07/25/2013 8:56AM

Saratoga: Dave Litfin's Analysis July 26, 2013

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Dave Litfin’s Analysis [BEST BET: Read the Research, 4th Race)]

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1 DOCTOR CHIT led at the stretch call of the Amsterdam and King's Bishop here last year, and went well in his seasonal bow chasing Immortal Eyes, who returned to win the Mr. Prospector Stakes; out for revenge against CURRENCY SWAP. The latter is a perfect 3 for 3 on fast tracks at Saratoga, including the Hopeful at 2 and Amsterdam at 3; idle 10 months, prefer at 6 1/2 to 7 furlongs. SATURDAY'S CHARM was victimized by a slow pace chasing Strapping Groom in recent overnight stake; stretch threat off nose loss in the Tom Fool three back. Closer Looks >>
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2 REVEALING MOMENT makes her first start of the year, so it's encouraging she won as a first-time starter, before running into 4-for-9 Gritty Gal and divisional leader Princess of Sylmar going two turns; this will be her initial sprint with Lasix. SEVEN DREAMS reeled off four wins in a row through the spring while changing hands repeatedly; easily tops the field in wins & earnings. TANGLEWOOD TALE won debut in a muddy off-the-turfer at Saratoga as a 2-year-old, but is winless from 13 starts since then; just missed the last time she raced in a "beaten" claimer three back. Closer Looks >>
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3 BRABBHAM dueled even-money Risky Assets into defeat and led to final strides when overhauled by two rivals way out in the middle of sloppy track May 19; $1.2 million colt won't have to go 45.80 & 1:10.80 to get the lead from rail going two turns. SLIVER AND ONIONS appeared home free approaching midstretch but was run down by a new shooter who had been left at the post; could go forward after Beyer pair-up. KING OF BROADWAY was sandwiched at the break and rallied mildly in sprint bow; typical 3-to-5 length improvement second out puts him in the picture. Closer Looks >>
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4 The solid campaigner READ THE RESEARCH has won or placed in 50% of her starts, and was in tough first off the claim when carried out turning for home in Princess Dixie won by multiple stakes winner Miss Valentine; ran to the pace call in 1:09 and change taking mile race two back, blew out sharply for today's turnback. SO BLESSED was claimed from her first two New York starts, and got the job done July 7 while out in best part of the track; tries tougher. SWEET SWAY has been freshened since running on anti-speed track May 26; won by 16 lengths off similar break to begin 2013. Closer Looks >>
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5 YOU SO SMART was bumped hard at the start after breaking from a tough outside post, and wound up beaten less than two lengths when switched to turf second time back from a long absence; horses that move up first time on grass often make further progress the second time. THE LADY SAYS YES has been in the money each of four starts, including three runner-up finishes as the favorite; be closing. HOOKED AGAIN and SOPHIE'S TURN ran into last week's impressive allowance repeater Palace Dreams when unveiled downstate; either/both might jump up with a better performance with that experience under their belts. Closer Looks >>
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6 PRESENT COURSE improved with a switch to turf and first-time Lasix at Gulfstream, and two months later caught a yielding course against Perfect Timber, who ran second in the Grade 3 Singspiel Stakes after that; barn does well with special-weight dropdowns. RUNS LIKE A KITTEN made up eight lengths first out, then went evenly when much closer to the early pace at 1 1/4 miles; second try in blinkers. UNCLE GARE stretches out after racing within two lengths of the leaders at seven furlongs second time back from short layoff, and might try for the lead; difficult outside posts both turf routes, the second one against recent Virginia Derby winner War Dancer.  Closer Looks >>
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7 CENTRINA, reclaimed from first start of the season, has done most of her best running on Belmont turf, but didn't get much pace to work with most recently, and ran one of her best figures at Saratoga last year; easily the most accomplished grass runner in the lineup. TEN K CAT had a useful speed sharpener in a sprint when overhauled late by FALL INTO FAITH first time back from a year on the sidelines; nice breeze on the grass last week. DELIGHTFUL DAWN moves back to turf, where all four previous attempts were against allowance company; consistent sort. Closer Looks >>
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8 After a maiden win to start the year, MIDNIGHT TABOO was in traffic on the rail through midstretch and finished strongly after getting outside late in the mud; Belmont Stakes was too much, too soon, and he has since held his own in the a.m. with Whitney-bound stablemate Cross Traffic. TRANSPARENT improved sharply in blinkers, but has been away since ideal setup in big-figure win over three rivals at Aqueduct; month gap between recent published works. CERRO is perfect from three starts on both sides of the Atlantic when he gets the lead, but winless from five starts when outsprinted early; owns both 1 1/8-mile victories in the field. Closer Looks >>
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9 QUIET ENDING just missed off a similar turnback at Saratoga last year; the consistent New York-bred ran well vs. open company to start the season, and her stretch run should be set up nicely by a plethora of early speed. TIZ TERESA could be sitting on big effort after paired 80 Beyers with different pace tactics; threat in wide open dash. DEVIL'S CAVE has been away since a late run for second in her first allowance attempt Jan. 11, but layoffs of this type regularly fire for this barn; another who should benefit from projected hot fractions among some combination of BALLISTIC SUE, DADDY LOVES GOLD, MADRE DITUTTICAPI and SWEET N DISCREET. Closer Looks >>
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10 SHERTZER posted a solid final fraction in her first race on firm turf, then was on short rest trying 1 1/4 miles against allowance foes June 5, before stumbling badly on the main track most recently; slight edge over COACH ROYAL. The latter takes 50% price cut after holding stubbornly through prolonged drive first out in nearly 10 months; marooned on far outside. AMBER COAST was close behind Coach Royal at Monmouth on June 16; she adds to the contention if able to draw in from the also-eligible list, as would MADRIS. Closer Looks >>
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