08/07/2013 1:05PM

Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 8

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RACE 2
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (NY-breds)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $70,000

1. MARY'S IN UTOPIA (Utopia - Carson Countess, by Lord Carson)
1/2 SP sprinter Amalfi Drive (46K, 1-3 at 2, 3-12 sprinting) by 3-59 (5%) 2yo FTS sire; dam placed sprinting (0-2 sprints) and has 1 winner from 4 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1-4 sprinters); female family multiple G2 SW Valay Maid (641K, 2-2 at 2, 3-3 sprints); barn 0-13 past 5 years with FTS.

1a. STORMIN MARY (Fusaichi Pegasus - Heartbreaker, by Stormin Fever)
21K yearling; sire 116-788 (15%) with 2yo; dam won sprinting (22K, 1-8 sprint) and has 2 winners from 4 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 2-4 sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW Bold Comic (220K, 15-39 sprint), SP Mature Miss (122K, 0-1 at 2, 5-35 sprint) barn 0-12 past 5 years 2nd-time out; class relief here.

2. BLITHELY (Exchange Rate - Merryland Monroe, by Allen's Prospect)
Sire 36-249 (14%) 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (66K, 3-6 sprint) and has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple G1 route SW Diazo (581K, 0-2 at 2, 2-4 sprint), SW Mort (197K, 1-17 sprint); barn 1-17 (6%, $1.61 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint (0-8 Spa); 6/16 work went .01 slower than Baffle Me (2nd Fairy Garden Stakes turf 91 Beyer BEL 7/4); 7/7 work went .02 slower than As Well (2nd SMSW turf 67 Beyer Spa 7/21).

3. CHRYSOLITE (Freud - Halo's Notebook, by Notebook)
25K yearling; full multiple SW Freud's Notebook (427K, 0-6 at 2, 1-17 sprint) by 23-186 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam won lone start sprinting at 2 (7K) and has 4 winners from 4 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 4-4 with sprinters); female family G3 SW Relic Reward (374K, 0-4 at 2, 1-4 sprint); barn 0-11 past 5 years 2yo FTS NY-bred MSW dirt sprint (0-3 Spa); 7/21 work matches Kelly's Prize (3rd SMSW 47 Beyer Spa 7/31); not out of this.

4. MISS NARCISSIST (Freud - Mighty Good, by Good and Tough)
47K RNA yearling; 97K 2yo after 3F work 33.3; sire 23-186 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (86K, 1-5 at 2, 4-22 sprint) and has 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 1-1 sprinters); dam 1/2 SW sprinter Mighty Eros (95K, 2-6 sprint), 2yo SP sprinter Think I'm Hooked (90K, 1-6 at 2, 2-19 sprint); barn 3-13 (23%, $2.16 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint Spa.

5. CRYPTIC COMET (Greeley's Galaxy - High Falutin Gal, by Silver Deputy)
13K yearling; 55K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 1-40 (3%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 2yo G3 SP sprint Tipperary Melody (68K, 1-6 at 2, 1-6 sprint); barn 1-8 (13%, $3.30 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS NY-bred MSW dirt sprint; 7/26 work went .02 slower than King Mugatu (entered FTS MTO R5); must respect barn.

6. NUTMEG (Lemon Drop Kid - Miss Bodine, by Vindication)
190K yearling; sire 26-233 (11%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from SP dam (85K, 1-4 at 2, 1-8 sprint); dam 1/2 2yo SP sprinter Inexcessivelylucky (50K, 1-6 at 2, 1-6 sprint), 2yo SW sprint Inexcessive Speed (92K, 2-5 at 2, 2-4 sprint), multiple 2yo SW sprinter Controlled (325K, 4-5 at 2, won debut, 5-6 sprint), 2yo G2 SW sprinter Icecoldbeeratreds (353K, 3-5 at 2, won debut, 3-4 sprint); barn 8-54 (15%, $1.65 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint.

7. CON GEE (Congaree - Caucus, by General Meeting)
4.5K yearling; 1/2 SW router Lady Candidate (104K, 1-3 at 2, 0-1 sprint) by 43-362 (12%) 2yo sire; dam won route at 2 (65K, 1-3 at 2, 0-6 sprint) and has 3 winners from 5 runners (2-5 with 2yos, 2-5 with sprinters); 3rd dam 2yo SW Alexandrina (214K, 1-4 at 2, 2-11 sprint); barn 1-10 (10%, $1.44 ROI) past 5 years 2yos MSW dirt sprint; speedy threat drops in with statebreds.

8. GENTLE CAT (Bluegrass Cat - Chantess, by Unbridled's Song)
35K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 25-165 (15%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 2 winners from 2 runners (2-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 SP router Futuristic (210K, 1-3 at 2, 0-3 sprint); barn 1-5 (20%, $2.40 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS NY-bred MSW dirt sprint; 7/25 work matches Pegasus Diamond (75 Beyer top); interesting.

9. ALWAYSINSTILETTOS (Bandini - Always Belong, by Belong to Me)
1/2 2yo SP Always for You (43K, 0-6 at 2, 1-6 sprint) by 13-102 (13%) 2yo FTS; muliple SP dam (95K, 1-1 at 2, 1-10 sprint) has 5 winners from 5 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 4-5 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Raiders Bid (75K, 6-50 sprint), multiple 2yo SW sprinter Shesastonecoldfox (216K, 4-5 at 2, won debut, 4-9 sprint), 2yo SW sprinter Boston Raider (127K, 2-5 at 2, 7-56 sprint); barn 0-14 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint; 7/6 work matches Readyfortheday (3rd FTS MSW 29 Beyer FL 7/29); 7/20, 8/2 works match Uncommon Grounds (64 Beyer top); 7/27 work matches Color Blind (73 dirt Beyer, entered Wed. R7)

SELECTIONS:
1. Gentle Cat
2. Con Gee
3. Cryptic Comet

THE PLAY:
Gentle Cat to WIN and PLACE at 8-1 odds or greater

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RACE 5
1 1/16 Miles (turf)
Maiden Special Weight (NY-breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $75,000

1. MARVIN'S MIRACLE (Cosmonaut - Idle Gossip, by Western Expression)
17K weanling; 62K yearling; new sire multiple G3 SW (1.3M, 0-1 at 2, 7-29 turf) and is 0-4 with 2yos, 0-2 turfers; 1st starter from sprint winner (37K, 0-2 turf); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Those Lion Eyes (193K, 1-4 at 2); barn 1-4 (25%, $2.17 ROI) past 5 years 2yos; solid effort in debut despite being very late to make his final lead change.

1a. LUV DAKOTA SKYE (Corinthian - Two Bad Girls, by Diablo)
32K RNA weanling; 9K RNA yearling; 1/2 G2 SW sprinter Twice as Bad (276K, 2-12 at 2, 0-1 turf), SW Twiceasbeautiful (211K, 5-30 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 11-114 (10%) 2yo FTS, 7-95 (7%) 1st-turf sire; dam won sprint (24K, 0-3 turf) and has 5 winners from 5 runners (2-2 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 2-4 turf, 2 first-turf winners); female family SW Kindly Court (214K, 3-9 at 2, 5-22 turf); barn 0-8 past 5 years FTS

2. AMERICAN CREED (Quiet American - Thin Disguise, by Yes It's True)
115K weanling, 155K RNA yearling; sire 131-1265 (10%) 2yo, 34-473 (7%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from route winning dam (45K, 0-2 turf); dam 1/2 G3 SW Naughty New Yorker (1.0M, 2-6 at 2, 0-2 turf), SW router Pupil (204K); barn 0-10 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo dirt/turf; 7/30 work matches Strong Mandate (5th FTS MSW dirt 59 Beyer Spa 7/22); should appreciate more distance;

3. FOREVER UTOPIA (Utopia - Dancin On Broadway, by Menifee)
29K RNA yearling, 30K 2yo after 1F work 10.3; sire 3-59 (5%) 2yo FTS, 3-50 (6%) 1st-turf; dam won sprint (98K, 2-3 at 2) and has 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 turf); dam 1/2 multiple SP turf Broadway Snowman (204K, 5-26 turf); barn 1-12 (8%, $4.25 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route; 7/17 work matches uncoupled mate Free Mugatu.

4. JOHN BAILEY (Cosmonaut - Whateverwillbwillb, by Western Expression)
11K weanling; 75K yearling; new sire multiple G3 SW (1.3M, 0-1 at 2, 7-29 turf) and is 0-4 with 2yos, 0-2 turfers; dam multiple SP (196K, 0-3 at 2, 4-20 turf) and has 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); dam full turf SP Sax in the City (130K, 1-1 at 2, 3-25 turf, 1st-turf winner); dam 1/2 turf SP Writingonthewall (412K, 5-21 turf); barn 7-48 (15%, $2.26 ROI) past 5 years 2yos (0-4 turf); not out of it.

5. BLUEGRASS FLASH (Bluegrass Cat - To Marquet, by Marquetry)
1/2 SP Marquet Cat (386K, 1-6 at 2, 9-42 turf), SW Marquet Madness (226K, 1-5 at 2, won debut, 5-20 turf), G2 turf SW Discreet Marq (305K, 2-5 at 2, 4-8 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 25-165 (15%) 2yo FTS, 10-142 (7%) 1st-turf sire; multiple sprint SW dam (198K, 1-4 at 2, 0-5 turf) has 3 winners from 5 runners (3-4 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 3-5 turfers, 1 first-turf winner); dam 1/2 multiple SW sprinter Pretty Imposing (276K, 0-1 at 2, 0-4 turf); barn 1-6 (17%, $2.36 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS NY-bred MSW turf route; 5/29, 6/6, 6/13, 6/20, 6/27, 7/5 works match Pure Sensation (2nd FTS MSW dirt 78 Beyer 7/25); 7/19 work matches Celtic Arch (4th MSW turf 70 Beyer Spa 7/24); expecting good things.

6. COOL IT (Repent - Pierpont Account, by Private Account)
1/2 SP Livin Large (221K, 4-28 turf) by 87-742 (12%) 2yo, 12-179 (7%) 1st turf; mud/route-winning dam (13K) has 8 winners from 12 runners (2-6 2yos, 3-8 with turfers, 1 first-turf winner); 2nd dam SP sprinter Whidah (54K, 1-1 at 2); barn 1-11 (9%, $17.63 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/turf; more ground helps; must improve.

7. JUSTICE DEPT (Patriot Act - Code Orange, by Green Desert)
5K RNA yearling; sire 4-46 (9%) 2yos, 2-38 (5%) turf); dam won on turf England (18K, 0-2 at 2, 1-6 turf) and has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); 3rd dam G2 turf SW Bella Colora (France); barn 2-13 (15%, $1.35 ROI) past 5 years, 2yos sprint/route turf MSW; 3rd finisher from debut returned to finish 3rd twice in turf stakes (65 Beyer top); jock's 1st call; expect early speed;

8. THE MOOCHE (Any Given Saturday - Desafinado, by Pulpit)
Sire 6-74 (8%) 2yo FTS, 10-69 (14%) 1st-turf; dam placed turf (0-5 at 2, 0-3 turf) and has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with turfers); dam 1/2 G3 route SW Irving's Baby (763K, 2-8 turf, 1st-turf winner), G2 turf SW Deeliteful Irving (479K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 5-12 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 1-4 (25%, $4.05 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS (0-1 turf); 6/15 work went .02 faster than Malibu Mudslide (7th MSW turf 51 Beyer CNL 7/13, entered Wed. R6); 6/22 work match Kicken Livi (8th FTS SMSW dirt 0 Beyer 7/31 Spa); 8/22 work matches Malibu Mudslide.

9. FREE MUGATU (Utopia - Thunder Babe, by Appealing Skier)
50K yearling; 150K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 3-59 (5%) 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (78K, 2-11 at 2, 4-22 sprint) and has 2 winners from 2 runners (2-2 with 2yos, 2 FTS winners, 2-2 sprinters); 3rd dam SW Dedicated Queen (123K, 0-2 at 2, 5-17 sprint); barn 1-8 (13%, $3.30 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS NY-bred MSW dirt sprint; 7/26 work went .02 faster than Cryptic Comet (entered FTS R2); jock's 2nd call.

10. THUG DADDY (Scat Daddy - As Promised, by Century City)
40K 2yo after 1F work 10.4; sire 47-277 (17%) 2yos; 1st starter from turf-placed dam (0-2 sprint); dam 1/2 multiple SP Diamond Anchor (577K, 0-6 at 2, 2-22 sprint), SW router Daytime Promise (215K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint), SW Promiseville (101K, 1-3 at 2, 1-3 sprint); barn 1-3 (33%, $1.26 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo SMSW dirt sprint Spa.

SELECTIONS (TURF ONLY)
1. Bluegrass Arch
2. Marvin's Miracle
3. Justice Dept

THE PLAY (TURF ONLY):
Bluegrass Arch to WIN at 2-1 odds or greater