07/25/2016 3:57PM

Northfield: Wednesday 7/27 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,7,9 / 1,3,4 / 1,3,4,6 / 2 = $36


Best Bet: COME ON HERBIE (4th)

Spot Play: SPLITSVILLE (10th)

Race 1

(6) JOAN D'ARC three-year-old filly makes her first start for new connections against easier.  (1) ENDLESS DESIRE has just been racing evenly but gets the best post in a weak and inconsistent field.  (4) RIBBONS OF COLOR just missed at this level last week; threat.

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Race 2

(6) OU NIP TOO filly is the horse to beat if she minds her manners.  (5) SMOKEY JOE needs some racing luck but might be closer turning for home.  (7) KAYLA JADE filly has finished second in three straight and five of her last six; use underneath.

Race 3

(5) CYRANO JONES impeccably bred pacer will look to make it two straight for the top barn.  (2) SHADY'S DREAM BOY has just been racing evenly but looks to be in line for a nice ground-saving trip.  (1) ROCKIN TO THE MOON pacer has room to improve third start back off the layoff.

Race 4

(3) COME ON HERBIE has burned cash in two straight.  The lightly raced 4-year-old can beat this field if he minds his manners.  (9) STYLE ONE had shown good improvement prior to the miscue last out.  (4) BLACK DENIM N LACE five-year-old mare has been knocking on the door against similar.

Race 5

(9) QUALITY BUD might have gained some confidence with the fair win last week.  The 3-year-old had been facing much tougher in Indiana.  (2) JOHNNY MAGIC will look to make it two straight at this level; fires early.  (4) BABY BUNTIN has shown a decent burst but is best used underneath with the low percentage pilot.

Race 6

In a very tough race to gauge, (1) CONTECH will offer a big price and could be in the right spot for a piece.  (6) FORTUNE JAMES can pop off a good effort from time to time and also looks to offer value.  (7) SAM HAYES was completely empty last start against similar.  The 6-year-old will offer a much better price this week and can bounce back.

Race 7

(6) MY BOOGIE SHOES takes a significant drop in class and was an easy winner when last seen at this level.  (3) OUR MCLOVIN raced well last week and is one of few threats in the race.  (9) MANTALIC is one of the faster pacers in the field but needs a smooth trip.

Race 8

(1) WINTER CRUISE should be on the lead or in the pocket early on; threat.  (7) RAIDERS BOY has been competitive against much better on the year but needs to find a way into the race.  (9) MAJOR SPEED has just been racing evenly but could shake loose late for a piece.

Race 9

(1) BAD MOONSHINE three-year-old has a decent pedigree and room to improve with the best post.  (4) OHIO RAYCINO doesn't look the best on paper but gets sent out for proven connections.  The 3-year-old has hit the board against similar.  (3) INDEPENDENT G veteran pacer is just now back in racing shape after a seven year layoff.

Race 10

(6) SPLITSVILLE trotter has not come back to form from last year, however the 7-year-old faces much weaker.  (3) ZORGWIJK MERCEDES could need a start off the layoff but owns a good burst of speed when timed right.  (1) B COR THOMAS almost got the job done from the eight hole last week.  If the 9-year-old repeats that effort he can score at a price.

Race 11

(2) SCHMATIE finds an easy spot for a big piece.  (1) SAND TILLY LACE paced a decent mile last week and gets sent out for the top barn.  (7) BET ON ME HANOVER is up against it from the outside; use underneath.

Race 12

(5) SOUTHERN CAROL takes a significant drop in class with an upgrade in the bike.  (9) AMERICANGENERATION just needs a smooth trip from the second tier for a chance to hit the ticket.  (4) SAM HAS CLASS morning line favorite is 0 for the year and picks up a low percentage pilot; use caution.

Race 13

In a weak field full of question marks, (4) SILVERHILL DELIGHT just missed last week and looks to be improving.  (9) TOBINS FORTUNE has been close against tougher but is still 0 for the year.  (1) LUCKY IVAN pacer is excellent at burning cash despite looking like the fastest horse in the race.

Race 14

(5) HOORAY KATIE will offer a nice price and is capable with a fast pace to close into. (4) HELLO CHIPPER mare doesn't have the best win percentage but is a threat with a trouble-free trip.  (1) GOING IN GLORY beat weaker last start and benefits from the best post.

Race 15

(5) POR QUE NO filly has hit the board in all her starts for the new connections.  (4) A MARY CAN STING has room to improve against weaker.  (6) RADIO LOVER is best used underneath for a low percentage pilot.

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