08/21/2013 12:47PM

Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 22

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RACE 2
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Claiming ($50,000)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

1. MY JIMMY CHEW GIRL (Thunder Gulch - Cupids Gallop, by Victory Gallop)
Sire 35-398 (9%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from route winner (41K, 0-9 sprint); 3rd dam is SW Cupid's Way (156K); barn 3-11 (27%, $1.40 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint Spa; 6/5, 6/18 works match Frogman Mel (4th FTS MSW turf 42 Beyer BEL 7/12); 6/25 work matches Glycine (8th FTS MSW turf 50 Beyer MTH 7/20); 6/25 work matches Doc Cebu (2nd MSW turf 77 Beyer BEL 7/5); 7/21 work matches Forbidden Talent (1st FTS 35K MCL 44 Beyer 8/9); can't discount.

2. FREE RELEASE (Dixie Union - Bright Line, by Fusaichi Pegasus)
30K weanling, 60K RNA yearling, 55K yearling; sire 37-304 (12%) 2yo FTS; route winner (39K, 0-1 sprint) has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SW Full Mandate (192K, 0-2 at 2, 1-2 sprint), multiple G3 route SW Newfoundland (677K, 1-4 at 2, won debut, 0-1 sprint), multiple 2yo G2 turf SP The Mighty Tiger (65K, 1-4 at 2); barn 1-12 (8%, $1.02 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint.

3. CRYSTAL ROCKET (A.P. Warrior - Queen of Millbrook, by Distinctive Pro)
3.2K short yearling, 14K RNA yearling, 57K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 24-182 (13%) 2yos; multiple SW dam (213K, 2-2 at 2, 4-9 sprint) has 5 winners from 6 runners (1-4 with 2yos, 3-6 sprinters); dam 1/2 SP 2yo turfer Titan of Industry (152K, 1-3 at 2); barn 2-24 (8%, $1.62 ROI) past 5 years 2yos MCL dirt sprint Spa; no match for Pletcher FTS in both outings; more speed here?

4. SARATOGA KARAOKE (Harlan's Holiday - Fantasy Song, by Unbridled's Song)
65K yearling; sire 143-832 (17%) 2yos; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 multiple 2yo sprint SW South Bay Cove (259K, 3-4 at 2, 3-7 sprint), 2yo G3 turf SP Art Market (England), multiple SW Hello Maggie May (264K, 3-10 sprint); barn 1-3 (33%, $2.83 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW/MCL dirt sprints; bet hard for debut and may have been compromised by poor break.

5. TWO STEP FLOR (Two Step Salsa - Pyrite Flower, by Formal Dinner)
11.5K yearling, 20K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire G2 route SW (1.1M, 4-5 sprint, 2-8 with 2yo FTS); unplaced dam (0-1 sprint) has 1 winner from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 1-1 with sprinters); dam full multiple SW Formal Arrangement (143K, 2-3 at 2, won debut, 2-6 sprint); barn 8-26 (31%, $2.55 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint (0-2 Spa); 8/3 work matches Sassy Little Cat (10th FTS MSW 24 Beyer DEL 8/17)

6. FOXBEAU (Bluegrass Cat - Tizprecious, by Jade Hunter)
37K RNA weanling, 30K yearling, 50K 2yo after 1F work 10.3; 1/2 SW Tiz Gianni (173K) by 27-172 (16%) 2yo FTS sire; unplaced dam (0-1 sprint) has 3 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP 2yo Tizalovelylady (55K, 1-5 at 2, 0-2 sprint), SW sprinter Tizakitty (158K, 4-10 sprint), G3 turf SW Tiz West (263K, 0-1 at 2, 0-3 sprint), G1 route SW Paynter (1.0M, 2-2 sprint); barn 16-84 (19%, $1.29 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint (0-1 Spa); solid pedigree.

SELECTIONS:
1.  My Jimmy Chew Girl
2.  Foxbeau
3.  Crystal Rocket

THE PLAY:
My Jimmy Chew Girl – Foxbeau EXACTA
My Jimmy Chew Girl – Crystal Rocket EXACTA

RACE 4
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (NY-Breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $70,000

1. SPEED READ (Read the Footnotes - Totebook, by Notebook)
Full multiple G1 SP 2yo Cribnote (216K, 1-4 at 2, 2-9 sprint) by 12-93 (13%) 2yo FTS; dam placed sprinting (3K, 0-2 at 2, 0-4 sprint) with 1 winner from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 1-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 sprint SW D'Or Ruckus (418K, 0-3 at 2, 8-43 sprint). SP Wild Ruckus (64K, 1-3 at 2, 8-67 sprint), SW Diane's Birthday (69K, 0-5 at 2, 1-7 sprint); barn 3-7 (43%, $2.71 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint Spa; 8/5 work matches Impatient Investor (68 Beyer); interesting.

2. SANDCAT (D'wildcat - Sanibel, by Ecton Park)
75K yearling, 145K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 20-169 (12%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from sprint winner (76K, 0-1 at 2, 2-11 sprint); dam 1/2 SP Warm Rain (137K, 1-5 sprint), 2yo SP Seeking Shelter (165K, 1-4 at 2, 5-16 sprint), multiple SW D'Wild Ride (622K, 0-1 at 2, 11-35 sprint); barn 2-9 (22%, $3.02 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/5 work went .01 faster than Thatza Wrap (FTS WED R1); 7/12 work went .01 slower than Thatza Wrap.

3. POLECAT (First Samurai - Miss Thermal Tech, by Distinctive Pro)
170K yearling, 220K RNA 2yo after 2F work 21.4; 1/2 sprint SW Feeling Fancy (94K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 5-17 sprint) by 8-90 (9%) 2yo FTS sire; multiple sprint SP dam (356K, 2-6 at 2, 8-30 sprint) has 6 winners from 7 runners (1-3 with 2yos, FTS winner, 4-7 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Midnite Rendezvous (71K, 2-3 at 2, won debut, 6-38 sprint); barn 1-4 (25%, $9.50 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint Spa.

4. SUGAR GOLD (Touch Gold - Sugar Blues, by Personal Flag)
4K RNA short yearling; sire 30-329 (9%) 2yo FTS; placed dam (38K, 0-3 at 2, 0-12 sprint) has 6 winners from 7 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 5-7 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP Final Bow (75K), multiple SW Jazzing Around (448K, 2-9 at 2, 6-16 sprint); barn 0-20 past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint.

5. GEAUX METS (Posse - Back Bay Lady, by A.P Jet)
75K yearling; sire 24-226 (11%) 2yo FTS; winning dam (86K, 0-5 at 2, 1-15 sprint) has 2 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 route SW Inherit the Gold (478K, 1-4 sprint); barn 1-11 (9%, $0.87 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/22 work went .03 slower than Retired (59 Beyer); 7/31 work matches Hangingwithsonny (7th SMSW turf 31 Beyer 8/15).

6. LET'S DISCUSS (Catienus - Lotsa Personality, by Personal Flag)
1/2 SP Alpha J (82K, 2-7 sprint) by 16-232 (7%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 3 winners from 4 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 2-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW Pocket Cowboys (518K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint); barn 1-8 (13%, $1.90 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint; 7/12 work went .02 faster than She's a Sizzler (FTS WED R1); 7/21, 8/8 works match She's a Sizzler.

7. WHIRLIN (Stonesider - Gone Whirlin, by Gone for Real)
2K yearling, 20K 2yo after 1F work 11.0; sire 0-29 2yo FTS; route winner (10K, 0-6 sprint) has 0 winners from 1 runner (0-1 with sprinters): dam full route SP Gone Goodbye (133K, 1-2 sprint); barn 0-11 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint; 8/18 work matches Iratinelexburance (53 Beyer)

8. NOON SHADOW (Noonmark - Overdue Number, by Polish Numbers)
1.7K RNA yearling; sire G3 sprint SW (354K, 1-2 at 2, 4-17 sprint, 0-5 with 2yo FTS); unplaced dam (2K, 0-1 at 2) has 2 winners from 4 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-4 with sprinters); dam full multiple SW Ghostly Numbers (280K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 5-15 sprint); barn 0-11 past 5 years FTS.

9. PUSH UPS (Frost Giant - Malibu Morn, by Malibu Moon)
Sire 3-16 (19%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 3 winners from 5 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 3-5 with sprinters); female family multiple sprint SW Jazzy One (249K, 1-2 at 2, 7-36 sprint); barn 1-10 (10%, $2.56 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS dirt sprint; solid bloodlines.

SELECTIONS:
1.  Speed Read
2.  Push Ups
3.  Whirlin
4.  Let’s Discuss

THE PLAY:
Speed Read to WIN at 2-1 odds or greater.

RACE 7

5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $80,000

1. REIGN (Speightstown - Angela's Love, by Not For Love)
170K yearling; sire 22-176 (13%) 2yo FTS, 29-232 (13%) 1st-turf; dam G3 route SW (347K, 1-3 turf) with 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with turfer); female family multiple SP Bullet Assault (90K, 0-5 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 2-10 (20%, $2.92 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint Spa; 6/8, 6/14 works match The Careless Cat (5th FTS MSW turf 61 Beyer 7/22); 7/19, 7/27 works match Tempers Flair (6th FTS MSW turf 36 Beyer 8/4); 8/12 work matches Divorce Party (1st MSW dirt 54 Beyer DEL 8/17)

2. SUMBA SUNSET (Street Cry - Diamonds for Lil, by Summer Squall)
385K yearling; 1/2 G3 turf SP Aaroness (Ireland, 134K, 1-5 at 2, 2-21 turf) by 11-135 (8%) 2yo FTS, 22-206 (11%) 1st-turf sire; dam won route at 2 (14K, 1-3 at 2, 0-1 turf) with 3 winners from 4 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 3-3 with turfers); dam 1/2 SW Lovat's Lady (97K, 1-2 at 2, 1st-turf winner); dam full turf SP Weepnomoremylady (118K, 1-3 at 2, won debut, 3-9 turf); barn 1-3 (33%, $11.00 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint Spa;; 7/18 work matches Tea Time (3rd FTS MSW dirt 69 Beyer 8/11);

3. PAULOWNIA (Quiet American - Misty Dancer, by Lyphard)
510K weanling; full SW Quiet Dance (224K, 1-5 at 2, 0-2 turf) by 131-1267 (10%) 2yo, 195-2103 (9%) turf sire; unplaced dam (0-2 turf) has 7 winners from 14 runners (1-10 2yos, 2-8 turfers); dam 1/2 G1 2yo turf SW Minstrella (358K, Europe), G2 SW Misty Gallore (479K); barn 0-18 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos turf; vet scratch 8/4.

4. TAPITEAO (Tapit - Black Tea, by Orientate)
90K yearling; sire 32-257 (12%) 2yo FTS, 24-277 (9%) 1st-turf; dam won sprint (121K, 1-7 at 2) with 1 winner from 1 runner; dam full G1 route SW Careless Jewel (1.0M); barn 2-21 (10%, $5.96 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS turf (0-7 sprint); 6/1, 6/9, 6/15 works match Clever Beauty (6th FTS MSW dirt 49 Beyer 8/11).

5. BEST FRIENDS (Bernstein - Sapphiresndiamonds, by Mineshaft)
140K RNA yearling; sire 32-258 (12%) 2yo FTS, 41-314 (13%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from placed dam (29K, 0-1 turf); 2nd dam G1 SP router Unbridled Lassie (170K); barn 1-3 (33%, $14.79 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS turf (0-2 sprint); 8/5 work matches Sartorius (31 turf Beyer)

6. SKY PAINTER (Street Cry - Skylighter, by Sky Mesa)
Sire 11-135 (8%) 2yo FTS, 22-206 (11%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from multiple G2 route SW (489K, 0-3 at 2, 0-3 turf); dam 1/2 multiple turf SP Brushed Gold (115K, 2-5 at 2, won debut, 3-11 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 1-9 (11%, $2.24 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; 6/12 work matches Long Water (4th FTS MSW dirt 65 Beyer 8/17); 7/21, 7/28, 8/5 works match Divided Attention (5th FTS MSW dirt 50 Beyer 8/11)

7. SUPER SKY (Sky Mesa - Tortuga Lady, by Thunder Gulch)
80K yearling, 235K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 1/2 turf SW Dyna's Lassie (182K, 0-1 at 2, 4-12 turf), route SW Princess Arabella (188K, 1-1 at 2), SP turf Cairo Six (48K, 1-5 at 2, 1-9 turf) by 105-571 (18%) 2yo, 97-792 (12%) turf sire; dam sprint winner (6K, 0-1 turf) has 6 winners from 7 runners (3-5 2yos, 2-4 turf); dam full multiple G1 SP router Invisible Ink (465K, 1-3 at 2); dam 1/2 multiple turf SP Inner Circle (163K, 0-1 at 2, 2-18 turf); barn 1-4 (25%, $1.50 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yo MSW turf sprint; solid debut; logical.

8. CAMDEN JANE (Bob and John - Runaway Eleanor, by Runaway Groom)
4.5K yearling; sire 6-63 (10%) 2yo FTS, 2-49 (4%) 1st-turf; dam won route (74K, 0-1 at 2, 0-13 turf) with 2 winners from 3 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); 3rd dam multiple SW Chatta (86K); barn 0-15 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; 6/6 work went .04 slower than Magsamelia (3rd FTS MSW dirt 55 Beyer 7/31); 6/6 work went .03 slower than Crystal Rocket (6th FTS MSW dirt 36 Beyer 7/25); 7/20 work matches Al's Gal (10th FTS MSW turf 59 Beyer 8/18); 7/28 work went .03 slower than Transit Express (2nd FTS 20K SMCL dirt 48 Beyer 8/18); 8/3 work went .01 slower than Al's Gal.

9. GO WEST MARIE (Western Fame - Marie's Rose, by Swiss Yodeler)
52K 2yo after 1F work 10.0; sire 12-83 (14%) 2yo FTS; dam SP sprinter (128K, 2-6 sprint) with 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); female family G2 sprint SW Time to Explode (247K); barn 0-21 past 5 years 2yo FTS dirt sprints.

SELECTIONS (TURF ONLY):
1.  Super Sky
2.  Tapiteao
3.  Camden Jane

THE PLAY (TURF ONLY):
Super Sky – Tapiteao EXACTA
Super Sky – Camden Jane EXACTA

 

 

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Mike Whitthorne More than 1 year ago
LOL