09/02/2015 3:30PM

Hogan: How I'd play Del Mar for Thursday, Sept. 3


Race 7: #8 MR. SEXY is 10-1 on the morning line, and he could prove the key to my day. He’s facing a field full of runners that may want to go farther than five furlongs (such as the second choice, #3 BOOZER) or may be better on dirt (#2 TURNOVER). #4 CITY OF VENGEANCE (6-1 ML) could be a player if he improves in his first start off the claim for John Sadler. The stat line at the bottom of the PPs shows Sadler as a 24 percent  winner first off the claim since the start of last year, but digging into DRF Formulator, you see Sadler is only 1 for 18 over the past five years in turf sprints off the claim, with only three others that hit the board. #6 TIZCANO (3-1) is logical if he repeats that last race, but he looms a short price and he hasn’t been able to string together two consecutive good efforts.

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