03/17/2014 2:41PM

Northfield: Wednesday 3/19 Analysis + Pick Four ticket

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Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four play:

1,5 / 4,5 / 2 / 1,2,3,4,5,6 = $24

 

Best Bet: TUNEARIFFIC (10th)

Spot Play: ARGON FIRE (13th)

Race 1

(1) ROSE RUN LEAH draws the rail, drops in class, and has good gate speed.  (6) ROSE RUN NEMO was much better in the qualifier.  The 5-year-old trotter should offer good value.  (4) JACKIE NO just needs to stay trotting for a chance to hit the ticket.

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Race 2

(3) GIRLS WILLB GIRLS faces a much easier field and would be tough with an easy lead.  (1) CONTECH picks up the top driver and the rail.  (2) LONG STEM ROSE has some ability when on her game; use underneath.

Race 3

(1) NORMA'S ROSE was in a slump but that last effort could signal a return to form.  (7) UP FRONT STRIKING owns some back class for a proven trainer.  (3) CARSON'S VICTORY races inconsistently from week to week and the driver opted off; use underneath.

Race 4

(5) WESTERN RIVAL needed his last start and was used aggressively from a tough post.  (6) BATTLESHIP KELLY might be overbet based on his last line but finds a very soft bunch.  (3) HALLIN GATOR could be a player with a good spot off the gate.

Race 5

(1) SENATOR SAM has had a slow start to the year but I think you can expect an aggressive drive from the rail.  (4) NEAR THE LIMIT takes a significant drop in class and gets a good driver change.  (5) CANWECHEATUMNWHEN has raced better than his lines indicate but needs some racing luck.

Race 6

(2) CC DREAMER has been a constant money burner but could be due for some racing luck.  (7) AIRIE FEELIN first start in over six months but looked good in the qualifier and finds a very suspect field.  (3) ELEGANT MYSTIQUE looks to be in line for a ground saving trip; threat.

Race 7

In a wide open and evenly matched race on paper (3) CAN'T SLAY ME has good gate speed which the gelding should benefit from.  (9) FORMAL HANOVER finds a good spot to do some damage; keeps top driver.  (2) DANNYS ATTHEDANCE just been racing evenly; command a price.

Race 8

In a field with few contenders (1) INDEPENDENT SPIRIT put in a huge effort last race that was much more impressive than it looks on paper.  (5) TICKLE MY FANTASY first time out for new connections who are lethal in this scenario.  (6) PERFECT NIGHT would need a lot more to get past the top two choices; use underneath.

Race 9

(4) FORTUNE SAILOR had too much to do last race but has been racing gamely.  (5) EASTER ROSETTA has also been racing gamely and would be dangerous forwardly placed.  (2) MAKIN GREEN LAVEC mare has started to turn it around a bit and just needs to ration out her speed early.

Race 10

(2) TUNEARIFFIC put in a monster effort first start off the layoff and owns all the back class.  (1) FOREVERS A DEAL also raced big last start and is the only threat to the top choice.  (3) RULING V C N needed the start last out and closed up nicely; use underneath.

Race 11

(2) BEER LEAGUE has been trotting consistent miles and the price should be right.  (3) ANASTASIA WHINNIE mare has been facing much better but hasn't been racing her best.  (5) TABULATOR made the most money in the field last year and looks to be back in racing shape after a layoff.

Race 12

In a tough race to handicap (1) K C COLT draws the rail and needed her last start.  (3) WORRIES STAY SMALL has just been racing evenly but could be a threat with a good trip.  (2) WARRAWEE LAD has been crawling home in his last quarters.  The 7-year-old pacer might try and come from off a helmet this week.

Race 13

(8) ARGON FIRE second time out for a new trainer off an eye popping victory.   (4) THE MACHSTER gelding gets a post edge on the top choice and was much better in his last effort.  (9) G L GOGETEM also raced well last start and should be better in his second start off a layoff.

Race 14

(6) SEE YA LATER DUDE hasn't raced well since everything set up perfect for him in his last victory.  The 4-year old finds a really soft field and could use some pace to close into.  (5) THREE ROCK NIGHT rarely wins but neither does the rest of the field.  (1) ASKPEDIA mare does get the best post but would need to show more stamina late.

Race 15

(5) LOST JEWELS has never been down this far in class; big chance.  (4) INGLORIOUS MUSTARD has been improving for a new trainer with each start.  (3) SUNBURNED VERN would be a threat down in class if the top choice should falter.

 

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