06/26/2014 3:02PM

Pocono: Saturday 6/28 Analysis

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Best Bet: FATHER PATRICK (12th)

Spot Play: JENERAL PATTON (15th)

Race 1

(1) DAMON BLUE CHIP had no shot last time from post eight and should take advantage of the inside draw. (3) QUINCY won at this level two starts back and has hit the board in all eight starts here this year. (5) SOMETHINGINTHEWIND drops in for a tag. The last two times that happened he won.

[DRF HARNESS: Watch the Sun Stakes Saturday card from Pocono Downs on DRF!]

Race 2

(2) MONEY ON MY MIND returned from a brief freshening in top form for trainer Ron Burke. (4) WIND OF THE NORTH drops a notch to a level at which he is very comfortable. (1) SKYLINE ROAD is off a solid second-place finish and already has three wins at Pocono this year.

Race 3

(5) ROCKIN AMADEUS gets some massive class relief this week and has no excuses. (8) ATTA BOY DAN was used hard last time at Yonkers, but can go with these given a decent trip. (1) CHEYENNE REIDER moves into the conditioned ranks off a very sharp score in his first start for owner/trainer Christie Collins.

Race 4

(5) ROCKIN THE HOUSE has been involved in some very fast miles of late and actually won one of them two starts back. Burke-trained gelding should get the top and has won 9 of 23 starts at Pocono since 2012. (4) E STREET PLAN ships in from Yonkers with form for a barn that wins a lot of races here. (2) EIGHTEEN drops down and has speed.

Race 5

(9) ALLSTAR RATING was rounding into form before going a brutal first-over mile in last week’s elimination. Statistically she is the fastest filly in the race and certainly has enough early zip to overcome the outside draw. (3) SOMEISLANDSOMWHERE only needs to stay closer to the action to have a big chance. (2) ATSALLRITE HANOVER stayed on stride in her elimination, which is a step in the right direction. This filly has some talent. (4) TYRA will be part of the early pace and could grab a big share.

Race 6

(1) MATTAMERICAN went a brutal trip in his Hempt elimination and only lost by six lengths. This son of Allamerican Native seems to be maturing and could be primed for a huge mile. (8) DOO WOP HANOVER showed big early speed in his elimination but faded through the stretch. If he gets an easier lead, watch out. (3) SOMESTARSOMEWHERE has a better post this week and figures to make some noise sooner or later.

Race 7 – USTA Invitational

This is the second tier of the older division and almost any of them are capable of stepping up with a big mile. (4) BEACH MEMORIES may be the longest price on the morning line at 20-1, but he has a legitimate chance to make some noise in this race. He has the early speed needed to get into play and ensure a good trip. (8) DANCIN YANKEE is the fastest horse of 2014 with a 1:47 2/5 clocking. But he is now in a new barn with Josh Green serving a suspension. I have mixed feelings. (2) CLEAR VISION is a gutsy old gelding that always gives his all. When on his game he can even grind first-over and win. (6) THINKING OUT LOUD came up empty in the Gold Cup but is better than that. (5) SUNFIRE BLUE CHIP seems to me making some subtle strides towards peak form.

Race 8 – Sun Invitational

(3) MARKET SHARE trotted a 54 4/5 final half last time despite coming back from some sickness. I’m not sure if he is as fast as Sebastian K right now, but I know he’ll get some decent fractions to close into this week. (7) SEBASTIAN K has been awesome since arriving stateside. That said, do you want 2-5 on a horse from an outside post when you know the horse to his inside will be leaving hard? (6) MODERN FAMILY is fast off the gate and can go a long way. He’ll make life more difficult on the favorite.

Race 9 – James M. Lynch Memorial Final

(2) SAYITALL BB paced a 54 3/5 middle half while trying to gain uncovered in her elimination. Even though she couldn’t make up any ground, she somehow hung around and finished third when it looked like she would be seventh. In a race stacked with outside speed, I’ll take a chance that she is following the favorite (#1) at a price. (4) FANCY DESIRE was placed on the engine and motored around the track in a very sharp mile. She seems to love this track and aggressive handling. (6) CINAMONY went a huge mile in her elimination win and doesn’t seem to mind taking air on the rim. (1) UFFIZI HANOVER has been racing great and is hard to fault, but she seems destined for a first-over trip as the favorite; bad combo.

Race 10 – Max C. Hempt Memorial Final

(4) SOMETIMES SAID has displayed the ability to go with this crowd but can’t seem to work out a clean trip. In a race loaded with potential early speed players, I’m going to hope Saturday is the night he finally sits second-over. (3) MCWICKED is the clear horse to beat after his blowout elimination win. If he brings his best game, I’m not sure he can be defeated. (5) AT PRESS TIME & (8) ALL BETS OFF are an uncoupled team from the Ron Burke barn with high early speed and plenty of form; very dangerous combo.

Race 11 – Ben Franklin Final

(8) CAPTAINTREACHEROUS put in a huge effort in defeat last week. He paced a 1:48 mile that night in only his second start of the year. I have to believe he’ll bring a 1:47 and change effort this Saturday and I’m not sure a bad trip can stop him. I honestly think he is that good. (9) SUNSHINE BEACH has a legitimate chance to upset the applecart. The 4-year-old is proven capable of pacing a sub 1:48 mile and I’d expect driver Brian Sears to be tracking Captaintreacherous the entire mile looking for a good trip. This horse should be feared. (4) SWEET LOU is on a four-race win streak and was awesome in his elimination. For me, this race just doesn’t set up nicely for him. If he leaves, chances are he’ll have to pace the half in 52-plus seconds and find a way to hold off a host of pursuers. If he takes back, I fear he’ll be shuffled with a host of outside horses on the move early. Either way, I can’t take a short price on him in this spot. (1) BETTOR’S EDGE has been razor sharp and was locked in the pocket last time.

Race 12 Earl Beal Jr. Memorial Final

(8) FATHER PATRICK looks to be just on par with this group on paper, but we really haven’t seen the bottom of this guy this year. There is no doubt in my mind that he can easily rip off a 1:51 mile and none of these seems likely to put up that kind of number. (2) NUNCIO is the uncoupled stablemate of Father Patrick. He is undefeated in 2014 and easily won his elimination despite the narrow margin of victory. If any horse has a glimmer of a hope to best Father Patrick, it is this guy, the only horse to ever beat him in his 15-start career. (7) DATSYUK will certainly be forwardly placed and proved game last time. (3) HARPER BLUE CHIP seems to be improving with each start.

Race 13

(6) BJS GUY returns to Pocono off a win and gets some class relief. (1) SCREEN THE CALL went a big mile off the barn change. (3) GD AIRLINER reunites with driver Simon Allard, who won the last time he drove this gelding.

Race 14

(1) MOSEE TERROR was stuck with post nine last week. The inside draw should bring a better effort. (2) VALENTINO gets a free ride despite winning in this class last time. (3) SCOTT ROCKS had a tough trip and still only missed by a few lengths in his last start. (6) A STITCH IN TIME drops down for a winning barn.

Race 15

(4) JENERAL PATTON has easily bested NYSS foes with some huge final quarters. This son of Art Major may have a chance to step up against Open foes in the near future. (7) CLINT WESTWOOD has posted back-to-back big miles for team Burke. (1) MINDSET does his best work in soft spots and some of these may be too tough for him.

Race 16

(7) LUCK BE WITHYOU freefalls in class and should win this race for fun. (1) ARTACHE HANOVER is back at a winning level. (2) NEW KIND should flash speed from the inside.

 

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Adam Strominger More than 1 year ago
Market Share will not win