10/08/2013 1:38PM

Santa Anita: $575,000 pick six carryover could become $3.5 million

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Benoit & Associates
Holladay Road is a top contender in the seventh race, an optional claimer.

ARCADIA, Calif. – The pick six carryover is $575,466. The pool of new money could exceed $3 million.

All eyes will be on Santa Anita on Thursday when an otherwise routine eight-race program becomes the focus for jackpot bettors. First post time is 1 p.m. Pacific, with race 3, the first pick six race, due off at 2 p.m.

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While the card may lack quality – four races are for claimers, with a maiden special weight and an optional claimer in the sequence – there is no shortage of runners. The races have fields of 8, 8, 11, 9, 8, and 12.

The bet opens with a $25,000 claimer over a mile on turf, the first of three grass races in the pick six.

The distance should work in favor of Danderek, a front-runner trained by Jerry Hollendorfer. Danderek was sixth in an optional claimer over 1  3/8 miles on turf at Del Mar in July, and later first in a $32,000 claimer and second in a $25,000 claimer in August at Del Mar over shorter distances.

Danderek, who will be ridden by Rafael Bejarano, lost the $25,000 claimer on Aug. 31 to Husband’s Folly, who is part of Thursday’s field.

Bejarano has excellent chances in the fourth, fifth and sixth races.

He rides Gracie Ragazza in the fourth, a maiden claimer over 6 1/2 furlongs for 2-year-old fillies. Gracie Ragazza was second in a $62,500 claimer for maidens at Del Mar on Aug. 30, closing well in that race over 5  1/2 furlongs.

The race has an open feel with the first-time starters Lady of the Nile (trained by Bob Baffert), Strollin Home (Tom Proctor), and For Emma (Peter Miller) likely to attract action. So will Goodhumorgirl, who was beaten a nose at the Los Angeles County Fair on Sept. 20.

In the fifth, Bejarano rides Lilly’s Perfect in a $32,000 claimer over a mile on turf for fillies and mares.

A seven-time winner, Lilly’s Perfect has been claimed in her last three starts. She was claimed for $25,000 by Doug O’Neill at Betfair Hollywood Park on June 14 and won her next start in a $12,500 claimer at Del Mar on Aug. 30. In that race, she was claimed back by Kretz Racing and trainer Kristin Mulhall, who had claimed her for the June 14 start.

Lilly’s Perfect is effective when stalking the pace, and drew well in post 8. She has quick mares to follow in Smarty Corn, a four-time winner unraced since last October, and Pink Blossom, a winner at Hollywood Park in June. Miss Well Molded is a threat from the back of the field.

In the sixth, for maidens over 1 1/16 miles, Bejarano rides the likely favorite in Crucero, who was second and third in similar fields at Del Mar.

There will be support for Wicked Finance, fifth behind Crucero on Aug. 24; Bornatthetrack, unraced since a third-place finish in March; and Cat Burglar, a $410,000 weanling purchase who was fifth as the favorite in a sprint for maidens at Del Mar in his debut on Aug.  24.

Holladay Road, fourth in the 2012 Santa Anita Handicap, is one of five runners in the seventh race entered to be claimed for $40,000. The optional-claiming race will be run over 1 1/8 miles on turf.

Holladay Road was a troubled eighth in an optional claimer at Del Mar on Aug. 17, racing in traffic in the final furlong. Sharp turf jockey Julien Leparoux has the mount.

Trained by Julio Canani, Holladay Road must beat Shadow Runner, third in the Ralph Hinds Handicap at the Los Angeles County Fair on Sept. 22; Segway, unraced since a fourth in an allowance race last November; and Vibrato Jazz, who was first in an optional claimer at Del Mar on Aug. 15 but was disqualified for causing interference in the final furlong.

The day’s final race may come down to Make More Money and Truly Beautiful.

Truly Beautiful, who starts from the rail, has not raced since last November, but trainer Marty Jones has a strong record with horses returning from layoffs.

Make More Money, trained by Jeff Mullins, was second in a $20,000 claimer for maidens at Del Mar on Aug. 28 in her first start in California. The form of that race was flattered when race winner J K’s Mischief returned to win a starter allowance at the Los Angeles County Fair last month.

Mullins said that Make More Money has been schooled at the gate to avoid a repeat of the Aug.  28 race when she was off slowly.

“We’ve got her breaking from the gate now,” he said. “If she breaks, I think she has a very good shot.”

John More than 1 year ago
LARGER PRINT PLEASE DRF !
Bellwether4U More than 1 year ago
They gotta save money on the ink...Please...
John More than 1 year ago
Does anyone else find the print TOO SMALL ? I can barely read the PP's much less the workouts and the running lines. The compact shape is great, BIGGER PRINT PLEASE DRF
Marie Jost More than 1 year ago
Hey DRF, how about making some more room on the running line in your new program size PP's. I could handicap the Pick 6 better if I knew who truly were the top 3 finishers in each race that a horse ran in. Your abbreviations of names just doesn't do it. I would have to take a class in shorthand to know what horses you are printing. Reply 0
rahman Williams More than 1 year ago
+1.
Walter More than 1 year ago
You said it. Thanks Marie
Eric Singer More than 1 year ago
this sequence is an enigma - and I disagree with my respected colleague Cover2 - it will contain some price horses and the payout may look more like 60k than 6.
Cover2 More than 1 year ago
After three days its gotta be pretty close to chalk, take first two M/L favoritos, $128. what wrong with $ 6K + and 5 conso To make $7 even, go home w/ 5+K, after taxes.
Walter More than 1 year ago
SoCal bettors usually come in guns blazing for a large carryover, and especially after a 3 day hiatus. I would be surprised if the pool doesn't go over 3.5 million.
Bellwether4U More than 1 year ago
Old Milkshake got a live one???...
rahman Williams More than 1 year ago
Tookmebysurprise killed.me Sunday went 3/4 on pick 4. Been getting killed lately. Not a pick.six guy maybe twice a year. I'm going to play a $2 ticket. 5/1/7/ 2/1/9. My two.favorite women in the world's birthday. I think I got a shot.lol
Lawrence Macselwiney More than 1 year ago
You never know buddy. Good luck!
Big Jeff More than 1 year ago
NO matter what it hits, my handicapping will be done through one of the MANY other sources. . DRF has decided they do not want my 100 dollars a month. They would rather have my 8 dollars. If they can't figure things better than that the I reallly am no olonger interested in their opinion anyway.... You guys sure didn't handicap this idea vet well, did you?
Mike More than 1 year ago
I HAVE BEEN GOING TO DRF.COM LESS AND LESS
Mr. Ed More than 1 year ago
Agree 100%. In seeking another source what have you found? I'm not positive but I think DRF owns Equibase. I know they supply racing information to DRF, sell a similar product, and also sell The Racing Form. Brisnet charges $1 per card and $4 unlimited cards on one day. DRF charges way too much on a daily basis for their downloads.
MR More than 1 year ago
SA attendance is down. Betting is down. Wagering on the P6 is REALLY down (remember the $575K carryover is after three days, not TWO) Now the P6 is going to hit $3,500K. Please. How much is this turd getting from SA to write this crap.
Big Jeff More than 1 year ago
$8.oo
Greg Scherr More than 1 year ago
The rule of thumb, especially from Sun - Wed or Thursday is that you get 5-6x the pool size in NEW $$$, has been that way for many many years, thus $575. x 6 = $3.45.. or $575 x 5 = @2.875mm PLUS the c/o $$$. HOWEVER we are expecting substantial RAIN on Wednesday and with a dirt surface now and turf races, too many scratches will decimate the pool by around HALF
Mike More than 1 year ago
VERY VERY TRUE
Biggar W More than 1 year ago
I'm sure that there will be a heartfelt apology posted if the pick 6 hits 3.5 mil.
Lawrence Macselwiney More than 1 year ago
Pick 6 should be down with the .50 cent 4's and 5's. Why invest $162.00 in the pick six when you can get close to equal coverage on a $36.00 ticket on the pick 5. The payouts have been ridiculous. I only play the pick six when it goes over the million mark and even then I only play a moderate ticket, split with a handicapping buddy. This pool will hit 3 mil easy.