08/17/2013 3:27PM

Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 18

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RACE 1
6 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $80,000

1. LE PLUME (Smart Strike - Impertinence, by A.P. Indy)
50K short yearling; sire 51-367 (14%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unplaced dam (0-1 on turf); 2nd dam multiple SW Sophie My Love (234K, 1-3 at 2, FTS winner, 1-2 sprint); barn 1-36 (3%, $2.77 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 4/17 work matches Ireland (5th FTS MSW 22 Beyer 7/19); 4/17 work matches Paulownia (8th FTS turf MSW 12 Beyer 7/22, entered R11); 5/6 work matches Tall Boy (7th FTS MSW 31 Beyer CD 6/21); 5/6, 5/21 works match Vigorish (5th FTS MSW 33 Beyer 7/27); 5/6 work matches American Creed (6th FTS SMSW 46 Beyer 7/21); 5/28 work matches Rooster Cruiser (6th FTS MSW 16 Beyer 7/25); 5/28 work matches Channel Isle (3rd ANC turf 67 Beyer CD 6/20); 6/5 work matches Cello (6th FTS MSW turf 60 Beyer 7/22); 7/15 work went .01 slower than Canadian Winner (10th FTS MSW turf 21 Beyer 8/11); 7/22 work matches Optimizer (101 turf Beyer, entered Sat R9); 7/30 work matches High Ransom (6th FTS MSW 2 Beyer 8/5); 8/11 work matches Channel Isle (4th Stroll Stakes turf 81 Beyer 8/14); vet scratch 8/4.

2. MAGSAMELIA (Mineshaft - Rare Elegance, by Forestry)
40K yearling, 49K yearling, 130K 2yo after 1F work in 10.0; sire 57-418 (14%) 2yos; dam 2yo sprint winner (28K, 1-2 at 2, 1-5 sprint) with 2 winners from 3 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 2-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP 2yo sprinter Galiano (19K, 1-2 at 2, 1-2 sprint); barn 2-6 (33%, $1.70 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; showed solid speed in debut; contender.

3. ART OF THE GAME (Elusive Quality - Jade Queen, by Giant's Causeway)
190K yearling; sire 97-639 (15%) 2yo; dam multiple G1 SP (293K, 0-1 sprinting) with 0 winners from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos 2, 0-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SW turf Megantic (295K, 0-1 at 2); barn 0-11 past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; no shot in debut vs. impressive winner after poor start; deserves another chance, but lots of turf blood.

4. PREDICATE (Congrats - Pelicus Affair, by Pentelicus)
75K weanling, 150K yearling, 200K 2yo after breezing 1F in 10.2; sire 54-415 (14%) with 2yos; unplaced dam (0-2, all sprints at 2) has 2 winners from 4 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-4 sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 turf SW Pine Dance (0-1 at 2), 2yo SW Village Dancer (193K, 2-5 at 2, 2-9 sprint); barn 3-35 (9%, $2.71 ROI) past 5 years 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; overwhelmed by promising runner earlier in meet; better fit here.

5. COSI CELESTE (Bernardini - Colonial Ally, by Pleasant Colony)

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325K weanling; 1/2 G3 SW Fight for Ally (546K, 3-4 at 2, 3-8 sprint), SW Colonial Glitter (258K, 1-4 at 2, 3-15 sprint) by 34-235 (14%) 2yo sire; dam placed route (3K, 0-3 sprint) with 4 winners from 9 runners (3-7 with 2yos, 3-8 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SW sprinter Meteor Cap (51K, 3-6 sprint); barn 1-22 (5%, $0.26 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt sprint; trailed after poor start at Belmont; may want more ground.

 

6. MA BILLET DOUX (Tapit - Saintlike, by Saint Ballado)
500K yearling;  1/2 SW Heart of a King (254K, 0-1 at 2, 7-25 sprint), 2yo SP Nockonheavensgate (58K, 1-7 at 2, 1-8 sprint) by 110-726 (15%) 2yo sire; winning dam (43K, 1-1 sprint) has 3 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 3-3 sprint); dam 1/2 turf SW Pompeyano (France, 255K); barn 2-27 (7%, $0.64 ROI) past 5 year 2yos turf-dirt; 8/5 work matches Slumber (93 turf Beyer. entered Thurs. R9); expecting better effort.

SELECTIONS:
1. Ma Billet Doux
2. Magsamelia
3. Predicate

THE PLAY:
Ma Billet Doux to WIN and PLACE at 4-1 odds or greater.

RACE 5
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $85,000

1. TEXAS ZIP (City Zip - Head for Home, by Whiskey Wisdom)
170K yearling; sire 54-305 (18%) 2yo FTS, 44-294 (15%) 1st-turf; dam won route (59K, 0-1 turf) with 3 winners from 3 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); dam 1/2 G3 SP 2yo Bala (230K, 1-6 at 2, 0-7 turf), 2yo turf SW Mousse Au Chocolat (193K, 3-5 at 2, won debut, 3-11 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 6-30 (20%, $2.31 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 8/12 work went .05 faster than Zloty (FTS R11); respect pedigree and barn.

2. ARCTIC SLOPE (Van Nistelrooy - Alpine Spring, by Coronado's Quest)
Sire 7-139 (5%) 2yo FTS, 14-147 (10%) 1st-turf; unraced dam has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); female family 2yo G1 route SW Sauce Boat (144K); barn 1-15 (7%, $3.22 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 5/25, 6/8, 6/15, 7/7, 7/13 works match Long Station (FTS Sat R2); 6/1 work matches Honeychild (4th FTS SMSW dirt 41 Beyer 7/31); 6/1, 8/12 works match Good Catholic Girl (FTS R11); 6/1 work matches Suits My Fancy (3rd MSW turf 57 Beyer IND 7/12); 7/19 work matches Ostentatious Me (3rd FTS MSW dirt 50 Beyer IND 8/9); 8/6 work matches No Dishonor (4th MSW turf 48 Beyer 8/12)

3. HIGH RANSOM (Hard Spun - Ruby's Realm, by Empire Maker)
400K yearling; sire 38-252 (15%) 2yos, 9-92 (10%) 1st-turf sire; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 multiple G3 turf SW Sacred Song (England, 167K, 1-1 at 2, 4-8 at two, 1st-turf winner), multiple G2 turf SW Strut the Stage (1.5M, 1-2 at 2, 10-28 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 2-30 (7%, $1.74 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt-turf; 8/12 work went .05 slower than Tall Boy (53 turf Beyer); tackled runaway in debut, bred turf.

4. BRANDED HAND (Hard Spun - Cape Cod Lady, by Yonaguska)
50K yearling by 38-252 (15%) 2yos, 49-339 (14%) turf sire; 1st starter from SP dam (100K, 2-5 at 2, 0-1 turf); 2nd dam SP Miss Pine Top Az (15K, 0-4 at 2, 0-7 turf); barn 1-7 (14%, $1.20 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo turf routers MSW Spa; showed speed vs. solid group in debut; figures tighter for this assignment; logical.

5. WACO (Medaglia d'Oro - Sangrita, by Mr. Greeley)
280K yearling; sire 23-177 (13%) 2yo FTS, 23-254 (9%) first-turf; G2 SW dam (171K) has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); dam 1/2 G1 route SW Offlee Wild (976K, 1-3 at 2); barn 1-8 (13%, $2.87 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route; stout pedigree.

6. BASHART (War Front - Busy Windsong, by Clever Trick)
65K RNA weanling, 185K RNA yearling, 195K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.2; 1/2 SW Squallcreek (151K, 0-3 at 2, 3-17 turf), G3 turf SP Catch Wind (Italy, 44K, 1-10 turf) by 33-229 (14%) 2yo, 98-458 (21%) turf sire; unplaced dam (1K, 0-2 turf) has 4 winners from 7 runners (1-6 with 2yos, 2-5 with turfers); dam 1/2 SW sprinter Timely Reserve (56K, 0-1 at 2, 0-4 turf); barn 2-10 (20%, $1.13 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yo sprint/route turf MSW Spa; runner-up from debut returned to win 100K stake on turf at CBY 81 Beyer; capable.

7. STORMING INTI (Stormy Atlantic - Tarfaya, by Pulpit)
100K yearling; sire 54-504 (11%) 2yo FTS, 74-581 (13%) 1st-turf; unraced dam has 0 winners from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); dam 1/2 turf SP Mogador (172K, 4-11 turf), multiple G3 SP Dark Cheetah (328K, 2-3 at 2, won debut, 2-17 turf, 1st-turf winner), 2yo SP Shadow of Storm (39K, 1-5 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 6-30 (20%, $2.31 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 7/15 work went .03 slower than uncoupled mate; 8/4 work matches Breakeven Analysis (2nd FTS MSW turf 53 Beyer 8/11)

SELECTIONS (TURF ONLY):
1. Branded Hand
2. Bashart
3. Waco

THE PLAY (TURF ONLY):
Branded Hand - Bashart EXACTA
Branded Hand - Waco EXACTA

RACE 11
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $85,000

1. AL'S GAL (English Channel - Dans La Ville, by Winning)
50K weanling, 30K yearling, 40K 2yo after 1F work 10.4; 1/2 G2 turf SW May Be Now (Brazil, 0-2 at 2, 4-12 on turf); full G3 SP 2yo router Ann of the Dance (119K, 2-6 at 2, won debut, 0-11 turf) by 6-67 (9%) 2yo FTS, 20-108 (19%) 1st-turf sire; winning dam (Chile, 16K, 0-2 at 2) has 8 winners from 8 runners (2-5 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 6-8 with turfers); dam 1/2 G2 SW Impecable (Chile); dam full G1 SW Santona (Chile); barn 1-11 (9%, $1.90 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS turf route; 7/12 work matches Transit Express (FTS R2); 8/12 work matches Spun (51 turf Beyer); 8/12 work went .01 faster than Thug Daddy (58 dirt Beyer);

2. RED CONSTITUTION (Bernardini - Creative Design, by Stravinsky)
52K yearling; sire 12-100 (12%) 2yo FTS, 3-112 (3%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from turf-winning dam (113K, 2-3 at 2, FTS winner, 4-20 turf, 1st-turf winner); dam 1/2 turf SW Apasionata Sonata (155K, 4-6 turf, 1st-turf winner), G3 SP Imprimature (91K) barn 0-9 past 5 years 2yos turf; 8/10 work went .01 faster than Sportswriter (82 turf Beyer)

3. RACHEL'S TEMPER (Flatter - Fergie's Folly, by Down the Aisle)
14K RNA yearling by 94-610 (15%) 2yo, 6-156 (4%) 1st-turf sire; 1st starter from winning dam (46K, 3-14 turf); dam 1/2 2yo SW Reformer Rally (243K, 4-9 at 2, 4-28 turf, 1st-turf winner), SW Wild Royal (115K, 2-10 turf); barn 2-28 (7%, $2.69 ROI) past 5 years 2yos; must improve from dirt efforts.

4. CORONETTE (Empire Maker - Abita, by Dynaformer)
150K yearling; sire 12-133 (9%) 2yo FTS, 23-239 (10%) 1st-turf; winning dam (142K, 3-13 turf, 1st-turf winner) has 5 winners from 5 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 4-5 with turfers); dam 1/2 multiple G3 turf SW Majuscule (Europe), G3 route SW Royal Cielo (163K, 0-2 at 2, 0-1 turf), multiple SW Luhuk (England); barn 1-4 (25%, $14.37 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 7/5 work matches Tea Time (3rd FTS MSW dirt 69 Beyer 8/11); 7/12 work matches Wendy Wow (3rd FTS MSW dirt 50 Beyer DEL 7/22); 7/23 work matches Baked Alaska (3rd FTS SMSW dirt 29 Beyer PEN 8/9)

5. AMERICA (A.P. Indy - Lacadena, by Fasliyev)
725K RNA yearling; sire 46-415 (11%) 2yo FTS, 58-535 (11%) 1st-turf; 2yo SP dam (85K, 1-5 at 2, won debut, 0-4 turf) has 0 winners from 1 runner (lost on turf); 3rd dam multiple G1 ST Blush With Pride (536K); barn 0-26 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 5/15, 5/29 works match Radiant (4th FTS MSW dirt 57 Beyer 8/11); ; 5/15 work went .01 faster than Ma Billet Doux; 5/22 work went .05 slower than Radiant; 5/29 work went .03 faster than Florida Won (4th FTS MSW turf 52 Beyer 8/11); 6/13, 8/12 works match Ma Billet Doux (55 turf Beyer, entered R1); 6/20, 6/27 works match Quilt (2nd FTS MSW dirt 58 Beyer 7/31); 7/4 work matches Julia Tutwiler (3rd FTS MSW dirt 53 Beyer 8/4); 7/11 work matches Souperfast (4th FTS MSW dirt 13 Beyer 8/5)

6. JAZIL'S DREAM (Jazil - American Dreamer, by Quest for Fame)
1/2 G3 turf SW Maram (900K, 3-3 at 2, 5-10 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 0-20 2yo FTS, 3-21 (14%) 1st-turf sire; dam won turf (75K, 0-1 at 2, 1-21 turf) with 1 winner from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, FTS winner, 1-2 turfers, 1st-turf winner); dam 1/2 SP router Carl (64K, 1-3 at 2, 2-11 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 0-12 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route; 7/12 work matches Samurai's Honor (6th FTS MSW dirt 0 Beyer 8/9); solid turf pedigree.

7. KITTEN KABOODLE (Kitten's Joy - Easy Slam, by Grand Slam)
Sire 104-557 (19%) 2yo, 237-1540 (15%) turf; dam sprint winner at 2 (30K, 1-4 at 2) and has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); dam 1/2 SW sprinter Came to Pass (62K); barn 0-11 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo turf routers; jock's 1st call; gave strong effort in debut; dangerous.

8. SEEKING HER GLORY (Giant's Causeway - Seeking Atlantis, by Seeking the Gold)
100K weanling; sire 26-269 (10%) 2yo FTS, 50-513 (10%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 SP turf router Golden Galleon (79K, 0-2 at 2, 1-6 turf); barn 5-39 (13%, $1.05 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 7/7 work matches King Cyrus (1st FTS MSW dirt 56 Beyer 8/5)

9. ZLOTY (Exchange Rate - A. P. Reality, by Pulpit)
65K 2yo after 2F work 21.4; sire 36-251 (14%) 2yo FTS, 29-256 (11%) 1st turf; dam multiple G3 SP 2yo (97K, 1-4 at 2, 1-3 turf) with 0 winners from 1 runner (lost on turf, lost at 2); 2nd dam 2yo SW Halo Reality (205K, 3-5 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 6-30 (20%, $2.31 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 5/28, 6/4, 7/22, 7/29 works match La Reine Bourbon (1st FTS MSW turf 73 Beyer 8/4); 8/12 work went .05 slower than Texas Zip (FTS R5); 6/10, 6/17, 6/24, 7/1, 7/9 works match Ready to Act (1st FTS MSW turf 74 Beyer 7/22); can't count out.

10. CANDY KITTY (Lemon Drop Kid - Worthy Cat, by Tale of the Cat)
185K yearling by 87-683 (13%) 2yo, 322-2347 (14%) turf sire; unplaced dam (0-4 turf) has 2 winners from 3 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-3 turfers); dam 1/2 multiple G2 turf SW Naissance Royale (740K, 6-20 turf), G2 turf SP Spinnette (England); barn 8-57 (14%, $0.99 ROI) past 5 years 2yos MSW turf route Spa; beaten fave both times, but hardly disgraced; contender,

11. GOOD CATHOLIC GIRL (Pomeroy - Presentation, by Gold Case)
23K weanling, 25K yearling by 10-84 (12%) 2yo FTS, 1-48 (2%) 1st-turf; dam won route (13K, 0-2 turf) with 4 winners from 5 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); dam 1/2 multiple SW Chuck N Luck (349K, 3-6 at 2, 10-23 turf); barn 1-15 (7%, $3.22 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 8/3 work matches Streethomealabama (60 turf Beyer); 8/12 work matches Arctic Slope (FTS R5);  vet scratch 7/25; jock's 2nd call

12. SPANGLED BANNER (Tiz Wonderful - Eastern Ruckus, by Eastern Echo)
55K weanling; 1/2 multiple SW Ladyecho (381K, 2-6 at 2, 0-2 turf), G2-placed router Whatdreamsrmadeof (137K, 1-4 at 2) by 20-112 (18%) 2yo, 3-50 (6%) turf sire; unraced dam has 5 winners from 7 runners (2-4 with 2yos, 0-4 turfers); dam 1/2 multiple SW Gold Star Deputy (416K, 2-5 at 2, 1-4 turf); barn 1-11 (9%, $1.87 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos turf; jock's 1st call.

13. PAULOWNIA (Quiet American - Misty Dancer, by Lyphard)
510K weanling; full SW Quiet Dance (224K, 1-5 at 2, 0-2 turf) by 131-1267 (10%) 2yo, 195-2098 (9%) turf sire; unplaced dam (0-2 turf) has 7 winners from 14 runners (1-10 2yos, 2-8 turfers); dam 1/2 2yo turf G1 SW Minstrella (358K, Europe), G2 SW Misty Gallore (479K); barn 0-17 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos turf.

SELECTIONS (TURF ONLY):
1. Kitten Kaboodle
2. Candy Kitty
3. Red Constitution

THE PLAY (TURF ONLY):
Kitten Kaboodle - Candy Kitty EXACTA
Kitten Kaboodle - Red Constitution EXACTA