04/14/2014 4:16PM

Northfield: Wednesday 4/16 Analysis

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Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: DAPPER BARON TWO (1st)

Spot Play: EDOM UP BLUE BOY (4th)

 

Race 1

(2) DAPPER BARON TWO faces weaker and has no excuse in here. (7) NO DRAMA is the sharpest but moves outside and will have to overcome the post. (6) HAGITHA has shown some late speed on occasion and races second-time with Sutton.

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Race 2

(3) ROYAL CAT wired the field two back at short price and toured the track in last. Best will get him on the engine and he will be hard to deny. (2) BUCK I TIME has speed and the inside. Should be close throughout. (4) TIFFANYS VICTORY qualified with decent effort and has a history of being around the money.

Race 3

(1) WESTERN GEAR won qualifier too easily to ignore especially from the pole. (7) SHARP SHUTTLE won out the pocket when last seen in these parts and could get as lucky if he gets the same trip. (5) MAXIMUM VIKING seems able to battle for minor spoils facing the rest of these.

Race 4

(6) EDOM UP BLUE BOY just missed in two qualifiers this year and seems tight enough to be a major factor facing this group if he stays flat. (5) SENATOR SAM has been well bet in last three and keeps getting closer. (1) PRICE WAR has the rail and would be a threat for more if he had early speed but a smaller payday seems possible if he's in the mood.

Race 5

(5) CHAMP IAN faces a now-or-never dilemma in here. He was a near miss in qualifier and has now put in three tighteners with the last being a late closing third. (6) SOUTHWIND MAIZE has been flashing modest late speed in last few and looms as a stretch threat on best. (3) JOJO IN THE SKY moves in off a bevy of outside posts and has late speed enough to get the job done.

Race 6

(3) CALLING A VICTORY was a beaten favorite two back and if he has anything he wins this. (2) LINDAS DIAMOND LIL has been monopolizing second place finishes in recent and seems in line to battle again if he stays flat. (5) ABBEYCREST took money in last but faltered but was a solid second three back from similar post.

Race 7

(4) IYAMWHATISHAM was nipped on the wire two back at 70 cents on the dollar and rallied from far off the pace in last. Should be tight enough to battle to the wire. (3) DANCE WITH DAN was a winner as the prohibitive favorite in last and can hardly be overlooked. (2) WOW POWER put in a killer effort in latest parked the mile battle and can be the one with better trip.

Race 8

(6) VACATION ANGEL is really rolling right now and seeks fourth straight. Stay with her till she loses. (3) CHIPS DREAM been second best last two so why not again? (1) ATAWAY AIDAN can suck along for best of rest from the inside.

Race 9

(7) G ROD went down the road for convincing score in last and only has to overcome the post to get the win again. (1) GEM HEIST faces significantly weaker and has the rail. (5) CHIPS GALORE was bet to improve in last and did. Watch the board for a clue this time around.

Race 10

(2) CJS SUPER SECRET moves inside off a much improved two move second place finish and normal improvement spells victory. (1)BUCKEYE PATTY has been properly tightened and will be hard to deny if ready for best. (4) WILD NORDIC sucked along in the garden for a second place finish in last and will be close again.

Race 11

(5) J J NEWTON is on a winning streak and why argue with success? (2) AE WESTERN INGOT has raced credibly in all of recent and can hardly be discounted. (4) LITLE BIT SIDEWAYS moves in and improves with the post or so he has in most efforts.

Race 12

(7) MYSTICAL SAM has closed well in all since the qualifier and the post may not hurt. (6) CARELESS LOVE ran out of gas on the front end in last and this beaten favorite may get lucky with the right trip. (5) SCHALYN won last and is the one to fear.

Race 13

(1) SWEETIE SUE CAM sucked along in the pocket in last and could be in good position heading home. (3) KATIE AND J races third off the qualifer and will be a threat if she gets closer in the early going. (5) CBS LADY faces weaker and that might enough in versus these.

Race 14

(1) WAY SO FAST made the move in last but flattened out. (2) MACAO tried the front end in last but ran out of gas. (3) WYATT dug in gamely in last and took the prize.

Race 15

(1) MORELAND FLASH has little to beat and down the road seems his best shot. (5) MONEY TO BURN has speed enough to stay close. (4) LIGHTNINGINTHESKY faces weaker and would be no surprise.

 

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