08/02/2013 12:15PM

Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 3

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Race 7
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $80,000

1. BIRD NOW (Tiznow - Elusive Bird, by Elusive Quality)
1/2 G2 SP sprinter Pow Wow Wow (80K, 1-3 at 2, 0-6 sprint) by 22-284 (8%) 2yo FTS sire; unraced dam has 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 with 2yos, 0-1 sprinter); 2nd dam multiple G1 route SW Bird Town (871K, 1-4 at 2, 1-4 sprint); barn 0-51 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/14 work matches Navajo Ca Lo (4th 25K MCL 60 Beyer 7/28); 7/22 work matches Sinorice (1st 20K 'beaten' claimer Beyer 7/31); 7/29 work matches Catholic Cowboy (69 Beyer top); interesting works and pedigree, but tough post for barn that does better second-out

2. MISCHIEVOUS ONE (Into Mischief - Value Vetted, by Value Plus)

9.5K RNA weanling, 62K yearling, 130K 2yo after 2F work 21.2; sire 13-72 (18%) 2yos; 1st starter from unraced dam; 3rd dam multiple SW Quick Selection (61K); barn 0-19 past 5 years 2yos dirt; the winner of debut try returned to finish 4th in the G2 Sanford with 61 Beyer.

 

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3. DUNKIN BEND (Dunkirk - Misty Run, by Vindication)
21K weanling, 53K yearling, 110K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; new sire multiple G1 SP router (1-1 sprint) and is 1-17 (6%) with 2yos; this is 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 multiple turf SP Macadamia (139K, 1-6 at 2, 1-6 sprint); barn 6-21 (29%, $3.01 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; 3rd-finisher in debut returned to win on turf with 71 Beyer; dueled an odds-on firster into defeat that day before succumbing to uncoupled stablemate; speedy major player.

4. KING CYRUS (Bellamy Road - Queen of Empire, by Empire Maker)
70K yearling; sire 6-66 (9%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unplaced dam (0-2 on turf); 3rd dam multiple G1 SW Dispute (1.1M, 1-2 at 2, FTS winner, 2-4 sprint); barn 33-99 (33%, $2.59 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa); 6/10 work went .01 slower than uncoupled mate Chisholm); 6/16 work matches Danza (1st FTS MSW 68 Beyer 7/12); 7/28 work matches Chisholm.

5. BOLD VISIONARY (Rockport Harbor - Freshwater Pearl, by Alzao)
40K yearling; 1/2 multiple turf SP Pure Incentive (112K, 1-3 at 2, 1-3 sprint) by 20-170 (12%) 2yo FTS sire; dam 2yo turf SW (73K, 1-2 at 2, FTS winner) with 5 winners from 8 runners (2-6 2yos, 3-6 sprint); dam full G3 turf SW Alexis (351K), 2yo turf SW Miss Helga (Ireland), G2 SW Golden Rock (Peru); barn 3-28 (11%, $0.82 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint (0-7 Spa); 5/22, 5/29, 6/26 works match Thank You Marylou (1st FTS Tippett Stakes CNL 65 Beyer 7/13); 7/22 work matches Madris (1st 20K 'beaten' claimer turf 69 Beyer 7/29)

6. SOUPER LUCKY (Giant's Causeway - Slewfoundmoney, by Seeking the Gold)
Sire 84-612 (14%) 2yos; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (184K, 1-5 sprint); dam 1/2 G3 sprint SW Canadian Frontier (253K, 6-11 sprint; dam full G3 turf SW Seeking Slew (327K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint); barn 1-5 (20%, $0.72 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo/1st-time Lasix MSW dirt sprint; didn't have easy trip in debut; can improve with Lasix.

7. DANAUS (Ambassador - Dulcet Tone, by Empire Maker)
1st starter from new sire (German G2 turf SW, 187K); 1st starter from sprint-winning dam (42K, 1-6 sprint); 3rd dam French SW Euphonic (100K, 1-1 at 2, 0-3 sprint); female family G1 turf SW Danehill (England); barn 1-29 (3%, $1.52 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/5 work matches Empire Dreams (4th FTS 56 Beyer SMSW 7/21).

8. BIG AIR (More Than Ready - Taj Aire, by Taj Alriyadh)
140K weanling; 1/2 multiple SW R Baggio (314K, 1-3 at 2, 2-14 sprint), SW Handyman Bill (136K, 1-3 sprint), multiple G3 SW Elusive Diva (484K, 2-6 sprint), turf SP No Lullaby (118K, 0-2 sprint), turf SP Diva's Seastar (53K, 0-1 at 2, 0-2 sprint) by 44-384 (11%) 2yo FTS sire; winning dam (92K, 0-1 at 2, 1-11 sprint) has 8 winners from 10 runners (3-4 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 6-9 sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW Mahaska (235K, 1-4 at 2, 5-19 sprint), SP sprinter Aire of Speed (114K, 1-3 at 2, FTS winner, 18-96 sprint); dam full to multiple SW sprinter Zashrany (101K, 0-1 at 2, 8-22 sprint); barn 1-34 (3%, $2.94 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.

9. CHISHOLM (Congrats - Icy Warning, by Caveat)
400K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 1/2 route SW Devotion Unbridled (163K, 0-1 sprint), multiple turf SW Snow Cone (353K, 2-7 at 2, 0-3 sprint) by 16-123 (13%) 2yo FTS sire; multiple SW dam (516K, 2-12 at 2, 1-9 sprint) has 8 winners from 10 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 3-9 with sprinters); dam full G1 turf SW Ops Smile (785K, 0-3 at 2, 1-4 sprint), multiple SW Northern Flair (108K, 0-4 at 2, 0-3 sprint); dam 1/2 multiple SW Testing (530K, 1-1 sprint); barn 33-99 (33%, $2.59 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa); 6/10 work went .01 faster than uncoupled mate King Cyrus); 7/8 work went .04 slower than Pecorino (2nd FTS MSW 71 Beyer 7/22); 7/28 work matches King Cyrus

[SARATOGA 2013: Complete meet coverage, exclusive DRF videos]

SELECTIONS:
1. Dunkin Bend
2. Big Air
3. Bird Now

THE PLAY:
Dunkin Bend – Big Air EXACTA
Dunkin Bend – Bird Now EXACTA

Curtis V Slewster More than 1 year ago
Dan, Tough race to have to pick. I do see you have 3 Slewsters in there. Led by the Double Slewster. Vindication, son of WHO ? Sure could run a little bit. Good luck... Curtis V Slewster.........