11/16/2015 2:07PM

Northfield: Wednesday 11/18 Analysis + Pick Four ticket

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Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four ticket:

1,2,6 / 1,3,5 / 2,4 / 1,7 = $36

 

Best Bet: DUNKS BROTHER (7th)

Spot Play: CARELESS LOVE (9th)

Race 1

(1) ELZANE mare showed a good burst of speed last week earning a nice victory.  (6) JAXTELLER well bred gelding is prone to miscues but can trot a good mile when he minds his manners.  (7) CALLIT AS U SEEIT filly is very inconsistent from week to week but should offer a big price from a tough post.

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Race 2

(8) BUZZEN GARLAND was impressive from the far outside last week.  The 3-year-old will look to make it three straight against similar.  (9) HANGIN JUDGE lightly raced trotter could be one of few threats to the top choice; threat.  (5) MY D JET filly trotter owns a good burst of speed and can threaten with a good setup.

Race 3

(3) SOUTHERN CAROL filly will look to make it seven straight; short price.  (4) LIBERTY BEACH has been facing much tougher competition and should offer value.  (5) VERDICT owns decent gate speed but is best used underneath.

Race 4

In a really weak field, (2) THE THREE GEES probably needs a trip with cover for his best chance after tiring last week on the lead.  (1) LILLIAN ROAD gets the best post and has been competitive at this level. (9) DANCING HEART well bred filly could use a fast pace to close into for her best chance.

Race 5

In the toughest race to handicap on the card, (4) MARKET TIMER will offer a monster price and picks up a good driver change.  (2) PUTUPYOURDUKES should be in line for a ground saving trip up close.  (1) MONARCH BLUECHIP lightly raced 3-year-old gets the best post and just needs to mind his manners for a chance.

Race 6

(2) FOREVER LOVER dominated a similar group last week and will look to repeat.  (3) NOMINAL HANOVER just missed last out at this level; threat.  (1) A MILLION THANKS owns the fastest in in the field and gets the best post.

Race 7

(1) DUNKS BROTHER owns a good brush and finds a weak field down in class.  (4) MUCKMUCK WOODCHUCK has room to improve second start back off a layoff.   (2) CIVIL CAUSE doesn't look the best on paper but could shake loose late for a piece at a price.

Race 8

(1) BOOTYSHAKERBAKER filly has raced gamely in three straight.  (2) CAMMILICIOUS wasn't as good last out for a new trainer but should have a much easier trip this week.  (6) FLY AMELIA FLY ships in from Indiana and finds a weak and inconsistent field; threat.

Race 9

(3) CARELESS LOVE went from sharp to just even last week up in class.  The trotting mare drops back down and can score with a smooth trip.  (5) TSUNAMI DREAM should be closer turning for home; threat.  (1) SBM GEORGIA STAR mare is capable of a big effort if she minds her manners.

Race 10

(4) MARK SAID SO drew off last week against a similar bunch.  (2) SLIDN TO YA RONNIE could have gained some confidence off a nice first victory.  (1) TE'S CONMYSOCKSOFF gets the best post but couldn't parlay a perfect trip last week; use underneath.

Race 11

(7) LIMA THUNDER has been competitive against better on the year.  (1) MAC'S DEVIL will be used aggressively down in class; threat.   (8) PECK BLUE CHIP just needs to find a way into the race; threat.

Race 12

(4) STRONG PLAYIN KING burned cash last week making a bad break.  The 4-year-old stallion has good ability but has yet to figure it out.  (6) PRINCETON has been knocking on the door but has lacked stamina late; command a price.  (5) ONEOCLOCKROCK drops back down in class but needs more; use underneath.

Race 13

(1) MACHINIST gets the best post and should be much closer turning for home.  (3) LIMA SHOWOFF has just been racing evenly but finds a weak and inconsistent field.  (9) JP ORAZIO picks up a big driver change; threat.

Race 14

(7) DO IT DOC'S WAY gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but will offer a big price in a wide open race.  (1) EARLYMORNIARRIVAL drops in class but only owns one win on the year.  (2) TIELER BEA HOTSPUR gets a much better starting post against a suspect bunch.

Race 15

(5) E R SISTER is always a threat at this level with a smooth trip.  (2) MISS ARIEL could be in a good spot up close but is 0 for the year; command a price.  (3) FOX VALLEY SMOOCH needs a lot of racing luck and a good setup.

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