10/21/2009 11:00PM

Pick six: Updated analysis for Oct. 23


Race 3, first leg

The first two weeks of the meet, early speed got punished on the main track. While closers still hold the advantage, the profile has been less severe the past week and a half. That is good news for 5-2 favorite ALL MONEY NO LOVE in this seven-furlong, $10k claimer. Freshened since early September and dropping from a live race that produced three next-out winners, ALL MONEY NO LOVE can fall into the lead and control the race start to finish. However, he would be the first winner of a seven-furlong race this meet to lead start to finish. MR. WOLVERINE is a back-class stakes winner dropping to $10k claiming for the first time. MY FRIEND LUIS is racing into condition. Seventh in a bunched field last time, he will roll late, and his races on this track last winter are good enough. SWISS SKI won a "set-up" last time in a fast-pace race that unfolded perfectly for his closing style. The splits figure to be softer here, however. A longshot bomber is worth mention. That is ATA BENCHMARK, who finished a creditable third in his recent comeback from a three-month layoff. He ran well on Pro-Ride during the winter meet, and at a big number he could be the knockout. He is listed at 15-1 on the morning line. STORMY GAME is the 3-1 second choice on the morning line. Although you cannot throw him out entirely, he sure does not win very often.

Race 4, second leg

SEEDLESS finished a troubled fifth in her July debut, and has trained exceptionally well for her comeback, according to the clocker for Handicapper's Report. In her five-furlong work Oct. 7, she was "reaching strongly" late. She may have more speed than her first start suggests, and it appears she is cranked for a top effort first start back at a generous morning line of 3-1. But here is another clue to the nuances of Pro-Ride. After three and a half weeks, pacesetters are 0-for-13 at five and one-half furlongs. HIGH FIVE GAL drops from tougher races, and probably is the speed of the field. First time for a tag, she will lead as far as she can. Her trainer Doug O'Neill is in a slump however, and the track profile works against the dropper. HIGH FIVE GAL is favored at 5-2, and possibly a favorite to take a stand against. CREME DELA SUANCES is a first-time starter sired by Suances, whose eight starters include two debut winners. Both those (Feisty Suances, Suances de Espana) were trained by Darrell Vienna, same as this filly. First-time starter NINE RAILS is a half-sister to speedball stakes winner Dirty Diana, but her sire Skimming gets only 6 percent debut winners according to Thoro-Graph. SHINE'N TIME missed by a nose last time, while finishing more than six clear of third.

Race 5, third leg

The scratch of ALICE tilts this maiden turf sprint in favor of MEILI, who wanted no part of two turns at Del Mar. She faded after pressing the pace for six furlongs. But her back-to-back third-place finishes in turf sprints this summer makes her the logical selection. But how do front-runners fare down the hill? This fall, not very good. Another front-running favorite got beat Thursday (Cafe Con Leche, race 2). The most recent 12 turf sprints have been won by closers. The profile does not favor MEILI, nor PINK DIAMOND, whose best race was her only sprint on grass. She has quick works for her turnback to one corner. First-time starter DIVINE ACTRESS has worked well, and probably should be included on pick six tickets because the familiar faces are not exactly world-beaters. STORM THE CHURCH washed out again (she does it often) and ran poorly as the odds-on favorite at the Fair. She is consistently overbet, listed as the 3-1 program favorite, and one day will put it all together. When she does finally win, her odds will be short. The nervous filly seems to not have much class. MARQUISITE looms the knockout, switching surfaces for a stable that has much success with turf-sprint longshots at Santa Anita. First-time starter DIVINE ACTRESS has worked well, and probably should be included on pick six tickets because the familiar faces are not exactly world-beaters.

Race 6, fourth leg

NO GRANDE is expected to scratch; check late changes. Assuming he comes out, STAND TALL inherits favoritism as he nosedives from $25k claiming to $10k claiming. The good races by STAND TALL in summer at Hollywood Park would bury this field, but the steep drop is not exactly a show of confidence. REDORWHITE is pure speed and has a shot to steal it. Similar to race 3, this race came up short on speed. But can speed win going seven furlongs on Pro-Ride? It has not been easy. FRANKELSTEIN was once good enough; this is his first start since a nose victory in a $5k claimer at Fairplex. HIGH INVESTMENT won a $5k restricted claimer last time. At least he is in form.

Race 7, fifth leg

This N2X turf route for fillies and mares is tough. But if 8-1 front-runner MALIBU ARTISTE shakes loose, she just might steal it. She ran like she needed the race three weeks ago, has two fast works since, and figures to control the pace. She is proven on this course. Two of the four races this meet at a mile and one-quarter on turf have been won by the pacesetter. DON'T FORGET FAITH scored an upset in a N2X on the Del Mar turf, winning by a head while racing over her conditions. It makes her a fit right back at the same class, and no jockey is riding any better now than Rafael Bejarano. BEL AIR SIZZLE drops out of a stakes to the class at which she finished second one start back. SPRING STYLE is a lightly raced comebacker whose three starts under leading rider Joel Rosario produced two wins and a second. ALPINE YODEL is the only filly that could make things tough on the front-running top choice. DREAMALONG is the 3-1 program favorite who is making her first start since a close fifth in the G1 Del Mar Oaks. VICTORIA REEL won a N1X last time with a perfect ground-saving trip.

Race 8, sixth leg

Trainer Bob Hess has the most likely winners in the first and last legs of the pick six (races 3 and 8). FANTASY FREE ran well all three starts at Del Mar, he has been freshened six weeks since then, returns at the same $16k class level, and he likes the Santa Anita surface (two wins and a second in winter). TIZ AFIRE did nothing in his Aug. 29 comeback, but his 2008 form makes him a contender at this level. His trainer Marty Jones has been on fire this fall, and scored another upset Thursday with $22.80 comeback winner Red Tomatoes. FENICE and PALLADIAN GENERAL both drop in class. There is expected to be a key scratch. ONE SHOT would have set the pace, but he was entered back in an easier spot on Sunday and expected to scratch from this. That leaves stretch-outs DELUXE CAT and BARDOA COURT to contest the pace.