08/20/2013 2:12PM

Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 21

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RACE 1
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York-breds)
2-year-old fillies
Purse: $70,000

1. THATZA WRAP (Hard Spun - Safety Net, by A.P. Indy)
Sire 7-94 (7%) 2yo FTS; winning dam (61K, 0-1 at 2) has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 1-1 with sprinters); dam full G3 SP Sheer Luck (205K, 2-6 at 2, 0-3 sprint); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Theycallmeladyluck (52K, 0-3 at 2, 2-9 sprint); barn 2-9 (22%, $3.02 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprints Spa; solid pedigree.

1a. LONGRIDE TO WISDOM (Harlan's Holiday - Clever Idea, by Matchlite)
Sire 42-287 (15%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (136K, 2-6 at 2, won debut, 3-12 sprint); dam 1/2 SP 2yo sprinter Fortune in Gold (21K, 1-6 at 2, 2-12 sprint); barn 2-19 (11%, $1.75 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint (0-9 at Spa).

1x. SLEEK (Bernardini - Satin Smooth, by Giant's Causeway)
Sire 12-100 (12%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 2 winners from 3 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 0-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 sprint SW True Quality (288K, 5-13 sprint), G3 turf SP Long Face (156K, 1-2 at 2); barn 2-3 (67%, $5.03 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/31 work matches Artemis Agrotera (1st FTS SMSW 86 Beyer 8/16); must respect if she draws in.

2. MARGARET OWNZIT (Utopia - Sunrise At Six, by Salt Lake)
7K RNA yearling; sire 4-63 (6%) 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (72K, 0-2 at 2, 2-6 sprint) with 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 1-1 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SP Saratoga Lulaby (330K, 1-8 at 2, 1-13 sprint); barn 2-5 (40%, $6.50 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS NYB MSW dirt sprint; 6/15, 6/22, 7/6, 7/14, 7/21, 8/5 works match Livininthefastlane (5th FTS SMSW 22 Beyer 8/16); 7/29 work matches Blue Creek (6th AN1X 70 Beyer PRX 8/3).

3. SHE'S A SIZZLER (Freud - Cizi, by City Zip)
Sire 23-189 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (46K, 1-1 at 2, 2-9 sprint) with 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 1-1 with sprinters); dam full multiple SP Metro Meteor (299K, 1-5 at 2, 1-6 sprint); barn 1-8 (13%, $1.90 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS NYB MSW.

4. COURT DANCER (War Chant - Gosh All Get Out, by D'Accord)
35K yearling; Sire 12-119 (10%) 2yo FTS; dam placed routing (8K, 0-1 at 2, 0-2 sprint) with 4 winners from 6 runners (1-4 with 2yos, 4-6 with sprinters); dam full SW Jay's Crown (97K); barn 1-14 (7%, $0.94 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS NYB MSW dirt sprints.

5. POSSETIVEVIBRATION (Posse - Uno Dos, by Two Punch)
9K RNA yearling; 1/2 SP Willy's Wicked Way (192K, 5-24 sprint) by 24-226 (11%) 2yo FTS sire; dam sprint winner (79K, 6-29 sprint) with 9 winners from 9 runners (2-5 with 2yos, 1 debut winner, 8-9 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 SW Rugged Bugger (380K, 0-3 sprint); barn 0-23 past 5 years 2yo FTS dirt sprints.

6. ISABELLE (Successful Appeal - Merrill Gold, by Gold Fever)
100K yearling; sire 38-219 (17%) 2yo FTS; dam SP router (150K, 0-3 at 2, 0-2 sprint) with 1 winner from 3 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-1 with sprinters in North America; dam 1/2 SW 2yo Millennium Storm (191K, 3-10 at 2, 3-16 sprint), SP router Itsabeautifulthing (107K, 1-1 sprint); barn 3-19 (16%, $3.38 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS (all wins turf/polytrack); 7/25 work matches Yampa River (7th 20K 'beaten claimer turf 57 Beyer 8/8); interesting.

7. FEE AND SUGAR (Northern Afleet - Dixieland Dance, by Dixieland Band)
17K weanling, 37K yearling; sire 40-257 (16%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unraced dam; 2nd dam turf SW Makethemostofit (155K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint); barn 1-4 (25%, $9.50 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint Spa.

8. EPIPHANY (Pollard's Vision - Whipporwill Creek, by Forest Camp)
19K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 8-88 (9%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from winning dam (126K, 1-3 at 2, 3-16 sprint); dam full multiple 2yo turf SW Air Crew (Italy, 356K, 4-11 at 2); barn 1-6 (17%, $2.00 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS NYB MSW dirt sprint; 8/10 work matches Chessrate (40 dirt Beyer, entered Wed. R6)

SELECTIONS:
1.  Sleek
2.  Isabelle
3.  Thatza Wrap
4.  Possetivevibration

THE PLAY:
Sleek (poe) to WIN at 5-2 odds or greater*

*If Sleek scratches, then Isabelle to WIN and PLACE at 4-1 odds or greater.

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RACE 8
5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse: $80,000

1. STAY IN FRONT (War Front - Grand September, by Grand Slam)
15K weanling, 45K RNA yearling, 70K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 6-83 (7%) 2yo FTS, 16-106 (15%) 1st-turf; dam placed on turf (6K, 0-3 turf) with 0 winners from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 turfers); 3rd dam multiple SP Homespun (30K); barn 4-9 (44%, $3.63 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint Spa; lots of turf on bottom of pedigree.

2. IRELAND (Afleet Alex - Classy Mirage, by Storm Bird)
115K yearling; full G1 2yo sprinter Dublin (438K, 2-5 at 2); 1/2 G2 SP sprinter Mike's Classic (328K, 0-2 at 2, 0-1 turf) by 46-438 (11%) 2yo, 10-163 (6%) 1st-turf sire; dam G1 sprint SW (716K) with 9 winners from 12 runners (3-8 with 2yos, 2-6 with turfers); dam 1/2 multiple G1 Missy's Mirage (838K, 2-4 at 2), multiple SW Joey's First Jove (309K, 1-2 at 2, 4-17 turf); barn 0-12 past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt/turf; 8/5 work went .01 slower than Tall Boy (53 turf Beyer); 8/13 work matches Broken Spell (entered Sun. R8); faces stakes-bound filly on dirt.

3. ZINDAYA (More Than Ready - Aristocratic Lady, by Kris S.)
145K RNA yearling; 1/2 G1 turf SW Western Aristocrat (224K, 1-1 at 2, 3-7 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 44-391 (11%) 2yo FTS, 70-496 (14%) 1st-turf sire; winning dam (86K) has 1 winner from 1 runner (debut winner, 1st-turf winner); 2nd dam multiple SW American Dynasty (328K, 1-4 at 2, 1-5 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 1-3 (33%, $3.73 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint Spa; 8/2 work matches Bluegrass Flash (2nd FTS SMSW turf 67 Beyer 8/8); wouldn't be a shock.

4. MORETHANAWARNING (More Than Ready - Catch a Warning, by Caveat)
1/2 G3 turf SP Catch the Glory (101K, 0-2 at 2, 2-12 turf) by 44-391 (11%) 2yo FTS, 70-496 (14%) 1st-turf sire; dam won turf (64K, 1-5 at 2, 2-17 turf) with 5 winners from 8 runners (1-6 with 2yos, debut winner, 4-8 with turfers, 1 first-turf winner); dam 1/2 SP 2yo sprinter Puncher (320K, 2-5 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 1-15 (7%, $0.37 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS turf (0-2 sprint); jock's 1st call; nice pedigree.

5. ZIP ON (City Zip - Danse Kongo, by Petionville)
55K yearling, 200K 2yo after 1F work 9.3; 1/2 SP Copy My Swagger (80K, 2-4 at 2) by 186-1036 (18%) 2yo, 44-295 (15%) 1st-turf sire; dam won turf (13K, 0-2 at 2, 1-4 turf) with 4 winners from 5 runners (2-4 with 2yos, 1-3 with turfers, 1st-turf winner); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Tender Toes (109K, 0-1 turf); dam full multiple G2 SP Tangled Tango (294K, 3-17 turf); barn 3-67 (4%, $0.22 ROI) past 5 years turf/dirt; very quick from the gate and bred for turf.

6. RUSLANA (City Zip - Big Cat Walks Late, by Stormy Atlantic)
45K RNA yearling, 50K RNA yearling, 80K RNA 2yo after 1F work in 10.0; sire 186-1036 (18%) 2yo, 234-1521 (15%) 1st-turf; multiple SP dam (108K, 0-3 at 2, 4-14 turf) has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); 3rd dam SP Thelma Jean (31K, 3-13 turf); barn 1-2 (50%, $2.20 ROI) past 5 years 2yos adding Lasix on turf; finished ahead of next-out 50-Beyer dirt winner Duff One; logical.

7. ALMURRA (Street Cry - Alwajeeha, by Dixieland Band)
Sire 11-134 (8%) 2yo FTS, 22-206 (11%) 1st turf; dam G1 SW turf (486K, 1-2 at 2, 3-9 turf) with 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers): female family turf SW Mais Oui (France); barn 1-9 (11%, $2.24 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; 6/25 work went .01 slower than Maleeh (91 dirt Beyer)

8. A LITTLE BIT SASSY (More Than Ready - Miss A. Bomb, by Lemon Drop Kid)
220K yearling; sire 44-391 (11%) 2yo FTS, 70-496 (14%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from multiple SW sprinter (211K, 2-5 at 2, won debut, 0-1 turf); dam 1/2 multiple G2 SP Cargo (236K, 0-3 turf), SP sprinter Shinnecock (75K, 0-2 at 2, 0-3 turf): barn 1-3 (33%, $11.00 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; jock's 2nd call; nice bloodlines.

9. TAPITEAO (Tapit - Black Tea, by Orientate)
90K yearling; sire 32-255 (13%) 2yo FTS, 24-277 (9%) 1st-turf; dam won sprint (121K, 1-7 at 2) with 1 winner from 1 runner; dam full G1 route SW Careless Jewel (1.0M); barn 2-21 (10%, $5.96 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS turf (0-7 sprint); 6/1, 6/9, 6/15 works match Clever Beauty (6th FTS MSW dirt 49 Beyer 8/11).

10. CAMDEN JANE (Bob and John - Runaway Eleanor, by Runaway Groom)
4.5K yearling; sire 6-63 (10%) 2yo FTS, 2-49 (4%) 1st-turf; dam won route (74K, 0-1 at 2, 0-13 turf) with 2 winners from 3 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); 3rd dam multiple SW Chatta (86K); barn 0-15 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; 6/6 work went .04 slower than Magsamelia (3rd FTS MSW dirt 55 Beyer 7/31); 6/6 work went .03 slower than Crystal Rocket (6th FTS MSW dirt 36 Beyer 7/25); 7/20 work matches Al's Gal (FTS - Sun. R11); 7/28 work went .03 slower than Transit Express (FTS - Sun. R2); 8/3 work went .01 slower than Al's Gal

11. SUPER SKY (Sky Mesa - Tortuga Lady, by Thunder Gulch)
80K yearling, 235K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 1/2 turf SW Dyna's Lassie (182K, 0-1 at 2, 4-12 turf), SW Princess Arabella (188K, 1-1 at 2), SP turf Cairo Six (48K, 1-5 at 2, 1-9 turf) by 105-571 (18%) 2yo, 97-791 (12%) turf sire; dam sprint winner (6K, 0-1 turf) has 6 winners from 7 runners (3-5 2yos, 2-4 turf); dam full multiple G1 SP router Invisible Ink (465K); dam 1/2 multiple turf SP Inner Circle (163K, 0-1 at 2, 2-18 turf); barn 1-4 (25%, $1.50 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yo MSW turf sprint; jock's 1st call.

12. BEST FRIENDS (Bernstein - Sapphiresndiamonds, by Mineshaft)
140K RNA yearling; sire 32-258 (12%) 2yo FTS, 41-314 (13%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from placed dam (29K, 0-1 turf); 2nd dam G1 SP router Unbridled Lassie (170K); barn 1-3 (33%, $14.79 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS turf (0-2 sprint); 8/5 work matches Sartorius (31 turf Beyer)

13. REIGN (Speightstown - Angela's Love, by Not For Love)
170K yearling; sire 22-176 (13%) 2yo FTS, 29-232 (13%) 1st-turf; dam G3 route SW (347K, 1-3 turf) with 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with turfer); female family multiple SP Bullet Assault (90K, 0-5 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 2-10 (20%, $2.92 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint Spa; 6/8, 6/14 works match The Careless Cat (5th FTS MSW turf 61 Beyer 7/22); 7/19, 7/27 works match Tempers Flair (6th FTS MSW turf 36 Beyer 8/4); 8/12 work matches Divorce Party (1st MSW dirt DEL 8/17);

14. GO WEST MARIE (Western Fame - Marie's Rose, by Swiss Yodeler)
52K 2yo after 1F work 10.0; sire 12-83 (14%) 2yo FTS; dam SP sprinter (128K, 2-6 sprint) with 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); female family G2 sprint SW Time to Explode (247K); barn 0-21 past 5 years 2yo FTS dirt sprints.

SELECTIONS (TURF ONLY):
1.  Super Sky
2.  Ruslana
3.  Tapitaeo
4.  Morethanawarning
5.  Zip On

THE PLAY (TURF ONLY):
Super Sky – Tapitaeo Exacta*
Super Sky – Ruslana Exacta**

*If Tapitaeo scratches, then Super Sky – Morethanawarning EXACTA

**If Super Sky scratches, then Ruslana – Tapitaeo EXACTA
and Ruslana – Morethanawarning EXACTA***

***If Tapitaeo scratches, substitute Ruslana – Zip On EXACTA.