F work 20.4; 1/2 multiple SP sprinter Ready and Tough (181K, 2-4 at 2) by 19-185 (10%) 2yo FTS sire; sprint-winning dam (17K, 0-6 at 2) has 7 winners from 8 runners (3-5 2yos, 4-8 sprinters); barn 1-27 (4%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints at Spa; 3 works match barn's Empire Dreams (FTS - Sun. R1).

5. STRONG MANDATE (Tiznow - Clear Mandate, by Deputy Minister)
- 200K yrlng; 1/2 SW Full Mandate (192K, 0-2 at 2, 1-2 sprints), multiple G3 SW Newfoundland (677K, 1-4 at 2, FTS winner, 0-1 sprint), multiple G2 turf SP 2yo The Mighty Tiger (65K, 1-4 at 2) by 8% 2yo FTS sire; multiple G1-winning dam (1.0M, 1-2 at 2, 4-10 sprints) has 8 winners from 9 runners (2-5 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 2-8 sprinters); barn 1-32 (3%) 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints Spa; 1 work match 3yo Will Take Charge (95 Beyer).

6. GRAND ARRIVAL (Harlan's Holiday - Grandstone, by Grindstone)
- 110K short yrlng, 200K yrlng by 42-281 (15%) 2yo FTS sire; route-winning dam (39K, 0-1 sprint) has 3 winners from 5 runners (1-3 2yos, 3-4 sprinters); dam 1/2 SW router Wheelaway (249K); barn 1-51 (2%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints Spa; 6/6 work .05 slower barn's 3yo Jazz Fest (35 Beyer FTS at DEL 7/13).

7. CLOSET E (Street Sense - Amandatude, by Aptitude)
- 250K yrlng by 8-66 (12%) 2yo FTS sire; 1st starter from route SW dam (408K, 1-4 at 2, 0-5 sprint); dam 1/2 turf SW Maid of Heaven (158K); barn 0-10 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints; 7/8 work matches barn's 4yo Tummel (88 Beyer). 

8. FINANCIAL MOGUL (Street Boss - Trav N' Kris, by Snow Chief)
- 185K wnlng, 170K RNA yrlng 1/2 G1 SP sprinter Bear in the Woods (210K), SP sprinter Mr. Negotiator (79K, 1-6 at 2), SP Cane Garden Bay (88K, 1-3 at 2, 2-16 sprints), SP sprinter Angry Bird (76K, 1-4 at 2) by 10-50 (20%) 2yo FTS sire; dam G2 SP sprinting at 2 (68K) with 6 winners from 7 runners (4-5 2yos, 4-7 sprinters); barn 5-19 (26%, $2.67 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS dirt sprint MSW at Spa.

Selections:
1. Financial Mogul
2. Strong Mandate
3. Closet E

The play:
Financial Mogul to WIN at 2-1 odds or greater.

DRF Plus Preview

RACE 2
5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden special weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse: $80,000

1. AINTEASYBEINGGREEN (Bring the Heat - High On Freud, by Freud)
- Sire 44-188 (23%) turf; 1st starter from unplaced dam (0-1 at 2); barn 2-4 (50%, $3.47 ROI) past five years 2nd-time turf MSW sprint at Spa; broke sweetly and cleared to rail and lead, but had no answer turning for home; can improve.

1a. RUSLANA (City Zip - Big Cat Walks Late, by Stormy Atlantic)
- 45K RNA yrlng, 50K RNA yrlng, 80K RNA 2yo after 1F work in 10.0; sire 53-295 (18%) 2yo FTS, 44-286 (15%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from multiple SP dam (108K, 0-3 at 2, 4-14 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 1-1 (100%, $11.00 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint Spa.

2. CELLO (English Channel - Indy Pick, by A.P. Indy)
- Full multiple G3 turf SW Optimizer (915K, 1-5 at 2, FTS winner) by 6-64 (9%) 2yo FTS and 18-102 (18%) 1st-turf sire; winning dam (65K, 1-2 at 2) has 1 winner from 3 runners (1-1 with 2yos, FTS winner, 2-3 turfers, 2 first-turf winners); dam 1/2 multiple G1 SW Finder's Fee (708K); barn 1-27 past 5 years 2yo FTS; sharp bloodlines.

3. THE CARELESS CAT (Tale of the Cat - Who Did It and Run, by Polish Numbers)
- 1/2 G3 turf SP Who's Cozy (84K, 0-2 at 2) and SW American Victory (68K, 0-2 turf) by 83-471 (18%) 2yo FTS and 54-531 (10%) 1st turf sire; dam G2 SW turf (1-3 at 2, FTS winner, 1st-turf winner) has 6 winners from 7 runners (1-4 2yos, 4-7 turfers); barn 2-10 (20%, $2.92 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint Spa; interesting.

4. WHOMPING WILLOW (Mineshaft - English Willow, by Smart Strike)
- 1/2 2yo SP sprinter Dancing Elliebelle (31K) by 57-408 (14%) 2yo and 7-150 (5%) 1st-turf sire; unplaced dam (0-1 at 2, 0-2 turf) has 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 2yos); family G2 SW sprinter Parisian Flight; barn 1-3 (33%, $3.33 ROI) past 5 years 2yo dirt to turf MSW Spa sprints; both horses that beat her at CD dead-heated in Friday's GSTK; speedy.

5. READY TO ACT (More Than Ready - Always Auditioning, by Mizzen Mast)
- 200K yrlng by 43-381 (11%) 2yo FTS and 69-489 (12%) first-turf sire; first starter from turf-winning dam (48K, 0-2 at 2); dam full G1 SW router Mast Track; barn 2-7 (29%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint at Spa; respect. 

6. ANNA KATHERINE (Curlin - Giant Canal, by Giant's Causeway)
- 55K yrlng, 170K 2yo after 1F work 10.3; sire 4-44 (9%) 2yo FTS and 3-22 (14%) 1st-turf; unplaced dam (0-4 turf) has 2 winners from 2 runners (0-1 2yos); dam 1/2 multiple SP sprinter Gran Tenor (142K); barn 1-16 (6%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint.

7. SUPER SKY (Sky Mesa - Tortuga Lady, by Thunder Gulch)
- 80K yrlng, 235K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 1/2 turf SW Dyna's Lassie (182K, 0-1 at 2), SW Princess Arabella (188K, 1-1 at 2), SP turf Cairo Six (48K, 1-5 at 2) by 32-199 (16%) 2yo FTS, 25-199 (13%) 1st-turf sire; dam sprint winner (6K, 0-1 turf) has 6 winners from 6 runners (3-4 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 2-3 turf); dam full multiple G1 SP router Invisible Ink (465K); barn 3-13 (23%, $2.46 ROI) 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint Spa.

8. DUFF ONE (Harlan's Holiday - Acadiana, by Tiznow)
- 70K yrlng, 100K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 42-281 (15%) 2yo FTS, 32-252 (13%) 1st-turf; placed dam (0-4 at 2, 0-1 turf) has 1 winner from 1 runner (1st-turf winner); dam 1/2 G3 turf SW Kindergarten Kid (338K); barn 0-13 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprints.

9. SWEET REASON (Street Sense - Livermore Leslie, by Mt. Livermore)
- 185K yrlng 1/2 G3 route SW Don't Forget Gil (370K, 2-3 at 2, FTS winner, 0-2 turf) by 8-66 (12%) 2yo FTS, 10-74 (14%) 1st-turf sire; SP dam (205K, 0-3 at 2, 0-3 turf) has 6 winners from 7 runners (2-4 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 0-5 turfers); dam 1/2 G3 SW Highland Gold (266K); barn 1-16 (6%) past 3 years 2yo FTS; works fail to excite.

10. ENQUETE (Indian Charlie - North of Neptune, by Mr. Prospector)
- 1/2 to SP turf Moon Prospect (106K, 1-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint) by 47-295 (16%) 2yo FTS sire; unraced dam has 2 winners from 4 runners (1-2 with 2yos, FTS winner, 0-1 sprinters); dam full 2yo turf G3 SW Moon Driver; 3rd dam is Miesque; barn 31-98 (32%, $2.57 ROI) past 5 years 2YO FTS MSW dirt sprints Spa; MTO has lots of turf breeding.

Selections:
1. The Careless Cat
2. Cello
3. Ready to Act

The play:
The Careless Cat to WIN and PLACE at 4-1 odds or greater.

RACE 5
1 1/16 Miles (inner turf)
Maiden special weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse: $85,000

1. PAULOWNIA (Quiet American - Misty Dancer, by Lyphard)
- 510K wnlng full SW Quiet Dance (224K, 1-5 at 2, 0-2 turf) by 21-394 (5%) 2yo FTS and 34-471 (7%) 1st-turf sire; unplaced dam (0-2 turf) has 7 winners from 13 runners (1-9 2yos, 2-7 turfers); dam 1/2 2yo turf G1 SW Minstrella (358K); barn 1-8 (13%, $7.12 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 7/15 work match Broken Spell (entered Sat. Race 3).

2. SEA QUEEN (Lemon Drop Kid - Dowry, by Belong to Me)
- 1/2 G1 turf SW Nereid (303K, 0-1 at 2, 1st-turf winner) by 25-227 (11%) 2yo FTS, 46-403 (11%) 1st-turf sire; turf-winning dam (105K, 1st-turf winner) has 3 winners from 3 runners (0-2 at 2, 1-3 turf, 1st-turf winner); dam 1/2 multiple 2yo SW sprinter The Herc (129K); barn 1-4 (25%, $4.95 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa.

3. MA BILLET DOUX (Tapit - Saintlike, by Saint Ballado)
- 500K yrlng 1/2 SW Heart of a King (254K, 0-1 at 2), 2yo SP Nockonheavensgate (58K, 1-7 at 2, 2-14 turf) by 31-247 (13%) 2yo FTS, 23-266 (9%) 1st-turf sire; winning dam (43K, 0-5 turf) has 3 winners from 3 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1-1 turfers); dam 1/2 turf SW Pompeyano (255K); barn 0-24 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route at Spa.

4. PARI NATH (A.P. Warrior - Heartstrings, by Petionville)
- Sire 5-55 (9%) 2yo FTS, 1-41 (2%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from placed dam (0-2 at 2, 0-4 turf); female family G3 SW Inside the Beltway (219K); barn 0-1 past 5 years 2yo FTS. 

5. STREETHOMEALABAMA (Street Sense - Servalina, by A.P. Indy)
- 95K yrlng by 25-178 (14%) 2yo, 10-74 (14%) 1st-turf sire; unraced dam has 0 winners from 3 runners (0-3 with 2yos); female family multiple G1 SW Excellent Meeting (1.4M); barn 4-23 (17%) past 5 years 2yo dirt-turf, sprint-route MSW (0-9 Spa); should handle trip; not out of this.

6. KITTEN KABOODLE (Kitten's Joy - Easy Slam, by Grand Slam)
- Sire 32-178 (18%) 2yo FTS, 39-242 (16%) 1st-turf; dam sprint winner at 2 (30K) and has 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 turfer); dam 1/2 SW sprinter Came to Pass (62K); barn 4-15 (27%, $2.15 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf routes; some very interesting workouts on display. 1 work matches barn’s GSW Stephanie’s Kitten.

7. HILLHOUSE HIGH (Exchange Rate - Pleasant Laughter, by Coronado's Quest)
- 75K yrlng, 195K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 35-245 (14%) 2yo FTS, 29-248 (12%) 1st-turf; dam multiple SP (172K, 0-2 at 2, 0-1 turf) with 2 winners from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 0-2 turfers); dam 1/2 multiple SP Incumbent (67K); barn 5-25 (20%, $2.19 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa.

8. PALESTRINA (Medaglia d'Oro - Maiden Tower, by Green Dancer)
- 3/4 turf SP Picture Hat (40K) by 65-444 (15%) 2yo, 23-247 (9%) 1st-turf sire; dam G2 turf SW (349K, 2-3 at 2, 1st-turf winner) with 4 winners from 6 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 3-5 turfers, 2 1st-turf winners); dam 1/2 turf SW Tokyo Rose; barn 1-5 (20%) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo MSW dirt-turf, sprint-route; bred to appreciate turf.

9. CANDY KITTY (Lemon Drop Kid - Worthy Cat, by Tale of the Cat)
- 185K yrlng by 86-671 (13%) 2yo, 46-403 (11%) 1st-turf sire; unplaced dam (0-4 turf) has 1 winner from 3 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 turfers); dam 1/2 multiple G2 turf SW Naissance Royale (740K); barn 2-14 (14%) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo MSW dirt-turf, sprint-route; more distance helps.

Selections:
1. Candy Kitty
2. Palestrina
3. Kitten Kaboodle
4. Paulownia

The play:
Candy Kitty to WIN at 2-1 odds or greater.