10/02/2012 8:13PM

Red Mile: Thursday 10/4 Analysis


MEET STATS: 15 - 35 / $101.10

Best Bet: TO DREAM ON (5th) Spot Play: MISTERY WOMAN (9th)

Race 1

(2) STARS N BARS only finished two lengths behind the favorite last time. Perhaps that good effort will give Miller the confidence to keep this gal closer to the action. (6) THINK PINK is the certain favorite and obvious one to beat. (5) SHARED ACCOUNT raced evenly after a four week break; more now?

Race 2

(8) VINTAGE OAKS raced evenly versus (4) TIME TO KILL last time with Smedshammer at the helm and is eligible to improve with Tetrick in the bike. The latter displayed speed at both ends of the mile in her recent victory. (1) SHARED PAST & (2) FASHION ATHENA are drawn well and have early speed; capable.

Race 3

(4) POWER PACK HANOVER scored impressively at first asking and seems a step or two faster than this group. (6) O NARUTAC ROCKETTE chased the top choice last time and seems likely to find a similar fate once again. (3) AUNT CAROLINE raced well in her recent start considering the early break.

Race 4

(5) ACQUAVELLA showed some talent in her first two starts before missing some time following a scratched-sick line. The layoff is a slight concern, but there are no monsters in here. (4) ALL PERFECT raced evenly after missing more than seven weeks of action; could show more. (3) DILIGENT PROSPECT sports a nice bankroll but 0 wins in 9 starts. (1) IWANNABEJUSTLIKEU comes off a decent try.

Race 5

(1) TO DREAM ON has proven to be faster than her peers; down the road. (9) ROYAL ASSETS was a solid second last week and might offer a bit of value because of the outside post. (4) HANDOVER BELLE has been showing a decent late kick.

Race 6

(4) MY AMERICA BI raced well with Smedshammer in the bike and now adds Sears. This Donato Hanover-sired filly along with (7) GLIDING TO GLORY, who Pierce chose to drive over the former, are the standouts. (8) PUMP ME UP is an interesting shipper for a live barn. Her times might not be fast but there may be more to her than meets the eye.

Race 7

It is hard to love a horse in this race. I’ll try (7) LADY LIKES MUSCLES, who comes off a decent mile in her first start with Pierce at the controls. These Daley-trained youngster typically get better as they race. (1) BLUE DIAMONDS rallied well last time. (8) RICHESSE OBLIGE S looks like a player if she stays trotting.

Race 8

(4) WOLFS JANN is the best horse in the race and has a good amateur in the bike; good combo. (1) B L CLASS ACT comes off a nice win here; dangerous. (2) TKS KARMA had no chance from post 10 at Delaware. (6) CHINESE CUISINE merits a look but Gerry is just 1 for 46 in the bike this year.

Race 9

(2) MISTERY WOMAN ran into a monster in To Dream On last time. This field is far from easy, but the price should be right. (5) WITH SUGAR picked up her game with hobbles added. (4) FRAU BLUCHER is a lock to be the favorite and has the credentials on paper, but she is no lock to win. (4) ASPIDISTRA HANOVER is hard to toss.

Race 10

(5) SILVER CREDIT looks like a lock on paper. (8) DÉJÀ VU TOO finds a weak bunch once you get past the top one. (1) FANCY FERN YANKEE can get involved if she minds her manners.