04/29/2014 10:28AM

Northfield: Wednesday 4/30 Analysis


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: TIMBOGO (3rd)

Spot Play: MYSTICAL SAM (2nd)


Race 1

(5) CALL HIM CLINT won last convincingly and can roll again with same late rush. (7) NO DRAMA moves out after a strong second best but his best effort makes him the one to fear. (4) CINNAMON ROLLS has been well bet but short last two but this beaten favorite can get it done with right trip.

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Race 2

(2) MYSTICAL SAM was in a no-win situation two back, improved in last moving in and moves in even further. (4) GIULO went down the road in last and proved a game winner. Faces better but same effort makes this vet the one to beat. (3) LASENT closed well this level last time and was a game winner two back. Sharp enough and dangerous in here.

Race 3

(7) TIMBOGO has been facing better and picking up checks. Should be the one in tight fit. (6) MASTER LAD PRO was bet down in last but failed to fire a serious salvo. (2) TRIPOLI improved in last and needs to be pushed a bit but from this position she could pull off the mild upset.

Race 4

(1) VISAGE HANOVER has the pole and races second time off the qualifier. If he was tightened enough in last he can crush these on best. (2) CORWHINY has won as many races this year as the rest of the field combined and that makes him the a most interesting proposition even stepping up a bit. (7) GYPSY LADY came uncovered the last quarter and put up a new life mark but she steps up and seeks only her third win in two seasons--but the last one points her out.

Race 5

(1) CARELESS LOVE has faced better in all of recent and this beaten favorite is eligible to atone as she draws the rail again. (4) CJS VICTORY obviously performs better from the inner posts and can be close at the wire on best. (5) FEEL THE POWER moves in only a bit off last and flashed some improvement versus this kind in last outing.

Race 6

(3) EXACTORMAN closed strongly in latest and gets the nod to improve enough off that to take these with late rush. (2) BUSTER MEE N should be forwardly placed throughout. (8) WILDCATS TERROR has to overcome the post and races first time off a qualifier after short stay on the shelf.

Race 7

(1) STRIKING LIGHTNING goes down the road as far as he can. (2) NEELY SPRING was brutalized in last and should be hard to deny from the inside. (4) EDOM UP BLUE BOY had the trip of trips in last and won for fun. Do not overlook.

Race 8

(2) LITLE BIT SIDEWAYS flattened in the last but moves in enough to sit tight until it counts in well-matched race. (3) AE WESTERN INGOT had a real chance to win last two but faltered in the shadow of the finish line. (6) MOOVEIT beat the top choice in last but moves out.

Race 9

(2) TROTALOT gets strong nod off last coming from far back with wide finish. (1) SCHALYN was nailed on the wire in last but has the pole, front end speed and hits the board often. (4) CODY COY had the pole in last and won gamely. Doesn't move all that far out and was been good last two.

Race 10

(1) AT DAYBREAK has the speed and the pole; will have to be beaten. (7) RIDGE PARK was second best two back against weaker and put in a decent effort last time. Has yet to win this year but has been second a few times. (8) NOBLE FITCH moves up after two sensational races and cannot be ignored.

Race 11

(3) G L GOGETEM fits well in here and wins with late closing effort. (4) BOILER BREES wired in last from pole as the favorite and can threaten on best. (7) CHAMP IAN faces better after three good efforts but may be sharp enough to overcome post.                                                     

Race 12

(1) LIGHTNINGINTHESKY draws the rail and has to be the one to beat. (8) D J SUPREME moves out from the rail but would be the choice with better post. (2) GUNMANS ACE will pick up a paycheck with any kind of decent trip and any kind of decent effort.

Race 13

(8) COMICAL PRINCESS races second time off the qualifier and will be tight enough to surprise these. (5) WILDATTHEBEACH has been showing sparks of life. (2) LIVEANDINCONCERT was horrible last two but moves in. Last two from inside posts were much better and this one deserves a look.

Race 14

(6) PLAYITAGAINSTAN qualified impressively after being freshened two months. (1) FIRMS RANDSOME will give it the old college try from the rail. (2) MACH TO THE LIMIT is no slouch facing this kind and has a good post.

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