05/11/2015 3:07PM

Northfield: Wednesday 5/13 Analysis + Pick Four ticket


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey's $1 Pick 4 Play:

3 / 1,2,3,4,6,7 / 7,9 / 4,6 = $24


Spot Play: STURDY’S BABY (5TH)

Race 1 

(5) LIKE OLD TIMES has come back strong off the layoff and finds an easy spot to gain some confidence.  (1) UNLIMITED WINNER picks up a huge driver change with the best post.  (6) GUTH showed improvement last out, but will need a smooth trip from a tough post.    

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Race 2  

(6) RAY’S WESTERN had some equipment issues last start. The pacer is one of a few who has shown a decent burst of speed in recent starts.  (4) INDOMITABLE SPIRIT finds a softer spot but has just been racing evenly.  (1) AKISSTOSENDUSOFF gets the top driver with the best post. 

Race 3  

(3) NORTHERN CONE is a well-bred gelding that made a break last out, but will be in line for a much easier trip this week.  (7) ES MUCHO set a lifetime mark last out and is a dangerous with an early lead.  (1) TREASURE VOLO almost popped at a big price last start but faces tougher this time; use underneath. 

Race 4 

In a weak and inconsistent field, (4) CAMS BEST SHADOW is a 7-year-old mare making her career debut off an improved qualifier.  (9) LEGENDONTHEGREENS beat a similar field two back from a tough post.  (1) BEAUTY’S BANDIT has room to improve third start back off a layoff. 

Race 5 

(7) STURDY‘S BABY faces a weaker field in his second start of the season and could be ready for an improved effort.  (6) BOGO TIM also has room to improve third start back; threat.   (5) CALLIT AS U SEEIT could have some of the kinks worked out after a solid qualifier. 

Race 6 

In a field that’s 0 for 71 on the year, (4) CASIMIR LUCKYNUTZ has been pacing faster than most in here and should offer value coming off a nasty break.   (5) COIN OF THE REALM gets sent out for a pilot that has not won in a very long time, but could threaten with some racing luck.  (2) BOOGITY BILL owns a decent burst of speed off the gate which could put him in the mix.

Race 7 

(5) DOUGH TRAIN makes her second start of the year and gets sent out for proven connections.  (1) LULA‘S LIL SWEETIE gets the top driver with the best post.  (3) DUNKS BROTHER qualified well off a long layoff; threat.  

Race 8  

(3) TOWN CROSSING has shown improvement in all of her starts this year and should find this spot softer.  (9) STRONG VICTORY is a sophomore filly pacer that is 0-for her career, but is capable of hitting the ticket with a smooth trip.  (2) PARKTOWNISCOOTIWIN makes his second lifetime start and has room to move forward. 

Race 9 

(4) ROMPAWAY ELVIS has been competitive against better and should offer value with a low percentage pilot.  (1) DOUBLE A GLORIA gets the best post and is capable of a good effort.  (2) MYSTERY RINGER makes his first start of the year and could need a start; use underneath.

Race 10  

(7) VINCENT VEGA takes a significant drop in class and will be used aggressively; driver’s choice.  (9) AS DUHARAS was starting to show improvement before some tough racing luck.  The pacer picks up a huge driver change but needs a good setup from the second tier.  (1) MIZUNO bumps up in class off a victory; threat. 

Race 11  

(6) ROYAL BRIEFING just needs to stay trotting for a huge chance dropping down to the bottom level.  (4) ANNIE‘S MASTER also drops back down and is better than her lines indicate.  (5) LEGACY CHIP is 0-for the year and could offer value underneath. 

Race 12 

(2) CINCINNATI MYSTRES will offer the better price of the contenders and has shown a decent move when timed right.  (1) GET PACKIN veteran trotter put in a huge effort from a very tough post last start.  A similar effort makes him tough to beat.  (3) CDS ELDORADO rarely wins but picks up the top driver; command a price. 

Race 13  

(6) SUITS gets sent out first start for a high percentage trainer off a winning qualifier.  (5) SUNBURNED VERN is always a threat at this level despite not showing much on paper.  (4) WINTER CRUISE raced well last out being used multiple times; threat. 

Race 14  

In a field with few contenders, (5) SANTA‘S SPECIAL has some question marks coming off a scratch, but if ready is probably the horse to beat.  (7) REAL SAMART is coming off a break but has beaten much better on the year.  (3) JAWORSKI is 0-for the year; use underneath. 

Race 15  

(4) LIMA RITCH was pacing up a storm before making a break two back against better.  If the driver can work out a smooth trip the pacer has a chance at a big price.  (5)HE’S A BEACHBOY had no excuse last out at this same level; command a price.  (1) CAPT BENSO GOODE could be ready for a better effort from the rail.