09/09/2007 11:00PM

Run Brother Ron has post edge

EmailPOMONA, Calif. - The top two contenders in the $65,000 Beau Brummel Stakes on Wednesday at Fairplex have the same running style.

So which one will be the first to surrender - Run Brother Ron or Carson's Copper?

Nine 2-year-olds will race 6 1/2 furlongs in the Beau Brummel, and something will have to give when Run Brother Ron and Carson's Copper hook up early.

Based on raw fractions, Run Brother Ron is the quickest in the field. He can get the opening quarter-mile in 21 seconds and change, and a half-mile in about 45 seconds. But even after winning 2 of 4 starts for trainer Jeff Bonde, the speedball's stamina remains in doubt.

That is not the case for Carson's Copper, who moves up after winning a maiden-40 starter allowance at Del Mar at six furlongs. He drew off in fast time (a Beyer Speed Figure of 71), and the race was validated when third-place Commissioner Gordon returned to win.

That race was way back on July 27, and trainer Peter Miller gave Carson's Copper the rest of the meet off.

"There was nothing for him," Miller explained. "They didn't have any allowance races, and I didn't think he was quite up to the Futurity."

Good move, skipping the speed-filled Grade 1 Del Mar Futurity on closing day. Instead, Miller pointed Carson's Copper for the Los Angeles County Fair meet. The problem facing Carson's Copper and jockey Cesar DeAlba in the Beau Brummel is that Run Brother Ron and his jockey, Martin Pedroza, are drawn outside.

When two speed horses hook up, the horse on the outside usually holds the advantage. Miller recognizes the dilemma.

"Run Brother Ron is probably the horse to beat," he said, "but we're drawn inside him, and we have quite a bit of gas."

If the two front-runners engage in a suicidal pace battle, then the Beau Brummel could unfold in favor of Kris the Red. Trained by Mike Harrington, Kris the Red is a son of Swiss Yodeler racing for the first time since July 25 at Del Mar. Swiss Yodeler offspring won just 5 of 60 on Polytrack, but won three races the first days of the fair.

Kris the Red has tactical speed and a creditable late run, and he may tuck into a good trip right behind the speed. Tyler Baze rides Kris the Red.

Other contenders in the Beau Brummel include Rivergrade Boy, who was runner-up twice at Del Mar, first-time Lasix user Quarter Moon, and a series of longshots. They are Reel Prime, Premmier Issue, Tide Water Bobby and Rileys Rainbow.

The Beau Brummel is race 10 on an 11-race card. First post is 1 p.m. Pacific.