08/18/2013 10:35AM

Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 19

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RACE 1
6 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York-breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $70,000

1. SLEW'S BREW (Suave - Seattle Ash, by Seattle Sleet)
14K yearling by 29-335 (9%) 2yo sire; sprint-winning dam (94K, 1-1 at 2, 8-29 sprint) has 2 winners from 5 runners (0-2 2yos, 2-5 sprinters); female family barn multiple G1 turf SW Moorestyle (Europe, 654K); barn 2-12 (17%, $5.54 ROI) past 5 years 2yos MSW dirt sprints; although well-beaten twice, he ran in fast-paced open maidens; expecting more speed vs. NY-breds.

2. TESTOSTERSTONE (Birdstone - A.P. Test, by A.P. Indy)
Sire 10-104 (10%) 2yo FTS; dam placed routing (19K) and has 2 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 2-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 SW Cozzy Corner (303K, 0-1 at 2, 0-6 sprint), multiple G1 SW Riskaverse (2.1M, 3-6 at 2, won debut, 0-1 sprint); barn 1-7 (14%, $7.21 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS NY-bred MSW dirt sprints; lots of turf/distance in this pedigree.

3. THUG DADDY (Scat Daddy - As Promised, by Century City)
40K 2yo after 1F work 10.4; sire 47-280 (17%) 2yos; 1st starter from turf-placed dam (6K, 0-2 sprint); dam 1/2 multiple SP Diamond Anchor (577K, 0-6 at 2, 2-22 sprint), SW router Daytime Promise (215K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint), SW Promiseville (101K, 1-3 at 2, 1-3 sprint); barn 1-2 (50%, $1.90 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo SMSW dirt sprint Spa; gave a good account in debut after breaking poorly; respect.

4. SOCIAL REBELLION (Patriot Act - Joan's Rose, by Service Stripe)
Sire 4-49 (8%) 2yos; 1st starter from sprint winner (161K, 0-2 at 2, 3-19 sprint); female family G3 turf SP Forever Dancing (New Zealand); barn 3-46 (7%, $0.54 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt; ran into runaway winners both open starts MTH; barn's meet winner was 2yo NJ shipper; can improve.

5. SO LONESOME (Awesome Again - Dash for Money, by General Meeting)
55K yearling; 1/2 multiple SW No Spin (226K, 2-6 at 2, 1-2 sprint) by 19-233 (8%) 2yo FTS sire; dam G3 SP sprinter (53K, 1-1 at 2, 1-2 sprint) with 3 winners from 3 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 2-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW Flaming Heart (245K, 1-5 sprint); barn 1-18 (6%, $0.18 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint; 5/31, 6/19 works match Hotspur Harriet (5th FTS 30K MCL 32 Beyer DEL 7/31); 8/3 work matches Key to a Cure (5th 8K 'beaten' claimer 56 Beyer CT 8/10)

6. BLUE COLLAR CAT (Bluegrass Cat - Mrs. Filio, by Eastern Echo)
120K RNA yearling; 1/2 G3 SP 2yo What a Tale (128K, 1-4 2yo, 3-8 sprint), 2yo SP router Anjorie (102K, 1-3 at 2, 2-9 sprint), multiple 2yo SW Swag Daddy (153K, 3-6 at 2, 1-4 sprint) by 71-548 (13%) 2yo sire; winning dam (39K, 1-8 at 2, 1-14 sprint) has 8 winners from 11 runners (4-10 with 2yos, 8-10 sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SP Saratoga Madame (44K, 1-6 at 2, 1-9 sprint), SP 2yo It's Chemistry (98K, 1-5 at 2, 2-12 sprint); barn 1-2 (50%, $14.80 ROI) past 5 years 2yos NYB MSW dirt sprint; trouble-prone thus far; capable.

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SELECTIONS:
1. Thug Daddy
2. Blue Collar Cat
3. Social Rebellion

THE PLAY:
Thug Daddy - Blue Collar Cat EXACTA
Thug Daddy - Social Rebellion EXACTA