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Preakness Stakes: Orb at even money from rail in field of nine
BALTIMORE – Orb beat 18 rivals when he won the Kentucky Derby on May 4, and he did it so convincingly that only five of those runners are trying again in the 138th Preakness Stakes on Saturday here at Pimlico, along with three newcomers to the Triple Crown trail. Eight challengers, it seems, is enough.
A field of nine was entered Wednesday for the Preakness, and Orb – who drew post 1 – was installed as the even-money favorite on the lines of both Frank Carulli of Pimlico and Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper.
After that, though, Carulli and Watchmaker differ. Carulli made Mylute the second choice at 5-1, with Departing right behind at 6-1, followed by Goldencents at 8-1. Watchmaker has Goldencents the second choice at 5-1, with Departing at 6-1, and then three horses – Itsmyluckyday, Mylute, and Will Take Charge – all at 10-1.
This marks the fourth time since 2000 that the Preakness field will number nine or fewer. There were nine in both 2007, when Curlin won, and 2006, when Bernardini triumphed in a race marred by the terrible injuries suffered by Barbaro. There were eight in 2000, when Red Bullet upset Fusaichi Pegasus.
What those three races had in common was that the Derby winner was defeated, and all at short prices, two odds-on. Street Sense (2007) was 6-5, while both Barbaro (1-2) and Fusaichi Pegasus (3-10) were prohibitive favorites. In two of those cases – Bernardini and Red Bullet – the winner did not run in the Derby.
The biggest threat to Orb could be a newcomer to the Triple Crown but an old friend of Orb’s, that being Departing, who shared a paddock with Orb at the Hancock family’s historic Claiborne Farm when both were youngsters.
Departing, owned in partnership by Claiborne, was taken off the Derby trail after he finished third in the Louisiana Derby on March 30. Departing was rerouted to the April 20 Illinois Derby, which he won – significantly, it was his first start with Lasix – and now comes into the Preakness off four weeks’ rest, as opposed to the Derby runners, who are being wheeled back in two weeks.
“The Louisiana Derby was only his fourth start; he might have lacked some seasoning,” said Al Stall Jr., who trains Departing. “We thought the Derby was too tough. He’s a gelding, so we’re looking to get longevity out of him. We thought the Illinois Derby set us up well for the Preakness.”
Stall said Departing is “going in the right direction.”
“We’ve had to really slow him down galloping since the Louisiana Derby,” Stall said. “Before, he was just going around there. Now, he’s into it. He’s definitely progressed, without question.”
Departing arrived at Pimlico on Wednesday afternoon following a flight from Louisville, Ky., that included Triple Crown newcomer Govenor Charlie, who has not raced since winning the Sunland Derby on March 24. Govenor Charlie subsequently suffered a foot bruise that kept him out of the Derby, but he worked Monday “like the Govenor Charlie we know,” trainer Bob Baffert said.
Trainer D. Wayne Lukas has a three-pronged attack against Orb, giving him one-third of the field. Oxbow (sixth in the Derby) and Will Take Charge (eighth) are back for a rematch, while Titletown Five makes his Triple Crown debut after finishing fourth in the Derby Trial three weeks ago. He finished in front of Orb in a maiden race at Saratoga last summer, but Lukas readily admits that Orb is a far different horse now.
“He’s a good horse with good connections,” Lukas said. “Orb has to come back to us, and we have to move forward.”
Of the horses nearest the hot pace in the Derby, Oxbow performed best, hanging on for sixth.
“The pace for Oxbow was killer, yet he stayed around,” Lukas said. “He’s a gutsy, little horse.”
Will Take Charge was moving in tandem with Orb on the final turn of the Derby but ran up on the heels of Verrazano in upper stretch and lost all momentum.
“He’s 17 hands,” Lukas said. “He’s not a start-and-stop horse. I think he could have been second, realistically. I think Orb was best on the day.”
Orb arrived at Pimlico on Monday, walked Tuesday, then had a busier day Wednesday, jogging shortly after 6 a.m., followed by a schooling session in the indoor paddock about 9:40 a.m.
“He was moving well; he was full of energy,” his trainer, Shug McGaughey, said Wednesday morning. “I’m eager to tee it up again.”
At 1 3/16 miles, the Preakness is the shortest of the Triple Crown races. If Orb prevails Saturday, he will move on to the June 8 Belmont Stakes in New York seeking to become the first Triple Crown winner since Affirmed in 1978. That 35-year drought is the longest in Triple Crown history since Sir Barton became the first Triple Crown winner in 1919.
The Preakness is the 12th race on a 13-race card that begins at 10:45 a.m. Eastern. Post time for the Preakness is listed as 6:20 p.m.
The Preakness will be shown live on NBC in a two-hour telecast beginning at 4:30 p.m. There will be live pre-Preakness coverage, including three stakes on the undercard, on the NBC Sports Network beginning at 2:30, and there is a post-race show at 6:30, also on NBC Sports Network.
The forecast for Saturday is for a high of 77 degrees and only a 20 percent chance of rain, according to The Weather Channel.
Purse: $1 million; 1 3/16 miles; Grade 1
PP, Horse, Trainer, Jockey, Odds
1. Orb, Shug McGaughey, Joel Rosario, 1-1
2. Goldencents, Doug O’Neill, Kevin Krigger, 5-1
3. Titletown Five, D. Wayne Lukas, Julien Leparoux, 20-1
4. Departing, Al Stall Jr., Brian Hernandez Jr., 6-1
5. Mylute, Tom Amoss, Rosie Napravnik, 10-1
6. Oxbow, D. Wayne Lukas, Gary Stevens, 15-1
7. Will Take Charge, D. Wayne Lukas, Mike Smith, 10-1
8. Govenor Charlie, Bob Baffert, Martin Garcia, 15-1
9. Itsmyluckyday, Eddie Plesa Jr., John Velazquez, 10-1
Odds by Mike Watchmaker
All starters carry 126 pounds
Television: Saturday, NBC, 4:30-6:30 p.m. Eastern
Live video and live updates: drf.com/preakness
Personally, i'd like to see Oxbow win at the odss he will be. Either way, i think I got this. Just hoping that Golden or Itsmyluckyday doesn't get lose and run a big one.
i dont care whos the best horse give me bob baffert and martin garcia at 15-1 if that happens ill bet them every time, if they dont go off 10 -1 or better sit and watch. this will be a good race no matter who wins,i think it wont be the first time people got carried away with the derby winner will see.
Rosario has two 3rds and two 4ths from 5 tries on the dirt at Pimlico. He's 2:1-1 on the Pim turf.
He rode Creative Cause last year. Not sure where he finished though.
Just a question---has Rosario ever ridden at Pimlico before? Does he know this track? Anyone?
Flew 1500 miles for the day to watch Secretariat run last race in USA, at Arlington, still have original win tickets with his picture on them... never cashed; sat behind Mrs. Tweedy at the race, and trainer Lucien Laurin.... also our Fam. had 9 race horses @ Arlington... ORB has the best hind 'mussels' for a closer, that I have seen since then. No question on his run here. Charlie set a 1:47.54 in New Mexico, $800,000 pot, and I do not like that track. I also pd. Bob Baffert's first entry fee, $150, as a jock when he was a busboy at my restaurant in Tucson, AZ. Charlie had a foot problem or might have entered the K.D. but Bob knows his stuff. His Dad Bill raced Quarters. Mark Scheider's statement is correct. Easiest pick of the year so far on Charlie being in the $$$.... if not the winner, only if ORB gets boxed at #1 at start.
Lets be clear: Orb wins this race. If, for some reason, it doesn't go his way, it's not going to be a newcomer that defeats him. Most likely another runner exiting the Derby. Look back the last 20-30 years and tell me how many Preakness winners came from the Derby. My plan is to lay back, let Orb impress, then pounce all over a fresh Revolutionary in the Belmont. I truly believe an impressive Preakness win for Orb sends him off in the Belmont in the 2-5 or 3-5 range, making Revolutionary the play at 5-1 or so. If I'm wrong, and we get a TC winner, then I won't be too upset ripping up my tickets. (Have done that plenty of times in the past...)
It will be very hard to go against Orb and his connections!Even harder to bet against him when the 8 horses trying to beat him don't scare a mule!I'll watch this one,but if I had to bet on it,I'll take him on top with just two horses (Departing & Itsmyluckyday) for second.Even with Orb at 3-5 this should pay minimum $9.00!And that's a steal....
Besides playing WTC to win, I will box WTC, and IMLD in an ex box 7-9, and use Orb with those two in a tri box 1-7-9. Good luck all you horse degenerates.
I'm not buying into this undertaking that Orb is a shoe in, and he'll win in a walkover, and the pace will set up in his favor, yada, yada, yada...........lots of people are absolutely positive that Orb wins this race. Let's be clear, this is a horserace we're talking about. First of all I tend to look at horses that may have had an excuse in their previous race. Oxbow clearly was too close to a extremely hot pace, as was Goldencents, and Mylute. Itmyluckyday obviously didn't relish the sloppy going. Will Take Charge was running even with Orb until he ran into a tiring, bearing out Verrazzano. I'm not saying that Orb is going to lose. Orb may still win it. The price wont be right for me to play Orb anyway. My pick? I haven't decided yet Hahahah. Just kidding, I'm going with Will Take Charge!