03/03/2014 4:25PM

Northfield: Wednesday 3/5 Analysis + Pick Four ticket

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Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

2,3,5,6 / 2,6 / 3,5,6,9 / 1 = $32

 

Best Bet: FOURTUNE SAILOR (5th)

Spot Play: JUST CROWNED (8th)

Race 1

(3) HERBIE L drops down from the Open, finds a field full of question marks, and gets post relief.  (2) NEAR THE LIMIT has been inconsistent but does have decent gate speed.  (4) UP FRONT STRIKING mare needs to be looked at despite coming off a very long layoff.

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Race 2

(6) BIG HARRY DEAL has not won in a very long time but is definitely showing signs of turning it around.  (2) MAJIK MASTER gets sent out for a hot trainer and has the post edge on his main rivals.  (5) K C COLT seven-year-old pacer makes his first start in four months but did put in a really nice qualifier from a tough post.

Race 3

(2) MELVIN'S DREAM gelding gets sent out for a trainer that is very inconsistent from week to week, but is coming off a relatively easy victory.  (5) VANISCAPE has turned it around recently and shouldn't be discounted in an evenly matched field.  (1) BLUE SCOOTIN MATT might not have to work to hard early with the rail and that could put him on the ticket; use underneath.

Race 4

(3) HAIR NATION gets post relief and has shown a good burst of speed in a suspect field.  (1) SWEETIE SUE CAM mare has just been racing evenly but does drop in class and draws the rail.  (9) MILLIONDOLLARFLIRT mare should get a decent spot out of the gate along with a ground saving trip.

Race 5

(7) FORTUNE SAILOR is the horse to beat despite the outside post.  You can expect the gelding to be moving early searching for cover.  (2) EASTER ROSETTA was a tad disappointing last time not being able to finish off the victory but could be in line for a great trip.  (4) ANNIE'S MASTER mare gets a huge driver change and will look to ration out her speed early.

Race 6

(1) ARGON FIRE gets sent out for a trainer who has a high winning percentage first time in the barn; huge chance.  (6) INDEPENDENT SPIRIT has been racing better and just needs to find a way into the race.  (4) SEE YA LATER DUDE is the type of pacer who needs a trip; use underneath.

Race 7

(4) OLIN picks up the top driver and just needs to stay trotting for a big chance.  (9) MASTER LAD PRO went a really good effort last out and just needed somewhere to trot and the result would have been better.  (7) BAND'S SUPERSTAR does own a good burst of speed should some things go his way.

Race 8

(2) JUST CROWNED will offer the right price and looks to be rounding into form against the right field.  (5) SOUTHBOUND pacer has really improved over the last three months and faces a much easier field than the gelding has been used to.  (3) LOMBO POWERSHOT A is really sharp and looks to be in a great spot turning for home.

Race 9

(2) ROMPAWAY ELVIS is another trotter whose results solely depend on his ability to stay trotting.  If the 5-year-old minds his manners he probably wins; picks up the top driver.  (6) GIRLS WILLB GIRLS has been trotting consistently and faces significantly easier.  (3) CARSON'S VICTORY does own ability and has been better in his last two starts.

Race 10

(9) INFORM is another starter coming off a long layoff that might be ready to pop.  (6) LARRY CLARK finds a really bad field and just needs some racing luck to hit the ticket at a price.  (5) ROCKAWAY BLUE gets sent out for new connections and could be ready for an improved effort.

Race 11

(1) FORMAL HANOVER gelding pacer was a completely new horse for new connections and any kind of improvement makes him really tough to beat.  (5) LADY'S MAN gets a big morning line but does have some speed and a good recent win. (3) DANNYS ATTHEDANCE didn't miss by much last out in the same class but would need more.

Race 12

(5) J M SHOWCAT was the top drivers' choice and just needs to mind his manners.  (6) LEGACY CHIP should the top choice snap it off the veteran trotting mare could pick up the pieces.  (3) TIMER raced gamely wire to wire last out but would need more against this bunch.

Race 13

(1) TYREE gets a good driver change, draws the rail, and might be ready for a big effort.  (2) KINNICK gets a good post in a weak field; threat.  (9) THOMAS JOHN N will likely be a heavy favorite; use caution.

Race 14

(7) GENUINE STAR N gets a big morning line and is versatile in a suspect field.  (4) STATE OF THE UNION had a huge form reversal in two straight starts, then last start backed thru the field with a perfect trip; watch tote board.  (2) SCUTTLE would be tough to use on the top spot after getting beat last start.

Race 15

(7) J J NEWTON has been dominating the field and paying decent prices.  (4) PERFECT NIGHT had a really easy time on the lead last out and was no match for the top choice.   (8) SKY LAUXMONT could complete the gimmicks underneath at a huge price and is being sent out for a hot barn.

 

 

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