02/09/2015 4:17PM

Northfield: Wednesday 2/11 Analysis + Pick Four ticket


Race 8: $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four

Jeremey's $1 Pick 4 Play:

1,2,3 / 3,5 / 6,7 / 1,3 = $24

Best Bet: LIMA LUCKY (12TH)


Race 1  

(7) GUTH is a lightly raced trotter that finds an inconsistent field and will offer a huge price.  (6) LUCKY DANISH scored a victory last start after making an easy lead; fires early.  (1) UNLIMITED WINNER made a break last out but has shown ability when he stays trotting. 

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Race 2  

Sophomore pacer (4) TIE YOUR SHOE ED makes his career debut off a nice qualifier and finds a field full of question marks.  (7) UPTOWN ROMANCE benefits from the top driver and was a heavy favorite last out in this same class; threat.  (2) LIBERTY ANNE will offer a big price coming off a scratch but is probably best used underneath. 

Race 3  

(2) AL-MAR SNEAKY PETE owns a ton of gate speed and will look to go coast to coast.  (3) LOCONOTION is a well bred mare that has made two straight breaks, but she owns a big burst of speed when she minds her manners.   (1) LUCKY SPIRIT bumps up a level off an impressive win after making a break at the start; threat. 

Race 4  

(4) SOMBRERO HALL hasn’t raced in a month, but has been facing much tougher and would beat this field with a good effort.  (7) THIRTYOFINALSCORE put in a nice mile two starts back.  If the 10-year-old can duplicate that effort he could hit the board.  (5) MOM‘S LOOKER picks up the top driver but needs more.  

Race 5  

(4) U BETTOR WATCH OUT has been competitive at this level and keeps the top driver.  (3) CYCLONE ASHORE beat this same bunch last out, but will likely offer low value and looks to be in line for a tougher trip.  (2) SHAM’S BIG GUY has been competitive against the group but needs some racing luck; command a price. 

Race 6 

Heavy morning line favorite (2) HUSTLINHANNAH has beaten much better and is a trouble free trip away from cashing.  (4) KEYSTONE SWAGGER owns a good burst of speed off the gate which could put him on the ticket.  (1) CANDY J gets the best post but is best used underneath.

Race 7  

(4) ICONIC STYLE faces easier and has shown the ability to pace a good mile.  (6) FOLLOW THROUGH has burned cash in two straight but is a threat with a good setup.  (9) DALTON HANOVER makes his second start off a long layoff and should have more to offer.  

Race 8  

(3) SBM GEORGIAN STAR makes her first start off a layoff but finds a really weak field.  (1) CINCINNATI MYSTRES faces easier and benefits from the best post.   (2) MOMA JEAN’S CROWN has been competitive against much better and will be tough to keep off the ticket with an early lead. 

Race 9  

(5) PRETTY BOY CASH made a break last out but does pick up a top driver; threat.  (3) FLIP IT ON is one of a few with upside in the race and has shown a good move when timed right.  (6) TAZAWA is a well bred pacer that makes his second start off a layoff; should be tighter. 

Race 10  

In a really tough race to gauge, (7) SERIOUS STYLE should be in better racing shape off his last effort and will offer a nice price.  (6) CRUISE ON OSBONRE rarely wins but finds a suspect bunch; threat.  (9) TIELER BEA HOTSPUR just missed last out and should be in line for a similar ground-saving trip. 

Race 11  

(1) DALLAS SEELSTER looks to be in line for an excellent trip up close; threat.   (3) MR EXCELLENT was the top driver’s choice and just needs to ration out his speed.  (2) WINTER CRUISE is capable when right, but needs a good drive from a low percentage pilot. 

Race 12 

(2) LIMA LUCKY owns a class edge on most of the field and will be used aggressively.  (1) MISS RILEY gets sent out for an inconsistent trainer but is capable of a good effort.  (5) Y F CRASHER faces easier and was the top driver’s choice. 

Race 13  

(4) PAPA GRANDE rarely wins but will offer a big price in a wide open race.  (6) PUTNAMS STORM has some question marks, but when right would pace circles around this bunch.  (7) TIDBIT will also offer a big price and has been pacing faster than most of the field. 

Race 14 

(6) JACK ATTACK BROWN takes a significant drop in class with the top driver.  (4) JUMPIN JACK J gets big-time post relief and could use a smooth trip.  (2) CONKERS CONQUEST was the driver’s choice and makes his second start in a new barn; threat. 

Race 15  

(1) EARLYMORNINARRIVAL makes his second start at the bottom level, will offer a big price, and benefits from the rail.  (4) LIGHTNINGINTHESKY has just been racing evenly, but finds a weak field; threat.  (3) AS DUHARAS has burned cash in two straight; command a price.