08/01/2016 1:41PM

Northfield: Wednesday 8/3 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket

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Race 8 -$10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

5,6,9 / 2,8,9 / 3,4 / 1,2 = $36

 

Best Bet: SPLITSVILLE (3rd)

Spot Play: BRILLO CAMARILLO (4th)

Race 1

(2) ANDOVER ISLE well bred 3-year-old shows a big effort at The Meadows last month.  If the gelding can mind his manners he's the horse to beat.  (1) SR LILLYSTAR filly gets the best post in a field full of question marks.  (6) KAYLA JADE hits the board a lot just doesn't win; use underneath.

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Race 2

(7) REGGIE RAIDER almost circled the field last week after an early break.  The pacer faces older but is one of few in the race with upside.  (4) FEELIN FLASHY has just been racing evenly and needs a smooth trip.  (5) OAKS CROWN could be dangerous with an easy early lead.

Race 3

(8) SPLITSVILLE takes a huge dropdown in competition.  The trotter just needs to find a way into the race.  (4) S M'S TERMINATOR has been competitive at this level; threat.  (3) ZOOMIN JESSE looks to offer a monster price and flashed a decent burst of speed two back.

Race 4

(5) BRILLO CAMARILLO mare's win last week might not be a fluke.  The 4-year-old has room to improve second start for the new barn.  (4) POR QUE NO just missed to the top choice last week racing gamely.  (9) SHAKE IT SUGAR filly pacer has been competitive against better on the year.

Race 5

(6) NOWER POWER lightly raced 2-year-old faces older but might have the most ability in the group.  (4) OU NIP TOO will look to make it three wins in five starts at this level.  (9) WHITE EARNIE is also on a nice win streak against similar.

Race 6

(9) TILLY THE FILLY pacing mare raced well first start back off the layoff and should have more to offer in her second start back.   (4) I SCOOT QUICK is the only horse in the race with a win on the year; threat.  (3) THETIS just missed last week from a tough spot with little pace to close into.

Race 7

(2) CERVEZA DINERO picks up the top driver facing much weaker.  (1) WIMBORNE HANOVER could need a start off almost a month but does get the best starting post in a soft field.  (5) RED FALKOR gelding has a good burst but has a tendency to lack stamina late; command a price.

Race 8

In a wide open and tough race to gauge, (6) SHAGUAR pacer is capable of popping at a price especially with a good setup.  (5) KWIC MAC showed a lot of improvement first start for a new barn last week.  (9) AHDOUGHNOLUM bumps back up off an easy win down in class.  The pacer looks to offer another low price and has been inconsistent.

Race 9

(8) CODY COY is a tough play with the far outside post and the low percentage pilot, however the trotter owns all the back class.  (9) SCREAMIN DREAMIN owns only one win on the year but has been competitive against similar.  (2) CARBON FOOTPRINT is capable against this bunch but will need more.

Race 10

(4) REAL CATCH will look to drop and pop down in class.  The pacer was the driver's choice and will be used aggressively.  (3) ENEE WEENIE AND ME gets big time post relief with the top driver. (7) JUST CROWNED is another dropper in the race.  The well bred nine-year-old gets a downgrade in the bike but is probably the fastest horse in the race all things being equal. 

Race 11

(2) MAJOR DAN is 0 for the year but also faces his weakest field to date.   (1) LOGAN COUNTY RALPH is very inconsistent from week to week.  If the pacer puts forth one of his better efforts he can score.  (4) HE'S THE CHIP has yet to win at this level in two months; command a price.

Race 12

(3) JOYEUX DREAM picks up a big driver change for proven connections.  (1) SHARP ACTION looks like one of the horses to beat in the race especially with the rail.  (7) ROMPAWAY ELVIS can pick up the pieces should the front end go fast early.

Race 13

(9) BORN TO ROCKN ROLL drops in class and has been pacing faster than most of the field. (4) PINSTRIPES will offer good value and was close last week.  (2) TEAHOUSE HALL pacer makes his first start for new connections.  The 4-year-old shows some good efforts and can improve.

Race 14

In another tough race to handicap, (1) MATALIC raced well last week from a tough spot; threat.  (6) ITSNOONERTIME could hit the board at a big price with some racing luck.  (9) BEACH BOY TOY could be in a decent spot turning for home; threat.

Race 15

(4) JUMPIN JACK J will offer the best price of the contenders and faces weaker.  (6) WESTERN FELLA was parked the mile last out against tougher.  (2) WELCOME WAGON gets sent out for the top barn; threat.

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