05/15/2014 1:30PM

Fast pace not assured despite speed in Preakness field

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BALTIMORE – Predicting the pace of the Kentucky Derby this year was an exercise in uncertainty. Some forecasters got the slow pace right, but many thought the fractions laid down by the early leaders would be several lengths faster. In the end, a lack of surefire, need-the-lead-type horses combined with instances of bad luck and passive tactics to produce the second-slowest Derby half-mile split, 47.37 seconds, in 16 years.

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