07/18/2016 4:21PM

Northfield: Wednesday 7/20 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket

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Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,2,3,5 / 5,9 / 1,4,5,6 / 8 = $32

 

Best Bet: JAKES CHANCE (15th)

Spot Play: RAIDERS BOY (13th)

Race 1

(3) WHITE EARNIE has some gate speed with a good post.  (8) OU NIP TOO filly has a tough post to overcome but is probably the horse to beat.  (1) MARY JO filly has room to improve if she can mind her manners.

Race 2

(5) CYRANO JONES 4-year-old pacer makes his first start of the year off a winning qualifier for the top barn.  (7) VELOCITY RAQUEL four-year-old owns a win at this level and can threaten with a smooth trip.  (9) OAKS CROWN lightly raced pacer has room to improve in his third lifetime start.

Race 3

In an inconsistent field full of trotters, (1) SAM HAYES has been competitive against better on the year and gets the best post.  (2) GOING IN GLORY nine-year-old could be primed for a better effort third start back off a long layoff.  (3) DOUBLE O JESSE looks to be in line for a ground saving trip; use underneath.

Race 4

(4) LOGAN COUNTY RALPH drops in class and is capable of a decent burst of speed.  (2) DANNYS MAN has just been racing evenly but also drops down to the bottom level.  (1) SILVERHILL DELIGHT has lacked stamina late in his recent miles; use underneath.

Race 5

(3) COME ON HERBIE looked to be a winner last week before hanging late.  The 4-year-old will probably win if he makes an early lead.  (2) BLACK DENIM N LACE might have more ability than he shows and is just now back in racing shape.  (6) ANDOVER ISLE impeccably bred 3-year-old has made breaks in two straight.  If the trotter minds his manners he's the horse to beat.

Race 6

In one of the toughest races to handicap on the card, (6) BABY BUNTIN should offer a better price than her last few and just needs a decent pace to close into.   (2) BOOMERS SIDEKICK had no excuse last week off easy fractions; command a price.  (3) I SCOOT QUICK was a game winner at this level last week.

Race 7

(6) PARNELL takes a significant drop in class and owns wins against better on the year.  (9) SKY LAV gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but has been competitive against similar.  (1) FRIDAYSCOMIN might need a start off a long layoff but gets the best post against a suspect bunch.

Race 8

(1) ZEBS CAM BO just missed against a much better group last start.  The pacer gets the best post and will be used aggressively.  (2) BURSTING BLAZE also faces weaker but has yet to win in sixteen starts on the year.  (3) BERGERAC is another pacer 0 for the year, however the 9-year-old could be in a good spot to pick up the pieces late.

Race 9

(9) SAM HAS CLASS picks up a huge driver change against much weaker.  The trotter is 0 for the year but can handle this field with a trouble-free trip.  (5) WILAMAR VALLEY gets sent out for proven connections off an easy winning qualifier.  (6) HUSTLINHANNAH mare can jump up with a good effort from time to time and will offer a big price.

Race 10

(1) TIM'S FINALE has much more ability than what is shown on paper.  The pacer gets the best post in a weak field full of question marks.  (4) CELESTIAL DREAMS picks up a huge driver change but looks to offer low value; use caution.  (5) OUR MCLOVIN owns a win at this level but needs some racing luck.

Race 11

(8) ROCKEM AGAIN 3-year-old gelding went a big three-quarters of a mile last week before tiring late.  If the pacer duplicates that effort he probably wins for fun.  (9) BOSSY AUSSIE should be closer turning for home and will offer a monster price.  (5) REGGIE RAIDER two-year-old faces older but is one of few horses in the race with some upside.

Race 12

(3) GREEN ACRELOLLYPOP is one of the faster trotters in the race despite having not won a race in almost two years.  (9) MAXIMUM CREDIT closed good ground last week late.  The 6-year-old should be closer turning for home.  (4) SIR KENSINGTON might be able to hit the ticket underneath with some racing luck.

Race 13

(4) RAIDERS BOY has been competitive against much tougher on the year.  (3) BEANS AND WEENIES will offer a nice price and looks to be one of few contenders in the race.   (1) AHDOUGHNOLUM has just been racing evenly and looks to offer a very short price.

Race 14

(2) MISTER OLIVER seven-year-old stallion needed his last start off a long layoff.  The trotter drops in class and should have more to offer second start back.  (6) FORT COMMANDER was an easy winner last week down in class.  (1) SNOWSON had no excuse last week faltering late off of pedestrian fractions; command a price.

Race 15

(6) JAKES CHANCE nice-looking filly was given a perfect first start off the bench last week.  The 3-year-old has more upside than most of the field.  (1) POR QUE NO set a lifetime mark last week but will need more.  (2) ABSOLUTE HEAVEN impeccably bred pacer gets sent out for the top barn off an improved effort.

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