05/18/2013 12:43PM

Parx Racing: Kreiser and Lake mares muddy the picture


Older fillies and mares who suddenly produce a career-best Beyer Speed Figure while winning are usually good candidates to regress next time out. The 5-year-old mare La Grey Zuliana, who just ran the fastest race of her 35-race career, and 4-year-old filly Dani’s Storm, freshened after she delivered her best performance in 14 lifetime starts, would seem to be two good examples of runners to bet against in Monday’s $50,000 feature at Parx Racing.

But when you look more closely and see that La Grey Zuliana and Dani’s Storm both have trainers who excel with fillies and mares coming off career tops, the handicapping puzzle becomes more difficult to decipher.

The eighth race, a second-level optional $25,000 claimer for fillies and mares going 6 1/2 furlongs on the main track, is complicated by the presence of the Tim Kreiser-trained La Grey Zuliana and Scott Lake’s filly Dani’s Storm.

The Penn National-based Kreiser, winning at a 30 percent clip this season, brings in La Grey Zuliana roughly three weeks after she crushed $15,000 claimers by 6 1/2 lengths while earning a 79 Beyer, which is close to the par of 81 for Monday’s class level. Kreiser is 4 for 20 (20 percent) with last-out female sprinters coming off a career-best Beyer and 6 for 18 (33 percent) with recent winners moving from claiming to allowance company.

Dani’s Storm takes the next logical step up the class ladder after clearing her first allowance condition with a 75 Beyer on April 15. Lake’s female runners given a 31- to 60-day break following a win that produced a career top are 7 for 18 (39 percent) with a high $3.51 return on investment.

Trainer Mike Pino has two logical contenders in the six-horse field, although it’s possible only one will run.

Lisa Stannard shows two wins followed by a second against Pennsylvania-bred stakes company in her last three outings. Her uncoupled stablemate, the 3-year-old She’s All Scat, won a $100,000 stakes last fall in Maryland.

She’s All Scat shows only one published workout since her last race in February and would be facing older females for the first time if she runs in this spot. A check of Pino’s returnees from long layoffs since last June reveals that he usually gives his horses at least two workouts, preferably four, before they make their comeback.